2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island
Turnout	60.2% 0.6 pp
Clinton 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%	Trump 40–50% 50–60%
President before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	Elected President ; Donald Trump; Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Rhode Island voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

Although a "safe blue state", Trump improved on Mitt Romney's performance four years prior; Romney had lost the state by 27 points, whereas Trump lost by less than 16 points. This makes it the smallest win by a Democrat since Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis in 1988. In 2012, Romney won only three towns in Rhode Island.^[2] Donald Trump won 14 towns and even narrowly flipped Kent County, making this the first (and only as of the 2024 election) time a Republican has won a county in the state since Ronald Reagan in 1984.

Primaries

Democratic primary

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:^[3]

Rhode Island Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	66,993	54.71%	13	0	13
Hillary Clinton	52,749	43.08%	11	9	20
Mark Stewart	236	0.19%	0	0	0
Rocky De La Fuente	145	0.12%	0	0	0
Write-in	673	0.55%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	1,662	1.36%	0	0	0
Total	122,458	100%	24	9	33
Source: ^[4]^[5]^[6]

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county(left) and municipality(right).

Donald Trump

50–60%
60–70%
70–80%

John Kasich

40–50%

Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:^[3]

Rhode Island Republican primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	39,221	63.7%	12	0	12
John Kasich	14,963	24.3%	5	0	5
Ted Cruz	6,416	10.4%	2	0	2
Uncommitted	417	0.7%	0	0	0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)	382	0.6%	0	0	0
Write-in	215	0.3%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	61,614	100.00%	19	0	19
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[7]	Safe D	November 6, 2016
CNN^[8]	Safe D	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report^[9]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com^[10]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[11]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[13]	Likely D	November 8, 2016
Fox News^[14]	Safe D	November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island ^[15]^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	252,525	54.41%
	Republican	Donald Trump	180,543	38.90%
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	14,746	3.18%
	Green	Jill Stein	6,220	1.34%
	Write-in	Evan McMullin	759	0.16%
	American Delta	Rocky De La Fuente	671	0.14%
	Write-in	Mike Maturen	46	0.01%
	Write-in	Darrell Castle	30	0.01%
	Write-in	Other write-ins	8,604	1.85%
Total votes			464,144	100.00%

By county

County	Hillary Clinton Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total votes cast
Bristol	14,609	57.35%	8,965	35.19%	1,901	7.46%	5,644	22.16%	25,475
Kent	37,788	46.05%	38,336	46.72%	5,929	7.23%	-548	-0.67%	82,053
Newport	22,851	55.67%	15,077	36.73%	3,117	7.60%	7,774	18.94%	41,045
Providence	142,899	57.51%	90,882	36.58%	14,693	5.91%	52,017	20.93%	248,474
Washington	33,741	50.84%	27,230	41.03%	5,398	8.13%	6,511	9.81%	66,369
Totals	252,525	54.41%	180,543	38.90%	31,076	6.69%	71,982	15.51%	464,144

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Kent (largest city: Warwick) ^[17]

By congressional district

Clinton won both congressional districts.^[18]

District	Clinton	Trump	Representative
1st	60.5%	34.9%	David Cicilline
2nd	51.1%	44.02%	James Langevin

By municipality

Analysis

Donald Trump flipped several municipalities that had not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since the 1980s including Burrillville, Coventry, Exeter, Foster, Glocester, Hopkinton, Johnston, Lincoln, North Smithfield, Richmond, Smithfield, and West Warwick. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton was able to flip East Greenwich which voted for Mitt Romney in 2012. This was the worst Democratic performance in Burrillville since 1920 and the worst Democratic performance in Johnston since 1924.

References

^
This figure is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast in 2016 (464,144) by an estimate of the number of registered voters in Rhode Island in 2016 (770,875).
- For the number of votes cast, see "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results". Rhode Island Board of Elections. February 27, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
- For the estimated number of registered voters, see "STATEWIDE - VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY" (PDF). Rhode Island Board of Elections. October 9, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 25, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
^ "2012 Presidential Election Results - Rhode Island by City and Town". U.S. Election Atlas. David Leip. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
^ ^a ^b Patrick Anderson. "Candidates in both parties gear up for spot on R.I. primary ballot". The Providence Journal. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
^ The Green Papers
^ Rhode Island Board of Elections
^ Rhode Island Democratic Party - Official Pledged Delegates Allocation
^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
^ "Rhode Island Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved December 12, 2016.
^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Rhode Island".
^ Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links

RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions

[1] This figure is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast in 2016 (464,144) by an estimate of the number of registered voters in Rhode Island in 2016 (770,875).
For the number of votes cast, see "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results". Rhode Island Board of Elections. February 27, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.

For the estimated number of registered voters, see "STATEWIDE - VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY" (PDF). Rhode Island Board of Elections. October 9, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 25, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.

[2] For the number of votes cast, see "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results". Rhode Island Board of Elections. February 27, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.

[3] For the estimated number of registered voters, see "STATEWIDE - VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY" (PDF). Rhode Island Board of Elections. October 9, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 25, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.

[2] "2012 Presidential Election Results - Rhode Island by City and Town". U.S. Election Atlas. David Leip. Retrieved November 25, 2016.

[patrickanderson-3] Patrick Anderson. "Candidates in both parties gear up for spot on R.I. primary ballot". The Providence Journal. Retrieved February 5, 2016.

[4] The Green Papers

[5] Rhode Island Board of Elections

[6] Rhode Island Democratic Party - Official Pledged Delegates Allocation

[7] "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.

[8] Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.

[9] "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.

[10] "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.

[11] "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.

[12] Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.

[13] "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.

[14] "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.

[15] "Rhode Island Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved December 12, 2016.

[16] "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Rhode Island".

[17] Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 1, 2020.

[18] "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

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