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Hassan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bolduc: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022.[2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.1% that surpassed most polls. Hassan won her initial bid for this seat in 2016 by only 1,017 votes or 0.14%.[3] This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.
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| Hassan 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | Other Hassan/Krautmann tie No results No polling places |

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) | 88,146 | 93.77% | |
| Democratic | Paul Krautmann | 3,629 | 3.86% | |
| Democratic | John Riggieri | 1,680 | 1.79% | |
| Write-in | 546 | 0.58% | ||
| Total votes | 94,001 | 100.0% | ||
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Don Bolduc | Kevin Smith | Chuck Morse | Vikram Mansharamani | Bruce Fenton | |||||
| 1 | June 27, 2022 | NH Journal | Michael Graham Alicia Xanthopolous Haris Alic |
Link[60] | P | P | P | P | P |
| 2[61] | August 16, 2022 | Good Morning New Hampshire | Jack Heath | N/A | P | P | P | P | P |
| 3[citation needed] | August 24, 2022 | Newsmax | John Bachmann | P | P | P | N | P | |
| 4 | September 8, 2022 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
[62] | P | P | P | P | P | |
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[63] | August 9–29, 2022 | August 31, 2022 | 37.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 32.0% | Bolduc +18.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[64] | September 7–8, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | 33% | 4% | 6% | 23% | 9% | – | 25% |
| University of New Hampshire[65] | August 25–29, 2022 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 20% |
| Saint Anselm College[66] | August 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 39% |
| University of New Hampshire[67] | April 14–18, 2022 | 315 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 33% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | 58% |

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bolduc | 52,629 | 36.91% | |
| Republican | Chuck Morse | 50,929 | 35.71% | |
| Republican | Kevin H. Smith | 16,621 | 11.65% | |
| Republican | Vikram Mansharamani | 10,690 | 7.50% | |
| Republican | Bruce Fenton | 6,381 | 4.47% | |
| Republican | John Berman | 961 | 0.67% | |
| Republican | Andy Martin | 920 | 0.64% | |
| Republican | Tejasinha Sivalingam | 832 | 0.58% | |
| Republican | Dennis Lamare | 773 | 0.54% | |
| Republican | Edward Laplante | 723 | 0.51% | |
| Republican | Gerard Beloin | 521 | 0.36% | |
| Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) (write-in) | 316 | 0.22% | |
| Write-in | 307 | 0.21% | ||
| Total votes | 142,603 | 100.0% | ||

| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[73] | Lean D | August 18, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[74] | Tilt D | July 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[75] | Lean D | August 31, 2022 |
| Politico[76] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[77] | Tossup | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[78] | Lean D | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[79] | Lean D | October 24, 2022 |
| 538[80] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
| The Economist[81] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
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Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other [d] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[106] | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 4.0% | Hassan +1.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight[107] | September 23 – November 5, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.8% | 46.6% | 4.6% | Hassan +2.2 |
| 270towin[108] | October 27 – November 4, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 49.2% | 46.0% | 4.8% | Hassan +3.2 |
| Average | 48.9% | 46.6% | 4.5% | Hassan +2.3 | ||
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillips Academy[109] | November 5–6, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | 2%[e] | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire[110] | November 2–6, 2022 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 48% | 1%[f] | <1% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[111][A] | November 5, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 48% | 1%[g] | 2% |
| Data for Progress (D)[112] | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,995 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 2%[h] | – |
| Wick Insights (R)[113] | November 2–5, 2022 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | 2%[i] | 1% |
| Emerson College[114] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 45% | 3%[j] | 3% |
| 50% | 46% | 5%[k] | – | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[115] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 4%[l] | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College[116] | October 28–29, 2022 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | 2%[m] | 3% |
| co/efficient (R)[117] | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 45% | 3%[n] | 7% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov[118] | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 41% | 3%[o] | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[119][A] | October 23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 3%[p] | 3% |
| Emerson College[120] | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | 3%[q] | 4% |
| 50% | 45% | 5%[r] | – | ||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[121][B] | October 17–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
| Data for Progress (D)[122] | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,392 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 3%[s] | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[123][C] | October 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | 2% | 1% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[124] | September 26–30, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 45% | 4%[t] | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D)[125] | September 23–30, 2022 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 3%[u] | 4% |
| Saint Anselm College[126] | September 27–28, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 4%[v] | 4% |
| Suffolk University[127] | September 23–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 41% | 3%[w] | 7% |
| American Research Group[128] | September 15–19, 2022 | 555 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 40% | – | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire[129] | September 15–19, 2022 | 870 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 41% | 5%[x] | 5% |
| Emerson College[130] | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 4% | 5% |
| Data for Progress (D)[131][y] | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Change Research (D)[132][D] | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire[67] | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | 1% | 6% |
| Phillips Academy[133] | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 40% | – | 15% |
| 471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 54% | 39% | – | 7% | ||
| Saint Anselm College[134] | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 39% | 7% | 10% |
| Saint Anselm College[135] | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 12% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[136] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 40% | – | 14% |
| University of New Hampshire[137] | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 42% | 6% | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire[138] | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire[139] | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 39% | 2% | 7% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Kelly Ayotte
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[137] | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | 7% | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire[138] | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire[139] | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 6% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Bruce Fenton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Bruce Fenton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[67] | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 40% | 0% | 14% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Chuck Morse
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other [z] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[140] | December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 | April 21, 2022 | 44.3% | 40.0% | 15.7% | Hassan +4.3 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[141] | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire[67] | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 1% | 9% |
| Phillips Academy[133] | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 40% | – | 17% |
| 471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
| Saint Anselm College[134] | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 11% |
| Saint Anselm College[135] | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 27% | 17% | 15% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[136] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Corey Lewandowski
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corey Lewandowski (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[139] | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 34% | 3% | 9% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Corky Messner
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corky Messner (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Tarrance Group (R)[142][E] | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Kevin Smith
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[143] | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire[67] | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
| Saint Anselm College[134] | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 34% | 10% | 12% |
| Saint Anselm College[135] | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 24% | 17% | 17% |
Maggie Hassan vs. Chris Sununu
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College[144] | October 20–22, 2021 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 46% | 9% | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire[137] | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 45% | 6% | 6% |
| Saint Anselm College[145] | August 24–26, 2021 | 1,855 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 49% | 6% | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire[138] | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% |
| Saint Anselm College[146] | March 4–6, 2021 | 871 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 47% | 7% | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire[139] | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[147][B] | October 17–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 4% |
| Phillips Academy[133] | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 32% | 46% | – | 22% |
| 471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% | ||
| The Tarrance Group (R)[142][E] | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% |
on if Maggie Hassan should be re-elected
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Yes | No | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College[66] | August 9–11, 2022 | 1,898 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
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| Maggie Hassan | Donald C. Bolduc | |||||
| 1 | October 27, 2022 | NHPR | Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee | [148] | P | P |
| 1 | November 1, 2022 | Saint Anselm College | Adam Sexton | [149] | P | P |

In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) | 332,490 | 53.54% | +5.56% | |
| Republican | Don Bolduc | 275,631 | 44.39% | −3.45% | |
| Libertarian | Jeremy Kauffman | 12,390 | 2.00% | +0.30% | |
| Write-in | 464 | 0.07% | – | ||
| Total votes | 620,975 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
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Hassan won both congressional districts.[152]
| District | Hassan | Bolduc | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 53% | 45% | Chris Pappas |
| 2nd | 54% | 44% | Annie Kuster |
Partisan clients
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
Official campaign websites