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2020 United States Senate election in Texas

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 30 min

For related races, see 2020 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2020 Texas State Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Texas
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
Turnout65.73%[1] Increase 32.6%
 
Nominee John Cornyn M.J. Hegar
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 5,962,983 4,888,764
Percentage 53.51% 43.87%
Cornyn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hegar:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the State of Texas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn won re-election to a fourth term against Democratic nominee MJ Hegar by 9.6%.

Prior to the election, most news organizations projected this race as "Lean Republican", and was not expected to be as competitive as the contest for Texas's other Senate seat two years prior, when Republican incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Democrat Beto O'Rourke by a 2.6% margin. Nonetheless, John Cornyn won in what was his worst performance out of his four elections for the U.S. Senate, while MJ Hegar's 43.9% marked the highest vote share of any of Cornyn's Democratic challengers. Despite this being Cornyn's worst performance percentage-wise, he more than doubled his 2014 vote count and received the most raw votes for a Republican U.S. Senate candidate in the history of the United States.

Cornyn outperformed President Donald Trump in the state by about 4%, and was able to carry two counties won by Joe Biden (Tarrant and Williamson). While Cornyn did better than Trump in the Texas Triangle, contributing to his over performance, Hegar slightly outperformed Biden in the heavily Hispanic Rio Grande Valley, and was able to carry one Trump county (Zapata), though Hegar herself vastly underperformed previous Democratic margins in the region.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in the primary

[edit]
  • Virgil Bierschwale, U.S. Navy veteran, software developer, realtor[3]
  • John Anthony Castro, tax consultant, author, businessman, entrepreneur[4][5][6][7][8]
  • Dwayne Stovall, bridge construction contractor, businessman[9]
  • Mark Yancey, businessman, Attacca International Executive, former owner of the Dallas Wings basketball team[10][11]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Cornyn

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Virgil
Bierschwale 		John
Anthony
Castro 		John
Cornyn 		Dwayne
Stovall 		Mark
Yancey 		Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[17] January 21–30, 2020 445 (LV) ± 4.65% <1% 5% 62% 3% 1% 30%
Data for Progress[18][A] January 16–21, 2020 687 (LV) – 1% 0% 75% 2% 1% 22%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Cornyn
  •   Cornyn—80–90%
  •   Cornyn—70–80%
  •   Cornyn—60–70%
  •   Cornyn—50–60%
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 1,470,669 76.04%
Republican Dwayne Stovall 231,104 11.95%
Republican Mark Yancey 124,864 6.46%
Republican John Anthony Castro 86,916 4.49%
Republican Virgil Bierschwale 20,494 1.06%
Total votes 1,934,047 100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in the runoff

[edit]

Eliminated in the primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
MJ Hegar

Federal officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez (eliminated)

Federal officials

Labor unions

Newspapers

Organizations

Individuals

Royce West (eliminated)

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Newspapers

Individuals

Amanda Edwards (eliminated)

Newspapers

Organizations

Individuals

First round

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Host
network 		Date Link(s) Participants
MJ
Hegar 		Royce
West 		Cristina
Tzintzún
Ramirez 		Annie
Garcia 		Amanda Edwards Chris Bell Sema
Hernandez 		Michael
Cooper 		Victor Hugo
Harris 		Adrian
Ocegueda 		Jack Daniel
Foster Jr. 		D. R.
Hunter
KHOU-11 February 18, 2020 [77] Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Absent

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Colin
Allred 		Chris
Bell 		Joaquín
Castro 		Wendy
Davis 		Amanda
Edwards 		Annie
Garcia 		MJ
Hegar 		Sema
Hernandez 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Cristina
Ramirez 		Royce
West 		Other Undecided
NBC News/Marist[78] February 23–27, 2020 556 (LV) ± 5.3% – 5% – – 7% – 16% 5% – 9% 8% 5%[b] 34%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[79] January 31 – February 9, 2020 575 (LV)[c] ± 4.09% – 7% – – 6% 5% 22% 5% – 9% 6% 40%[d] –
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[80] January 21–30, 2020 414 (LV) ± 4.8% – 5% – – 4% 6% 9% 4% – 4% 6% 12%[e] 52%
Data for Progress[81][1][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% – 8% – – 3% 4% 18% 3% – 13% 12% 4%[f] 34%[g]
Texas Lyceum[82] January 10–19, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.89% – 5% – – 6% 4% 11% 5% – 7% 8% 35%[h] 19%
December 9, 2019 Filing deadline, by which Allred had not declared his candidacy
December 6, 2019 Annie Garcia announces her candidacy
December 5, 2019 O'Rourke announces he will not run after end of presidential campaign[83]
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 408 (LV) – – 4% – – – – 6% 6% 58% – 13% – –
University of Texas at Tyler[85] November 5–14, 2019 427 (RV) ± 4.7% – 7% – – 8% – 9% – – 9% 8% 7% 52%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[86] October 18–29, 2019 541 (RV) ± 4.21% – 3% – – 0% – 12% 6% – 4% 5% 13%[i] 57%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[86] August 29 – September 8, 2019 550 (RV) ± 4.17% – 2% – – 2% – 11% 3% – 3% 5% 2%[j] 66%
Ragnar Research[87] September 3–5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% – 9% – – 10% – 12% – – 10% 10% – 49%
August 12, 2019 Ramirez announces her candidacy
Emerson College/Dallas Morning News[88] August 1–3, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – 6.6% – – – 5.2% 9.9% – – – 7.9% 19.1%[k] 51.1%
July 22, 2019 West announces his candidacy and Davis announces a 2020 House bid, confirming she will not run for US Senate
July 18, 2019 Edwards announces her candidacy
July 3, 2019 Bell announces his candidacy
May 1, 2019 Joaquín Castro announces he will not run
April 23, 2019 Hegar announces her candidacy
Change Research[89] April 18–22, 2019 1,578 (LV) ± 2.5% 6%[l] – 56% – 1% – 4% – – – 3% 31%[m] –
Public Policy Polling (D)[90][C] March 5–7, 2019 608 (LV) ± 4.0% – – 42% 19% – – 4% 2% – – – 4%[n] 29%

Results

[edit]
Initial round results by county:
Hegar
  •   Hegar—60–70%
  •   Hegar—50–60%
  •   Hegar—40–50%
  •   Hegar—30–40%
  •   Hegar—20–30%
  •   Hegar—<20%
Tie
  •   Tie
West
  •   West—<20%
  •   West—20–30%
  •   West—30–40%
  •   West—40–50%
Ramirez
  •   Ramirez—<20%
  •   Ramirez—20–30%
  •   Ramirez—30–40%
  •   Ramirez—40–50%
  •   Ramirez—50–60%
Garcia
  •   Garcia—<20%
  •   Garcia—20–30%
  •   Garcia—30–40%
  •   Garcia—100%
Edwards
  •   Edwards—<20%
  •   Edwards—20–30%
  •   Edwards—30–40%
Bell
  •   Bell—<20%
  •   Bell—20–30%
  •   Bell—30–40%
  •   Bell—40–50%
Hernandez
  •   Hernandez—<20%
  •   Hernandez—20–30%
  •   Hernandez—30–40%
Cooper
  •   Cooper—<20%
  •   Cooper—20–30%
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic MJ Hegar 417,160 22.31%
Democratic Royce West 274,074 14.66%
Democratic Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez 246,659 13.19%
Democratic Annie "Mamá" Garcia 191,900 10.27%
Democratic Amanda Edwards 189,624 10.14%
Democratic Chris Bell 159,751 8.55%
Democratic Sema Hernandez 137,892 7.38%
Democratic Michael Cooper 92,463 4.95%
Democratic Victor Hugo Harris 59,710 3.19%
Democratic Adrian Ocegueda 41,566 2.22%
Democratic Jack Daniel Foster Jr. 31,718 1.70%
Democratic D. R. Hunter 26,902 1.44%
Total votes 1,869,419 100.0%

Runoff

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		MJ
Hegar 		Royce
West 		Other Undecided
TargetPoint[91][D] July 8, 2020 830 (LV) ± 3.2% 39% 35% – 26%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[92] June 29 – July 7, 2020 829 (LV) ± 3.4% 35% 22% 11% 32%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[93] April 18–27, 2020 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 32% 16% 7% 44%
Data for Progress[81][2][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 48% 19% – 33%
Ragnar Research[94] September 3–5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 26% 24% – 50%

Debates

[edit]
Host
network 		Date Link(s) Participants
MJ
Hegar 		Royce
West
KXAN-TV June 6, 2020 [95] Present Present
KVUE June 29, 2020 [96] Present Present
Hypothetical polling

with MJ Hegar and Chris Bell

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		MJ
Hegar 		Chris
Bell 		Undecided
Ragnar Research[97] September 3–5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 28% 21% 50%

with MJ Hegar and Amanda Edwards

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		MJ
Hegar 		Amanda
Edwards 		Undecided
Data for Progress[81][3][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 42% 16% 42%

with MJ Hegar and Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		MJ
Hegar 		Cristina
Ramirez 		Undecided
Data for Progress[81][4][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 32% 33% 35%

Results

[edit]
Runoff results by county
Hegar
  •   Hegar—>90%
  •   Hegar—80–90%
  •   Hegar—70–80%
  •   Hegar—60–70%
  •   Hegar—50–60%
Tie
  •   Tie
West
  •   West—50–60%
  •   West—60–70%
  •   West—70–80%
  •   West—>90%
No vote
  •   No vote
Democratic primary runoff results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic MJ Hegar 502,516 52.24%
Democratic Royce West 459,457 47.76%
Total votes 961,973 100.0%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Wes Benedict, former national executive director of the Libertarian Party[100]
  • Rhett Rosenquest Smith, Libertarian nominee for the Precinct 2 Bexar County Justice of the Peace in 2020 and Libertarian nominee for Texas's 11th congressional district in 2018[101]

Green Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • David B. Collins, info tech trainer and Green nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[102][103]

People Over Politics Party

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Human Rights Party

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla, retired teacher and candidate for Austin city council in 2014 (as a write-in candidate)[104][103]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
Host Date & time Link(s) Participants
John Cornyn (R) MJ Hegar (D)
Texas State History Museum October 9, 2020
6:55pm MDT 		[106] Present Present

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Daily Kos[107] Lean R October 30, 2020
The Cook Political Report[108] Lean R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[109] Lean R October 28, 2020
538[110] Likely R November 2, 2020
RCP[111] Lean R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[112] Likely R November 3, 2020
Politico[113] Lean R November 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[114] Lean R November 2, 2020
Economist[115] Lean R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
John Cornyn (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State & Local Officials

Newspapers

Organizations

MJ Hegar (D)

U.S. presidents

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Unions

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

Aggregate polls

[edit]
John Cornyn vs. MJ Hegar
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated John Cornyn MJ Hegar Other/Undecided[o] Margin
270 To Win[137] November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.6% 43.4% 8.0% Cornyn +5.2
Real Clear Politics[138] October 31, 2020 November 3, 2020 49.0% 42.5% 8.5% Cornyn +6.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		MJ
Hegar (D) 		Other Undecided
Swayable[139] October 27 – November 1, 2020 1,042 (LV) ± 4% 57% 44% – –
Data For Progress[140] October 27 – November 1, 2020 926 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[p] –
Emerson College[141] October 29–31, 2020 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 51%[l] 47% 2%[q] –
Morning Consult[142] October 22–31, 2020 3,267 (LV) ± 2% 47% 43% – –
Gravis Marketing[143] October 27–28, 2020 670 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 43% – 8%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[144] October 27–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48%[r] 42% 2% 8%
46%[s] 44% 2% 8%
49%[t] 41% 2% 8%
Swayable[145] October 23–26, 2020 492 (LV) ± 6% 52% 48% – –
YouGov/UMass Lowell[146] October 20–26, 2020 873 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 44% 2%[u] 5%
Data for Progress (D)[147] October 22–25, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 2%[v] 3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[148] October 20–25, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 38% 6%[w] 8%[x]
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[149] 		October 17–25, 2020 758 (RV) ± 3.56% 45% 40% 7%[y] 8%
Citizen Data[150] October 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 41% 41% 4% 15%
YouGov/University of Houston[151] October 13–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 42% 4%[z] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[152] October 13–20, 2020 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 42% 34% 5%[aa] 18%
Morning Consult[142] October 11–20, 2020 3,347 (LV) ± 1.7% 46% 41% – –
Cygnal[153] October 18–19, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 49% 41% 4%[z] 7%
Quinnipiac University[154] October 16–19, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 43% 1%[ab] 7%
Data for Progress (D)[155] October 15–18, 2020 933 (LV) ± 3.2% 44%[l] 41% 3%[ac] 12%
Public Policy Polling[156] October 14–15, 2020 712 (V) – 49% 46% – 5%
Morning Consult[157][5] October 2–11, 2020 3,455 (LV) ± 1.7% 47%[ad] 38% – 12%
Morning Consult[158] September 29 – October 8, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 47%[ae] 38% – –
Morning Consult[158] September 21–30, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 39% – –
Civiqs/Daily Kos[159] October 3–6, 2020 895 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 3%[af] 4%
Data For Progress (D)[160] September 30 – October 5, 2020 1,949 (LV) ± 2.2% 45% 42% 3%[ag] 11%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[161] September 25 – October 4, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.25% 50% 42% 5%[ah] –
YouGov/UMass Lowell[162] September 18–25, 2020 882 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 40% 1%[ai] 9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[163] September 16–22, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 37% 6%[aj] 14%[x]
Data For Progress[164][E] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 38% – 22%
Quinnipiac University[165] September 17–21, 2020 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% – 7%
Morning Consult[166] September 11–20, 2020 2,616 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 45%[ad] 39% – –
YouGov/CBS[167] September 15–18, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 41% 3%[ak] 10%
Morning Consult[168] September 8–17, 2020 2,555 (LV)[c] ± (2% – 4%) 45%[ad] 38% – –
Morning Consult[158] September 2–11, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 38% – –
Public Policy Polling (D)[169][F] September 1–2, 2020 743 (V) – 44% 40% – 15%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[170] August 28 – September 2, 2020 897 (LV) ± 3.3% 39% 28% 5%[al] 28%
1,141 (RV) ± 2.9% 34% 24% 6%[am] 36%
Morning Consult[158] August 23 – September 1, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 37% – –
Tyson Group[171][G] August 20–25, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3% 44% 42% – 11%
Data for Progress (D)[172][H] August 20–25, 2020 2,295 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 40% – 15%
Morning Consult[158] August 13–22, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 39% – –
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute[173] August 4–13, 2020 892 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 37% 5%[an] 8%
Morning Consult[158] August 3–12, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 38% – –
Morning Consult[174] July 24 – August 2, 2020 2,576 (LV) ± 2.0% 44%[ad] 38% 4%[ao] 14%
Morning Consult[158] July 23 – August 1, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 38% – –
Global Strategy Group (D)[175][I] July 25–29, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 43% – 13%
Quinnipiac University[176] July 16–20, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 38% 3%[ap] 13%
Morning Consult[158] July 13–22, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 40% 40% – –
Spry Strategies (R)[177][J] July 16–20, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 37% 14%[aq] 2%
YouGov/CBS[178] July 7–10, 2020 1,179 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 36% 5%[ar] 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[92] June 29 – July 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 42% 29% 5% 22%
Public Policy Polling[179] June 24–25, 2020 729 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 35% – 23%
FOX News[180] June 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 6%[as] 12%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[93] April 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.9% 37% 24% 6% 34%
NBC News/Marist[78] February 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 41% 1% 10%
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) – 44% 30% – 26%
Emerson College[181] April 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 12% 16%[at] 44%
Hypothetical polling

with Royce West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Royce
West (D) 		Other Undecided
CBS News/YouGov[182] July 7–10, 2020 1,182 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 37% 4%[au] 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[92] June 29 – July 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 43% 28% 6% 23%
FOX News[180] June 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 37% 6%[as] 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[93] April 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.85% 35% 24% 7% 34%
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) – 45% 33% – 22%

with Chris Bell

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Chris
Bell (D) 		Other Undecided
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) – 45% 30% – 25%

with Sema Hernandez

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Sema
Hernandez (D) 		Other Undecided
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) – 45% 29% – 26%

with Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) – 46% 42% – 12%
Quinnipiac University[183] February 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 46% 1% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[184][C] February 13–14, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 45% – 8%
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[185][K] January 5–11, 2019 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 37% – –

with generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Other Undecided
Univision/UH[186] February 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 41% – 16%
Data for Progress[18] January 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 50% 42% 2%[av] 7%
Beacon Research (D)[84] November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) – 46% 44% – 10%
Univision/UH[187] August 1 – September 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 40% – 19%

with generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac[188] September 4–9, 2019 1,410 (RV) ± 3.1% – 23% 35%[aw] 43%[ax]

with generic Republican and generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican (R) 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Undecided
Cygnal[153] October 18–19, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 50% 43% 7%
Data For Progress[164][L] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 41% 13%
Public Policy Polling[189] June 18–19, 2020 907 (V) ± 3% 47% 45% 8%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States Senate election in Texas[190]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 5,962,983 53.51% −8.05%
Democratic MJ Hegar 4,888,764 43.87% +9.51%
Libertarian Kerry McKennon 209,722 1.88% −1.00%
Green David Collins 81,893 0.73% −0.45%
Independent Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (write-in) 678 0.01% N/A
Total votes 11,144,040 100.0%
Republican hold

By county

[edit]
By county
Legend
Counties won by Cornyn
Counties won by Hegar
2020 U.S. Senate election results by Texas county
County Cornyn
Republican 		Hegar
Democratic 		McKennon
Libertarian 		Collins
Green 		Turullols-Bonilla
(write-in)
Independent 		Margin Total
votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Anderson 14,943 78.33% 3,792 19.88% 249 1.31% 88 0.46% 0 0.00% 11,151 58.45% 19,072
Andrews 4,894 84.38% 779 13.43% 107 1.84% 20 0.34% 0 0.00% 4,115 70.95% 5,800
Angelina 24,962 72.66% 8,771 25.53% 461 1.34% 161 0.47% 0 0.00% 16,191 47.13% 34,355
Aransas 9,189 75.54% 2,729 22.44% 178 1.46% 68 0.56% 0 0.00% 6,460 53.10% 12,164
Archer 4,178 88.44% 467 9.89% 65 1.38% 14 0.30% 0 0.00% 3,711 78.55% 4,724
Armstrong 1,025 93.27% 64 5.82% 5 0.45% 5 0.45% 0 0.00% 961 87.45% 1,099
Atascosa 11,906 66.53% 5,588 31.22% 258 1.44% 142 0.79% 2 0.01% 6,318 35.31% 17,896
Austin 11,454 79.10% 2,752 19.00% 215 1.48% 57 0.39% 3 0.02% 8,702 60.10% 14,481
Bailey 1,400 76.84% 383 21.02% 28 1.54% 11 0.60% 0 0.00% 1,017 55.82% 1,822
Bandera 9,957 79.42% 2,291 18.27% 234 1.87% 55 0.44% 0 0.00% 7,666 61.15% 12,537
Bastrop 20,468 56.07% 15,071 41.28% 757 2.07% 208 0.57% 2 0.01% 5,397 14.79% 36,506
Baylor 1,462 87.13% 177 10.55% 30 1.79% 9 0.54% 0 0.00% 1,285 76.58% 1,678
Bee 5,713 63.09% 3,103 34.27% 171 1.89% 58 0.64% 10 0.11% 2,610 28.82% 9,055
Bell 68,934 54.36% 54,413 42.91% 2,725 2.15% 727 0.57% 5 0.00% 14,521 11.45% 126,804
Bexar 320,095 42.51% 411,328 54.63% 15,205 2.02% 6,307 0.84% 52 0.01% 91,233 12.12% 752,987
Blanco 5,457 73.66% 1,816 24.51% 105 1.42% 30 0.40% 0 0.00% 3,641 49.15% 7,408
Borden 390 94.89% 18 4.38% 1 0.24% 2 0.49% 0 0.00% 372 90.51% 411
Bosque 7,367 81.50% 1,490 16.48% 121 1.34% 60 0.66% 1 0.01% 5,877 65.02% 9,039
Bowie 26,908 70.94% 10,406 27.43% 474 1.25% 143 0.38% 0 0.00% 16,502 43.51% 37,931
Brazoria 90,705 59.14% 58,759 38.31% 3,019 1.97% 879 0.57% 5 0.00% 31,946 20.83% 153,367
Brazos 49,346 58.63% 32,098 38.14% 2,243 2.67% 462 0.55% 12 0.01% 17,248 20.49% 84,161
Brewster 2,453 51.40% 2,167 45.41% 113 2.37% 35 0.73% 4 0.08% 286 5.99% 4,772
Briscoe 625 87.41% 79 11.05% 6 0.84% 5 0.70% 0 0.00% 546 76.36% 715
Brooks 859 36.46% 1,425 60.48% 39 1.66% 33 1.40% 0 0.00% 566 24.02% 2,356
Brown 13,482 85.57% 1,965 12.47% 250 1.59% 58 0.37% 0 0.00% 11,517 73.10% 15,755
Burleson 6,596 77.70% 1,709 20.13% 142 1.67% 42 0.49% 0 0.00% 4,887 57.57% 8,489
Burnet 18,687 76.15% 5,323 21.69% 438 1.78% 92 0.37% 0 0.00% 13,364 54.46% 24,540
Caldwell 8,044 54.06% 6,449 43.34% 272 1.83% 103 0.69% 12 0.08% 1,595 10.72% 14,880
Calhoun 5,531 71.41% 2,092 27.01% 100 1.29% 22 0.28% 0 0.00% 3,439 44.40% 7,745
Callahan 5,892 87.69% 680 10.12% 106 1.58% 41 0.61% 0 0.00% 5,212 77.57% 6,719
Cameron 46,482 41.79% 61,508 55.30% 1,797 1.62% 1,433 1.29% 3 0.00% 15,026 13.51% 111,223
Camp 3,597 71.43% 1,359 26.99% 57 1.13% 22 0.44% 1 0.02% 2,238 44.44% 5,036
Carson 2,756 88.53% 286 9.19% 63 2.02% 5 0.16% 3 0.10% 2,470 79.34% 3,113
Cass 10,796 78.16% 2,672 19.34% 153 1.11% 192 1.39% 0 0.00% 8,124 58.82% 13,813
Castro 1,572 77.02% 432 21.17% 24 1.18% 13 0.64% 0 0.00% 1,140 55.85% 2,041
Chambers 17,037 79.79% 3,786 17.73% 419 1.96% 111 0.52% 0 0.00% 13,251 62.06% 21,353
Cherokee 14,945 77.31% 4,058 20.99% 269 1.39% 59 0.31 0 0.00% 10,887 56.32% 19,331
Childress 1,936 85.70% 283 12.53% 29 1.28% 11 0.49% 0 0.00% 1,653 73.17% 2,259
Clay 4,958 87.01% 632 11.09% 69 1.21% 27 0.47% 12 0.21% 4,326 75.92% 5,698
Cochran 765 78.22% 183 18.71% 22 2.25% 8 0.82% 0 0.00% 582 59.51% 978
Coke 1,557 88.77% 171 9.75% 23 1.31% 3 0.17% 0 0.00% 1,386 79.02% 1,754
Coleman 3,586 88.22% 426 10.48% 37 0.91% 16 0.39% 0 0.00% 3,160 77.74% 4,065
Collin 263,074 54.66% 207,005 43.01% 8,495 1.76% 2,721 0.57% 11 0.00% 56,069 11.65% 481,306
Collingsworth 1,032 86.58% 145 12.16% 10 0.84% 4 0.34% 1 0.08% 887 74.42% 1,192
Colorado 7,367 74.49% 2,362 23.88% 116 1.17% 43 0.43% 2 0.02% 5,005 50.61% 9,890
Comal 63,545 71.99% 22,552 25.55% 1,753 1.99% 418 0.47% 2 0.00% 40,993 46.44% 88,270
Comanche 5,053 84.16% 831 13.84% 90 1.50% 30 0.50% 0 0.00% 4,222 70.32% 6,004
Concho 1,029 82.52% 193 15.48% 20 1.60% 5 0.40% 0 0.00% 836 67.04% 1,247
Cooke 15,516 82.20% 2,999 15.89% 277 1.47% 85 0.45% 0 0.00% 12,517 66.31% 18,877
Coryell 15,372 66.12% 7,118 30.62% 609 2.62% 149 0.64% 1 0.00% 8,254 35.50% 23,249
Cottle 534 81.40% 110 16.77% 7 1.07% 5 0.76% 0 0.00% 424 64.63% 656
Crane 1,213 82.01% 229 15.48% 24 1.62% 13 0.88% 0 0.00% 984 66.53% 1,479
Crockett 1,146 76.76% 314 21.03% 21 1.41% 12 0.80% 0 0.00% 832 55.73% 1,493
Crosby 1,356 72.09% 486 25.84% 25 1.33% 14 0.74% 0 0.00% 870 46.25% 1,881
Culberson 367 47.17% 385 49.49% 19 2.44% 6 0.77% 1 0.13% 18 2.32% 778
Dallam 1,369 85.83% 200 12.54% 21 1.32% 5 0.31% 0 0.00% 1,169 73.29% 1,595
Dallas 330,851 36.13% 560,603 61.22% 15,905 1.74% 8,282 0.90% 20 0.00% 229,752 25.09% 915,661
Dawson 2,827 77.64% 738 20.27% 60 1.65% 14 0.38% 2 0.05% 2,089 57.37% 3,641
Deaf Smith 3,273 72.20% 1,151 25.39% 73 1.61% 36 0.79% 0 0.00% 2,122 46.81% 4,533
Delta 2,111 83.31% 370 14.60% 31 1.22% 22 0.87% 0 0.00% 1,741 68.71% 2,534
Denton 231,025 55.91% 170,984 41.38% 8,553 2.07% 2,627 0.64% 22 0.01% 60,041 14.53% 413,211
Dewitt 6,399 81.13% 1,384 17.55% 84 1.07% 20 0.25% 0 0.00% 5,015 63.58% 7,887
Dickens 808 84.34% 133 13.88% 13 1.36% 4 0.42% 0 0.00% 675 70.46% 958
Dimmit 1,274 36.74% 2,122 61.19% 39 1.12% 30 0.87% 3 0.09% 848 24.45% 3,468
Donley 1,418 87.26% 181 11.14% 22 1.35% 4 0.25% 0 0.00% 1,237 76.12% 1,625
Duval 1,787 40.44% 2,458 55.62% 97 2.20% 77 1.74% 0 0.00% 671 15.18% 4,419
Eastland 7,015 86.72% 910 11.25% 131 1.62% 31 0.38% 2 0.02% 6,105 75.47% 8,089
Ector 31,711 72.78% 10,682 24.52% 902 2.07% 277 0.64% 0 0.00% 21,029 48.26% 43,572
Edwards 824 83.57% 144 14.60% 14 1.42% 3 0.30% 1 0.10% 680 68.97% 986
Ellis 57,078 67.12% 25,780 30.32% 1,589 1.87% 585 0.69% 7 0.01% 31,298 36.80% 85,039
El Paso 80,021 30.87% 164,931 63.62% 8,248 3.18% 6,036 2.33% 14 0.01% 84,910 32.75% 259,250
Erath 13,564 81.18% 2,707 16.20% 335 2.01% 102 0.61% 0 0.00% 10,857 64.98% 16,708
Falls 4,157 68.84% 1,787 29.59% 76 1.26% 19 0.31% 0 0.00% 2,370 39.25% 6,039
Fannin 11,836 80.25% 2,559 17.35% 273 1.85% 80 0.54% 1 0.01% 9,277 62.90% 14,749
Fayette 10,056 78.17% 2,634 20.48% 129 1.00% 45 0.35% 0 0.00% 7,422 57.69% 12,864
Fisher 1,418 78.60% 351 19.46% 28 1.55% 7 0.39% 0 0.00% 1,067 59.14% 1,804
Floyd 1,554 78.09% 397 19.95% 29 1.46% 10 0.50% 0 0.00% 1,157 58.14% 1,990
Foard 404 77.84% 107 20.62% 7 1.35% 1 0.19% 0 0.00% 297 57.22% 519
Fort Bend 160,977 46.33% 178,984 51.52% 5,359 1.54% 2,112 0.61% 7 0.00% 18,007 5.19% 347,439
Franklin 4,114 83.25% 753 15.24% 63 1.27% 12 0.24% 0 0.00% 3,361 68.01% 4,942
Freestone 6,838 79.91% 1,553 18.15% 116 1.36% 50 0.58% 0 0.00% 5,285 61.76% 8,557
Frio 2,489 50.58% 2,283 46.39% 71 1.44% 78 1.59% 0 0.00% 206 4.19% 4,921
Gaines 5,118 88.85% 548 9.51% 76 1.32% 18 0.31% 0 0.00% 4,570 79.34% 5,760
Galveston 94,317 61.49% 55,094 35.92% 3,003 1.96% 969 0.63% 3 0.00% 39,223 25.57% 153,386
Garza 1,374 84.97% 225 13.91% 11 0.68% 7 0.43% 0 0.00% 1,149 71.06% 1,617
Gillespie 12,543 79.49% 2,996 18.99% 200 1.27% 39 0.25% 1 0.01% 9,547 60.50% 15,779
Glasscock 603 93.34% 35 5.42% 5 0.77% 3 0.46% 0 0.00% 568 87.92% 646
Goliad 3,000 76.75% 840 21.49% 43 1.10% 14 0.36% 12 0.31% 2,160 55.26% 3,909
Gonzales 5,617 74.59% 1,782 23.66% 89 1.18% 42 0.56% 1 0.01% 3,835 50.93% 7,531
Gray 6,705 87.21% 774 10.07% 167 2.17% 42 0.55% 0 0.00% 5,931 77.14% 7,688
Grayson 43,735 74.16% 13,938 23.63% 1,008 1.71% 293 0.50% 0 0.00% 29,797 50.53% 58,974
Gregg 32,467 68.37% 14,025 29.54% 787 1.66% 204 0.43% 1 0.00% 18,442 38.83% 47,484
Grimes 9,338 76.07% 2,678 21.82% 199 1.62% 60 0.49% 0 0.00% 6,660 54.25% 12,275
Guadalupe 48,308 62.75% 26,697 34.68% 1,545 2.01% 428 0.56% 3 0.00% 21,611 28.07% 76,981
Hale 6,999 74.65% 2,155 22.98% 155 1.65% 67 0.71% 0 0.00% 4,844 51.67% 9,376
Hall 967 84.82% 156 13.68% 7 0.61% 10 0.88% 0 0.00% 811 71.14% 1,140
Hamilton 3,574 83.93% 594 15.23% 63 0.84% 45 0.43% 18 0.00% 2,288 68.71% 4,294
Hansford 1,844 90.93% 158 7.79% 21 1.04% 5 0.25% 0 0.00% 1,686 83.14% 2,028
Hardeman 1,313 84.44% 232 14.92% 9 0.58% 1 0.06% 0 0.00% 1,081 69.52% 1,555
Hardin 23,516 85.87% 3,388 12.37% 393 1.44% 87 0.32% 0 0.00% 20,128 73.50% 27,384
Harris 718,228 44.49% 854,158 52.90% 29,217 1.81% 12,889 0.80% 33 0.00% 135,930 8.41% 1,614,525
Harrison 21,231 72.25% 7,612 25.91% 440 1.50% 101 0.34% 1 0.00% 13,619 46.34% 29,384
Hartley 1,859 89.72% 176 8.49% 27 1.30% 10 0.48% 0 0.00% 1,683 81.23% 2,072
Haskell 1,808 82.82% 347 15.90% 15 0.69% 13 0.60% 0 0.00% 1,461 66.92% 2,183
Hays 49,539 45.64% 55,597 51.22% 2,595 2.39% 814 0.75% 1 0.00% 6,058 5.58% 108,546
Hemphill 1,465 86.53% 197 11.64% 22 1.30% 9 0.53% 0 0.00% 1,268 74.89% 1,693
Henderson 28,717 79.56% 6,672 18.48% 526 1.46% 180 0.50% 1 0.00% 22,045 61.08% 36,096
Hidalgo 84,284 40.23% 116,962 55.83% 5,072 2.42% 3,119 1.49% 46 0.02% 32,678 15.60% 209,483
Hill 11,845 79.89% 2,688 18.13% 196 1.32% 98 0.66% 0 0.00% 9,157 61.76% 14,827
Hockley 6,449 80.73% 1,384 17.33% 124 1.55% 28 0.35% 3 0.04% 5,065 63.40% 7,988
Hood 26,253 81.58% 5,228 16.25% 509 1.58% 189 0.59% 2 0.01% 21,025 65.33% 32,181
Hopkins 12,497 78.07% 2,833 21.35% 236 0.58% 81 0.53% 0 0.00% 6,761 56.72% 15,647
Houston 6,984 74.82% 2,230 23.89% 92 0.99% 28 0.30% 0 0.00% 4,754 50.93% 9,334
Howard 7,854 78.14% 1,959 19.49% 193 1.92% 45 0.45% 0 0.00% 5,895 58.65% 10,051
Hudspeth 680 61.76% 383 34.79% 22 2.00% 15 1.36% 1 0.09% 297 26.97% 1,101
Hunt 28,888 75.91% 8,319 21.86% 628 1.65% 223 0.59% 0 0.00% 20,569 54.05% 38,058
Hutchinson 7,575 87.14% 900 10.35% 178 2.05% 36 0.41% 4 0.05% 6,675 76.79% 8,693
Irion 760 86.36% 111 12.61% 9 1.02% 0 0.41% 0 0.05% 649 73.75% 880
Jack 3,322 89.78% 319 8.62% 41 1.11% 17 0.46% 1 0.03% 3,003 81.16% 3,700
Jackson 5,167 81.90% 1,021 16.18% 81 1.28% 26 0.41% 14 0.22% 4,146 65.72% 6,309
Jasper 12,312 80.01% 2,851 18.53% 180 1.17% 42 0.27% 4 0.03% 9,461 61.48% 15,389
Jeff Davis 767 59.64% 483 37.56% 30 2.33% 6 0.47% 0 0.00% 284 22.08% 1,286
Jefferson 46,928 50.50% 44,112 47.47% 1,418 1.53% 464 0.50% 4 0.00% 2,816 3.03% 92,926
Jim Hogg 652 33.89% 1,136 61.61% 30 1.63% 26 1.41% 0 0.00% 484 27.72% 1,844
Jim Wells 6,957 52.47% 6,025 45.44% 170 1.28% 108 0.81% 0 0.00% 932 7.03% 13,260
Johnson 54,403 76.13% 15,474 21.65% 1,217 1.70% 369 0.52% 0 0.00% 38,929 54.48% 71,463
Jones 5,546 83.76% 967 14.61% 81 1.22% 27 0.41% 0 0.00% 4,579 69.15% 6,621
Karnes 3,833 75.32% 1,178 23.15% 58 1.14% 20 0.39% 0 0.00% 2,655 52.17% 5,089
Kaufman 37,649 66.67% 17,507 31.00% 961 1.70% 352 0.62% 2 0.00% 20,142 35.67% 56,471
Kendall 20,584 77.99% 5,335 20.21% 374 1.42% 99 0.38% 0 0.00% 15,249 57.78% 26,392
Kenedy 107 63.31% 57 33.73% 4 2.37% 1 0.59% 0 0.00% 50 29.58% 169
Kent 386 86.74% 53 11.91% 4 0.90% 2 0.45% 0 0.00% 333 74.83% 445
Kerr 21,022 76.32% 5,946 21.59% 446 1.62% 128 0.46% 1 0.00% 15,076 54.73% 27,543
Kimble 1,962 87.08% 254 11.27% 28 1.24% 9 0.40% 0 0.00% 1,708 75.81% 2,253
King 149 96.75% 5 3.25% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 144 93.50% 154
Kinney 1,070 70.95% 395 26.19% 25 1.58% 13 0.86% 5 0.33% 675 44.76% 1,508
Kleberg 5,374 50.19% 5,067 47.32% 183 1.71% 84 0.78% 0 0.00% 307 2.87% 10,708
Knox 1,147 80.15% 263 18.38% 15 1.05% 5 0.35% 1 0.07% 884 61.77% 1,431
Lamar 16,476 77.85% 4,295 20.29% 279 1.32% 101 0.48% 14 0.07% 12,181 57.56% 21,165
Lamb 3,469 79.38% 802 18.35% 75 1.72% 22 0.50% 2 0.05% 2,667 61.03% 4,370
Lampasas 8,102 78.43% 1,978 19.15% 189 1.83% 61 0.59% 0 0.07% 6,124 59.28% 10,330
La Salle 1,082 50.40% 1,005 46.81% 30 1.40% 29 1.35% 1 0.05% 77 3.59% 2,147
Lavaca 8,599 85.66% 1,305 13.00% 109 1.09% 23 0.23% 2 0.02% 7,294 72.66% 10,038
Lee 6,211 77.32% 1,689 21.03% 96 1.20% 36 0.45% 0 0.07% 4,522 56.29% 8,032
Leon 7,421 86.37% 1,028 11.96% 102 1.19% 41 0.48% 0 0.00% 6,393 74.41% 8,592
Liberty 22,743 78.40% 5,662 19.52% 477 1.64% 127 0.44% 0 0.00% 17,081 58.88% 29,009
Limestone 6,656 74.23% 2,112 23.55% 122 1.36% 77 0.86% 0 0.00% 4,544 50.68% 8,967
Lipscomb 1,181 89.20% 117 8.84% 25 1.89% 1 0.08% 0 0.00% 1,064 80.36% 1,324
Live Oak 4,122 82.75% 790 15.86% 55 1.10% 14 0.28% 0 0.00% 3,332 66.89% 4,981
Llano 10,047 79.76% 2,331 18.51% 171 1.36% 47 0.37% 0 0.00% 7,716 61.25% 12,596
Loving 58 89.23% 5 7.69% 2 3.08% 0 0.28% 0 0.00% 53 81.54% 65
Lubbock 79,459 66.49% 36,319 30.39% 3,018 2.53% 702 0.59% 6 0.01% 43,140 36.10% 119,504
Lynn 1,817 80.29% 411 18.16% 25 1.10% 10 0.44% 0 0.00% 1,406 62.13% 2,263
McCulloch 2,843 83.99% 460 13.59% 63 1.86% 19 0.56% 0 0.00% 2,383 70.40% 3,385
Mclennan 60,036 62.45% 33,439 34.79% 2,015 2.10% 636 0.66% 3 0.00% 26,597 27.66% 96,129
McMullen 454 90.80% 43 8.60% 2 0.40% 1 0.20% 0 0.00% 411 82.20% 500
Madison 4,118 78.84% 1,030 19.72% 61 1.17% 14 0.27% 0 0.00% 3,088 59.12% 5,223
Marion 3,380 71.04% 1,276 26.82% 85 1.79% 17 0.36% 0 0.00% 2,104 44.22% 4,758
Martin 1,811 85.75% 263 12.45% 27 1.28% 11 0.52% 0 0.00% 1,548 73.30% 2,112
Mason 1,980 80.65% 443 18.04% 25 1.02% 7 0.29% 0 0.00% 1,537 62.61% 2,455
Matagorda 9,647 71.55% 3,551 26.34% 222 1.65% 62 0.46% 0 0.00% 6,096 45.21% 13,482
Maverick 5,708 39.95% 7,956 55.68% 269 1.88% 349 2.44% 7 0.05% 2,248 15.73% 14,289
Medina 15,594 70.21% 6,207 27.94% 313 1.41% 96 0.43% 2 0.01% 9,387 42.27% 22,212
Menard 797 79.70% 189 18.90% 10 1.00% 4 0.10% 0 0.00% 608 60.80% 1,000
Midland 45,733 78.14% 11,417 19.51% 1,162 1.99% 216 0.37% 0 0.00% 34,316 58.63% 58,528
Milam 7,759 75.10% 2,382 23.06% 136 1.32% 54 0.52% 0 0.00% 5,377 52.04% 10,331
Mills 2,196 88.30% 252 10.13% 30 1.21% 9 0.36% 0 0.00% 1,944 78.17% 2,487
Mitchell 2,129 83.82% 359 14.13% 40 1.57% 12 0.47% 0 0.00% 1,770 69.69% 2,540
Montague 8,526 87.37% 1,051 10.77% 135 1.38% 47 0.48% 0 0.00% 7,475 76.60% 9,759
Montgomery 194,528 72.36% 68,254 25.39% 4,844 1.80% 1,208 0.45% 4 0.00% 126,274 46.97% 268,838
Moore 4,314 79.20% 999 18.34% 102 1.87% 32 0.59% 0 0.00% 3,315 60.86% 5,447
Morris 3,753 68.47% 1,639 29.90% 66 1.20% 21 0.38% 2 0.04% 2,114 38.57% 5,481
Motley 591 92.63% 44 6.90% 3 0.47% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 547 85.73% 638
Nacogdoches 17,370 65.55% 8,487 32.03% 476 1.80% 163 0.62% 3 0.01% 8,883 33.52% 26,499
Navarro 13,701 72.26% 4,821 25.42% 315 1.66% 125 0.66% 0 0.00% 8,880 46.84% 18,962
Newton 4,784 79.51% 1,163 19.33% 47 0.78% 23 0.38% 0 0.00% 3,621 60.18% 6,017
Nolan 4,102 77.67% 1,077 20.39% 84 1.59% 18 0.34% 0 0.00% 3,025 57.28% 5,281
Nueces 64,558 51.52% 57,180 45.63% 2,564 2.05% 997 0.80% 15 0.01% 7,378 5.89% 125,314
Ochiltree 2,783 89.60% 278 8.95% 36 1.16% 8 0.26% 1 0.03% 2,505 80.65% 3,106
Oldham 908 91.16% 74 7.43% 9 0.90% 5 0.50% 0 0.00% 834 83.73% 996
Orange 28,720 80.46% 6,249 17.51% 572 1.60% 140 0.39% 12 0.03% 22,471 62.95% 35,693
Palo Pinto 9,999 81.11% 2,028 16.45% 231 1.87% 70 0.57% 0 0.00% 7,971 64.66% 12,328
Panola 9,145 80.91% 2,015 17.83% 109 0.96% 30 0.27% 4 0.04% 7,130 63.08% 11,303
Parker 61,705 81.71% 11,919 15.78% 468 0.62% 5 0.01% 0 0.00% 49,786 65.93% 75,520
Parmer 2,132 81.16% 454 17.28% 28 1.07% 13 0.49% 0 0.00% 1,678 63.88% 2,627
Pecos 3,081 67.43% 1,376 30.12% 79 1.73% 32 0.70% 1 0.02% 1,705 37.31% 4,569
Polk 17,735 75.37% 5,237 22.26% 426 1.81% 133 0.57% 0 0.00% 12,498 53.11% 23,531
Potter 22,683 69.08% 9,168 27.92% 738 2.25% 247 0.75% 0 0.00% 13,515 41.16% 32,836
Presidio 651 31.13% 1,374 65.71% 29 1.39% 37 1.77% 0 0.00% 723 34.58% 2,091
Rains 5,060 85.00% 789 13.25% 81 1.36% 26 0.44% 0 0.00% 4,271 71.75% 5,956
Randall 51,116 79.47% 11,618 18.06% 1,348 2.10% 234 0.36% 6 0.01% 39,498 61.41% 64,322
Reagan 893 83.54% 154 14.41% 13 1.22% 9 0.84% 0 0.00% 739 69.13% 1,069
Real 1,626 83.86% 286 14.75% 19 0.98% 8 0.41% 0 0.00% 1,340 69.11% 1,939
Red River 4,452 77.67% 1,191 20.78% 58 1.01% 31 0.54% 0 0.00% 3,261 56.89% 5,732
Reeves 1,983 57.71% 1,337 38.91% 73 2.12% 43 1.25% 0 0.00% 646 18.80% 3,436
Refugio 2,073 65.33% 1,023 32.24% 52 1.64% 24 0.476 1 0.03% 1,050 33.09% 3,173
Roberts 526 96.51% 15 2.75% 4 0.73% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 511 93.76% 545
Robertson 5,590 69.97% 2,244 28.09% 118 1.48% 36 0.45% 1 0.01% 3,346 41.88% 7,989
Rockwall 37,584 69.88% 15,009 27.91% 932 1.73% 257 0.48% 0 0.00% 22,575 41.97% 53,782
Runnels 3,722 86.00% 515 11.90% 66 1.52% 25 0.58% 0 0.00% 3,207 74.10% 4,328
Rusk 16,367 77.28% 4,455 21.03% 277 1.31% 78 0.37% 2 0.01% 11,912 56.25% 21,179
Sabine 4,678 86.04% 688 12.65% 46 0.85% 23 0.42% 2 0.04% 3,990 73.39% 5,437
San Augustine 2,898 74.75% 928 23.94% 39 1.01% 12 0.31% 0 0.00% 1,970 50.81% 3,877
San Jacinto 9,808 79.33% 2,268 18.35% 224 1.81% 63 0.51% 0 0.00% 7,540 60.98% 12,363
San Patricio 16,174 63.89% 8,484 33.51% 487 1.92% 161 0.64% 0 0.00% 7,690 30.38% 25,316
San Saba 2,218 88.72% 270 10.80% 9 0.36% 3 0.12% 0 0.00% 1,948 77.92% 2,500
Schleicher 927 81.89% 191 16.87% 10 0.88% 4 0.35% 0 0.00% 736 65.02% 1,132
Scurry 4,870 84.01% 805 13.89% 89 1.54% 32 0.55% 1 0.02% 4,065 70.12% 5,797
Shackelford 1,475 91.79% 115 7.16% 14 0.87% 3 0.19% 0 0.00% 1,360 84.63% 1,607
Shelby 7,868 78.74% 2,022 20.24% 75 0.75% 27 0.27% 0 0.00% 5,846 58.50% 9,992
Sherman 889 90.07% 88 8.92% 7 0.71% 2 0.20% 1 0.10% 801 81.15% 987
Smith 69,574 69.65% 28,385 28.42% 1,484 1.49% 443 0.44% 1 0.00% 41,189 41.23% 99,887
Somervell 4,103 83.37% 712 14.47% 78 1.59% 27 0.55% 1 0.02% 3,391 68.90% 4,921
Starr 5,845 39.62% 8,161 55.33% 357 2.42% 387 2.62% 1 0.01% 2,316 15.71% 14,751
Stephens 3,312 88.67% 374 10.01% 32 0.86% 17 0.46% 0 0.00% 2,938 78.66% 3,735
Sterling 567 91.30% 47 7.55% 2 0.32% 5 0.81% 0 0.00% 520 83.75% 621
Stonewall 586 82.07% 122 17.09% 3 0.42% 3 0.42% 0 0.00% 464 64.98% 714
Sutton 1,204 78.74% 305 19.95% 10 0.65% 10 0.65% 0 0.00% 899 58.79% 1,529
Swisher 1,795 77.40% 464 20.01% 44 1.90% 15 0.65% 1 0.04% 1,331 57.39% 2,319
Tarrant 423,117 51.09% 382,408 46.18% 16,443 1.99% 6,130 0.74% 18 0.00% 40,709 4.91% 828,116
Taylor 39,887 73.21% 13,704 25.15% 1,209 2.22% 309 0.57% 4 0.01% 26,183 48.06% 54,483
Terrell 324 72.00% 116 25.78% 5 1.11% 3 0.67% 2 0.44% 208 46.22% 450
Terry 2,731 77.50% 714 20.26% 63 1.79% 16 0.45% 0 0.00% 2,017 57.24% 3,524
Throckmorton 788 90.16% 76 8.70% 7 0.80% 3 0.34% 0 0.00% 712 81.46% 874
Titus 7,426 71.57% 2,748 26.48% 152 1.46% 50 0.48% 0 0.00% 4,678 45.09% 10,376
Tom Green 32,340 72.15% 11,371 25.37% 876 1.95% 234 0.52% 2 0.00% 20,969 46.78% 44,823
Travis 175,860 29.28% 408,528 68.02% 12,006 2.00% 4,191 0.70% 24 0.00% 232,668 38.74% 600,609
Trinity 5,445 79.93% 1,258 18.47% 79 1.16% 30 0.44% 0 0.00% 4,187 61.46% 6,812
Tyler 7,916 83.13% 1,400 14.70% 154 1.62% 53 0.56% 0 0.00% 6,516 68.43% 9,523
Upshur 15,470 82.94% 2,804 15.03% 320 1.72% 55 0.29% 4 0.02% 12,666 67.91% 18,653
Upton 1,147 85.85% 160 11.98% 18 1.35% 11 0.82% 0 0.00% 987 73.87% 1,336
Uvalde 5,968 59.19% 3,821 37.90% 192 1.90% 99 0.98% 2 0.02% 2,147 21.29% 10,082
Val Verde 8,103 54.14% 6,430 42.96% 252 1.68% 170 1.14% 13 0.09% 1,673 11.18% 14,968
Van Zandt 22,010 85.37% 3,374 13.09% 282 1.09% 107 0.42% 9 0.03% 18,636 72.28% 25,782
Victoria 23,144 68.69% 9,834 29.19% 524 1.56% 172 0.51% 18 0.05% 13,310 39.50% 33,692
Walker 15,480 65.94% 7,414 31.58% 449 1.91% 133 0.57% 1 0.00% 8,066 34.36% 23,477
Waller 14,219 63.31% 7,725 34.40% 394 1.75% 120 0.53% 0 0.00% 6,494 28.91% 22,458
Ward 3,138 79.62% 725 18.40% 61 1.55% 16 0.41% 1 0.03% 2,413 61.22% 3,941
Washington 12,988 75.16% 4,017 23.25% 223 1.29% 51 0.30% 1 0.01% 8,971 51.91% 17,280
Webb 23,153 34.87% 40,822 61.49% 1,246 1.88% 1,103 1.66% 69 0.10% 17,669 26.62% 66,393
Wharton 11,832 71.19% 4,513 27.15% 204 1.23% 70 0.42% 2 0.01% 7,319 44.04% 16,621
Wheeler 2,079 91.14% 165 7.23% 26 1.14% 11 0.48% 0 0.00% 1,914 83.91% 2,281
Wichita 31,626 69.84% 12,399 27.38% 997 2.20% 259 0.57% 0 0.00% 19,227 42.46% 45,281
Wilbarger 3,473 78.59% 874 19.78% 54 1.22% 18 0.41% 0 0.00% 2,599 58.81% 4,419
Willacy 2,183 41.27% 2,968 56.12% 85 1.61% 53 1.00% 0 0.00% 785 14.85% 5,289
Williamson 142,391 50.17% 133,783 47.14% 6,123 2.16% 1,492 0.53% 18 0.01% 8,608 3.03% 283,807
Wilson 18,327 74.21% 5,943 24.06% 309 1.25% 118 0.48% 0 0.00% 12,384 50.15% 24,697
Winkler 1,714 81.77% 338 16.13% 30 1.43% 12 0.57% 2 0.10% 1,376 65.64% 2,096
Wise 26,630 83.22% 4,644 14.51% 563 1.76% 162 0.51% 0 0.00% 21,986 68.71% 31,999
Wood 18,757 83.48% 3,318 14.77% 306 1.36% 87 0.39% 2 0.01% 15,439 68.71% 22,470
Yoakum 2,153 82.84% 387 14.89% 38 1.46% 21 0.81% 0 0.00% 1,766 67.95% 2,599
Young 6,996 86.27% 967 11.93% 120 1.48% 26 0.32% 0 0.00% 6,029 74.34% 8,109
Zapata 1,454 43.06% 1,821 53.92% 52 1.54% 50 1.48% 0 0.00% 367 10.86% 3,377
Zavala 1,232 30.85% 2,633 65.92% 72 1.80% 57 1.43% 0 0.00% 1,401 35.07% 3,994
Total 5,962,983 53.51% 4,888,764 43.87% 209,722 1.88% 81,893 0.73% 678 0.01% 1,074,219 9.64% 11,144,040
Cornyn
Republican 		Hegar
Democratic 		McKennon
Libertarian 		Collins
Green 		Turullols-Bonilla
(write-in)
Independent 		Margin Total
votes

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Cornyn won 24 out of 36 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[191]

District Cornyn Hegar Representative
1st 72% 26% Louie Gohmert
2nd 52% 46% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 53% 45% Van Taylor
4th 75% 23% Vacant
Pat Fallon
5th 62% 36% Lance Gooden
6th 52% 45% Ron Wright
7th 48.6% 49.2% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 72% 26% Kevin Brady
9th 24% 73% Al Green
10th 52% 46% Michael McCaul
11th 79% 19% Mike Conaway
August Pfluger
12th 62% 35% Kay Granger
13th 79% 18% Mac Thornberry
Ronny Jackson
14th 60% 38% Randy Weber
15th 49% 48% Vicente Gonzalez
16th 31% 63% Veronica Escobar
17th 56% 41% Bill Flores
Pete Sessions
18th 24% 73% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 73% 24% Jodey Arrington
20th 37% 60% Joaquín Castro
21st 53% 44% Chip Roy
22nd 52% 46% Pete Olson
Troy Nehls
23rd 51% 46% Will Hurd
Tony Gonzales
24th 50% 48% Kenny Marchant
Beth Van Duyne
25th 56% 42% Roger Williams
26th 59% 39% Michael Burgess
27th 62% 36% Michael Cloud
28th 46% 51% Henry Cuellar
29th 33% 64% Sylvia Garcia
30th 20% 77% Eddie Bernice Johnson
31st 52% 45% John Carter
32nd 48% 50% Colin Allred
33rd 26% 70% Marc Veasey
34th 46% 51% Filemon Vela Jr.
35th 32% 65% Lloyd Doggett
36th 72% 26% Brian Babin

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign prior to the sampling period
  2. ^ a b c d Data for Progress has endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  4. ^ Poll conducted for John Cornyn.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  6. ^ Giffords endorsed Hegar to this poll's sampling period
  7. ^ Poll sponsored for The Consumer Energy Alliance which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
  8. ^ Poll conducted for the Texas Youth Power Alliance.
  9. ^ Poll conducted for Latino Decisions.
  10. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  11. ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.

Additional candidates and voter samples

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Michael Cooper with 4%; "other" with 1%
  3. ^ a b Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  4. ^ The five remaining candidates or "someone else" with 34%; refused with 6%
  5. ^ Michael Cooper, Jack Daniel Foster Jr. and Victor Hugo Harris with 3%; D. R. Hunter with 2%; Adrian Ocegueda with 1%
  6. ^ Michael Cooper with 2%; Victor Hugo Harris and Adrian Ocegueda with 1%; Jack Daniel Foster Jr., D. R. Hunter, and "not voting" with 0%
  7. ^ Leaning towards no one candidate, but not leaning towards not voting
  8. ^ Michael Cooper and Victor Hugo Harris with 5%; Adrian Ocegueda with 2%; Jack Daniel Foster Jr. and D. R. Hunter with 0%; other with 6%; none of the above with 17%
  9. ^ Michael Cooper with 4%; Jack Daniel Foster Jr. with 2%; Adrian Ocegueda with 1%; "someone else" with 6%
  10. ^ Michael Cooper with 2%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 19.1%
  12. ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  13. ^ Veronica Escobar with 5%; Sylvia Garcia, Clay Jenkins, Sri Preston Kulkarni and Kim Olson with 3%; Rafael Anchia and Lizzie Pannell Fletcher with 1%; Mark Strama with 0%; would not vote with 12%
  14. ^ Michael Cooper with 4%
  15. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  16. ^ Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 2%; McKennon (L) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  17. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ^ Standard VI response
  19. ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  20. ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  21. ^ Did not vote with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
  22. ^ McKennon (L) and Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  23. ^ McKennon (L) with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  24. ^ a b Includes "Refused"
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  26. ^ a b McKennon (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 1%
  27. ^ McKennon (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 2%
  28. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  29. ^ McKennon (L) with 2%; Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  30. ^ a b c d Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  31. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sampling period
  32. ^ McKennon (L) with 2%; Collins (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  33. ^ McKennon (L) with 2%; Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 1%
  34. ^ McKennon (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
  35. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  36. ^ McKennon (L) with 4%; would not vote with 2%; "someone else" with 0%
  37. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  38. ^ McDermott (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 2%
  39. ^ Collins (G) and McDermott (L) with 3%
  40. ^ McDermont (L) with 4%; Collins (G) with 1%
  41. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  42. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 2%
  43. ^ "Another candidate" with 14%
  44. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  45. ^ a b "Other" and would not vote with 3%
  46. ^ "Someone else" with 16%
  47. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  48. ^ Would not vote with 2%
  49. ^ "Would definitely not vote for Cornyn" with 35%
  50. ^ "Would consider voting for Cornyn" with 30%; "Don't know/no answer" with 13%

References

[edit]
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Further reading

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Official campaign websites

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