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2022 United States Senate election in Florida

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 26 min

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2022 Florida Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Florida
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2026 (special) →
 
Nominee Marco Rubio Val Demings
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,474,847 3,201,522
Percentage 57.68% 41.27%
Rubio:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Demings:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Marco Rubio
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Marco Rubio
Republican

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Val Demings in a landslide. Rubio was first elected in 2010, filling the seat of appointed Senator George LeMieux. Rubio won re-election to a third term, becoming the first Republican to do so in Florida history.[1]

The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats took place on August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.[2][3] Rubio won the uncontested Republican primary, while incumbent U.S. Representative Val Demings won the Democratic nomination.

Despite some predicting a close race early,[4] Rubio went on to win by a comfortable 16.4%, improving upon his 2016 performance by 8.7%. According to exit polls, Rubio won 64% of White voters, 56% of Latino voters, and 9% of African American voters.[5]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Did not qualify

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Marco Rubio

U.S. presidents

Sheriffs

  • 55 county sheriffs[27]

Organizations

Labor unions

Democratic primary

[edit]
Immigration attorney William Sanchez finished third in the primary.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Did not qualify

[edit]
  • Edward Abud, businessman[37]
  • Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation[38]
  • Dana Harshman, pharmacist[39]
  • Josue Larose, perennial candidate[40]
  • Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor[41][42]
  • Joshua Weil, teacher[43]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Val Demings

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Alan Grayson (withdrawn)

Individuals

Joshua Weil (failed to qualify)

Organizations

  • American Youth for Climate Action[88]
  • Progressives for Democracy in America - Florida[88]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Ricardo
De La Fuente 		Val
Demings 		Brian
Rush 		William
Sanchez 		Undecided
University of North Florida[89] August 8–12, 2022 529 (LV) ± 6.0% 2% 80% 4% 4% 10%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Demings
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Rush
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[90]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings 1,263,706 84.3
Democratic Brian Rush 94,185 6.3
Democratic William Sanchez 84,576 5.6
Democratic Ricardo De La Fuente 56,749 3.8
Total votes 1,499,216 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]
Former Black Point supervisor Dennis Misigoy was the Libertarian nominee.
Former Boynton Beach mayor Steven B. Grant ran as an Independent.
Businessman Howard Knepper ran a write-in campaign.

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Qualified
[edit]

Unity Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Did not file
[edit]

Independent candidates

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Did not qualify
[edit]
  • Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant[95]
Did not file
[edit]
  • Grace Granda, business consultant[96]
Withdraw
[edit]
  • Jason Holic, businessman[97]
Declined
[edit]

Write-ins

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Jay An
  • Uloma Uma Expete
  • Edward Gray
  • Salomon Hernandez Sr.
  • Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate
  • Moses Quiles, security technician

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[100] Likely R October 18, 2022
Inside Elections[101] Likely R August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[102] Likely R August 24, 2022
Politico[103] Likely R November 3, 2022
RCP[104] Lean R February 24, 2022
Fox News[105] Lean R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[106] Likely R July 20, 2022
538[107] Solid R November 4, 2022
The Economist[108] Likely R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Marco Rubio (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Sheriffs

  • 55 county sheriffs[27]

Organizations

Labor unions

Val Demings (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Val
Demings (D) 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[126] October 17, 2022 – November 6, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.4% 43.6% 4.0% Rubio +8.8
FiveThirtyEight[127] September 18, 2022 – November 4, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.3% 43.5% 4.2% Rubio +8.8
270towin[128] November 4–7, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.6% 42.4% 6.0% Rubio +9.2
Average 52.1% 43.2% 4.7% Rubio +8.9

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Val
Demings (D) 		Other Undecided
Research Co.[129] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 52% 42% 2%[c] 4%
Data for Progress (D)[130] November 2–6, 2022 1,436 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 43% 2%[d] –
Amber Integrated (R)[131] November 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 40% 4%[e] 7%
Civiqs[132] October 29 – November 2, 2022 772 (LV) ± 3.9% 52% 45% 2%[f] 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[133] November 1, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 51% 45% 1%[g] 3%
Siena College[134] October 30 – November 1, 2022 659 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 43% 2%[h] 4%
Victory Insights[135] October 30 – November 1, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 46% – 5%
Florida State University/YouGov[136] October 20–31, 2022 1,117 (RV) – 51% 44% – –
University of North Florida[137] October 17–24, 2022 622 (LV) ± 4.7% 54% 43% <1%[i] 3%
Data for Progress (D)[138] October 19–23, 2022 1,251 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 2%[j] 2%
Florida Atlantic University[139] October 12–16, 2022 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 42% 3%[k] 7%
RMG Research (R)[140][A] October 10–13, 2022 685 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 45% – 5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[141] September 26–28, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 41% 2% 10%
Siena College[142] September 18–25, 2022 669 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 41% 2%[l] 9%
Civiqs[143] September 17–20, 2022 617 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 47% 3%[m] 2%
Suffolk University[144] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 41% 4%[n] 9%
Sachs Media[145] September 10, 2022 600 (LV) – 49% 46% – 5%
Kurt Jetta (D)[146][B] September 9–10, 2022 999 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 40% – 12%
563 (LV) 50% 45% – 5%
Echelon Insights[147] August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (RV) ± 4.3% 50% 41% – 9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[148] September 5–6, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 44% – 10%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[149] August 29 – September 4, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 44% – 9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[150] August 24–31, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 47% – 4%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[151][C] August 25–30, 2022 3,017 (LV) ± 1.8% 46% 45% – 9%
Impact Research (D)[152][D] August 12–18, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 46% – 5%
Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B] August 12–14, 2022 996 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% – 14%
610 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 41% – 7%
University of North Florida[154] August 8–12, 2022 1,624 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 48% 7% 2%
Change Research (D)[155][E] August 2–5, 2022 1,031 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 46% – 7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[156][C] July 26–31, 2022 2,244 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 45% – 10%
Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B] July 9, 2022 906 (A) ± 3.3% 46% 38% – 16%
732 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 40% – 16%
428 (LV) ± 4.7% 50% 42% – 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[157][F] May 26–27, 2022 655 (V) ± 3.8% 47% 41% – 12%
Phillips Academy[158] May 7–9, 2022 543 (RV) ± 4.2% 34% 36% – 30%
Moore Information Group (R)[159] March 14–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 32% 8%[o] 12%
Saint Leo University[160] February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 45% 27% – 28%
Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B] March 4, 2022 1,098 (A) ± 3.0% 45% 26% – 29%
893 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 27% – 28%
446 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 35% – 16%
University of North Florida[161] February 7–20, 2022 685 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 34% – 20%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[162] February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 42% – 9%
Suffolk University[163] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 41% 0% 10%
St. Pete Polls[164] November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 44% – 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[165] November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 33% 3% 12%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 36% 3% 10%
Saint Leo University[166] October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 29% – 25%
VCreek/AMG (R)[167][G] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 38% 5% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[168] August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 34% 3% 11%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 37% 3% 10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)[169] August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 45% – –
St. Pete Polls[170] August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 46% – 6%
Change Research (D)[171][H] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 44% – 9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[172] August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% 1% 9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)[173] June 27, 2021 681 (LV) ± 3.9% 60% 40% – –
Hypothetical polling

Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Aramis
Ayala (D) 		Undecided
Cherry Communications (R)[174] April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 39% –

Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Alan
Grayson (D) 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[165] November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 34% 4% 12%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 4% 10%
VCreek/AMG (R)[167][G] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 32% 10% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[168] August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 33% 4% 12%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 36% 4% 11%

Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Stephanie
Murphy (D) 		Undecided
Cherry Communications (R)[174] April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% –

Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Marco
Rubio (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[175] February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 40% 14%
Data for Progress (D)[176][I] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 43% 15%

Debates

[edit]
2022 United States Senate general election in Florida debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Marco Rubio Val Demings
1 Oct. 18, 2022 Palm Beach State College Todd McDermott [177] P P

Results

[edit]
State Senate district results
State House district results
United States Senate election in Florida, 2022[178]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Marco Rubio (incumbent) 4,474,847 57.68% +5.70%
Democratic Val Demings 3,201,522 41.27% −3.04%
Libertarian Dennis Misigoy 32,177 0.41% −1.71%
Independent Steven B. Grant 31,816 0.41% N/A
Independent Tuan TQ Nguyen 17,385 0.22% N/A
Write-in 267 0.00% ±0.00%
Total votes 7,758,126 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Marco Rubio
Republican 		Val Demings
Democratic 		Dennis Misigoy
Libertarian 		Steven B. Grant
Independent 		Tuan Nguyen
Independent 		Write-in Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Alachua 39,220 40.97 55,439 57.91 439 0.46 349 0.36 285 0.30 2 0.00 -16,219 -16.94 95,734
Baker 9,431 88.21 1,181 11.05 43 0.40 31 0.29 6 0.06 0 0.00 8,250 77.16 10,692
Bay 51,657 77.15 14,547 21.73 300 0.45 255 0.38 196 0.29 1 0.00 37,110 55.42 66,956
Bradford 8,156 79.88 1,942 19.02 37 0.36 55 0.54 19 0.19 1 0.01 6,214 60.86 10,210
Brevard 165,233 61.85 98,978 37.05 1,236 0.46 1,075 0.40 631 0.24 10 0.00 66,255 24.80 267,163
Broward 238,962 39.96 353,575 59.12 2,081 0.35 2,083 0.35 1,223 0.20 122 0.02 -114,613 -19.16 598,046
Calhoun 4,067 84.17 700 14.49 13 0.27 40 0.83 12 0.25 0 0.00 3,367 69.68 4,832
Charlotte 63,845 69.06 27,757 30.02 254 0.27 452 0.49 138 0.15 2 0.00 36,088 39.04 92,448
Citrus 55,087 72.80 19,634 25.95 295 0.39 491 0.65 158 0.21 3 0.00 35,453 46.85 75,668
Clay 65,972 73.26 23,054 25.60 441 0.49 377 0.42 201 0.22 4 0.00 42,918 47.66 90,049
Collier 116,050 70.98 46,537 28.46 387 0.24 340 0.21 171 0.10 4 0.00 69,513 42.52 163,489
Columbia 18,344 77.55 5,070 21.43 93 0.39 103 0.44 45 0.19 0 0.00 13,274 56.11 23,655
DeSoto 6,469 74.71 2,097 24.22 27 0.31 51 0.59 15 0.17 0 0.00 4,372 50.49 8,659
Dixie 5,225 85.18 826 13.47 21 0.34 52 0.85 10 0.16 0 0.00 4,399 71.72 6,134
Duval 177,401 53.95 147,646 44.90 1,567 0.48 1,268 0.39 957 0.29 2 0.00 29,755 9.05 328,841
Escambia 73,225 63.40 40,790 35.32 598 0.52 459 0.40 420 0.36 4 0.00 32,435 28.08 115,496
Flagler 37,934 64.71 20,204 34.47 204 0.35 191 0.33 86 0.15 2 0.00 17,730 30.25 58,621
Franklin 3,885 71.71 1,471 27.15 23 0.42 29 0.54 10 0.18 0 0.00 2,414 44.56 5,418
Gadsden 6,086 35.01 11,113 63.93 63 0.36 99 0.57 23 0.13 0 0.00 -5,027 -28.92 17,384
Gilchrist 6,657 84.85 1,087 13.85 40 0.51 47 0.60 14 0.18 1 0.01 5,570 70.99 7,846
Glades 3,026 79.26 764 20.01 10 0.26 16 0.42 2 0.05 0 0.00 2,262 59.25 3,818
Gulf 5,069 78.97 1,295 20.17 19 0.30 24 0.37 12 0.19 0 0.00 3,774 58.79 6,419
Hamilton 3,030 70.76 1,215 28.37 18 0.42 15 0.35 4 0.09 0 0.00 1,815 42.39 4,282
Hardee 4,480 81.13 981 17.77 23 0.42 30 0.54 8 0.14 0 0.00 3,499 63.36 5,522
Hendry 6,008 72.97 2,121 25.76 36 0.44 54 0.66 14 0.17 0 0.00 3,887 47.21 8,233
Hernando 54,822 68.40 24,298 30.32 352 0.44 462 0.58 214 0.27 1 0.00 30,524 38.08 80,149
Highlands 28,777 72.43 10,480 26.38 146 0.37 266 0.67 62 0.16 0 0.00 18,297 46.05 39,731
Hillsborough 253,495 52.55 222,378 46.10 2,498 0.52 2,345 0.49 1,618 0.34 9 0.00 31,117 6.45 482,343
Holmes 6,151 90.86 556 8.21 23 0.34 34 0.50 6 0.09 0 0.00 5,596 82.64 6,770
Indian River 50,878 65.91 25,613 33.18 268 0.35 297 0.38 133 0.17 3 0.00 25,265 32.73 77,192
Jackson 12,188 74.87 3,956 24.30 41 0.25 80 0.49 14 0.09 0 0.00 8,232 50.57 16,279
Jefferson 4,137 58.07 2,929 41.11 24 0.34 24 0.34 10 0.14 0 0.00 1,208 16.96 7,124
Lafayette 2,521 86.72 348 11.97 11 0.38 22 0.76 5 0.17 0 0.00 2,173 74.75 2,907
Lake 103,103 64.43 55,377 34.61 619 0.39 624 0.39 287 0.18 3 0.00 47,726 29.83 160,013
Lee 185,123 67.44 87,108 31.73 898 0.33 934 0.34 446 0.16 1 0.00 98,015 35.71 274,510
Leon 46,511 39.59 69,677 59.31 495 0.42 428 0.36 375 0.32 1 0.00 -23,166 -19.72 117,487
Levy 13,690 76.63 3,944 22.08 70 0.39 116 0.65 44 0.25 1 0.01 9,746 54.55 17,865
Liberty 2,164 83.17 405 15.56 11 0.42 19 0.73 3 0.12 0 0.00 1,759 67.60 2,602
Madison 4,476 64.16 2,442 35.01 23 0.33 26 0.37 9 0.13 0 0.00 2,034 29.16 6,976
Manatee 108,234 63.15 61,423 35.84 737 0.43 680 0.40 312 0.18 8 0.00 46,811 27.31 171,394
Marion 104,655 67.18 49,698 31.90 625 0.40 579 0.37 228 0.15 6 0.00 54,957 35.28 155,791
Martin 52,312 67.44 24,639 31.77 242 0.31 259 0.33 110 0.14 2 0.00 27,673 35.68 77,564
Miami-Dade 386,251 54.27 318,978 44.82 2,593 0.36 2,633 0.37 1,257 0.18 3 0.00 67,273 9.45 711,715
Monroe 19,897 58.57 13,756 40.49 151 0.44 107 0.31 61 0.18 0 0.00 6,141 18.08 33,972
Nassau 35,944 75.33 11,337 23.76 201 0.42 166 0.35 64 0.13 1 0.00 24,607 51.57 47,713
Okaloosa 60,808 75.27 18,851 23.33 473 0.59 371 0.46 286 0.35 0 0.00 41,957 51.93 80,789
Okeechobee 8,532 78.54 2,218 20.42 38 0.35 59 0.54 16 0.15 0 0.00 6,314 58.12 10,863
Orange 177,105 43.51 225,569 55.42 1,758 0.43 1,388 0.34 1,224 0.30 9 0.00 -48,464 -11.91 407,053
Osceola 51,422 50.07 49,907 48.60 532 0.52 513 0.50 312 0.30 7 0.01 1,515 1.48 102,693
Palm Beach 267,715 49.34 269,839 49.73 1,800 0.33 2,240 0.41 1,010 0.19 14 0.00 -2,124 -0.39 542,618
Pasco 143,760 64.05 77,664 34.60 1,063 0.47 1,325 0.59 622 0.28 7 0.00 66,096 29.45 224,441
Pinellas 223,747 53.01 192,058 45.51 2,599 0.62 2,353 0.56 1,288 0.31 2 0.00 31,689 7.51 422,047
Polk 144,548 62.98 82,261 35.84 980 0.43 1,210 0.53 493 0.21 6 0.00 62,287 27.14 229,498
Putnam 19,812 74.65 6,450 24.30 96 0.36 139 0.52 43 0.16 0 0.00 13,362 50.35 26,540
Santa Rosa 59,111 78.22 15,554 20.58 392 0.52 323 0.43 190 0.25 0 0.00 43,557 57.64 75,570
Sarasota 129,865 59.46 86,618 39.66 744 0.34 832 0.38 355 0.16 2 0.00 43,247 19.80 218,416
Seminole 97,761 53.41 83,285 45.50 870 0.48 650 0.36 457 0.25 5 0.00 14,476 7.91 183,028
St. Johns 98,564 68.27 44,371 30.73 659 0.46 476 0.33 288 0.20 13 0.01 54,193 37.54 144,371
St. Lucie 69,924 57.40 50,851 41.74 415 0.34 414 0.34 220 0.18 0 0.00 19,073 15.66 121,824
Sumter 63,806 71.44 25,010 28.00 189 0.21 220 0.25 91 0.10 1 0.00 38,796 43.44 89,317
Suwannee 13,125 80.49 3,018 18.51 57 0.35 83 0.51 23 0.14 0 0.00 10,107 61.98 16,306
Taylor 6,063 79.60 1,495 19.63 25 0.33 26 0.34 8 0.11 0 0.00 4,568 59.97 7,617
Union 3,917 86.30 580 12.78 13 0.29 22 0.48 7 0.15 0 0.00 3,337 73.52 4,539
Volusia 139,085 61.58 84,543 37.43 943 0.42 871 0.39 417 0.18 3 0.00 54,542 24.15 225,862
Wakulla 10,485 69.91 4,343 28.96 69 0.46 65 0.43 35 0.23 1 0.01 6,142 40.95 14,998
Walton 28,203 81.00 6,326 18.17 124 0.36 99 0.28 65 0.19 0 0.00 21,877 62.83 34,817
Washington 7,641 84.01 1,345 14.79 42 0.46 50 0.55 17 0.19 0 0.00 6,296 69.22 9,095
Totals 4,474,847 57.68 3,201,522 41.27 32,177 0.41 31,816 0.41 17,385 0.22 267 0.00 1,273,325 16.41 7,758,014

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Rubio won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[179]

District Rubio Demings Representative
1st 72% 27% Matt Gaetz
2nd 60% 39% Neal Dunn
3rd 62% 37% Kat Cammack
4th 59% 40% Aaron Bean
5th 64% 35% John Rutherford
6th 66% 33% Michael Waltz
7th 57% 42% Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress)
Cory Mills (118th Congress)
8th 63% 36% Bill Posey
9th 48% 51% Darren Soto
10th 39% 60% Val Demings (117th Congress)
Maxwell Frost (118th Congress)
11th 61% 38% Daniel Webster
12th 68% 31% Gus Bilirakis
13th 56% 42% Anna Paulina Luna
14th 45% 53% Kathy Castor
15th 57% 41% Laurel Lee
16th 60% 39% Vern Buchanan
17th 63% 35% Greg Steube
18th 68% 31% Scott Franklin
19th 68% 31% Byron Donalds
20th 28% 71% Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
21st 61% 39% Brian Mast
22nd 46% 53% Lois Frankel
23rd 48% 51% Jared Moskowitz
24th 29% 69% Frederica Wilson
25th 45% 54% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
26th 70% 30% Mario Díaz-Balart
27th 57% 42% María Elvira Salazar
28th 63% 37% Carlos A. Giménez

Voter demographics

[edit]
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Demings Rubio No
answer 		% of
voters
Gender
Men 37 62 1 49
Women 48 51 1 51
Age
18–24 years old 57 41 2 7
25–29 years old 58 39 2 4
30–39 years old 55 43 N/A 13
40–49 years old 41 58 1 12
50–64 years old 38 62 N/A 32
65 and older 37 62 1 33
Race
White 35 64 1 64
Black 90 9 N/A 11
Latino 41 56 2 21
Race by gender
White men 28 71 N/A 32
White women 43 57 2 32
Black men 89 11 1 5
Black women 92 8 N/A 6
Latino men 42 55 2 10
Latina women 41 57 1 11
Education
High school or less 35 63 2 15
Some college education 42 58 1 25
Associate degree 42 57 2 19
Bachelor's degree 44 54 1 24
Advanced degree 48 51 1 17
Party ID
Democrats 97 3 N/A 28
Republicans 3 97 1 42
Independents 48 49 2 30
Ideology
Liberals 91 8 1 20
Moderates 57 41 1 39
Conservatives 7 93 2 42
Marital status
Married 40 60 1 59
Unmarried 50 48 2 41
Gender by marital status
Married men 33 66 1 30
Married women 46 53 1 29
Unmarried men 48 51 3 18
Unmarried women 52 47 2 23
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 42 58 4 11
No 44 55 N/A 89
Most important issue facing the country
Crime 32 66 2 10
Inflation 28 72 1 39
Gun policy 63 36 N/A 10
Immigration 12 88 N/A 10
Abortion 81 18 N/A 24
Area type
Urban 45 54 1 46
Suburban 42 57 2 44
Rural 31 68 N/A 10
Source: CNN[180]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  4. ^ Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  5. ^ Misigoy (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  8. ^ "Not going to vote" with 2%
  9. ^ "Refused" with <1%
  10. ^ Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  12. ^ "Not going to vote" with 2%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  14. ^ Misigoy (L) with 1%; Grant (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  15. ^ Barberena with 5%, "None" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll conducted for Tripp Scott, a law firm associated with the Florida Republican Party.
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Rubio
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by EMILY's List
  6. ^ This poll was sponsored by Giffords, which supports Demings
  7. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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[edit]

Official campaign websites

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