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60 seats in the Tripura Legislative Assembly 31 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 91.38% ( 2.19 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Structure of the Tripura Legislative Assembly after the election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2018 Tripura Legislative Assembly election was held on 18 February for 59 of the state's 60 constituencies.[3] The counting of votes took place on 3 March 2018. With 43.59% of the vote, the BJP secured a majority of seats (36) and subsequently formed the government with Biplab Kumar Deb as Chief Minister. The former governing Left Front alliance while receiving 44.35% of the vote secured only 16 seats.
The term of the Tripura Legislative Assembly ended on 6 March 2018.[4] Having governed Tripura since the 1998 election, the ruling Left Front alliance, under Chief Minister Manik Sarkar, sought re-election. Meanwhile, the region in general had been under the political control of the CPI(M) for 25 years prior to the election, leading to the region being dubbed a "red holdout"[5] even when the 34-year uninterrupted rule of a CPI(M)-led alliance of Communist parties in West Bengal, the world's longest democratically elected Communist-led government, came to an end in 2011.
Their primary challengers came in the form of the Bharatiya Janata Party, which under the leadership of Narendra Modi was the governing party of India on a national level.[6] The BJP is a Hindu nationalist party, whose policies directly oppose those of the Communists.[7] However, the party claimed no seats, and a mere 1.5% of the vote, in the region's previous election.[8] Once considered a political pariah in Northeast India due to its significant Christian tribal population & the party's association with the Sangh Parivar (which aimed to achieve Hindu unity by achieving a Hindi belt centric cultural homogenisation), the BJP following its victory in the 2014 general elections had swiflty formed a coalition of Northeast-centric smaller parties within its larger national coalition to challenge the Congress hold over the region. BJP's first breakthrough in Northeast India came with its victory in Assam's legislative assembly elections in 2016 over issues of Muslim appeasement & an alleged demographic change caused by uncontrolled illegal infiltration of Bengali Muslims from Bangladesh. The Bengali Hindu majority of Tripura, whose forefathers had migrated to the state during Partition of Bengal to escape persecution by Bengali Muslims in East Bengal & had been constantly bickering with the Kokborok-speaking native Tripuri population which had led to incidents of bloodshed like the Mandai massacre deeply resonated with BJP's campaign against illegal infiltration of Bangladeshi Muslims. BJP's alliance with the Tripuri outfit Indigenous People's Front of Tripura also drew Tripuri votes to itself.
BJP built up its organisation in the state by engineering defections from the Left Front & Trinamool Congress (which in turn was engineering defections from the Congress based on dissatisfaction of local cadre with the party's decision to ally with CPI(M) in 2016 West Bengal legislative assembly election, a notable defector being Sudip Ray Barman). Despite the relatively small size of the state, the election took on additional significance on a national level as it was an acid test to gauge the successes of the BJP ahead of the following year's general election,[9] and a chance to strip the communists, the party's "primary ideological enemy", of its last stronghold.[5]
Prior to the election, a number of workers of the BJP were murdered. The BJP alleged that the murders were committed by CPI(M) members, which the party denies.[10][11][12]
The Election Commission of India announced that the Legislative Assembly elections in Tripura would be held on 18 February 2018 and the results would be announced on 3 March 2018.[13]
Event | Date | Day |
Date for nominations | 24 Jan 2018 | Wednesday |
Last date for filing nominations | 31 Jan 2018 | Wednesday |
Date for scrutiny of nominations | 1 Feb 2018 | Thursday |
Last date for withdrawal of candidatures | 3 Feb 2018 | Saturday |
Date of poll | 18 Feb 2018 | Sunday |
Date of counting | 3 Mar 2018 | Saturday |
Date before which the election shall be completed | 5 Mar 2018 | Monday |
VVPAT-fitted EVMs was used in entire Tripura state in all polling stations in the 2018 elections, which was the first time that the entire state saw the implementation of VVPAT.[14]
The election took place in a single phase on 18 February 2018 with 89.8% voter turnout.[15] The results were announced on 3 March 2018.
297 candidates registered to contest the election.
Party | Symbol | Alliance | Seats contested | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) | Left Front | 57 | ||
Communist Party of India (CPI) | Left Front | 1 | ||
Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) | Left Front | 1 | ||
All India Forward Bloc (AIFB) | Left Front | 1 | ||
Indian National Congress (INC) | UPA | 59 | ||
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) | NDA | 51 | ||
Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura (IPFT) | NDA | 9 | ||
Independents (IND) | 27 | |||
Indigenous Nationalist Party of Twipra (INPT) | 15 | |||
Tripura People's Party | 7 | |||
Amra Bangali | 23 | |||
All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) | 24 | |||
Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) | 5 | |||
Tipraland State Party | 9 | |||
Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation | 5 | |||
North East India Development Party | 1 | |||
Pragatishil Amara Bangali Samaj | 1 | |||
I.P.F.T Tiprahaa (Independent) | 1 | |||
Total | 297 |
The other major force in the election was the Indian National Congress, who had taken 36.5% of the popular vote in the region in 2013.[16] They are also, on a wider scale, the largest force in opposing Modi and the BJP in parliament. As such, Rahul Gandhi, in his capacity as the party's leader, campaigned in the region.[17] They were determined to prevent the BJP from seizing control on the region, as such an outcome would represent the "demise of the Left".[18]
Prime Minister Narendra Modi ended his campaign by stating that Tripura deserves a diamond but in order to get it, it must let go of the manik ('semi-precious stone' in Bengali, also a word play on the name of incumbent CM Manik Sarkar) stuck to it.[19]
Polling firm | Date published | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BJP+ | CPI(M)+ | INC | Others | ||
JanKiBaat-NewsX[20] | 27 January 2018 | 35-45 | 14–23 | - | - |
CVoter[20] | 27 January 2018 | 24–32 | 26-34 | 0–2 | - |
AxisMyIndia[20] | 27 January 2018 | 44-50 | 9–15 | - | 0–3 |
Dinraat[21] | 27 January 2018 | 10-19 | 40-49 |
The incumbent Left Front government was defeated after 25 years of office out of which Manik Sarkar served for about 20 years, with the Bharatiya Janata Party and Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura winning a large majority of seats. The Indian National Congress, which was the second largest party in the 2013 election, lost all its seats and most of its vote share.
Parties and coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | +/− | ||||
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) | 1,025,673 | 43.59% | 51 | 36 | 36 | ||||
Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM) | 993,605 | 42.22% | 57 | 16 | 33 | ||||
Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura (IPFT) | 173,603 | 7.38% | 9 | 8 | 8 | ||||
Indian National Congress (INC) | 42,100 | 1.79% | 59 | 0 | 10 | ||||
Communist Party of India (CPI) | 19,352 | 0.82% | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||
Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) | 17,568 | 0.75% | 1 | 0 | |||||
Indigenous Nationalist Party of Twipra (INPT) | 16,940 | 0.72% | 15 | 0 | |||||
All India Forward Bloc (AIFB) | 13,115 | 0.56% | 1 | 0 | |||||
All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) | 6,989 | 0.3% | 24 | 0 | |||||
Independents (IND) | 25 | 0 | |||||||
Other parties and coalitions | 0 | ||||||||
None of the Above (NOTA) | 24,220 | 1.03% | |||||||
Total | 2,353,246 | 100.00 | 60 | ±0 | |||||
Valid votes | 23,53,246 | 99.81 | |||||||
Invalid votes | 4,474 | 0.19 | |||||||
Votes cast / turnout | 23,57,720 | 91.38 | |||||||
Abstentions | 2,22,393 | 8.62 | |||||||
Registered voters | 25,80,113 |
Assembly Constituency | Turnout | Winner | Runner Up | Margin | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#k | Names | % | Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Candidate | Party | Votes | % | |||
1 | Simna | 91.92% | Brishaketu Debbarma | IPFT | 15,977 | 48.15% | Pranab Debbarma | CPI(M) | 14,014 | 42.23% | 1,963 | ||
2 | Mohanpur | 93.53% | Ratan Lal Nath | BJP | 22,516 | 54.43% | Subhas Chandra Debnath | CPI(M) | 17,340 | 41.91% | 5,176 | ||
3 | Bamutia | 94.29% | Krishnadhan Das | BJP | 20,014 | 49.15% | Haricharan Sarkar | CPI(M) | 19,042 | 46.76% | 972 | ||
4 | Barjala | 92.76% | Dr. Dilip Kumar Das | BJP | 22,052 | 55.42% | Jhumu Sarkar | CPI(M) | 15,825 | 39.77% | 6,227 | ||
5 | Khayerpur | 94.37% | Ratan Chakraborty | BJP | 25,496 | 55.86% | Pabitra Kar | CPI(M) | 18,457 | 40.44% | 7,039 | ||
6 | Agartala | 90.73% | Sudip Roy Barman | BJP | 25,234 | 55.47% | Krishna Majumder | CPI(M) | 17,852 | 39.24% | 7,382 | ||
7 | Ramnagar | 88.44% | Surajit Datta | BJP | 21,092 | 53.51% | Ratan Das | CPI(M) | 16,237 | 41.19% | 4,855 | ||
8 | Town Bordowali | 85.97% | Ashish Kumar Saha | BJP | 24,293 | 60.33% | Biswanath Saha | AIFB | 13,115 | 32.57% | 11,178 | ||
9 | Banamalipur | 87.37% | Biplab Kumar Deb | BJP | 21,755 | 59.89% | Amal Chakraborty | CPI(M) | 12,206 | 33.6% | 9,549 | ||
10 | Majlishpur | 94.76% | Sushanta Chowdhury | BJP | 23,249 | 52.41% | Manik Dey | CPI(M) | 19,359 | 43.64% | 3,890 | ||
11 | Mandaibazar | 91.13% | Dhirendra Debbarma | IPFT | 21,381 | 51.94% | Manoranjan Debbarma | CPI(M) | 15,517 | 37.7% | 5,864 | ||
12 | Takarjala | 88.23% | Narendra Chandra Debbarma | IPFT | 22,056 | 61.9% | Ramendra Debbarma | CPI(M) | 9,404 | 26.39% | 12,652 | ||
13 | Pratapgarh | 94.86% | Rebati Mohan Das | BJP | 25,834 | 51.1% | Ramu Das | CPI(M) | 22,686 | 44.87% | 3,148 | ||
14 | Badharghat | 92.1% | Dilip Sarkar | BJP | 28,561 | 52.86% | Jharna Das(Baidya) | CPI(M) | 23,113 | 42.78% | 5,448 | ||
15 | Kamalasagar | 93.09% | Narayan Chandra Chowdhury | CPI(M) | 18,847 | 49.99% | Arun Bhowmik | BJP | 16,968 | 45.% | 1,879 | ||
16 | Bishalgarh | 94.04% | Bhanu Lal Saha | CPI(M) | 21,254 | 48.43% | Nitai Chowdhury | BJP | 20,488 | 46.68% | 766 | ||
17 | Golaghati | 93.46% | Birendra Kishore Debbarma | BJP | 19,228 | 52.62% | Kesab Debbarma | CPI(M) | 15,730 | 43.05% | 3,498 | ||
18 | Suryamaninagar | 94.47% | Ram Prasad Paul | BJP | 24,874 | 52.78% | Rajkumar Chowdhury | CPI(M) | 20,307 | 43.09% | 4,567 | ||
19 | Charilam | 80.55% | Jishnu Dev Varma | BJP | 26,580 | 90.81% | Palash Debbarma | CPI(M) | 1,030 | 3.52% | 25,550 | ||
20 | Boxanagar | 90.85% | Sahid Chowdhury | CPI(M) | 19,862 | 57.69% | Baharul Islam Majumder | BJP | 11,847 | 34.41% | 8,015 | ||
21 | Nalchar | 94.48% | Subhash Chandra Das | BJP | 19,261 | 48.48% | Tapan Chandra Das | CPI(M) | 18,810 | 47.34% | 451 | ||
22 | Sonamura | 90.95% | Shyamal Chakraborty | CPI(M) | 19,275 | 51.65% | Subal Bhowmik | BJP | 15,843 | 42.46% | 3,432 | ||
23 | Dhanpur | 92.62% | Manik Sarkar | CPI(M) | 22,176 | 54.43% | Pratima Bhoumik | BJP | 16,735 | 41.08% | 5,441 | ||
24 | Ramchandraghat | 92.11% | Prasanta Debbarma | IPFT | 19,439 | 53.3% | Padma Kumar Debbarma | CPI(M) | 15,204 | 41.69% | 4,235 | ||
25 | Khowai | 95.55% | Nirmal Biswas | CPI(M) | 20,629 | 51.57% | Amit Rakshit | BJP | 17,893 | 44.73% | 2,736 | ||
26 | Asharambari | 91.77% | Mevar Kumar Jamatia | IPFT | 19,188 | 57.34% | Aghore Debbarma | CPI(M) | 12,201 | 36.46% | 6,987 | ||
27 | Kalyanpur–Pramodenagar | 91.68% | Pinaki Das Chowdhury | BJP | 20,293 | 52.01% | Manindra Chandra Das | CPI(M) | 17,152 | 43.96% | 3,141 | ||
28 | Teliamura | 89.98% | Kalyani Saha Roy | BJP | 22,077 | 56.37% | Gouri Das | CPI(M) | 14,898 | 38.04% | 7,179 | ||
29 | Krishnapur | 91.8% | Atul Debbarma | BJP | 16,730 | 51.21% | Khagendra Jamatia | CPI(M) | 14,735 | 45.11% | 1,995 | ||
30 | Bagma | 91.42% | Ram Pada Jamatia | BJP | 24,074 | 50.85% | Naresh Chandra Jamatia | CPI(M) | 21,241 | 44.87% | 2,833 | ||
31 | Radhakishorpur | 92.36% | Pranjit Singha Roy | BJP | 22,414 | 52.54% | Srikanta Datta | RSP | 17,568 | 41.18% | 4,846 | ||
32 | Matarbari | 92.69% | Biplab Kumar Ghosh | BJP | 23,069 | 49.79% | Madhab Chandra Saha | CPI(M) | 21,500 | 46.4% | 1,569 | ||
33 | Kakraban–Salgarh | 92.58% | Ratan Kumar Bhowmik | CPI(M) | 24,835 | 52.95% | Jitendra Majumder | BJP | 21,068 | 44.92% | 3,767 | ||
34 | Rajnagar | 91.% | Sudhan Das | CPI(M) | 22,004 | 55.28% | Bibhishan Chandra Das | BJP | 16,291 | 40.93% | 5,713 | ||
35 | Belonia | 94.05% | Arun Chandra Bhaumik | BJP | 19,307 | 48.45% | Basudev Majumder | CPI(M) | 18,554 | 46.56% | 753 | ||
36 | Santirbazar | 93.22% | Pramod Reang | BJP | 21,701 | 50.88% | Manindra Reang | CPI | 19,352 | 45.37% | 2,349 | ||
37 | Hrishyamukh | 93.4% | Badal Chowdhury | CPI(M) | 22,673 | 55.84% | Ashesh Baidya | BJP | 16,343 | 40.25% | 6,330 | ||
38 | Jolaibari | 94.32% | Jashabir Tripura | CPI(M) | 21,160 | 49.59% | Ankya Mog Chowdhury | BJP | 19,592 | 45.92% | 1,568 | ||
39 | Manu | 94.35% | Pravat Chowdhury | CPI(M) | 19,432 | 47.62% | Dhananjoy Tripura | IPFT | 19,239 | 47.15% | 193 | ||
40 | Sabroom | 93.72% | Sankar Roy | BJP | 21,059 | 50.64% | Rita Kar Majumder | CPI(M) | 18,877 | 45.39% | 2,182 | ||
41 | Ampinagar | 90.69% | Sindhu Chandra Jamatia | IPFT | 18,202 | 53.47% | Daniel Jamatia | CPI(M) | 13,255 | 38.94% | 4,947 | ||
42 | Amarpur | 94.05% | Ranjit Das | BJP | 18,970 | 48.87% | Parimal Debnath | CPI(M) | 17,954 | 46.25% | 1,016 | ||
43 | Karbook | 92.02% | Burba Mohan Tripura | BJP | 15,622 | 48.86% | Priyamani Debbarma | CPI(M) | 14,825 | 46.37% | 797 | ||
44 | Raima Valley | 91.07% | Dhananjoy Tripura | IPFT | 18,673 | 46.93% | Lalit Mohan Tripura | CPI(M) | 16,751 | 42.1% | 1,922 | ||
45 | Kamalpur | 90.68% | Manoj Kanti Deb | BJP | 20,165 | 52.11% | Bijoy Laxmi Singha | CPI(M) | 17,206 | 44.46% | 2,959 | ||
46 | Surma | 90.43% | Ashis Das | BJP | 20,767 | 51.48% | Anjan Das | CPI(M) | 18,057 | 44.76% | 2,710 | ||
47 | Ambassa | 91.01% | Parimal Debbarma | BJP | 20,842 | 49.42% | Bharat Reang | CPI(M) | 17,257 | 40.92% | 3,585 | ||
48 | Karamcherra | 90.03% | Diba Chandra Hrangkhawl | BJP | 19,397 | 55.59% | Umakanta Tripura | CPI(M) | 12,061 | 34.57% | 7,336 | ||
49 | Chawamanu | 89.69% | Sambhu Lal Chakma | BJP | 18,290 | 52.3% | Nirajoy Tripura | CPI(M) | 14,535 | 41.56% | 3,755 | ||
50 | Pabiachhara | 91.11% | Bhagaban Das | BJP | 22,815 | 54.53% | Samiran Malakar | CPI(M) | 16,988 | 40.6% | 5,827 | ||
51 | Fatikroy | 89.67% | Sudhangshu Das | BJP | 19,512 | 51.39% | Tunubala Malakar | CPI(M) | 16,683 | 43.94% | 2,829 | ||
52 | Chandipur | 90.22% | Tapan Chakraborty | CPI(M) | 18,545 | 47.48% | Kaberi Singha | BJP | 18,143 | 46.45% | 402 | ||
53 | Kailashahar | 86.39% | Moboshar Ali | CPI(M) | 18,093 | 45.02% | Nitish De | BJP | 13,259 | 32.99% | 4,834 | ||
54 | Kadamtala–Kurti | 88.28% | Islam Uddin | CPI(M) | 20,721 | 56.84% | Tinku Roy | BJP | 13,839 | 37.96% | 6,882 | ||
55 | Bagbassa | 86.74% | Bijita Nath | CPI(M) | 18,001 | 48.09% | Pradip Kumar Nath | BJP | 17,731 | 47.37% | 270 | ||
56 | Dharmanagar | 88.38% | Biswa Bandhu Sen | BJP | 21,357 | 57.21% | Abhijit De | CPI(M) | 14,070 | 37.69% | 7,287 | ||
57 | Jubarajnagar | 90.59% | Ramendra Chandra Debnath | CPI(M) | 18,147 | 48.54% | Jadab Lal Debnath | BJP | 17,498 | 46.8% | 649 | ||
58 | Panisagar | 89.5% | Binay Bhushan Das | BJP | 15,892 | 48.54% | Ajit Kumar Das | CPI(M) | 15,331 | 46.83% | 561 | ||
59 | Pencharthal | 89.05% | Santana Chakma | BJP | 17,743 | 49.38% | Anil Chakma | CPI(M) | 16,370 | 45.56% | 1,373 | ||
60 | Kanchanpur | 88.18% | Prem Kumar Reang | IPFT | 19,448 | 51.76% | Rajendra Reang (Tripura politician) | CPI(M) | 15,317 | 40.76% | 4,131 |
Type of Constituencies | GEN | SC | ST | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
No. of Constituencies | 30 | 10 | 20 | 60 |
Men | Women | Third gender | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|
No.of Electors | 1,311,983 | 1,268,119 | 11 | 2,580,113 |
No.of Electors who Voted | 1,146,889 | 1,159,086 | 2 | 2,305,977 |
Polling Percentage | 87.42% | 91.40% | 18.00% | 89.38% |
Men | Women | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
No.of Contestants | 273 | 24 | 297 |
Elected | 57 | 03 | 60 |
The BJP chose Biplab Kumar Deb to be the next Chief Minister. He said: "I am ready to take the responsibility. I will not run away from taking the responsibility. I have already been given a bigger responsibility, the party's state presidentship, which I have been fulfilling to the best of my ability. People responded favourably to our call 'Chalo Paltai' (let's change)." He claimed that having the same party in the central government and at the state level "helps in faster development." He further called for restraint in post-electoral violence: "We do not believe in the politics of vengeance and hatred, so we appeal to the people to maintain peace and calm." In addition he asserted that "the word development does not exist in the dictionary of the CPI-M. Our government will provide good governance and time-bound implementation of all developmental works."[24]
Former Chief Minister of Kerala and senior CPI(M) leader V. S. Achuthanandan called for the party's leadership to ally with "secular forces" to defeat the Sangh Parivar: "The country is facing serious challenges. The Congress, which had ruled for decades in the post-independence period, has become weaker now. He supported party General Secretary Sitaram Yechury's call for an "understanding" with the INC as "a tactical move with secular forces was necessary."[25] The party's provincial minister claimed that the BJP had "misused" money and power at the central government in winning the election and that the "challenge to the democracy and the national integrity." Another CPM figure M. V. Jayarajan, private secretary to Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, claimed that the INC voters and leaders were moving towards the BJP and that the result should "not be viewed lightly and all the patriots in the country have the responsibility to check and isolate any effort of the communal forces gaining strength in the country.[25] Politburo member M. A. Baby said that while the result was "unexpected", he did "respect the verdict of the people." He added: "However, there is a decline of 6-7 per cent vote share of the Left front. It's a concern...how the erosion has taken place and why this happened will be dispassionately examined by the party in Tripura and the national leadership."[26]
Assam Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma derogatorily called for Manik Sarkar to be deported to Bangladesh[27] following CPI(M)'s defeat after it was revealed that in spite of being in power for 20 years, Sarkar didn't own a home in his name.[28] Sarma had also made the same comments during campaign,[29] which represents the long-standing hatred & disdain of the Assamese Hindu population towards both Bengali Muslims & Bengali Hindus.
BJP's victory in a Communist-ruled state having a Bengali Hindu majority (who had been long stereotyped of being largely averse to Hindu right wing ideology) had possible implications for the political scenario of West Bengal, as it represented the rising acceptability of BJP to the Bengali Hindu society at the cost of the decline of Communist ideology.
Polling for the seat of Charilam was postponed to 12 March 2018 after the death of Communist Party of India (Marxist) incumbent candidate Ramendra Narayan Debbarma. The CPI(M) withdrew their candidate for the bypoll claiming that there was an increase in violence.[citation needed]
Despite this, the CPI(M) candidate continued to be present on the ballot paper, and subsequently lost their deposit.[30][31]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BJP | Jishnu Deb Burman | 26,580 | 90.81 | ||
CPI(M) | Palash Debbarma | 1030 | 3.51 | ||
INC | Arjun Debbarma | 775 | 2.64 | ||
INPT | Uma Shankar Debbarma | 685 | 2.34 | ||
Independent | Jyotilal Debbarma | 198 | 0.67 | N/A | |
Majority | 25,550 | 87.29 | 25550 | ||
Turnout | |||||
Registered electors | |||||
BJP gain from CPI(M) | Swing |
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