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2020 United States presidential election in Texas
From Wikipedia - Reading time: 35 min
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| Turnout | 66.73% (of registered voters)[1] 
52.39% (of voting age population)[2] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Texas |
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 Government |
The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris. The state of Texas had 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]
Although it was considered a vulnerable state for Trump by some pollsters and experts and a potential upset victory for Biden due to its recent demographic trends, Trump held Texas with 52.1% of the vote, roughly the same percentage he carried it with in 2016. Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 vote share by 3.24 points, giving him the largest percentage in the state by a Democratic presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter carried the state in 1976. Trump's 5.58% margin of victory was also the narrowest for a Republican since 1996. Texas was the third-narrowest of Trump's state victories, behind only Florida and North Carolina, and the ninth-closest state overall. The election was also the first time Texas placed in the top ten closest states since 1968, and the first time since 1976 that Texas voted to the left of Ohio.[5][6]
Voter turnout in the state increased to its highest level since 1992, when two Texans, George H. W. Bush and Ross Perot, were on the ballot, and the last time Texas was a battleground state.[7]
Primary elections
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were the only declared Republican candidates, as former South Carolina Governor and U.S. Representative Mark Sanford and U.S. Representative Joe Walsh had dropped out. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declined to run against Trump, as did 2016 Republican primary candidate and current senator Ted Cruz.[8][9] The primary was won overwhelmingly by Trump with over 94% of the vote.
| 2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary[10] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Delegates | |
| Count | Percentage | ||
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 1,898,664 | 94.13% | 117 |
| Uncommitted | 71,803 | 3.56% | 0 |
| Bill Weld | 15,739 | 0.78% | 0 |
| Joe Walsh | 15,824 | 0.78% | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 7,563 | 0.38% | 0 |
| Bob Ely | 3,582 | 0.37% | 0 |
| Matthew Matern | 3,525 | 0.18% | 0 |
| Zoltan Istvan | 1,447 | 0.07% | 0 |
| Total: | 2,017,167 | 100% | 155 |
Democratic primary
[edit]The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Michael Bloomberg and Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[11][12][13] The primary was won by Biden, with Sanders coming second.
,_2020.svg)
| Biden—<30% Biden—30–40% Biden—40–50% Biden—50–60% Biden—60–70% Bloomberg—<30% Bloomberg—30–40% Bloomberg—50–60% | Sanders—<30% Sanders—30–40% Sanders—40–50% Sanders—50–60% Warren—<30% Tie |
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[15] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 725,562 | 34.64 | 113 |
| Bernie Sanders | 626,339 | 29.91 | 99 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 300,608 | 14.35 | 11 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 239,237 | 11.42 | 5 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] | 82,671 | 3.95 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] | 43,291 | 2.07 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 16,688 | 0.80 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] | 13,929 | 0.67 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 10,324 | 0.49 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 8,688 | 0.41 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 6,674 | 0.32 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 4,941 | 0.24 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 3,918 | 0.19 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 3,280 | 0.16 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 1,304 | 0.06 | |
| Other candidates | 6,974 | 0.33 | |
| Total | 2,094,428 | 100% | 228 |
General election
[edit]Final predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Tossup |
| Inside Elections[17] | Tossup |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Lean R |
| Politico[19] | Lean R |
| RCP[20] | Tossup |
| Niskanen[21] | Tossup |
| CNN[22] | Lean R |
| The Economist[23] | Lean R |
| CBS News[24] | Lean R |
| 270towin[25] | Lean R |
| ABC News[26] | Tossup |
| NPR[27] | Tossup |
| NBC News[28] | Tossup |
| 538[29] | Lean R |
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[30] | Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.5% | 48.8% | 3.7% | Trump +1.3 |
| Real Clear Politics[31] | October 20–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.5% | 47.8% | 5.7% | Trump +1.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight[32] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.4% | 48.6% | 4.0% | Trump +1.1 |
| Average | 47.1% | 48.4% | 4.5% | Trump +1.2 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 9,226 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 51%[d] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Swayable[34] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,151 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Data For Progress[35] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0%[e] | – |
| AtlasIntel[36] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
| Emerson College[37] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49%[f] | 48% | - | - | 2%[g] | – |
| Morning Consult[38] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 3,267 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling[39] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 775 (V) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Gravis Marketing[40] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | 5% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[41] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50%[h] | 46% | – | – | 2%[g] | 2% |
| 48%[i] | 48% | – | – | 2%[g] | 2% | ||||
| 52%[j] | 44% | – | – | 2%[g] | 2% | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 15,145 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Swayable[42] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 49% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[43] | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 873 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[k] | 1% |
| Data for Progress (D)[44] | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[45] | Oct 20–25, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 0% | 2%[l] | 5%[m] |
| Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[46] |
Oct 17–25, 2020 | 758 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 3%[n] | 2% |
| Citizen Data[47] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov/University of Houston[48] | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
| University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[49] | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47%[f] | 49% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
| Morning Consult[38] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 3,347 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University[50] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1%[o] | 5% |
| Data for Progress (D)[51] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46%[f] | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Morning Consult[52][1] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 3,455 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[53][A] | Oct 7–8, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 1% |
| YouGov/CCES[54] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 2,947 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[55] | Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR[56] | Oct 5–6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[57] | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | 2%[g] | 1% |
| Data For Progress (D)[58] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,949 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
| YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[59] | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 2% | 1%[o] | – |
| EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC[60][B] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 848 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 13,395 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[61][C] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[55] | Sep 18–27, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[62][2] Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[D] | Sep 25–26, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
| YouGov/UMass Lowell[63] | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 882 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49%[p] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[q] | 1% |
| 50%[r] | 46% | – | – | 2%[s] | 2% | ||||
| Data For Progress[64][E] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 726 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | – | – | 9% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[65] | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 0%[t] | 9%[m] |
| Quinnipiac University[66] | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | – | – | No voters | 4% |
| YouGov/CBS[67] | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 2%[u] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[55] | Sep 8–17, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[68] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 2,829 (LV) | ± 2% | 46%[v] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Giffords[69][F] | Sep 1–2, 2020 | 743 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
| University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[70] | Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 49%[f] | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,607 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[71] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 2,632 (LV) | ± 2% | 48%[v] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[72][G] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 0% | – | 0%[w] | 5% |
| Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance[73] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 2,295 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[74][3][H] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 764 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
| Morning Consult[55] | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[71] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 2,559 (LV) | ± 2% | 47%[x] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas[75][I] | Aug 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute[76] | Aug 4–13, 2020 | 846 (RV) | – | 48% | 41% | 1% | 1% | – | 10.2% |
| – (LV)[J] | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 5% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[77] | Aug 1–5, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | 2% | – | 2%[y] | 3% |
| Morning Consult[55] | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[78] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 2,576 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46%[v] | 47% | – | – | 2%[g] | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,721 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[79] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 2,685 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 45%[x] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[79][4] | Jul 16–25, 2020 | ≈2,700 (LV)[z] | ± 2.0% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
| Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[80][K] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[81] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7%[aa] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[79] | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 46% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[82] | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 4%[ab] | 6% |
| Gravis Marketing/OANN[83] | Jul 7, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
| Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[84] | Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 | 1,677 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 4% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[79] | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 6,669 (LV) | – | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
| YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project[85] | Jun 19–29, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.89% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[86][5] | Jun 24–25, 2020 | 729 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
| Morning Consult[79] | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
| Fox News[87] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 5%[ac] | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas[88][6][L] | Jun 18–19, 2020 | 907 (V) | ± 3% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult[79] | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[79] | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 48% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[89][M] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 683 (V) | – | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
| Quinnipiac[90] | May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 | 1,166 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 6%[ad] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[79] | May 17–26, 2020 | 2,551 (LV) | – | 50%[v] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[79] | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 50% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[79] | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[z] | – | 49% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| Emerson College[91] | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 52%[ae] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | Apr 27–28, 2020 | 1,032 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | 7% |
| Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[93] | Apr 18–27, 2020 | 1,183 (RV) | ± 2.85% | 43% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 9% |
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune[94] | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 7% |
| AtlasIntel[95] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 11% | – |
| NBC News/Marist College[96] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 2,409 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
| CNN/SSRS[97] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 3%[af] | 2% |
| Univision[98] | Feb 21–26, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
| Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 1,221 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 11% | – |
| YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.83% | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | 10% |
| University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[101] | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.24% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 10%[ag] | – |
| Data For Progress[102][N] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | – | 54% | 40% | – | – | 3%[ah] | 3% |
| Texas Lyceum[103] | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 3% |
| CNN/SSRS[104] | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 1,003 (RV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ai] | 3% |
| Beacon Research (R)[105] | Nov 9–21, 2019 | 1,601 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
| University of Texas at Tyler[106] | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 1,093 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 39% | – | – | – | 16% |
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune[107] | Oct 18–27, 2019 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | – | – | 9%[aj] | 6% |
| University of Texas at Tyler[108] | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,199 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 40% | – | – | 13% | 9% |
| Univision[109] | Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 | 1,004 (RV) | – | 43% | 47% | – | – | – | 10% |
| Climate Nexus[110] | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 43% | – | – | – | 9% |
| University of Texas at Tyler[111] | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 1,261 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 41% | – | – | 14% | 8% |
| Emerson[112] | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 1,033 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| University of Texas at Tyler[113] | Jul 24–27, 2019 | 1,414 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 12% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[114] | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 1,159 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
| WPA Intelligence[115] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 42% | – | – | – | 7% |
| Emerson College[116] | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50%[ae] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University[117] | Feb 20–25, 2019 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[118][O] | Feb 13–14, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Former candidates
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Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer
Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
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Hypothetical polling
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with Donald Trump and Mark Cuban
with Donald Trump and a Generic Democrat
with Donald Trump and a generic opponent
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Voting access
[edit]Matters of election administration and ease of voting during an ongoing pandemic were heavily litigated in Texas in 2020. Harris County, the most populous one in Texas, spearheaded a number of innovative approaches and was the focal point of several legal challenges.
For the 2020 elections, Harris County Commissioners approved a budget of $33 million, higher than the $4 million budget for the 2016 United States presidential election. Chris Hollins, the interim Harris County Clerk and Texas Democratic Party finance vice chairperson, created a 23-point voting access expansion program, which included promotion of voting by mail, expansion of early voting accessibility, and drive-through voting, an innovation to facilitate voting while at the same time mitigating infection risks during the COVID-19 pandemic.[137] On October 29 several voting locations in Harris County were available for 24 hours to accommodate voters whose work shifts or other responsibilities overlapped with regular voting hours.[138]
Local Republican activists and officials challenged the voter-friendly measures in multiple legal actions, with mixed success. Several lawsuits complained about early voting and about Harris County providing multiple drop-off locations for absentee ballots. Responding to pressure from within his own party, Governor Abbott then restricted the number of drop-offs to a single one per county regardless of population and size, forcing Harris County to close eleven sites at county clerk branch offices called annexes.[139]
When a legal action challenging drive-through voting was dismissed,[137] the Republican Party in Texas sought relief in the Texas Supreme Court (SCOTX), which denied the petition because the case had not been brought promptly.[140] The first lawsuit was filed on October 15 even though Harris County had obtained prior clearance from the Office of the Texas Secretary of State (which is led by a Republican appointed by Republican Governor Abbott) and had tested drive-in voting in the primary runoff elections in July without complaint.[141][142] SCOTX denied the petition and drive-thru voting continued.[143] On October 29 another action was filed seeking to invalidate drive-thru ballots based on the contention that this was a form of curbside voting that the Texas Election Code authorized only for voters with disabilities.[144] In an order issued on Sunday, November 1, the Texas Supreme Court denied the petition challenging the legality of drive-through voting, but did not resolve the legal argument one way or the other.[145][146] The next day, U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen heard an almost identical case by the same group of plaintiff, which included Republican candidates, on an emergency basis. Slate described the judge as "one of the most notoriously partisan conservatives in the federal judiciary."[142] Hanen ruled against the plaintiffs, dismissing their action for lack of standing, with the result that drive-in voting remained in effect. The Plaintiffs, which included Steve Toth,[147] immediately sought emergency relief in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, but were unsuccessful.[148] Hollins nevertheless cancelled drive-thru voting in tent structures on the eve of Election Day.[149] He reversed himself out of concern that ballots cast there might be declared invalid, should the Fifth Circuit disagree with Judge Hanen on the standing issue and agree with Judge Hanen that tents were not permissible polling places on Election Day.[150]
Some counties also set up an online system that allowed voters to check for wait times at early voting centers and make their voting plans accordingly.[151]
On October 5, Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued a proclamation under the Texas Disaster Act limiting each county to a single drop-off location for mail ballots.[152] Federal judge Robert Pitman blocked Abbott's order on October 9.[153] The next day, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton appealed to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals for an emergency stay of Pitman's ruling, which a three-judge motion panel temporarily granted on an interim basis, pending consideration of the appeal on the merits.[154] A Texas state judge also blocked Abbott's order on October 15, and a state appeals court upheld that decision on October 23. Paxton then sought emergency relief from the Texas Supreme Court, which backed the Governor and lifted the temporary injunction in an October 27 decision with no dissent.[155][156][157]
Turnout
[edit]Voter registration in Texas ended on October 5, and the Secretary of State reported a registration total of 16,955,519 voters, an increase of 1,854,432 since the 2016 elections, and 1.2 million of which had occurred after the 2018 midterm elections.
Early voting began on October 13. Over one million ballots were received on that day,[158] and by October 15 fewer than two million ballots were counted.[159] The following day the count was 2.6 million, which meant 15.51% of the state's registered voters had already voted.[160]
For the whole early voting period, votes in the age 18-29 range were higher than the total of that age group of 2016, with 1.3 million votes.[161]
On October 13, Dallas County recorded 59,905 ballots and Tarrant County recorded 42,428 ballots, with the former setting a record for that county and the latter below the 2016 count on the first day of early voting.[162]
On October 13, Harris County had an unofficial tally of 128,186 ballots received, the highest ever first day early voting count and over 5% of the county's registered voters.[163] By the second day, the count was 287,931, 11% of the county's registered voters.[164] On the third day, over 100,000 ballots were counted, and in those three days 387,000 ballots were counted, with 44,000 of them issued through the mail.[165] On the fourth day, a similar number of ballots were cast, which meant the number of ballots cast total was about 500,000.[166] On October 23, there were 1 million ballots cast from Harris County.[167]
On October 13, Travis County received 35,873 ballots,[168] while it received 38,119 the following day,[169] and by 3 P.M. on Thursday over 26,000.[170] When voting closed on Thursday the percentage of Travis County voters who had already voted was 16.44%. On Friday 41,328 additional votes were counted.[160] Williamson County by the third day had a 64,891 votes out of 376,931 people registered to vote, which meant its turnout was already 17.25%.[171]
On October 13, Bexar County recorded 78,000 votes, with over 45,000 by mail and the remainder in person.[158]
On October 13, El Paso County recorded fewer than 34,000 votes.[158]
By October 19, Texas voters cast 50% of the votes cast in the 2016 presidential election in Texas. By October 22, 65.5% of 2016 votes were cast (or 34.65% of registered voters). By October 25, over 80% of 2016 votes were cast (or 43% of registered voters),[172] and by October 29, 50% of registered voters had cast ballots by early in-person and absentee ballot. By October 30, statewide voter turnout, as well as turnout in Harris County, had already surpassed the total of 2016.[173]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
5,890,347 | 52.06% | −0.17% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
5,259,126 | 46.48% | +3.24% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
126,243 | 1.12% | −2.04% | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker |
33,396 | 0.30% | −0.50% | |
| Write-in | 5,944 | 0.04% | -0.53% | ||
| Total votes | 11,315,056 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
[edit]| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Anderson | 15,110 | 78.59% | 3,955 | 20.57% | 162 | 0.84% | 11,155 | 58.02% | 19,227 |
| Andrews | 4,943 | 84.31% | 850 | 14.50% | 70 | 1.19% | 4,093 | 69.81% | 5,863 |
| Angelina | 25,076 | 72.40% | 9,143 | 26.40% | 416 | 1.20% | 15,933 | 46.00% | 34,635 |
| Aransas | 9,239 | 75.17% | 2,916 | 23.73% | 135 | 1.10% | 6,323 | 51.44% | 12,290 |
| Archer | 4,300 | 89.66% | 446 | 9.30% | 50 | 1.04% | 3,854 | 80.36% | 4,796 |
| Armstrong | 1,035 | 93.08% | 75 | 6.74% | 2 | 0.18% | 960 | 86.34% | 1,112 |
| Atascosa | 12,039 | 66.37% | 5,876 | 32.40% | 223 | 1.23% | 6,163 | 33.97% | 18,138 |
| Austin | 11,447 | 78.48% | 2,951 | 20.23% | 188 | 1.29% | 8,496 | 58.25% | 14,586 |
| Bailey | 1,434 | 77.10% | 409 | 21.99% | 17 | 0.91% | 1,025 | 55.11% | 1,860 |
| Bandera | 10,057 | 79.03% | 2,505 | 19.68% | 164 | 1.29% | 7,552 | 59.35% | 12,726 |
| Bastrop | 20,516 | 55.81% | 15,474 | 42.09% | 772 | 2.10% | 5,042 | 13.72% | 36,762 |
| Baylor | 1,494 | 87.78% | 183 | 10.75% | 25 | 1.47% | 1,311 | 77.03% | 1,702 |
| Bee | 6,006 | 63.72% | 3,288 | 34.88% | 132 | 1.40% | 2,718 | 28.84% | 9,426 |
| Bell | 67,893 | 53.17% | 57,014 | 44.65% | 2,783 | 2.18% | 10,879 | 8.52% | 127,690 |
| Bexar | 308,618 | 40.05% | 448,452 | 58.20% | 13,501 | 1.75% | -139,834 | -18.15% | 770,571 |
| Blanco | 5,443 | 72.97% | 1,911 | 25.62% | 105 | 1.41% | 3,532 | 47.35% | 7,459 |
| Borden | 397 | 95.43% | 16 | 3.85% | 3 | 0.72% | 381 | 91.58% | 416 |
| Bosque | 7,469 | 81.84% | 1,561 | 17.10% | 96 | 1.06% | 5,908 | 64.74% | 9,126 |
| Bowie | 27,116 | 70.87% | 10,747 | 28.09% | 398 | 1.04% | 16,369 | 42.78% | 38,261 |
| Brazoria | 90,433 | 58.35% | 62,228 | 40.15% | 2,323 | 1.50% | 28,205 | 18.20% | 154,984 |
| Brazos | 47,530 | 55.71% | 35,349 | 41.43% | 2,434 | 2.86% | 12,181 | 14.28% | 85,313 |
| Brewster | 2,461 | 51.04% | 2,258 | 46.83% | 103 | 2.13% | 203 | 4.21% | 4,822 |
| Briscoe | 639 | 88.14% | 78 | 10.76% | 8 | 1.10% | 561 | 77.38% | 725 |
| Brooks | 998 | 40.18% | 1,470 | 59.18% | 16 | 0.64% | -472 | -19.00% | 2,484 |
| Brown | 13,698 | 85.78% | 2,107 | 13.19% | 164 | 1.03% | 11,591 | 72.59% | 15,969 |
| Burleson | 6,743 | 78.33% | 1,788 | 20.77% | 78 | 0.90% | 4,955 | 57.56% | 8,609 |
| Burnet | 18,767 | 75.93% | 5,639 | 22.81% | 311 | 1.26% | 13,128 | 53.12% | 24,717 |
| Caldwell | 8,031 | 53.64% | 6,672 | 44.56% | 270 | 1.80% | 1,359 | 9.08% | 14,973 |
| Calhoun | 5,641 | 71.80% | 2,148 | 27.34% | 67 | 0.86% | 3,493 | 44.46% | 7,856 |
| Callahan | 6,012 | 87.92% | 734 | 10.73% | 92 | 1.35% | 5,278 | 77.19% | 6,838 |
| Cameron | 49,032 | 42.89% | 64,063 | 56.04% | 1,231 | 1.07% | -15,031 | -13.15% | 114,326 |
| Camp | 3,626 | 71.66% | 1,394 | 27.55% | 40 | 0.79% | 2,232 | 44.11% | 5,060 |
| Carson | 2,779 | 89.01% | 297 | 9.51% | 46 | 1.48% | 2,482 | 79.50% | 3,122 |
| Cass | 11,033 | 79.22% | 2,795 | 20.07% | 99 | 0.71% | 8,238 | 59.15% | 13,927 |
| Castro | 1,602 | 76.91% | 466 | 22.37% | 15 | 0.72% | 1,136 | 54.54% | 2,083 |
| Chambers | 17,353 | 80.15% | 3,997 | 18.46% | 302 | 1.39% | 13,356 | 61.69% | 21,652 |
| Cherokee | 15,101 | 77.41% | 4,210 | 21.58% | 197 | 1.01% | 10,891 | 55.83% | 19,508 |
| Childress | 1,943 | 85.26% | 310 | 13.60% | 26 | 1.14% | 1,633 | 71.66% | 2,279 |
| Clay | 5,069 | 88.25% | 614 | 10.69% | 61 | 1.06% | 4,455 | 77.56% | 5,744 |
| Cochran | 809 | 80.90% | 177 | 17.70% | 14 | 1.40% | 632 | 63.20% | 1,000 |
| Coke | 1,586 | 89.15% | 178 | 10.01% | 15 | 0.84% | 1,408 | 79.14% | 1,779 |
| Coleman | 3,641 | 88.18% | 451 | 10.92% | 37 | 0.90% | 3,190 | 77.26% | 4,129 |
| Collin | 252,318 | 51.26% | 230,945 | 46.92% | 8,953 | 1.82% | 21,373 | 4.34% | 492,216 |
| Collingsworth | 1,048 | 86.04% | 155 | 12.73% | 15 | 1.23% | 893 | 73.31% | 1,218 |
| Colorado | 7,472 | 74.91% | 2,420 | 24.26% | 83 | 0.83% | 5,052 | 50.65% | 9,975 |
| Comal | 62,740 | 70.58% | 24,826 | 27.93% | 1,326 | 1.49% | 37,914 | 42.65% | 88,892 |
| Comanche | 5,177 | 85.06% | 853 | 14.02% | 56 | 0.92% | 4,324 | 71.04% | 6,086 |
| Concho | 1,058 | 83.44% | 197 | 15.54% | 13 | 1.02% | 861 | 67.90% | 1,268 |
| Cooke | 15,596 | 81.98% | 3,210 | 16.87% | 219 | 1.15% | 12,386 | 65.11% | 19,025 |
| Coryell | 15,438 | 65.71% | 7,565 | 32.20% | 490 | 2.09% | 7,873 | 33.51% | 23,493 |
| Cottle | 540 | 81.57% | 113 | 17.07% | 9 | 1.36% | 427 | 64.50% | 662 |
| Crane | 1,247 | 82.97% | 241 | 16.03% | 15 | 1.00% | 1,006 | 66.94% | 1,503 |
| Crockett | 1,220 | 77.51% | 344 | 21.86% | 10 | 0.63% | 876 | 55.65% | 1,574 |
| Crosby | 1,396 | 71.48% | 527 | 26.98% | 30 | 1.54% | 869 | 44.50% | 1,953 |
| Culberson | 415 | 48.03% | 438 | 50.69% | 11 | 1.28% | -23 | -2.66% | 864 |
| Dallam | 1,389 | 86.33% | 197 | 12.24% | 23 | 1.43% | 1,192 | 74.09% | 1,609 |
| Dallas | 307,076 | 33.29% | 598,576 | 64.89% | 16,861 | 1.82% | -291,500 | -31.60% | 922,513 |
| Dawson | 2,951 | 77.88% | 808 | 21.32% | 30 | 0.80% | 2,143 | 56.56% | 3,789 |
| Deaf Smith | 3,294 | 71.45% | 1,264 | 27.42% | 52 | 1.13% | 2,030 | 64.03% | 4,610 |
| Delta | 2,162 | 83.41% | 403 | 15.55% | 27 | 1.04% | 1,759 | 67.86% | 2,592 |
| Denton | 222,480 | 53.23% | 188,695 | 45.15% | 6,789 | 1.62% | 33,785 | 8.08% | 417,964 |
| DeWitt | 6,567 | 80.89% | 1,494 | 18.40% | 57 | 0.71% | 5,073 | 62.49% | 8,118 |
| Dickens | 853 | 86.34% | 130 | 13.16% | 5 | 0.50% | 723 | 73.18% | 988 |
| Dimmit | 1,384 | 37.75% | 2,264 | 61.76% | 18 | 0.49% | -880 | -24.01% | 3,666 |
| Donley | 1,438 | 87.26% | 198 | 12.01% | 12 | 0.73% | 1,240 | 75.25% | 1,648 |
| Duval | 2,443 | 48.35% | 2,575 | 50.96% | 35 | 0.69% | -132 | -2.61% | 5,053 |
| Eastland | 7,237 | 87.27% | 983 | 11.85% | 73 | 0.88% | 6,254 | 75.42% | 8,293 |
| Ector | 32,697 | 73.33% | 11,367 | 25.49% | 527 | 1.18% | 21,330 | 47.84% | 44,591 |
| Edwards | 893 | 83.77% | 168 | 15.76% | 5 | 0.47% | 725 | 68.01% | 1,066 |
| El Paso | 84,331 | 31.56% | 178,126 | 66.66% | 4,758 | 1.78% | -93,795 | -35.10% | 267,215 |
| Ellis | 56,717 | 66.19% | 27,565 | 32.17% | 1,406 | 1.64% | 29,152 | 34.02% | 85,688 |
| Erath | 13,684 | 81.08% | 2,916 | 17.28% | 277 | 1.64% | 10,768 | 63.80% | 16,877 |
| Falls | 4,177 | 68.11% | 1,899 | 30.96% | 57 | 0.93% | 2,278 | 37.15% | 6,133 |
| Fannin | 12,171 | 81.10% | 2,655 | 17.69% | 181 | 1.21% | 9,516 | 63.41% | 15,007 |
| Fayette | 10,171 | 78.60% | 2,661 | 20.56% | 109 | 0.84% | 7,510 | 58.04% | 12,941 |
| Fisher | 1,448 | 79.30% | 352 | 19.28% | 26 | 1.42% | 1,096 | 60.02% | 1,826 |
| Floyd | 1,584 | 77.69% | 438 | 21.48% | 17 | 0.83% | 1,146 | 56.21% | 2,039 |
| Foard | 445 | 80.76% | 99 | 17.97% | 7 | 1.27% | 346 | 62.79% | 551 |
| Fort Bend | 157,718 | 44.01% | 195,552 | 54.57% | 5,063 | 1.42% | -37,834 | -10.56% | 358,333 |
| Franklin | 4,161 | 83.07% | 804 | 16.05% | 44 | 0.88% | 3,357 | 67.02% | 5,009 |
| Freestone | 6,991 | 80.25% | 1,635 | 18.77% | 85 | 0.98% | 5,356 | 61.48% | 8,711 |
| Frio | 2,823 | 53.48% | 2,422 | 45.88% | 34 | 0.64% | 401 | 7.60% | 5,279 |
| Gaines | 5,355 | 89.31% | 576 | 9.61% | 65 | 1.08% | 4,779 | 79.70% | 5,996 |
| Galveston | 93,911 | 60.56% | 58,842 | 37.95% | 2,307 | 1.49% | 35,069 | 22.61% | 155,060 |
| Garza | 1,413 | 85.48% | 231 | 13.97% | 9 | 0.55% | 1,182 | 71.51% | 1,653 |
| Gillespie | 12,514 | 78.95% | 3,176 | 20.04% | 160 | 1.01% | 9,338 | 58.91% | 15,850 |
| Glasscock | 611 | 93.57% | 39 | 5.97% | 3 | 0.46% | 572 | 87.60% | 653 |
| Goliad | 3,085 | 77.22% | 877 | 21.95% | 33 | 0.83% | 2,208 | 55.27% | 3,995 |
| Gonzales | 5,627 | 73.57% | 1,948 | 25.47% | 73 | 0.96% | 3,679 | 48.10% | 7,648 |
| Gray | 6,840 | 87.90% | 829 | 10.65% | 113 | 1.45% | 6,011 | 77.25% | 7,782 |
| Grayson | 44,163 | 74.26% | 14,506 | 24.39% | 805 | 1.35% | 29,657 | 49.87% | 59,474 |
| Gregg | 32,493 | 67.72% | 14,796 | 30.84% | 693 | 1.44% | 17,697 | 36.88% | 47,982 |
| Grimes | 9,432 | 75.98% | 2,833 | 22.82% | 149 | 1.20% | 6,599 | 53.16% | 12,414 |
| Guadalupe | 47,553 | 61.16% | 28,805 | 37.04% | 1,400 | 1.80% | 18,748 | 24.12% | 77,758 |
| Hale | 7,177 | 74.87% | 2,279 | 23.77% | 130 | 1.36% | 4,898 | 51.10% | 9,586 |
| Hall | 995 | 85.12% | 168 | 14.37% | 6 | 0.51% | 827 | 70.75% | 1,169 |
| Hamilton | 3,616 | 83.11% | 641 | 14.73% | 94 | 2.16% | 2,975 | 68.38% | 4,351 |
| Hansford | 1,849 | 90.33% | 166 | 8.11% | 32 | 1.56% | 1,683 | 82.22% | 2,047 |
| Hardeman | 1,330 | 84.18% | 241 | 15.25% | 9 | 0.57% | 1,089 | 68.93% | 1,580 |
| Hardin | 23,858 | 86.33% | 3,474 | 12.57% | 303 | 1.10% | 20,384 | 73.76% | 27,635 |
| Harris | 700,630 | 42.69% | 918,193 | 55.94% | 22,434 | 1.37% | -217,563 | -13.25% | 1,641,257 |
| Harrison | 21,466 | 72.23% | 7,908 | 26.61% | 343 | 1.16% | 13,558 | 45.62% | 29,717 |
| Hartley | 1,868 | 89.89% | 195 | 9.38% | 15 | 0.73% | 1,673 | 80.51% | 2,078 |
| Haskell | 1,840 | 83.11% | 353 | 15.94% | 21 | 0.95% | 1,487 | 67.17% | 2,214 |
| Hays | 47,680 | 43.59% | 59,524 | 54.41% | 2,191 | 2.00% | -11,844 | -10.82% | 109,395 |
| Hemphill | 1,486 | 86.40% | 206 | 11.98% | 28 | 1.62% | 1,280 | 74.42% | 1,720 |
| Henderson | 28,911 | 79.61% | 7,060 | 19.44% | 346 | 0.95% | 21,851 | 60.17% | 36,317 |
| Hidalgo | 90,527 | 40.98% | 128,199 | 58.04% | 2,158 | 0.98% | -37,672 | -17.06% | 220,884 |
| Hill | 11,926 | 79.87% | 2,860 | 19.15% | 145 | 0.98% | 9,066 | 60.82% | 14,931 |
| Hockley | 6,536 | 80.69% | 1,482 | 18.30% | 82 | 1.01% | 5,054 | 62.39% | 8,100 |
| Hood | 26,496 | 81.42% | 5,648 | 17.36% | 397 | 1.22% | 20,848 | 64.06% | 32,541 |
| Hopkins | 12,719 | 79.79% | 3,046 | 19.11% | 176 | 1.10% | 9,673 | 60.68% | 15,941 |
| Houston | 7,060 | 74.80% | 2,314 | 24.52% | 64 | 0.68% | 4,746 | 50.28% | 9,438 |
| Howard | 8,054 | 78.64% | 2,069 | 20.20% | 118 | 1.16% | 5,985 | 58.44% | 10,241 |
| Hudspeth | 779 | 66.87% | 371 | 31.85% | 15 | 1.28% | 408 | 35.02% | 1,165 |
| Hunt | 29,163 | 75.56% | 8,906 | 23.07% | 528 | 1.37% | 20,257 | 52.49% | 38,597 |
| Hutchinson | 7,681 | 87.55% | 965 | 11.00% | 127 | 1.45% | 6,716 | 76.55% | 8,773 |
| Irion | 759 | 85.38% | 120 | 13.50% | 10 | 1.12% | 639 | 71.88% | 889 |
| Jack | 3,418 | 90.38% | 331 | 8.75% | 33 | 0.87% | 3,087 | 81.63% | 3,782 |
| Jackson | 5,231 | 82.34% | 1,033 | 16.26% | 89 | 1.40% | 4,198 | 66.08% | 6,353 |
| Jasper | 12,542 | 80.34% | 2,954 | 18.92% | 115 | 0.74% | 9,588 | 61.42% | 15,611 |
| Jeff Davis | 784 | 60.08% | 501 | 38.39% | 20 | 1.53% | 283 | 21.69% | 1,305 |
| Jefferson | 47,570 | 50.20% | 46,073 | 48.62% | 1,116 | 1.18% | 1,497 | 1.58% | 94,759 |
| Jim Hogg | 833 | 40.91% | 1,197 | 58.79% | 6 | 0.30% | -364 | -17.88% | 2,036 |
| Jim Wells | 7,453 | 54.52% | 6,119 | 44.77% | 97 | 0.71% | 1,334 | 9.75% | 13,669 |
| Johnson | 54,628 | 75.85% | 16,464 | 22.86% | 928 | 1.29% | 38,164 | 52.99% | 72,020 |
| Jones | 5,660 | 83.96% | 999 | 14.82% | 82 | 1.22% | 4,661 | 69.14% | 6,741 |
| Karnes | 3,968 | 75.55% | 1,234 | 23.50% | 50 | 0.95% | 2,734 | 52.05% | 5,252 |
| Kaufman | 37,624 | 66.34% | 18,405 | 32.45% | 689 | 1.21% | 19,219 | 33.89% | 56,718 |
| Kendall | 20,083 | 75.92% | 6,020 | 22.76% | 349 | 1.32% | 14,063 | 53.16% | 26,452 |
| Kenedy | 127 | 65.46% | 65 | 33.51% | 2 | 1.03% | 62 | 31.95% | 194 |
| Kent | 411 | 88.96% | 47 | 10.17% | 4 | 0.87% | 364 | 78.79% | 462 |
| Kerr | 20,879 | 75.25% | 6,524 | 23.51% | 342 | 1.24% | 14,355 | 51.74% | 27,745 |
| Kimble | 1,987 | 86.69% | 284 | 12.39% | 21 | 0.92% | 1,703 | 74.30% | 2,292 |
| King | 151 | 94.97% | 8 | 5.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 143 | 89.94% | 159 |
| Kinney | 1,144 | 71.37% | 446 | 27.82% | 13 | 0.81% | 698 | 43.55% | 1,603 |
| Kleberg | 5,504 | 50.29% | 5,314 | 48.56% | 126 | 1.15% | 190 | 1.73% | 10,944 |
| Knox | 1,180 | 81.04% | 265 | 18.20% | 11 | 0.76% | 915 | 62.84% | 1,456 |
| Lamar | 16,760 | 78.16% | 4,458 | 20.79% | 224 | 1.05% | 12,302 | 57.37% | 21,442 |
| Lamb | 3,521 | 79.84% | 840 | 19.05% | 49 | 1.11% | 2,681 | 60.79% | 4,410 |
| Lampasas | 8,086 | 77.76% | 2,144 | 20.62% | 169 | 1.62% | 5,942 | 57.14% | 10,399 |
| La Salle | 1,335 | 55.49% | 1,052 | 43.72% | 19 | 0.79% | 283 | 11.77% | 2,406 |
| Lavaca | 8,804 | 86.34% | 1,333 | 13.07% | 60 | 0.59% | 7,471 | 73.27% | 10,197 |
| Lee | 6,255 | 77.22% | 1,750 | 21.60% | 95 | 1.18% | 4,505 | 55.62% | 8,100 |
| Leon | 7,523 | 86.62% | 1,072 | 12.34% | 90 | 1.04% | 6,451 | 74.28% | 8,685 |
| Liberty | 23,302 | 79.44% | 5,785 | 19.72% | 247 | 0.84% | 17,517 | 59.72% | 29,334 |
| Limestone | 6,789 | 74.65% | 2,213 | 24.33% | 93 | 1.02% | 4,576 | 50.32% | 9,095 |
| Lipscomb | 1,205 | 89.06% | 131 | 9.68% | 17 | 1.26% | 1,074 | 79.38% | 1,353 |
| Live Oak | 4,199 | 83.08% | 819 | 16.20% | 36 | 0.72% | 3,380 | 66.88% | 5,054 |
| Llano | 10,079 | 79.61% | 2,465 | 19.47% | 116 | 0.92% | 7,614 | 60.14% | 12,660 |
| Loving | 60 | 90.91% | 4 | 6.06% | 2 | 3.03% | 56 | 84.85% | 66 |
| Lubbock | 78,861 | 65.27% | 40,017 | 33.12% | 1,939 | 1.61% | 38,844 | 32.15% | 120,817 |
| Lynn | 1,853 | 80.81% | 428 | 18.67% | 12 | 0.52% | 1,425 | 64.14% | 2,293 |
| Madison | 4,169 | 78.69% | 1,088 | 20.54% | 41 | 0.77% | 3,081 | 58.15% | 5,298 |
| Marion | 3,470 | 71.34% | 1,339 | 27.53% | 55 | 1.13% | 2,131 | 43.81% | 4,864 |
| Martin | 1,857 | 85.97% | 288 | 13.33% | 15 | 0.70% | 1,569 | 72.64% | 2,160 |
| Mason | 1,991 | 80.48% | 457 | 18.47% | 26 | 1.05% | 1,534 | 62.01% | 2,474 |
| Matagorda | 9,845 | 71.72% | 3,733 | 27.19% | 149 | 1.09% | 6,112 | 44.53% | 13,727 |
| Maverick | 6,881 | 44.84% | 8,332 | 54.29% | 133 | 0.87% | -1,451 | -9.45% | 15,346 |
| McCulloch | 2,904 | 84.52% | 490 | 14.26% | 42 | 1.22% | 2,414 | 70.26% | 3,436 |
| McLennan | 59,543 | 60.84% | 36,688 | 37.49% | 1,641 | 1.67% | 22,855 | 23.35% | 97,872 |
| McMullen | 460 | 89.15% | 53 | 10.27% | 3 | 0.58% | 407 | 78.88% | 516 |
| Medina | 15,642 | 69.04% | 6,773 | 29.89% | 242 | 1.07% | 8,869 | 39.15% | 22,657 |
| Menard | 823 | 80.06% | 197 | 19.16% | 8 | 0.78% | 626 | 60.90% | 1,028 |
| Midland | 45,624 | 77.34% | 12,329 | 20.90% | 1,035 | 1.76% | 33,295 | 56.44% | 58,988 |
| Milam | 7,984 | 75.48% | 2,496 | 23.60% | 98 | 0.92% | 5,488 | 51.88% | 10,578 |
| Mills | 2,217 | 88.50% | 271 | 10.82% | 17 | 0.68% | 1,946 | 77.68% | 2,505 |
| Mitchell | 2,170 | 84.14% | 397 | 15.39% | 12 | 0.47% | 1,773 | 68.75% | 2,579 |
| Montague | 8,615 | 87.74% | 1,097 | 11.17% | 107 | 1.09% | 7,518 | 76.57% | 9,819 |
| Montgomery | 193,382 | 71.22% | 74,377 | 27.39% | 3,784 | 1.39% | 119,005 | 43.83% | 271,543 |
| Moore | 4,359 | 79.14% | 1,062 | 19.28% | 87 | 1.58% | 3,297 | 59.86% | 5,508 |
| Morris | 3,872 | 69.30% | 1,669 | 29.87% | 46 | 0.83% | 2,203 | 39.43% | 5,587 |
| Motley | 604 | 92.64% | 46 | 7.06% | 2 | 0.30% | 558 | 85.58% | 652 |
| Nacogdoches | 17,378 | 64.88% | 9,000 | 33.60% | 407 | 1.52% | 8,378 | 31.28% | 26,785 |
| Navarro | 13,800 | 72.16% | 5,101 | 26.67% | 222 | 1.17% | 8,699 | 45.49% | 19,123 |
| Newton | 4,882 | 80.11% | 1,173 | 19.25% | 39 | 0.64% | 3,709 | 60.86% | 6,094 |
| Nolan | 4,131 | 77.11% | 1,162 | 21.69% | 64 | 1.20% | 2,969 | 55.42% | 5,357 |
| Nueces | 64,617 | 50.75% | 60,925 | 47.85% | 1,780 | 1.40% | 3,692 | 2.90% | 127,322 |
| Ochiltree | 2,812 | 89.10% | 302 | 9.57% | 42 | 1.33% | 2,510 | 79.53% | 3,156 |
| Oldham | 917 | 90.88% | 81 | 8.03% | 11 | 1.09% | 836 | 82.85% | 1,009 |
| Orange | 29,186 | 81.09% | 6,357 | 17.66% | 451 | 1.25% | 22,829 | 63.43% | 35,994 |
| Palo Pinto | 10,179 | 81.50% | 2,178 | 17.44% | 132 | 1.06% | 8,001 | 64.06% | 12,489 |
| Panola | 9,326 | 81.44% | 2,057 | 17.96% | 68 | 0.60% | 7,269 | 63.48% | 11,451 |
| Parker | 62,045 | 81.50% | 13,017 | 17.10% | 1,066 | 1.40% | 49,028 | 64.40% | 76,128 |
| Parmer | 2,135 | 80.57% | 488 | 18.42% | 27 | 1.01% | 1,627 | 62.15% | 2,650 |
| Pecos | 3,215 | 68.87% | 1,382 | 29.61% | 71 | 1.52% | 1,833 | 39.26% | 4,668 |
| Polk | 18,573 | 76.79% | 5,387 | 22.27% | 226 | 0.94% | 13,186 | 54.52% | 24,186 |
| Potter | 22,820 | 68.45% | 9,921 | 29.76% | 596 | 1.79% | 12,899 | 38.69% | 33,337 |
| Presidio | 721 | 32.52% | 1,463 | 65.99% | 33 | 1.49% | -742 | -33.47% | 2,217 |
| Rains | 5,155 | 85.16% | 842 | 13.91% | 56 | 0.93% | 4,313 | 71.25% | 6,053 |
| Randall | 50,796 | 78.54% | 12,802 | 19.79% | 1,076 | 1.67% | 37,994 | 58.75% | 64,674 |
| Reagan | 942 | 83.81% | 172 | 15.30% | 10 | 0.89% | 770 | 68.51% | 1,124 |
| Real | 1,643 | 82.90% | 320 | 16.15% | 19 | 0.95% | 1,323 | 66.75% | 1,982 |
| Red River | 4,517 | 77.80% | 1,246 | 21.46% | 43 | 0.74% | 3,271 | 56.34% | 5,806 |
| Reeves | 2,254 | 61.10% | 1,395 | 37.82% | 40 | 1.08% | 859 | 23.28% | 3,689 |
| Refugio | 2,210 | 65.66% | 1,108 | 32.92% | 48 | 1.42% | 1,102 | 32.74% | 3,366 |
| Roberts | 529 | 96.18% | 17 | 3.09% | 4 | 0.73% | 512 | 93.09% | 550 |
| Robertson | 5,646 | 69.71% | 2,374 | 29.31% | 79 | 0.98% | 3,272 | 40.40% | 8,099 |
| Rockwall | 36,726 | 68.15% | 16,412 | 30.45% | 753 | 1.40% | 20,314 | 37.70% | 53,891 |
| Runnels | 3,807 | 86.35% | 552 | 12.52% | 50 | 1.13% | 3,255 | 73.83% | 4,409 |
| Rusk | 16,534 | 77.34% | 4,629 | 21.65% | 214 | 1.01% | 11,905 | 55.69% | 21,377 |
| Sabine | 4,784 | 87.12% | 669 | 12.18% | 38 | 0.70% | 4,115 | 74.94% | 5,491 |
| San Augustine | 3,007 | 75.14% | 980 | 24.49% | 15 | 0.37% | 2,027 | 50.65% | 4,002 |
| San Jacinto | 10,161 | 80.39% | 2,337 | 18.49% | 142 | 1.12% | 7,824 | 61.90% | 12,640 |
| San Patricio | 16,516 | 63.79% | 8,988 | 34.71% | 387 | 1.50% | 7,528 | 29.08% | 25,891 |
| San Saba | 2,308 | 88.70% | 287 | 11.03% | 7 | 0.27% | 2,021 | 77.67% | 2,602 |
| Schleicher | 940 | 81.10% | 211 | 18.21% | 8 | 0.69% | 729 | 62.89% | 1,159 |
| Scurry | 4,983 | 84.89% | 818 | 13.94% | 69 | 1.17% | 4,165 | 70.95% | 5,870 |
| Shackelford | 1,484 | 91.15% | 130 | 7.99% | 14 | 0.86% | 1,354 | 83.16% | 1,628 |
| Shelby | 7,975 | 79.06% | 2,068 | 20.50% | 44 | 0.44% | 5,907 | 58.56% | 10,087 |
| Sherman | 886 | 89.31% | 91 | 9.17% | 15 | 1.52% | 795 | 80.14% | 992 |
| Smith | 69,080 | 68.85% | 29,615 | 29.52% | 1,639 | 1.63% | 39,465 | 39.33% | 100,334 |
| Somervell | 4,105 | 82.98% | 768 | 15.52% | 74 | 1.50% | 3,337 | 67.46% | 4,947 |
| Starr | 8,247 | 47.06% | 9,123 | 52.06% | 155 | 0.88% | -876 | -5.00% | 17,525 |
| Stephens | 3,385 | 88.96% | 397 | 10.43% | 23 | 0.61% | 2,988 | 78.53% | 3,805 |
| Sterling | 584 | 91.39% | 51 | 7.98% | 4 | 0.63% | 533 | 83.41% | 639 |
| Stonewall | 615 | 83.56% | 116 | 15.76% | 5 | 0.68% | 499 | 67.80% | 736 |
| Sutton | 1,222 | 78.48% | 322 | 20.68% | 13 | 0.84% | 900 | 57.80% | 1,557 |
| Swisher | 1,845 | 78.34% | 478 | 20.30% | 32 | 1.36% | 1,367 | 58.04% | 2,355 |
| Tarrant | 409,741 | 49.09% | 411,567 | 49.31% | 13,389 | 1.60% | -1,826 | -0.22% | 834,697 |
| Taylor | 39,547 | 71.73% | 14,588 | 26.46% | 1,000 | 1.81% | 24,959 | 45.27% | 55,135 |
| Terrell | 334 | 72.93% | 119 | 25.98% | 5 | 1.09% | 215 | 46.95% | 458 |
| Terry | 2,812 | 77.85% | 757 | 20.96% | 43 | 1.19% | 2,055 | 56.89% | 3,612 |
| Throckmorton | 806 | 90.16% | 82 | 9.17% | 6 | 0.67% | 724 | 80.99% | 894 |
| Titus | 7,570 | 71.81% | 2,856 | 27.09% | 115 | 1.10% | 4,714 | 44.72% | 10,541 |
| Tom Green | 32,313 | 71.47% | 12,239 | 27.07% | 658 | 1.46% | 20,074 | 44.40% | 45,210 |
| Travis | 161,337 | 26.43% | 435,860 | 71.41% | 13,152 | 2.16% | -274,523 | -44.98% | 610,349 |
| Trinity | 5,579 | 80.41% | 1,323 | 19.07% | 36 | 0.52% | 4,256 | 61.34% | 6,938 |
| Tyler | 8,194 | 84.82% | 1,403 | 14.52% | 63 | 0.66% | 6,791 | 70.30% | 9,660 |
| Upshur | 15,809 | 83.56% | 2,877 | 15.21% | 233 | 1.23% | 12,932 | 68.35% | 18,919 |
| Upton | 1,178 | 86.11% | 170 | 12.43% | 20 | 1.46% | 1,008 | 73.68% | 1,368 |
| Uvalde | 6,174 | 59.69% | 4,073 | 39.38% | 97 | 0.93% | 2,101 | 20.31% | 10,344 |
| Val Verde | 8,284 | 54.21% | 6,771 | 44.31% | 225 | 1.48% | 1,513 | 9.90% | 15,280 |
| Van Zandt | 22,270 | 85.56% | 3,516 | 13.51% | 243 | 0.93% | 18,754 | 72.05% | 26,029 |
| Victoria | 23,358 | 68.25% | 10,380 | 30.33% | 488 | 1.42% | 12,978 | 37.92% | 34,226 |
| Walker | 15,375 | 65.12% | 7,884 | 33.39% | 353 | 1.49% | 7,491 | 31.73% | 23,612 |
| Waller | 14,260 | 62.73% | 8,191 | 36.03% | 283 | 1.24% | 6,069 | 26.70% | 22,734 |
| Ward | 3,241 | 79.83% | 764 | 18.82% | 55 | 1.35% | 2,477 | 61.01% | 4,060 |
| Washington | 12,959 | 74.27% | 4,261 | 24.42% | 229 | 1.31% | 8,698 | 49.85% | 17,449 |
| Webb | 25,898 | 37.80% | 41,820 | 61.05% | 788 | 1.15% | -15,922 | -23.25% | 68,506 |
| Wharton | 11,926 | 71.15% | 4,694 | 28.01% | 141 | 0.84% | 7,232 | 43.14% | 16,761 |
| Wheeler | 2,159 | 92.38% | 168 | 7.19% | 10 | 0.43% | 1,991 | 85.19% | 2,337 |
| Wichita | 32,069 | 69.65% | 13,161 | 28.59% | 810 | 1.76% | 18,908 | 41.06% | 46,040 |
| Wilbarger | 3,524 | 77.90% | 956 | 21.13% | 44 | 0.97% | 2,568 | 56.77% | 4,524 |
| Willacy | 2,441 | 43.99% | 3,108 | 56.01% | 0 | 0.00% | -667 | -12.02% | 5,549 |
| Williamson | 139,729 | 48.15% | 143,795 | 49.56% | 6,644 | 2.29% | -4,066 | -1.41% | 290,168 |
| Wilson | 18,463 | 73.76% | 6,350 | 25.37% | 219 | 0.87% | 12,113 | 48.39% | 25,032 |
| Winkler | 1,753 | 82.46% | 358 | 16.84% | 15 | 0.70% | 1,395 | 65.62% | 2,126 |
| Wise | 27,032 | 83.52% | 4,973 | 15.37% | 360 | 1.11% | 22,059 | 67.15% | 32,365 |
| Wood | 19,049 | 83.63% | 3,509 | 15.40% | 221 | 0.97% | 15,540 | 68.23% | 22,779 |
| Yoakum | 2,174 | 82.63% | 420 | 15.96% | 37 | 1.41% | 1,754 | 66.67% | 2,631 |
| Young | 7,110 | 86.30% | 1,034 | 12.55% | 95 | 1.15% | 6,076 | 73.75% | 8,239 |
| Zapata | 2,033 | 52.48% | 1,826 | 47.13% | 15 | 0.39% | 207 | 5.35% | 3,874 |
| Zavala | 1,490 | 34.03% | 2,864 | 65.40% | 25 | 0.57% | -1,374 | -31.37% | 4,379 |
| Totals | 5,890,347 | 52.01% | 5,259,126 | 46.44% | 175,813 | 1.55% | 631,221 | 5.57% | 11,325,286 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Frio (largest municipality: Pearsall)
- Jim Wells (largest municipality: Alice)
- Kenedy (largest municipality: Sarita)
- Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
- La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
- Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
- Val Verde (largest municipality: Del Rio)
- Zapata (largest municipality: Zapata)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Hays (largest municipality: San Marcos)
- Tarrant (largest municipality: Fort Worth)
- Williamson (largest municipality: Round Rock)
By congressional district
[edit]Trump won 22 out of the 36 congressional districts in Texas, while Biden won 14, including one held by a Republican.
Analysis
[edit]While Biden still won Latino voters in Texas with 58%[175] and Latinos of Mexican heritage with 63%,[176] Trump significantly improved his numbers among Hispanic voters in the state, particularly in the Rio Grande Valley.[177] Trump flipped Jim Wells County and La Salle County which had not voted Republican since 1972. He also flipped Frio County, Kleberg County, Reeves County, Val Verde County, and Kenedy County; the first 4 having last voted Republican in 2004 and the last having last voted Republican in 2012. He also became the first Republican to win Zapata County since Warren G. Harding in 1920, flipping it by five points after losing it by 33 points in 2016. Trump's total of eight counties flipped in South Texas was the most flipped by any candidate in any state in 2020, and he flipped more counties in South Texas than he did in the rest of the nation combined. While Biden's lead in the Rio Grande Valley shrunk significantly compared to Hillary Clinton's in 2016, he overwhelmingly won the Latino vote in the state's urban areas.[178]
Biden significantly outperformed Clinton in Greater Austin, which was a significant contributor to Trump's relatively weak performance statewide. He flipped Hays County and Williamson County, both of them suburban counties located outside of the state capital that a Democrat had not won since 1992 and 1976, respectively. This is also the first election since 1956 when the latter voted for the statewide loser.[179] Biden also became the first Democratic candidate to garner at least 50,000 votes in Bell County, a county just outside of Greater Austin and had the center of Texas population within it in the 2010 census. At 44.76%, he outperformed Obama's record for the highest percentage of votes a Democratic presidential nominee received in Bell County since 1976, the last time the county voted for a Democrat.
Also, Biden became the first Democrat to ever win the White House without Jefferson County.[180] Biden also became the first Democrat to win without Frio County since it was formed in 1871, the first to win without La Salle County since it was formed in 1880, the first to win without Reeves County since it was formed in 1883, the first to win without Val Verde County since it was formed in 1885, the first to win without Jim Wells County since it was founded in 1911, the first to win without Kleberg County since it was founded in 1913, and the first Democrat to win the White House without winning Zapata County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916.[181] Because of Trump's substantial gains in heavily Hispanic areas, Biden's best performance in Texas came not from the southern border region, but Travis County, encompassing the college-educated, cosmopolitan, liberal bastion of Austin, home to the University of Texas at Austin, where he won the highest percentage for a Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948.
Biden also improved throughout the three most significant metropolitan areas in Texas. While not significantly outperforming Clinton in Harris and Bexar counties, he did make considerable inroads into their surrounding suburbs, thus eking out narrow wins in Greater Houston and Greater San Antonio,[182][183] the first time a Democratic presidential nominee had accomplished such a feat in the 21st century. However, in the former, gains were incredibly mixed. Trump saw substantial growth in Houston's north and east, home to large concentrations of Latinos. He also improved in diverse Alief, along Harris County's southwest border, which is heavily Hispanic, Filipino, and Vietnamese. On the other hand, Biden continued Clinton's gains in the wealthy college-educated "Houston Arrow" suburbs in the city's west, though his improvements were significantly more minor.[184]
Perhaps the biggest reason for Biden narrowing the Lone Star State's margin of victory was the surge of Democratic support in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, the largest metropolitan area in the state, which he also narrowly won. He scored nearly 65% of the vote in Dallas County, the highest percentage won by a Democrat since 1940. Additionally, Biden narrowly flipped Tarrant County, winning by fewer than 2,000 votes. Tarrant County is home to the fifth-largest city in Texas, Fort Worth, and had not been won by a Democrat since 1964, when favorite son Lyndon B. Johnson carried it. His growth in the heavily Republican Fort Worth suburbs, which historically kept Democratic candidates from capturing Tarrant, was a critical factor in winning the county and the Metroplex as a whole. Biden improved substantially in the large DFW suburbs of Collin County and Denton County, which have rapidly grown and diversified in the past decade, narrowing Trump's victory margins from 16.57% and 20% in 2016, down to 4.37% and 8.08%, respectively. Both of their county seats (the two suburban cities of McKinney and Denton, respectively) have trended leftward since 2016 due to the influx of younger professionals and families in the past decade, which shifted to the Democrats in this election. Biden also won the city of Plano, the largest city in Collin County, and narrowly won the city of Allen.[185][186]
In 2021, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton stated on Steve Bannon's podcast War Room that without blocking Harris County from sending out applications for mail-in ballots to registered voters, Trump would have lost the state.[187]
Edison exit polls
[edit]| 2020 presidential election in Texas by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[188][189] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of
total vote |
| Total vote | 46.48 | 52.06 | 100 |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 88 | 11 | 17 |
| Moderates | 66 | 32 | 38 |
| Conservatives | 13 | 86 | 45 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 96 | 4 | 30 |
| Republicans | 5 | 94 | 41 |
| Independents | 51 | 45 | 29 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 40 | 57 | 45 |
| Women | 51 | 48 | 55 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 33 | 66 | 60 |
| Black | 90 | 9 | 12 |
| Latino | 58 | 41 | 23 |
| Asian | 63 | 30 | 3 |
| Other | 42 | 56 | 2 |
| Age | |||
| 18–24 years old | 58 | 38 | 8 |
| 25–29 years old | 55 | 42 | 6 |
| 30–39 years old | 50 | 47 | 14 |
| 40–49 years old | 47 | 51 | 15 |
| 50–64 years old | 43 | 56 | 30 |
| 65 and older | 41 | 58 | 26 |
| Sexual orientation | |||
| LGBT | 72 | 27 | 5 |
| Not LGBT | 43 | 56 | 95 |
| Education | |||
| High school or less | 40 | 59 | 17 |
| Some college education | 42 | 57 | 28 |
| Associate degree | 51 | 47 | 16 |
| Bachelor's degree | 48 | 50 | 24 |
| Postgraduate degree | 54 | 44 | 15 |
| Income | |||
| Under $30,000 | 52 | 47 | 12 |
| $30,000–49,999 | 63 | 35 | 16 |
| $50,000–99,999 | 44 | 55 | 35 |
| $100,000–199,999 | 43 | 56 | 26 |
| Over $200,000 | 54 | 42 | 10 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Racial inequality | 93 | 5 | 18 |
| Coronavirus | 88 | 10 | 14 |
| Economy | 15 | 84 | 40 |
| Crime and safety | 16 | 83 | 10 |
| Health care | 78 | 21 | 11 |
| Region | |||
| East | 26 | 72 | 14 |
| Dallas/Ft. Worth | 54 | 45 | 24 |
| Houston area | 53 | 46 | 21 |
| South Central | 51 | 48 | 15 |
| West | 22 | 76 | 11 |
| Southwest | 57 | 42 | 16 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 56 | 42 | 42 |
| Suburban | 41 | 57 | 51 |
| Rural | 25 | 74 | 7 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Better than four years ago | 22 | 76 | 46 |
| Worse than four years ago | 89 | 11 | 18 |
| About the same | 70 | 29 | 35 |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Texas
- Voter suppression in the United States 2019–2020: Texas
- 2020 Texas elections
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- ^ The Blue Texas PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
- ^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
- ^ Giffords' founder, Gabby Giffords, endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- ^ The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
- ^ The Texas Democratic Party exclusively supports Democratic candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by Chrysta Castañeda's campaign
- ^ Size of "extremely likely to vote" sample not yet released
- ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Texas, an organisation promoting progressive policies
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas Democratic Party
- ^ a b c d By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
- ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
Samples
- ^ a b c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary after early voting had already started.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
- ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ a b c d e f "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- ^ "Another candidate" with no voters
- ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
- ^ a b Includes "Refused"
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Standard IV response
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ With only Biden, Trump and "another candidate" as options
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
- ^ a b c d Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Refused" with 0%
- ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Another party candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Not yet released
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
- ^ "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
- ^ a b c Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ a b Other with 1%; neither with 2%
- ^ "Neither-other" with 10%
- ^ a b c Would not vote with 3%
- ^ a b c d e Other with 0%; neither with 2%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ a b Other with 0%; neither with 3%
- ^ a b "Neither-other" with 12%
- ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 10%
- ^ "Neither-other" with 9%
- ^ "Neither-other" with 16%
- ^ "Neither-other" with 15%
- ^ Would not vote with 4%
- ^ "Neither-other" with 17%
- ^ "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ a b c d e Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
- ^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 48%
- ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "Don't know/no answer" with 3%
References
[edit]- ^ "Official Canvass Report - 2020 November 3rd General Election" (PDF). Texas Secretary of State. November 2020.
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- ^ Real Clear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
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- ^ Data For Progress
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- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b Morning Consult
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Swayable
- ^ YouGov/UMass Amherst
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Siena College/NYT Upshot
- ^ Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research - ^ Citizen Data
- ^ YouGov/University of Houston
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c d e Morning Consult
- ^ Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR
- ^ Civiqs/Daily Kos
- ^ Data For Progress (D)
- ^ YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC
- ^ Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
- ^ YouGov/UMass Lowell
- ^ Data For Progress
- ^ Siena College/NYT Upshot
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ YouGov/CBS
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Giffords
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
- ^ a b Morning Consult
- ^ Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
- ^ Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
- ^ Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas
- ^ YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Morning Consult
- ^ Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ YouGov/CBS
- ^ Gravis Marketing/OANN
- ^ Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ a b c d AtlasIntel
- ^ a b NBC News/Marist College
- ^ a b c d e f CNN/SSRS
- ^ a b c d e f Univision
- ^ a b c d e f Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ a b c d e f YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data For Progress
- ^ a b c d Texas Lyceum
- ^ a b c d CNN/SSRS
- ^ a b Beacon Research (R)
- ^ a b c d e f University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ a b University of Texas/ Texas Tribune
- ^ a b c d e f University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ a b c d e f g Univision
- ^ a b Climate Nexus
- ^ a b University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ a b c d e f g Emerson
- ^ a b University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ a b c d e f g Quinnipiac University
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ a b c d e f Emerson College Archived July 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c d e f Quinnipiac University
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c Data for Progress
- ^ a b University of Texas/ Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ Atlantic Media & Research (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas/Texas Tribune
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- ^ Platoff, Emma (October 1, 2020). "Gov. Greg Abbott limits counties to one absentee ballot drop-off location, bolstering GOP efforts to restrict voting". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- ^ McGuinness, Dylan (October 15, 2020). "Harris County, Texas GOP take drive-thru voting challenge to state Supreme Court". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
- ^ "Harris County Clerk's Drive-Thru Voting Pilot Is Highly Successful" (PDF). Harris County Clerk. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 30, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- ^ a b Stern, Mark Joseph (October 31, 2020). "Texas Republicans Ask Federal Judge to Throw Out 117,000 Legally Cast Ballots". Slate. Retrieved October 31, 2002.
- ^ Despart, Zach (October 22, 2020). "Texas Supreme Court allows Harris County drive-thru voting to continue". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ Medley, Alison (October 29, 2020). "Last-minute challenge threatens to reject thousands of drive-thru votes in Harris County". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
- ^ Scherer, Jasper (November 1, 2020). "Texas Supreme Court rejects GOP attempt to toss drive-thru votes; federal case remains pending". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved November 1, 2020.
- ^ Montgomery, David; Corasaniti, Nick (November 1, 2020). "Texas' top court denies a G.O.P. push to throw out over 120,000 votes; a federal case is pending". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 1, 2020.
- ^ Medley, Alison (November 2, 2020). "Federal judge rejects GOP-led challenge to toss out over 127,000 drive-thru ballots in Harris County". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
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Further reading
[edit]- "Democrats eye Arizona, Georgia and Texas as potentially winnable", Theguardian.com, UK, September 5, 2020
- Nick Corasaniti; Stephanie Saul; Patricia Mazzei (September 13, 2020), "Big Voting Decisions in Florida, Wisconsin, Texas: What They Mean for November", The New York Times, archived from the original on September 13, 2020,
Both parties are waging legal battles around the country over who gets to vote and how
- David Weigel; Lauren Tierney (October 4, 2020), "The seven political states of Texas", Washingtonpost.com, archived from the original on October 5, 2020
- David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", The New York Times. (Describes bellwether Collin County, Texas)
- Carrasco, Luis (November 8, 2020). "Essay: What happened in the Valley? Latino voters were for Democrats to lose — and they did". Houston Chronicle. - Opinion piece
External links
[edit]- Elections Division at the Texas Secretary of State official website
- Texas at Ballotpedia
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Texas", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Texas: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- University of Texas Libraries, "Voting and Elections", Research Guides
- "League of Women Voters of Texas". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
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