Presidential elections were held in Azerbaijan on 7 February 2024.[1] Incumbent president Ilham Aliyev, who has held office since 2003, won a fifth consecutive term with over 92% of the vote, defeating his closest runner-up Zahid Oruj, who obtained just 2% of the vote.[2]
Originally planned for October 2025, President Aliyev called for a snap election in December 2023 following the victorious Azerbaijani offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh. This offensive led to the end of the Republic of Artsakh, which was an Armenian-led breakaway state, and Azerbaijan gaining full control over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region.[3][4] The election is informally known as the "Victory Election" (Azerbaijani: Zəfər seçkisi) due to the successful military operation.[5][6] It marks the third snap election in Azerbaijan's history and the first to be held in winter season.[7]
The election takes place in an authoritarian context where the opposition and independent media are noted to be repressed in Azerbaijan.[8] The two main opposition parties, Musavat and Popular Front, announced that they would not field candidates for the election and urged voters to stay home, citing the undemocratic nature of the election.[9][10] Furthermore, several candidates featured on the ballot had previously expressed public admiration for Aliyev, resulting in the absence of opposition contenders amidst the crackdown on independent media and journalists.[11][12][13][14][15]
In addition to the aftermath of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and its future implications, the election campaign unfolded against a backdrop of broader geopolitical tensions in the region. This included competition between regional powers and efforts to assert Azerbaijan's influence in the South Caucasus.[16][17] Domestic issues such as economic stagnation, rising social inequalities, and concerns about democratic governance were also prominent themes in the election discourse.[18] The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe highlighted concerns such as "secrecy of the vote, absence of measures against multiple voting, and signs of ballot stuffing," prompting doubts about the integrity of the ballot counting and reporting process. Observers noted that although election preparations were executed efficiently and competently, genuine pluralism was lacking, with critical viewpoints consistently suppressed.[19][20]
The previous 2018 presidential election was held months ahead of schedule which saw the re-election of long-time authoritarian president Ilham Aliyev, in power since 2003, securing a fourth consecutive term in office after obtaining 86% of the vote. The election was boycotted by the Azerbaijani opposition and criticized for its conduct and early schedule amid allegations of irregularities and electoral fraud.[21][22]
President Aliyev's fourth presidential term was initially embarked by a series of socioeconomic reforms, where he issued decrees addressing burdensome credit loans, providing compensation to the families of military veterans, and increasing student stipends, as well as issuing mass pardons to several political prisoners.[23] He also made an effort attempt at diversifying the oil-dependent Azerbaijani economy.[24] In late 2019, the National Assembly dissolved itself, which triggered the February 2020 parliamentary election, with the move being viewed as Aliyev's possible preparation for an order of succession, where he would eventually hand over presidency to his wife, First Vice President Mehriban Aliyeva, as a way to ensure the Aliyev family's dynastic rule over Azerbaijan.[25] The parliamentary election campaign, initially offering a glimmer of political change,[26] nevertheless saw Aliyev's ruling New Azerbaijan Party retaining a majority of deputy seats.[27] From 2020, Aliyev endured the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic in Azerbaijan, where a series of controversial anti-lockdown laws were introduced that allowed for the Azerbaijani government to crackdown on political opposition and silence anti-government critics over the country's response to the pandemic, which Aliyev referred to as a "fifth column" attempting to "destroy Azerbaijan".[28][29][30] The Azerbaijani government also introduced a series of anti-crisis packages that were aimed at relieving the economic impact caused by the coronavirus pandemic,[31] to which the emergency aid was later criticized for allegedly having citizens struggling to obtain it.[32]
Nagorno-Karabakh and the 2023 Azerbaijani offensive
The Nagorno-Karabakh region has served as an epicenter of the decades-long conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia. Since 1994 much of Nagorno-Karabakh, internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan, was de-facto under control by the ethnic Armenian-led breakaway state Republic of Artsakh, with periods of occurring border skirmishes occurring in the 2010s.[33][34] In July 2020, border clashes took place between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces, sparking massive pro-war protests in Azerbaijan which became increasingly grew following the deaths of military officers Polad Hashimov and Ilgar Mirzayev.[35][36][37] The demonstrations in Baku, leading to the storming of the Parliament building and clashes with the security forces, had profound impact on Azerbaijan's foreign policy as its believed to have been one of the causing factors that led to the following outbreak of the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War in September 2020.[38][39][40] The war lasted for approximately 44 days and resulted in an Azerbaijani victory, reclaiming control of the newly-captured territories and Armenian-occupied territories surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh in the aftermath of November 2020 ceasefire agreement signed by Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Russia.[41][42]
Article 178 of the Election Code of Azerbaijan stipulates that the presidential election must be held every third Wednesday of October of the last year of the President’s term of office.[51] The 2016 constitutional referendum previously extended the presidential term from five to seven years,[52][53] with Aliyev being subsequently re-elected for a seven-year term in 2018 following the amendments to the Constitution of Azerbaijan, thus making the presidential election originally set to take place on 15 October 2025.[54][55]
Article 101 §1 of the Constitution of Azerbaijan allows for the President to legally call a snap election.[51] In accordance with Article 179 §2 of the Election Code of Azerbaijan, the date of the presidential elections shall be determined within a week of the call by the Central Election Commission (CEC). The election must be on a Wednesday and be conducted within a 3 month period after the date determination by the CEC.[51] On 7 December 2023, President Ilham Aliyev signed a decree in setting Wednesday, 7 February 2024, as a date for an early presidential election to be held.[56][57] In addition, the election day in Azerbaijan would be a public holiday.[57]
Given without the official explanation for Aliyev's decision, it was speculated by Mehmood Ul Hassan Khan during an interview with Azernews that the original election date for autumn 2025 would have coincided with the already scheduled parliamentary elections for that same timeframe, which might could have potentially caused "a bit of distress" among Azerbaijani voters and that a snap election for president in February 2024 would look "more convenient from a time perspective."[58] Other analysts suggested the reasoning factor behind an early presidential election was due to Aliyev's attempt to take advantage of his high popularity following Azerbaijani's successful seizure of Nagorno-Karabakh.[59] The timing of election was also noted by Associated Press to have coincided ahead of the 2024 Russian presidential election, for which the alleged reason was due to attempts by Aliyev to minimize Russia's influence on the Azerbaijani election.[60] Opposition leader Ali Karimli assessed that that a snap presidential election indicated Aliyev's desire to hold polls "in isolation from the democratic world" and fear of a change in the current "minimal political competition", where he speculated that Aliyev wanted to secure another seven-year presidential term before a potential Russian defeat in the Russo-Ukrainian War which could according to his theory "upend the regional geopolitical situation to authoritarians' disfavor."[61]Musavat party chairman Arif Hajili criticized the announcement of a snap presidential election, stating that holding an early vote hinders political competition and that it is problematic for the election campaign.[62] In a following subsequent statement, the Musavat party claimed that the election date in winter will lead to a low voter turnout, accusing Azerbaijani authorities of turning the presidential election into "a formal procedure".[63]
The President of Azerbaijan is elected for a seven-year term from universal, direct and equal suffrage with a personal and secret ballot. Using the two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a run-off vote is held between the top two candidates who garnered the most votes in the first round.[64] Under a case of the war, the presidential term must be extended until the end of military operation, for which the decision on this matter must be adopted by the Constitutional Court of the Republic of Azerbaijan on the basis of the application of the state body organizing elections (referendum).[64]
Precinct election commissions submit the first copies of the protocols on the results of the elections to the district election commissions.
9 February 2024
Deadline for district election commissions requiring to submit the first copies of protocols on the results of voting in the district to the CEC, for which after all protocols received from the districts the CEC must immediately announce the primary generalized election results.
17 February 2024
Deadline for the Constitutional Court to verify and approve the election results.
A citizen of the Republic of Azerbaijan, who has lived permanently in the territory of the Azerbaijan for more than 10 years, has the right to participate in elections, has not been convicted of a serious crime, has no obligations to other states, has a higher education, and does not have dual citizenship can be elected as President.[51]
A pro-Aliyev member of parliament.[68][69] He was a presidential candidate previously in the 2018 and 2013 elections, and gave an interview in support of Ilham Aliyev on 8 December 2023.[70] Despite this, he later announced his bid to participate in the election and applied his presidential candidacy to the CEC on 17 December.[71]
After the meeting of the Central Election Commission (CEC) held on 8 December 2023, in a statement made by the secretary of the CEC, Arife Muhtarova, candidates willing to participate in the 2024 presidential election must submit the necessary documents to the commission starting from 10 December. She noted that the acceptance of documents should continue until 8 January 2024, and the propaganda work should continue until 6 February 2024 at 18:00. In order to participate as an observer, citizens should apply to the commission by 28 January 2024.[73]
On 12 December 2023, deputy chairman of New Azerbaijan Party (YAP) and chairman of the YAP central office, Tahir Budaqov, confirmed that Ilham Aliyev would be the presidential nominee for YAP, noting that the final decision will be made at the meeting of the party's board of directors, as the nomination of candidates is made under the authority of the board of directors in accordance with the decision taken at the previous YAP congress.[74]
At the meeting of the YAP board of directors on 15 December 2023, Aliyev was officially nominated for presidency under the party's decision.[75] In addition, Tahir Budagov, deputy chairman of YAP – head of the central office and Ali Ahmadov, deputy chairman of YAP, were appointed as authorized party representatives for the election with Ahliman Taghiyev, deputy head of the central office, being appointed as authorized representative for financial issues.[76]
According to the decision taken at the meeting of the supreme assembly of the Great Order Party (BQP) on 16 December 2023, party chairman Fazil Mustafa, candidate in the 2008 election, was nominated for the presidency by the BQP.[77]
On 17 December 2023, the decision of the political council of the Great Azerbaijan Party (BAP) regarding the elections was announced to the press. Thus, the BAP nominated party chairman Elşad Musayev as a presidential candidate for the elections.[78]
Fuad Aliyev Fuad Aliyev, the chairman of the former Liberal Democratic Party of Azerbaijan and the chairman of the Public Union for the Protection of Civil Rights, nominated himself for presidency on 18 December 2023.[80] Those who support him established the "Citizen Union" Election Headquarters which was chaired by Khazar Teyyublu.[81]
The Central Election Commission has allocated a total of 278 permanent meeting places, 139 of which are open and 139 are closed, for the pre-election campaign of presidential candidates.[107]
With the announcement of his campaign, Great Azerbaijan Party presidential nominee Musayev began to use his campaign slogan "Everything is for the victorious people!" (Azerbaijani: Hər şey qalib xalq üçün!).[108] Musayev held a meeting with voters in Gobustan District on 17 January 2024.[108]
Fazil Mustafa, candidate for the Great Order Party, campaigned under the slogan "Our support: A renewing, hardworking person! Our goal: welfare state Azerbaijan" (Azerbaijani: Dayağımız: Yeniləşən, çalışqan insan! Hədəfimiz: rifah dövləti Azərbaycan).[108] Mustafa's campaign placed a significant focus on education, but also addressed other issues such as international politics, social concerns, internal governance, and reform. The campaign committed itself to offer distinct perspectives on each issue and scheduled meetings across different regions to engage with voters directly.[109]
On 17 January 2024, Mustafa held a meeting with voters in his constituency of Sabunçu raion. From there, he was accompanied by Ogtay Gasimov, who served as assistant to former president Abulfaz Elchibey.[110]
As an independent presidential candidate, Fuad campaigned in a motto "Rich citizen, rich country" (Azerbaijani: Varlı vətəndaş, varlı ölkə).[108] To kickoff his campaign, Fuad held a meeting with voters in the settlement of Binə on 16 January 2024.[111] In a press statement, Fuad exclaimed that the election would signify the dawn of a new era in Azerbaijan's history and urged citizens to inscribe "golden chapters" in the annals of the nation, pledging to safeguard Azerbaijan's legacy for future generations.[109]
The New Azerbaijan Party (YAP) announced its election slogan with the launch of the pre-election campaign. Ilham Aliyev, being the official presidential candidate for YAP, participate in the election under a campaign motto "The victorious leader of the victorious people!" (Azerbaijani: Qalib xalqın qalib lideri!).[108]
Aliyev's election program outlined what it called a multifaceted agenda aimed at advancing Azerbaijan's progress across various domains. It highlighted achievements in social welfare, economic growth, national security, and foreign relations, as well as significant improvements in citizens' well-being, economic independence, and defense capabilities under his leadership.[112]
On 21 December 2023, presidential candidate Qüdrat Hasanguliyev (Whole Azerbaijan Popular Front Party) announced several provisions from his pre-election campaign platform to the press. If elected as president, Hasanguliyev pledged to change Azerbaijan's official name to the "Northern Azerbaijan Republic" through a constitutional referendum, combine the state bodies of the Minister of Justice and the Prosecutor General into the State Investigative Committee, divide the country into 15 administrative units and establish 31-member assemblies which will be formed by the votes of the residents of those administrative units, increasing workers' salaries, reduce the Azerbaijani military service period to six months, and introduce a cash payment system for exemption from premiums, as well as establish "child allowance" payments.[113] Hasanguliyev's platforms also included transitioning to a parliamentary republic within nine months, holding the 2025 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, and establishing a Government of National Unity until the new elections. He also reducing presidential powers, shortening the presidential term to five years, and transferring the power to elect the head of state to parliament. His proposals also included restructuring regional administrative units, declaring the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic as an autonomous administrative unit and abolishing the Constitutional Court. Hasanguliyev also announced plans for metro and tramway expansions, high-speed rail connections, and privatization initiatives.[114]
Canvassing under his election slogan "Justice, Law, Democracy" (Azerbaijani: Ədalət, Hüquq, Demokratiya), Hasanguliyev held a meeting with voters in Sumgait on 17 January 2024.[115]
Participating as the MCP chairman, Nurullayev announced his campaign slogan "Social justice, social democracy!" (Azerbaijani: Sosial ədalət, sosial demokratiya!). From there, he appealed to the supporters through his social media.[117] Nurullayev began his electoral campaign in Imishli District, where he was born and elected as deputy.[115]
On 9 January 2024, Zahid Oruj's campaign headquarters announced his election platform titled 4th Republic — 100 years of Azerbaijan's victory (Azerbaijani: 4-cü Respublika — Azərbaycanın qalib 100 ili).[118]
With the launch of his pre-election campaign, Oruj announced his electoral slogan: "YES to the future of victory!" (Azerbaijani: Qalib gələcəyə HƏ!).[119] He also wrote "The 4th Republic: The Victorious Hundred Years of Azerbaijan!" (Azerbaijani: 4-cü Respublika: Azərbaycanın Qalib Yüz İli!), "The greatest wealth is Human!" by announcing that he will also use foreign exchange. Running as an independent, Oruj called on Azerbaijani voters to "stand above the opposition-power polarization" and actively participate in building a new country.[120]
On 17 January 2024, Oruj's authorized representative, Aziz Alibeyli, held a meeting with voters in Barda District, a constituency in which Oruj himself represents as a deputy.[115]
A long-term mission of the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) under the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) consisting of 26 people will observe the 2024 presidential election. The institution has sent a request to the OSCE participating countries regarding the provision of a short-term observation mission consisting of 250 people, with Eoghan Murphy being appointed as the head of the observation mission.[125]
The Dilara Aliyeva Protection of Women's Rights Public Union chaired by Novella Jafaroglu, the Human Rights and Rule of Law Protection Public Union chaired by Saida Gojamanli, and the Azerbaijani branch of the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights chaired by Saadat Bananyarli established the "My Voice" Election Monitoring Coalition to monitor the polls.[126]
At the meeting of the Central Election Commission (CEC) held on 6 January 2024, it was announced by CEC chairman Mazahir Panahov that 72 international observers from 19 countries applied to observe the presidential elections and all of them were welcomed. According to him, the OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights will send 37 observers to the presidential elections, the CIS Parliamentary Assembly 17, the Republic of Turkey 5, and the CIS 9 observers. He also stated that the observation mission led by the chairman of the Central Election Commission of Georgia will monitor the election. In addition, 228 local observers have been accredited in the CEC. 92 of them are on their own initiative, 10 are NGO representatives, and 126 are New Azerbaijan Party observers with special permission.[127]
On 9 January 2024, 8 international organizations and 78 international observers representing 21 countries were accredited. In addition, 242 local observers are registered in the CEC, and 14,281 in the district election commissions.[128]
Along with the "My Vote" Election Monitoring Coalition, the "Democratic Election Center" Public Union chaired by Gorkhmaz Ibrahimli, the "Independent Law Center" Public Union chaired by Aydın Karimli and the "Society Development Center" Public Union chaired by Ahmet Abbasbeyli joined together to form the Civil Society Monitoring Coalition. The coalition will conduct the monitoring process for 63 constituencies. Along with this coalition, the "Oilmen's Rights Protection Organization" Public Union chaired by Mirvari Kahramanli, the "For Civil Society" Public Union chaired by Rafiq Ismayil and the "Multimedia Information Systems and Technologies Center" Public Union chaired by Osman Gunduz joined together to form the Election Observation and Analysis Group Coalition. This coalition will observe the elections with more than 500 representatives. In addition to the observation coalitions, the Azerbaijan National NGO Forum, the International Eurasian Press Fund, the Public Association of the Disabled, Veterans and Martyrs' Families of the Azerbaijan Karabakh War, the Organization of War, Labor and Armed Forces Veterans, the Azerbaijan Student Youth Organization, the Union of Voluntary Organizations of Azerbaijan, and the National Council of Youth Organizations of the Republic of Azerbaijan will observe the elections.[129]
As of 13 January 2024, the CEC had accredited over 20,500 observers, with 18,359 registered in district election commissions.[130] By 18 January, the total number of accredited observers had risen to 25,841, including 153 international observers. Of these, 22,856 were accredited to observe specific districts, with 18,359 registered in district election commissions.[131] On 29 January, Mazahir Panahov announced that the number of international observers had reached 800.[132] By 31 January, Panahov stated that the total number of registered observers exceeded 85,000.[133]
On 16 January 2024, the European Parliament issued joint statement that it would refrain from observing or commenting on the Azerbaijani presidential election and its outcomes, noting that any commentary on the election made by individual members will be done on their own accord and will not be representative of the European Parliament.[134]
Following the vote, OSCE monitors told a news conference in Baku that the election was “not competitive” and “was held in a restrictive environment”, adding that “recent arrests of critical journalists have hindered the media from operating freely”. It also noted “issues of secrecy of the vote, a lack of safeguards against multiple voting, indications of ballot stuffing", and raised “serious questions about whether ballots were counted and reported honestly".[136]
A meeting of the Central Election Commission (CEC) was held on 8 December 2023, where the decision in holding a snap election was approved with a working group being established and CEC member Etibar Guliyev being appointed as the chairman of the group.
According to the information provided by the CEC on 19 September 2023, electoral districts in Azerbaijan were reorganized whilst taking into account the norm of voter representation.[137][138]
With the Azerbaijani takeover of Nagorno-Karabakh from the Republic of Artsakh, the 2024 election was held in all of Azerbaijan's recognized territory the first time,[139] with 20,000 voters taking part in the vote in the polling stations in the previously-occupied Nagorno-Karabakh territories.[140] During the CEC meeting on 16 December 2023, chairman Mazahir Panahov announced that elections would be held in the "liberated" city of Khankendi (formerly Stepanakert) for the first time under Azerbaijani control and that a newly-formed polling station will be located in the administrative building of the former Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Province Committee of the Communist Party of Azerbaijan.[141][142] According to the information provided, 26 polling stations will be created in nine constituencies covering the regions of Nagorno-Karabakh taken by Azerbaijan.[143] On election day, both Aliyev and his wife and running-mate Mehriban cast their votes in Khankendi.[144]
Approximately 110.9 million manats (0.3%) from the Azerbaijani government budget have been allocated for the expenses of holding elections and statistical measures, as stated in the Law "On the 2024 State Budget of the Republic of Azerbaijan".[145]
On 16 December 2023, CEC chairman Mazahir Panahov noted that a new electoral roll system was drawn up, that in case if a voter passed away on election day, then it would be reported in the voter listing, to which the project was prepared with the cooperation of the Ministry of Justice.[146] In addition, he also announced any voter who turned out in the polls for the first time and media organizations reporting from here will be rewarded.[147]
The CEC held a meeting on 20 December 2023, after which chairman Panahov made statements to the press revealing the number of registered voters for the 2024 presidential election numbering to approximately 6,254,556 people.[148] The number of eligible voters in Azerbaijan has seen a significant increase, with a rise of 590,000 since the 2018 presidential election and an estimated 407,000 since the 2020 parliamentary election.[149] Thus, a total of 6,524,203 paper ballots will be printed for the upcoming election, which will include the presidential candidates' last name, first name, and middle name arranged in alphabetical order.[150]
The elections also coincided with the vacation break of the universities, and in this regard, Panahov requested the information list of university students from the Ministry of Science and Education in regard to their voter registration status and unveiled plan to create certain conditions for students to vote depending on their primary residence.[151]
44 media organizations applied to join the paid pre-election campaign in the election.[157]
On 15 January 2024, a lot was cast for the campaign list of candidates in the Azerbaijan newspaper. The result was as follows: Elşad Musayev; Fuad Aliyev; Fazil Mustafa; Zahid Oruj; Ilham Aliyev; Qüdrat Hasanquliyev; Razi Nurullayev.[158]
On 2 February 2024, the Oracle Advisory Group and the Civil Rights Defense League unveiled the results of a joint survey, indicating overwhelming support for Ilham Aliyev's candidacy for the presidency, which was criticized by presidential candidate Qüdrat Hasanquliyev for not being in line with reality despite acknowledging Aliyev's high popularity.[159]
At midnight on 7 February, preliminary election results were announced by the chairman of the Central Election Commission (CEC), Mazahir Panahov. With 54.5% of the votes reportedly counted, Ilham Aliyev was declared the winner of the election, securing over 92.1% of the vote.[160]
The Musavat party issued a statement calling for the election results to be annulled, citing concerns about the undemocratic nature of the vote. The party proposed a re-run of presidential elections that genuinely reflect "the free will of the Azerbaijani people and adhere to international standards".[173]