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Turnout | 52.32%[1] 5.2pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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DeWine: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Whaley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Ohio |
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The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike DeWine won re-election to a second term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Nan Whaley, the former mayor of Dayton, with 62.4% of the vote.[2] DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican governor of Ohio since 1994 has won re-election by a double-digit margin.
This was the first time since 1994 in which Trumbull and Mahoning counties have gone to the Republican candidate with over 60% of the vote. Hamilton County also voted Republican in a statewide election for the first time since Ohio's 2016 senate election.
Incumbent governor Mike DeWine faced backlash from Republicans due to having implemented strict COVID-19 restrictions, such as a statewide stay at home order and mask mandates.[3][4][5] Due to this, on April 30, 2021, farmer Joe Blystone became the first candidate to announce a primary challenge to DeWine. On June 9, former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci also announced a run, later being followed up by former state representative Ron Hood.[6][7][8] As a result, DeWine became the first incumbent Ohio governor to face a primary challenger since Jim Rhodes in 1978 and the first to have multiple challengers since Michael Disalle in 1962. Initial polling showed Renacci in the lead; however, his lead soon evaporated, as DeWine attempted to appeal to conservatives angry with his COVID-19 response by attacking President Joe Biden's policies and signing constitutional carry into law, allowing permitless carry of firearms.[9][10][11] Incumbent governors rarely ever lose their primaries. Ultimately, DeWine prevailed in the primary election on May 3; however, he only won with a plurality of the vote, which suggests that he could have lost had his opponents not split the vote.[12]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Blystone |
Mike DeWine |
Jim Renacci |
Other [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | February 25 – May 1, 2022 | May 2, 2022 | 16.5% | 48.0% | 31.0% | 4.5% | DeWine +17.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Blystone |
Mike DeWine |
Ron Hood |
Jim Renacci |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 29 – May 1, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 19% | 47% | 2% | 27% | – | 5% |
Emerson College | April 28–29, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 12% | 45% | 2% | 30% | – | 12% |
Fox News | April 20–24, 2022 | 906 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 19% | 43% | – | 24% | 1% | 12% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 13–14, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 24% | 40% | 2% | 26% | – | 10% |
University of Akron | February 17 – March 15, 2022 | – (LV) | – | – | 51% | – | 23% | 10% | 17% |
Fox News | March 2–6, 2022 | 918 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 21% | 50% | – | 18% | <1% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 25–26, 2022 | 410 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 20% | 34% | 0% | 9% | – | 36% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | February 1–4, 2022 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | 41% | – | 23% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | January 25–26, 2022 | 626 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 38% | – | 33% | – | 29% |
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] | January 11–13, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 38% | – | 46% | – | 16% |
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] | May 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 34% | – | 42% | – | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
|
519,594 | 48.11% | |
Republican |
|
302,494 | 28.01% | |
Republican |
|
235,584 | 21.81% | |
Republican | 22,411 | 2.07% | ||
Total votes | 1,080,083 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
John Cranley |
Nan Whaley |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Akron | February 17 – March 15, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 18% | 23% | 6% | 54% |
Emerson College | February 25–26, 2022 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 16% | 16% | – | 69% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) Archived January 24, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[C] | January 17–19, 2022 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 20% | 33% | – | 48% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
|
331,014 | 65.01% | |
Democratic | 178,132 | 34.99% | ||
Total votes | 509,146 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[74] | Solid R | September 29, 2022 |
Inside Elections[75] | Solid R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[76] | Safe R | June 2, 2022 |
Politico[77] | Solid R | November 3, 2022 |
RCP[78] | Safe R | October 20, 2022 |
Fox News[79] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538[80] | Solid R | July 31, 2022 |
Elections Daily[81] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mike DeWine (R) |
Nan Whaley (D) |
Undecided [c] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 7–22, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | 55.8% | 37.5% | 6.7% | DeWine +18.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | August 16 – October 25, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | 55.5% | 36.1% | 8.4% | DeWine +19.3 |
Average | 55.6% | 36.8% | 7.6% | DeWine +18.8 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine (R) |
Nan Whaley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs | November 4–7, 2022 | 716 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 39% | 6%[d] | 2% |
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 62% | 32% | 5%[e] | – |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 3–5, 2022 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 59% | 34% | – | 8% |
Data for Progress (D) | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,413 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 62% | 38% | – | – |
Cygnal (R) | November 1–3, 2022 | 1,498 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 56% | 37% | – | 7% |
Remington Research Group (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 58% | 35% | – | 7% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 5%[f] | 7% |
Cygnal (R) | October 29 – November 1, 2022 | 1,520 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 56% | 36% | – | 8% |
Cygnal (R) | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,510 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 56% | 36% | – | 9% |
Cygnal (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 1,776 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
Cygnal (R) | October 22–26, 2022 | 1,817 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
Cygnal (R) | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,886 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 55% | 37% | – | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University | October 20–23, 2022 | 1,068 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 57% | 40% | – | 3% |
Cygnal (R) | October 18–22, 2022 | 1,547 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 55% | 37% | – | 8% |
Marist College | October 17–20, 2022 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 40% | 1%[g] | 6% |
942 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 41% | 1%[h] | 3% | ||
Cygnal (R) | October 16–20, 2022 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 55% | 37% | – | 8% |
Siena College | October 14–19, 2022 | 644 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 58% | 34% | 3%[i] | 6% |
Cygnal (R) | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,438 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
Ohio Northern University/Lucid | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 60% | 29% | 1%[j] | 10% |
Suffolk University | October 11–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 38% | 1%[k] | 5% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 37% | – | 8% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 7–12, 2022 | 1,016 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 38% | – | 5% |
Cygnal (R)[D] | October 6–8, 2022 | 640 (LV) | – | 57% | 35% | – | 8% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 36% | 6%[l] | 8% |
Siena College | September 18–22, 2022 | 642 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 32% | 3%[m] | 10% |
Baldwin Wallace University | September 12–15, 2022 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | 39% | – | 4% |
Marist College | September 12–15, 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 55% | 37% | – | 8% |
1,009 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 39% | – | 6% | ||
Emerson College | September 10–13, 2022 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 33% | 5% | 12% |
Civiqs | September 10–13, 2022 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 41% | 10% | 5% |
Fallon Research | September 6–11, 2022 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 37% | – | 14% |
Suffolk University | September 5–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 39% | – | 7% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 35% | – | 11% |
Survey Monkey (D)[E] | August 31 – September 2, 2022 | 987 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 31% | – | 17% |
519 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | – | 10% | ||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 16–19, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 38% | – | 8% |
Emerson College | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 33% | 8% | 11% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[F] | August 4–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[F] | August 3–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 43% | 7% | 6% |
Suffolk University | May 22–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 30% | 11%[n] | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 25% | 10% | 16% |
1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 27% | 11% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine (R) |
John Cranley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 24% | 10% | 16% |
1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 25% | 11% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
|
2,580,424 | 62.41% | +12.02% | |
Democratic |
|
1,545,489 | 37.38% | −9.30% | |
Write-in | 8,964 | 0.22% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 4,134,877 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 4,201,368 | 52.32% | |||
Registered electors | 8,029,950 | ||||
Republican hold |
According to a survey conducted by NORC for Fox News and the Associated Press, most white people (68% to 32%), Latinos (64% to 33%), and other minorities (60% to 36%) voted for DeWine, while most African Americans voted for Whaley (73% to 27%).[91]
By county
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DeWine won 13 of 15 congressional districts, including three that elected Democrats.[92]
District | DeWine | Whaley | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 55% | 45% | Steve Chabot (117th Congress) |
Greg Landsman (118th Congress) | |||
2nd | 77% | 23% | Brad Wenstrup |
3rd | 37% | 63% | Joyce Beatty |
4th | 74% | 25% | Jim Jordan |
5th | 71% | 29% | Bob Latta |
6th | 72% | 28% | Bill Johnson |
7th | 63% | 37% | Bob Gibbs (117th Congress) |
Max Miller (118th Congress) | |||
8th | 69% | 31% | Warren Davidson |
9th | 63% | 37% | Marcy Kaptur |
10th | 62% | 38% | Mike Turner |
11th | 30% | 70% | Shontel Brown |
12th | 72% | 28% | Troy Balderson |
13th | 57% | 43% | Tim Ryan (117th Congress) |
Emilia Sykes (118th Congress) | |||
14th | 66% | 34% | David Joyce |
15th | 62% | 38% | Mike Carey |
'Jon and I are running. We have not made any secret about that,' DeWine told fellow Republicans over Zoom, and referring to his running mate, Lt. Gov. Jon Husted.