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2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout59.7% Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,326,646 772,474
Percentage 62.09% 36.15%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Trump won Kentucky by a 25.9% margin in this election, down from his 29.8% margin in 2016. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. Kentucky has not supported a Democratic nominee since it narrowly supported fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996. Trump's overhaul of Obama-era coal emissions standards helped him win coal-industry households,[4] once again sweeping the historically-Democratic Eastern Kentucky counties. Trump also carried 83% of White evangelical/born-again Christians, per exit polls by the Associated Press.[5]

In addition to Trump's victory in the Commonwealth, Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without winning Elliott County since the county was founded in 1869,[6] as well as only the second Democrat to ever lose Elliott County in a presidential election, preceded only by Hillary Clinton four years earlier. This also marks the second consecutive election in which no county in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield voted Democratic. Furthermore, this is the first time since 1948 that Fayette County, the second-most populous county in the state and home to the city of Lexington, voted to the left of Jefferson County, the most populous county in the state and home to the city of Louisville, in a presidential election.

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[7]

Republican primary

[edit]

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[8]

Democratic primary

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary § KYresults.[edit]
2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary[9]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[10]
Joe Biden 365,284 67.91 52
Uncommitted 58,364 10.85 2
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 65,055 12.09
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 15,300 2.84
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 9,127 1.70
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 7,267 1.35
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 5,859 1.09
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 5,296 0.98
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 2,656 0.49
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,514 0.47
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,183 0.22
Total 537,905 100% 54

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[14] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[15] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[17] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[18] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[19] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[20] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[21] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[22] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[23] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[24] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[a] 		Margin
270 to Win[25] October 17–20, 2020 November 3, 2020 40.0% 57.0% 3.0% Trump +17.0
FiveThirtyEight[26] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 39.9% 55.6% 4.5% Trump +15.7
Average 40.0% 56.3% 3.7% Trump +16.4

Polls

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[27] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,009 (LV) ± 3% 59%[c] 40% - – –
Swayable[28] Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 383 (LV) ± 7.4% 55% 42% 4% – –
Bluegrass Community & Technical College[29] Oct 12–28, 2020 250 (RV) – 52% 39% – – 9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[27] Oct 1–28, 2020 3,621 (LV) – 56% 42% – – –
Mason-Dixon[30] Oct 12–15, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4% 56% 39% - 1% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[27] Sep 1–30, 2020 1,479 (LV) – 59% 39% - – 1%
Data for Progress (D)[31] Sep 14–19, 2020 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 55%[d] 35% 1% 1%[e] 8%
56%[f] 38% - – 6%
Quinnipiac University[32] Sep 10–14, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 2.9% 58% 38% - 1%[g] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[27] Aug 1–31, 2020 1,231 (LV) – 60% 38% - – 2%
Quinnipiac University[33] Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 909 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 41% - 4%[h] 5%
Morning Consult[34] Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 793 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% - 2%[i] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[27] Jul 1–31, 2020 1,709 (LV) – 62% 37% - – 1%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[35][A] Jul 25–29, 2020 3,020 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 45% - – –
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[36][B] Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 60% 34% - – 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[37][C] Jul 7–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% - – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[27] Jun 8–30, 2020 596 (LV) – 60% 38% - – 2%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[37][C] Jun 2020 – (V)[j] – 54% 39% - – –
Civiqs/Data for Progress[38] Jun 13–15, 2020 898 (RV) ± 3.8% 57% 37% - 5%[k] 1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[37][C] May 2020 – (V)[j] – 57% 36% - – –
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[39][D] May 21–24, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 53% 36% - 6%[l] 5%
Public Policy Polling[40] May 14–15, 2020 1,104 (V) – 55% 39% - 5%[k] 2%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[35][E] Apr 7–12, 2020[m] 4,000 (RV) – 55% 34% - – –
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[41] Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% - – 4%
Gravis Marketing[42] Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 37% - – 6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing[42] Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing[42] Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 35% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing[42] Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%
Zogby Analytics[43] Aug 17–23, 2017 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

Results

[edit]

Statewide results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky[44]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		1,326,646 62.09% −0.43%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		772,474 36.15% +3.47%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		26,234 1.23% −1.56%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball 		6,483 0.30% N/A
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard 		3,599 0.17% N/A
Green Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in) 		716 0.03% N/A
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in) 		408 0.02% N/A
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva (write-in)
Sunil Freeman (write-in) 		98 <0.01% N/A
Independent Mark Charles (write-in)
Adriane Wallace (write-in) 		43 <0.01% N/A
Independent Jade Simmons (write-in)
Claudeliah Roze (write-in) 		29 <0.01% N/A
Independent Tom Hoefling (write-in)
Andy Prior (write-in) 		20 <0.01% N/A
Independent Shawn Howard (write-in)
Alyssa Howard (write-in) 		9 <0.01% N/A
Independent President Boddie (write-in)
Eric Stoneham (write-in) 		7 <0.01% N/A
Independent Kasey Wells (write-in)
Rachel Wells (write-in) 		1 <0.01% N/A
Independent Timothy Stevens (write-in)
Susan Fletcher (write-in) 		1 <0.01% N/A
Independent Mary Simmons (write-in)
Sherri Dow (write-in) 		0 0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,136,768 100%

By county

[edit]
County Donald Trump
Republican 		Joe Biden
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adair 7,276 82.98% 1,392 15.88% 100 1.14% 5,884 67.10% 8,768
Allen 7,587 81.02% 1,642 17.54% 135 1.44% 5,945 63.48% 9,364
Anderson 9,661 72.89% 3,348 25.26% 245 1.85% 6,313 47.63% 13,254
Ballard 3,356 79.43% 825 19.53% 44 1.04% 2,531 59.90% 4,225
Barren 14,654 73.04% 5,127 25.55% 283 1.41% 9,527 47.49% 20,064
Bath 3,986 70.84% 1,573 27.95% 68 1.21% 2,413 42.89% 5,627
Bell 8,140 81.04% 1,789 17.81% 115 1.15% 6,351 63.23% 10,044
Boone 44,814 66.89% 20,901 31.20% 1,283 1.91% 23,913 35.69% 66,998
Bourbon 6,190 64.16% 3,296 34.16% 162 1.68% 2,894 30.00% 9,648
Boyd 14,295 65.72% 7,083 32.56% 373 1.72% 7,212 33.16% 21,751
Boyle 8,872 61.28% 5,298 36.59% 308 2.13% 3,574 24.69% 14,478
Bracken 3,398 80.03% 800 18.84% 48 1.13% 2,598 61.19% 4,246
Breathitt 4,265 75.34% 1,301 22.98% 95 1.68% 2,964 52.36% 5,661
Breckinridge 7,701 75.49% 2,350 23.04% 150 1.47% 5,351 52.45% 10,201
Bullitt 30,708 73.12% 10,552 25.13% 738 1.75% 20,156 47.99% 41,998
Butler 4,960 80.98% 1,079 17.62% 86 1.40% 3,881 63.36% 6,125
Caldwell 4,906 76.25% 1,433 22.27% 95 1.48% 3,473 53.98% 6,434
Calloway 11,352 65.03% 5,797 33.21% 308 1.76% 5,555 31.82% 17,457
Campbell 28,482 58.27% 19,374 39.64% 1,022 2.09% 9,108 18.63% 48,878
Carlisle 2,159 81.84% 463 17.55% 16 0.61% 1,696 64.29% 2,638
Carroll 2,954 71.42% 1,116 26.98% 66 1.60% 1,838 44.44% 4,136
Carter 8,775 75.74% 2,642 22.80% 169 1.46% 6,133 52.94% 11,586
Casey 6,179 86.17% 918 12.80% 74 1.03% 5,261 73.37% 7,171
Christian 15,080 63.19% 8,296 34.77% 487 2.04% 6,784 28.42% 23,863
Clark 11,811 65.11% 6,004 33.10% 324 1.79% 5,807 32.01% 18,139
Clay 6,677 87.96% 831 10.95% 83 1.09% 5,846 77.01% 7,591
Clinton 4,280 86.78% 603 12.23% 49 0.99% 3,677 74.55% 4,932
Crittenden 3,451 81.35% 731 17.23% 60 1.42% 2,720 64.12% 4,242
Cumberland 2,769 83.68% 508 15.35% 32 0.97% 2,261 68.33% 3,309
Daviess 31,025 62.95% 17,286 35.07% 976 1.98% 13,739 27.88% 49,287
Edmonson 4,828 78.73% 1,227 20.01% 77 1.26% 3,601 58.72% 6,132
Elliott 2,246 74.99% 712 23.77% 37 1.24% 1,534 51.22% 2,995
Estill 5,100 77.98% 1,355 20.72% 85 1.30% 3,745 57.26% 6,540
Fayette 58,860 38.49% 90,600 59.25% 3,452 2.26% -31,740 -20.76% 152,912
Fleming 5,534 78.30% 1,474 20.85% 60 0.85% 4,060 57.45% 7,068
Floyd 12,250 74.91% 3,884 23.75% 219 1.34% 8,366 51.16% 16,353
Franklin 12,900 49.48% 12,652 48.53% 520 1.99% 248 0.95% 26,072
Fulton 1,606 66.20% 794 32.73% 26 1.07% 812 33.47% 2,426
Gallatin 2,955 76.77% 822 21.36% 72 1.87% 2,133 55.41% 3,849
Garrard 6,754 77.58% 1,830 21.02% 122 1.40% 4,924 56.56% 8,706
Grant 8,725 78.55% 2,205 19.85% 178 1.60% 6,520 58.70% 11,108
Graves 13,206 77.60% 3,560 20.92% 253 1.48% 9,646 56.68% 17,019
Grayson 9,453 78.87% 2,400 20.03% 132 1.10% 7,053 58.84% 11,985
Green 4,838 83.24% 920 15.83% 54 0.93% 3,918 67.41% 5,812
Greenup 13,064 71.88% 4,873 26.81% 239 1.31% 8,191 45.07% 18,176
Hancock 3,145 68.56% 1,351 29.45% 91 1.99% 1,794 39.11% 4,587
Hardin 29,832 60.96% 18,101 36.99% 1,008 2.05% 11,731 23.97% 48,941
Harlan 9,367 85.38% 1,494 13.62% 110 1.00% 7,873 71.76% 10,971
Harrison 6,334 71.50% 2,400 27.09% 125 1.41% 3,934 44.41% 8,859
Hart 6,345 75.81% 1,908 22.80% 117 1.39% 4,437 53.01% 8,370
Henderson 12,730 61.51% 7,639 36.91% 328 1.58% 5,091 24.60% 20,697
Henry 5,843 72.05% 2,142 26.41% 125 1.54% 3,701 45.64% 8,110
Hickman 1,714 77.94% 458 20.83% 27 1.23% 1,256 57.11% 2,199
Hopkins 15,757 73.25% 5,439 25.28% 316 1.47% 10,318 47.97% 21,512
Jackson 5,453 89.20% 605 9.90% 55 0.90% 4,848 79.30% 6,113
Jefferson 150,646 38.84% 228,358 58.87% 8,866 2.29% -77,712 -20.03% 387,870
Jessamine 17,096 65.05% 8,567 32.60% 617 2.35% 8,529 32.45% 26,280
Johnson 8,450 82.91% 1,608 15.78% 134 1.31% 6,842 67.13% 10,192
Kenton 48,129 58.55% 32,271 39.26% 1,798 2.19% 15,858 19.29% 82,198
Knott 4,780 76.46% 1,412 22.58% 60 0.96% 3,368 53.88% 6,252
Knox 11,012 82.97% 2,114 15.93% 147 1.10% 8,898 67.04% 13,273
LaRue 5,685 77.87% 1,504 20.60% 112 1.53% 4,181 57.27% 7,301
Laurel 23,237 82.66% 4,475 15.92% 399 1.42% 18,762 66.74% 28,111
Lawrence 5,633 80.99% 1,238 17.80% 84 1.21% 4,395 63.19% 6,955
Lee 2,273 81.15% 481 17.17% 47 1.68% 1,792 63.98% 2,801
Leslie 4,321 89.78% 446 9.27% 46 0.95% 3,875 80.51% 4,813
Letcher 7,226 79.10% 1,799 19.69% 110 1.21% 5,427 59.41% 9,135
Lewis 4,986 84.75% 823 13.99% 74 1.26% 4,163 70.76% 5,883
Lincoln 8,489 77.78% 2,254 20.65% 171 1.57% 7,235 57.13% 10,914
Livingston 4,010 80.14% 939 18.76% 55 1.10% 3,071 61.38% 5,004
Logan 9,067 73.42% 3,094 25.05% 189 1.53% 5,973 48.37% 12,350
Lyon 3,100 73.32% 1,092 25.83% 36 0.85% 2,008 47.49% 4,228
McCracken 21,820 65.04% 11,195 33.37% 534 1.59% 10,625 31.67% 33,549
McCreary 5,664 87.98% 725 11.26% 49 0.76% 4,939 76.72% 6,438
McLean 3,633 75.97% 1,074 22.46% 75 1.57% 2,559 53.51% 4,782
Madison 27,356 62.23% 15,581 35.45% 1,020 2.32% 11,775 26.78% 43,957
Magoffin 4,174 76.63% 1,214 22.29% 59 1.08% 2,960 54.34% 5,447
Marion 6,113 68.47% 2,722 30.49% 93 1.04% 3,391 37.98% 8,928
Marshall 13,297 75.54% 4,071 23.13% 235 1.33% 9,226 52.41% 17,603
Martin 3,496 88.82% 403 10.24% 37 0.94% 3,093 78.71% 3,936
Mason 5,477 68.82% 2,362 29.68% 119 1.50% 3,115 39.14% 7,958
Meade 10,185 72.17% 3,632 25.74% 296 2.09% 6,553 46.43% 14,113
Menifee 2,311 74.50% 750 24.18% 41 1.32% 1,561 50.32% 3,102
Mercer 8,506 72.48% 3,033 25.85% 196 1.67% 5,473 46.63% 11,735
Metcalfe 3,959 78.99% 975 19.45% 78 1.56% 2,984 59.54% 5,012
Monroe 4,628 86.83% 657 12.33% 45 0.84% 3,971 74.50% 5,330
Montgomery 8,993 70.03% 3,630 28.27% 219 1.70% 5,363 41.76% 12,842
Morgan 4,301 77.58% 1,175 21.19% 68 1.23% 3,126 56.39% 5,544
Muhlenberg 10,497 73.74% 3,545 24.90% 193 1.36% 6,952 48.84% 14,235
Nelson 15,703 67.52% 7,188 30.91% 365 1.57% 8,515 36.61% 23,256
Nicholas 2,408 70.91% 955 28.12% 33 0.97% 1,453 42.79% 3,396
Ohio 8,582 77.11% 2,404 21.60% 143 1.29% 6,178 55.51% 11,129
Oldham 22,654 59.65% 14,505 38.20% 817 2.15% 8,149 21.45% 37,976
Owen 4,292 78.64% 1,098 20.12% 68 1.24% 3,194 58.52% 5,458
Owsley 1,671 88.13% 216 11.39% 9 0.48% 1,455 76.74% 1,896
Pendleton 5,515 79.64% 1,322 19.09% 88 1.27% 4,193 60.55% 6,925
Perry 8,129 76.50% 2,356 22.17% 141 1.33% 5,773 54.33% 10,626
Pike 20,284 79.87% 4,866 19.16% 245 0.97% 15,418 60.71% 25,395
Powell 4,041 73.41% 1,367 24.83% 97 1.76% 2,674 48.58% 5,505
Pulaski 25,442 80.62% 5,666 17.95% 449 1.43% 19,776 62.67% 31,557
Robertson 884 77.14% 253 22.08% 9 0.78% 631 55.06% 1,146
Rockcastle 6,577 84.49% 1,134 14.57% 73 0.94% 5,443 69.92% 7,784
Rowan 5,994 59.55% 3,880 38.55% 191 1.90% 2,114 21.00% 10,065
Russell 7,519 83.96% 1,331 14.86% 105 1.18% 6,188 69.10% 8,955
Scott 17,767 61.33% 10,567 36.48% 635 2.19% 7,200 24.85% 28,969
Shelby 15,055 63.93% 8,077 34.30% 418 1.77% 6,978 29.63% 23,550
Simpson 5,888 67.43% 2,681 30.70% 163 1.87% 3,207 36.73% 8,732
Spencer 8,737 76.42% 2,530 22.13% 166 1.45% 6,207 54.29% 11,433
Taylor 9,376 74.91% 2,963 23.67% 178 1.42% 6,413 51.24% 12,517
Todd 4,062 75.74% 1,205 22.47% 96 1.79% 2,857 53.27% 5,363
Trigg 5,487 74.39% 1,791 24.28% 98 1.33% 3,696 50.11% 7,376
Trimble 3,227 74.70% 1,012 23.43% 81 1.87% 2,215 51.27% 4,320
Union 4,965 75.49% 1,529 23.25% 83 1.26% 3,436 52.24% 6,577
Warren 31,791 57.38% 22,479 40.58% 1,131 2.04% 9,312 16.80% 55,401
Washington 4,482 72.00% 1,644 26.41% 99 1.59% 3,838 45.59% 6,225
Wayne 7,430 80.41% 1,700 18.40% 110 1.19% 5,730 62.01% 9,240
Webster 4,506 75.19% 1,412 23.56% 75 1.25% 3,094 51.63% 5,993
Whitley 12,567 81.84% 2,552 16.62% 237 1.54% 10,015 65.22% 15,356
Wolfe 2,097 70.39% 839 28.16% 43 1.45% 1,258 42.23% 2,979
Woodford 8,362 54.97% 6,530 42.93% 319 2.10% 1,832 12.04% 15,211
Totals 1,326,646 62.05% 772,474 36.13% 38,889 1.82% 554,172 25.92% 2,138,009

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[45]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 73.1% 25.5% James Comer
2nd 67.6% 30.6% Brett Guthrie
3rd 38.1% 60.0% John Yarmuth
4th 64.8% 33.4% Thomas Massie
5th 80.2% 18.6% Hal Rogers
6th 53.6% 44.5% Andy Barr

Analysis

[edit]

Edison exit polls

[edit]
2020 presidential election in Kentucky by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[46][47]
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump % of

total vote

Total vote 36.15 62.09 100
Ideology
Liberals 83 16 17
Moderates 49 48 36
Conservatives 9 90 47
Party
Democrats 84 15 30
Republicans 4 95 46
Independents 39 55 24
Gender
Men 36 60 46
Women 36 63 54
Race/ethnicity
White 33 66 88
Black 71 25 7
Latino – – 2
Asian – – 1
Other – – 2
Age
18–24 years old 39 55 7
25–29 years old 62 32 6
30–39 years old 44 53 15
40–49 years old 35 64 15
50–64 years old 27 71 31
65 and older 36 63 26
Sexual orientation
LGBT – – 7
Not LGBT 31 67 93
Education
High school or less 38 61 28
Some college education 32 66 33
Associate degree 25 73 11
Bachelor's degree 44 53 18
Postgraduate degree 45 52 10
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 88 10 11
Coronavirus – – 13
Economy 5 94 38
Crime and safety – – 10
Health care – – 19
Region
Eastern Kentucky 20 78 20
Bluegrass Country 43 55 19
N. Kentucky/Louisville suburbs 33 65 17
Jefferson County 59 39 18
Western Kentucky 29 69 26
Area type
Urban 53 46 31
Suburban 32 66 27
Rural 26 72 42
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago 8 90 54
Worse than four years ago 75 20 15
About the same 59 40 30

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ Standard VI response
  5. ^ Hawkins (G) with 1%
  6. ^ If only Trump and Biden were candidates
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  10. ^ a b Not yet released
  11. ^ a b "Someone else" with 5%
  12. ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%
  13. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
  2. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
  4. ^ U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
  5. ^ This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period

References

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  1. ^ "Kentucky Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ Dennis, Brady; Eilperin, Juliet. "Trump administration rolls back Obama-era rule aimed at limiting toxic wastewater from coal plants". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. ^ "Kentucky Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  6. ^ "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  7. ^ "Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.
  8. ^ "Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  9. ^ "Official 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved October 13, 2020.
  10. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  11. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  15. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  16. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  17. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  18. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  21. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  22. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  23. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  25. ^ "Kentucky 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin". 270toWin.com.
  26. ^ Wiederkehr, Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Dhrumil Mehta and Anna (June 28, 2018). "Kentucky : President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  27. ^ a b c d e f "Candidate preference". www.tableau.com.
  28. ^ "Swayable". Archived from the original on November 27, 2020.
  29. ^ "Bluegrass Community & Technical College" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 30, 2020.
  30. ^ "Mason-Dixon" (PDF).
  31. ^ "Data for Progress (D)" (PDF).
  32. ^ "Poll Results | Quinnipiac University Poll".
  33. ^ "Quinnipiac University". Archived from the original on August 7, 2020.
  34. ^ "Republicans Lead Senate Races in Alabama, Kentucky and Texas, With South Carolina Tied". Morning Consult Pro.
  35. ^ a b Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  36. ^ "Spry Strategies/American Principles Project" (PDF).
  37. ^ a b c "Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on July 16, 2020.
  38. ^ "Civiqs/Data for Progress" (PDF).
  39. ^ "RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits" (PDF).
  40. ^ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF).
  41. ^ "Fabrizio Ward/AARP" (PDF).
  42. ^ a b c d "Gravis Marketing" (PDF).
  43. ^ "Zogby Analytics - The Zogby Poll: Trump approval/Trump Vs. Warren in 11 states". zogbyanalytics.com.
  44. ^ "November 3, 2020 Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). p. 6. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  45. ^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.
  46. ^ "Kentucky 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
  47. ^ "Kentucky Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". www.nytimes.com. November 3, 2020. Retrieved December 28, 2020.

Further reading

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