2024 European Parliament election in Portugal

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2024 European Parliament election in Portugal

← 2019 9 June 2024 2029 →

All 21 Portuguese seats to the European Parliament
Turnout36.6% Increase 5.9 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
1718281763869 20240612 TEMIDO Marta PT 007.jpg
1718281726090 20240611 BUGALHO Sebastiao PT 005.jpg
1718704419415 20240617 TANGER CORREA Antonio PT 007.jpg
Leader Marta Temido Sebastião Bugalho António Tânger Corrêa
Party PS AD CH
Alliance S&D EPP PfE
Last election 9 seats, 33.4% 7 seats, 28.1%[a] 0 seats (B)[b]
Seats won 8 7 2
Seat change Decrease 1 Steady 0 Increase 2
Popular vote 1,268,915 1,229,895 387,068
Percentage 32.1% 31.1% 9.8%
Swing Decrease 1.3 pp Increase 3.0 pp [b]

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
1718281800993 20240611 COTRIM DE FIGUEIREDO Joao Fernando PT 002.jpg
1718281764385 20240611 SOARES MARTINS Catarina PT 005.jpg
1718704388920 20240617 OLIVEIRA Joao PT 008.jpg
Leader João Cotrim de Figueiredo Catarina Martins João Oliveira
Party IL BE CDU
Alliance RE GUE/NGL GUE/NGL
Last election 0 seats, 0.9% 2 seats, 9.8% 2 seats, 6.9%
Seats won 2 1 1
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 1 Decrease 1
Popular vote 358,811 168,107 162,630
Percentage 9.1% 4.3% 4.1%
Swing Increase 8.2 pp Decrease 5.5 pp Decrease 2.8 pp

An election was held in Portugal on Sunday, 9 June 2024,[1] to elect the Portuguese delegation to the European Parliament from 2024 to 2029. It took place as part of the wider 2024 European Parliament election. This was the ninth European Parliament election held in Portugal. This election took place just three months after the 10 March 2024 legislative election, which resulted in a very narrow win for the Democratic Alliance, thus was seen as a "second round" of the March elections.[2]

The Socialist Party (PS) narrowly polled ahead of the Democratic Alliance (AD), 32 percent versus 31 percent, although the result nearly mirrored the also very narrow result of the March 2024 legislative election.[3] In terms of seats, the Socialists had a net loss of one, winning 8, while the AD held their 7 seats won in 2019. It was the first national election, in democratic Portugal, where a woman led her party's list to victory.[4]

The major defeated in the election was CHEGA (CH), gathering less than 10 percent and winning just two seats, a result well below the 18 percent of the votes in the March election.[3] The Liberal Initiative (IL) scored a strong result, 9 percent and 2 seats, in addition to polling very close to CHEGA. The Left Bloc (BE) and the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) lost considerable ground, gathering just 4.2 and 4.1 percent, respectively, and holding both one seat, while Livre, although increasing its share, failed to win a seat.[3] People–Animals–Nature (PAN) performed badly, losing their sole seat, and polling behind the far-right National Democratic Alternative (ADN).[3]

For the first time in 20 years, voter turnout increased with a total of 36.6 percent of voters casting a ballot. In Portugal alone, turnout stood at 42.3 percent, the highest share since 1989.[5] The final and certified election results were published in the Portuguese official journal, Diário da República, on 28 June 2024.[6]

Background

[edit]

Electoral system

[edit]

The voting method used, for the election of European members of parliament, is by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. For the 2024 European Parliament elections, Portugal had 21 seats to fill. Members of Parliament are elected in a single constituency, corresponding to the entire national territory.

Date

[edit]

The proposed election day, 9 June, conflicted with the Portugal Day holiday on 10 June, as well as with other several local holidays. The government feared that an election close to so many holidays would suppress turnout[7] and attempted to find a compromise with EU countries to find an alternative date, but, no unanimity was reached and the election was then expected to be held on 9 June.[8]

On 4 April 2024, the President of the Republic, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, signed the decree that confirmed the date of the elections for the European Parliament on 9 June 2024.[9]

Early voting

[edit]

Voters were also able to vote early, which happened on 2 June, one week before election day. Voters had to register between 26 and 30 May 2024 in order to be eligible to cast an early ballot.[10] By the 30 May deadline, 252,208 voters had requested to vote early, a number thirteen times higher than in 2019, and also higher than in the 2024 March legislative election.[11] On 2 June, 225,039 voters (89.2 percent of voters that requested) cast an early ballot.[12]

Parties and candidates

[edit]

Portuguese delegation in the European Parliament before the elections

[edit]
European Parliament group Mandates National party Mandates
S&D
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
9 / 21
PS
Socialist Party
9 / 21
EPP
European People's Party Group
7 / 21
PPD/PSD
Social Democratic Party
6 / 21
CDS–PP
CDS – People's Party
1 / 21
The Left
The Left in the European Parliament – GUE/NGL
4 / 21
BE
Left Bloc
2 / 21
CDU
Unitary Democratic Coalition
2 / 21
Greens/EFA
Greens–European Free Alliance
1 / 21
PAN
People Animals Nature
0 / 21
Francisco Guerreiro[c]
Independent
1 / 21
Source: European Parliament

Parties running in the election

[edit]

This is a list of the parties that were on the ballot and their main candidates.[13]

Party European Party Group 2019 result Top candidate Ref.
PS Socialist Party PES S&D 33.4 Marta Temido [14]
AD EPP / ECPM EPP 28.1[a] Sebastião Bugalho [15]
BE Left Bloc PEL The Left 9.8 Catarina Martins [16]
CDU NI / EGP The Left / Greens/EFA 6.9 João Oliveira [17]
PAN People-Animals-Nature EGP Greens/EFA 5.1 Pedro Fidalgo Marques [18]
L LIVRE EGP Greens/EFA 1.8 Francisco Paupério [pt] [19]
CH CHEGA! ID Patriots 1.5 António Tânger Corrêa [20]
NC We, the Citizens! ALDE Party NI 1.1 Pedro Ladeira [21]
IL Liberal Initiative ALDE Party Renew 0.9 João Cotrim de Figueiredo [22]
E Rise Up AENM NI 0.5 Rui Fonseca e Castro [pt] [23]
ADN National Democratic Alternative NI NI 0.5[d] Joana Amaral Dias [24]
PTP Portuguese Labour Party NI NI 0.3 José Manuel Coelho [25]
MAS Socialist Alternative Movement NI NI 0.2 Gil Garcia [pt] [26]
RIR React, Include, Recycle Márcia Henriques [27]
MPT Earth Party EPP Manuel Carreira [28]
VP Volt Portugal Volt Duarte Costa [29]
ND New Right Ossanda Liber [30]

Campaign

[edit]

Issues

[edit]

The campaign was dominated by issues like immigration and defence,[31] with national politics also an issue due to the narrow victory of the Democratic Alliance in the 10 March legislative elections and the unstable situation of Luís Montenegro's minority government, with the prospect of a possible snap election in the short term.[2]

Party slogans

[edit]
Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
PS « O futuro de Portugal na Europa » "Portugal's future in Europe" [32]
AD « Voz na Europa » "Voice in Europe" [33]
BE « Europa por ti, salvar o futuro » "Europe for you, save the future." [34]
CDU « Sempre contigo para o que der e vier » "Always with you no matter what happens" [35]
PAN « Pelo planeta, por ti, pelos animais » "For the planet, for you, for the animals" [36]
L « Por uma Europa Unida e LIVRE » "For a United and FREE Europe" [37]
CH « Uma Europa de nações livres » "A Europe of free nations" [38]
IL « Com Cotrim Sim » "With Cotrim Yes" [36]

Candidates' debates

[edit]

With parties represented in the national Parliament

[edit]
2024 Portuguese European Parliament election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[e]    S  Surrogate[f]    NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
PS AD BE CDU PAN L CH IL Ref.
13 May SIC Clara de Sousa [pt] P
Temido
P
Bugalho
NI NI NI P
Paupério
NI P
Cotrim
[39]
15 May RTP1 Carlos Daniel [pt] NI NI P
Martins
NI P
Marques
P
Paupério
P
Corrêa
NI [40]
17 May TVI Sara Pinto NI NI P
Martins
P
Oliveira
NI P
Paupério
NI P
Cotrim
[41]
20 May SIC Clara de Sousa [pt] NI NI NI P
Oliveira
P
Marques
NI P
Corrêa
P
Cotrim
[42]
21 May RTP1 Carlos Daniel [pt] P
Temido
P
Bugalho
NI P
Oliveira
NI NI P
Corrêa
NI [43]
22 May Observador Ricardo Conceição NI NI NI NI NI P
Paupério
P
Corrêa
NI [44]
22 May Observador Ricardo Conceição NI NI P
Martins
NI P
Marques
NI NI NI [44]
23 May Observador Sara Antunes de Oliveira NI NI NI NI P
Marques
NI P
Corrêa
NI [44]
23 May Observador Ricardo Conceição NI NI P
Martins
P
Oliveira
NI NI NI NI [44]
23 May Observador Ricardo Conceição NI P
Bugalho
NI NI NI NI NI P
Cotrim
[44]
24 May Observador Ricardo Conceição NI NI NI P
Oliveira
NI NI NI P
Cotrim
[44]
24 May TVI Sara Pinto P
Temido
P
Bugalho
P
Martins
NI P
Marques
NI NI NI [45]
28 May RTP1 Carlos Daniel [pt] P
Temido
P
Bugalho
P
Martins
P
Oliveira
P
Marques
P
Paupério
P
Corrêa
P
Cotrim
[46]
29 May Observador Ricardo Conceição NI P
Bugalho
NI NI NI P
Paupério
NI NI [44]
3 Jun Antena 1
TSF
Renascença
Observador
Natália Carvalho
Ricardo Alexandre
Susana Madureira
Martins

Rui Pedro Antunes
P
Temido
P
Bugalho
P
Martins
P
Oliveira
P
Marques
P
Paupério
P
Corrêa
P
Cotrim
[47]

With parties not represented in the national Parliament

[edit]
2024 Portuguese European Parliament election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[g]    S  Surrogate[h]    NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
NC E ADN PTP MAS RIR MPT VP ND Ref.
30 May RTP1 Carlos Daniel [pt] P
Ladeira
P
Castro
P
Dias
P
Coelho[i]
P
Garcia
P
Henriques
P
Carreira
P
Costa
P
Liber
[48]

Opinion polling

[edit]

Polls that show their results without distributing those respondents who are undecided or said they would abstain from voting, are re-calculated by removing these numbers from the totals through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS
Aliança Democrática 2024 (Portugal) logo.png
CH BE CDU PAN L IL O Lead
PSD CDS–PP PPM
S&D EPP EPP NI PfE Left Left G/EFA G/EFA Renew
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 36.6 32.1
8
31.1
7
9.8
2
4.3
1
4.1
1
1.2
0
3.8
0
9.1
2
4.5
0
1.0
CESOP–UCP 9 Jun 2024 14,185 37–40 28–34
6/8
28–33
6/8
8–12
2/3
3–5
0/1
3–5
0/1
1–2
0
3–5
0/1
8–12
2/3
0.5
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris 9 Jun 2024 15,839 36.7 29.2–33.6
7/8
28.4–32.8
7/8
7.5–10.9
2/3
2.8–5.8
0/1
2.8–5.8
0/1
0.4–2.0
0
2.9–5.9
0/1
8.1–11.5
2/3
3.3–6.3
0
0.8
Pitagórica 9 Jun 2024 24,619 35.5–41.5 27.7–33.7
6/8
26.0–32.0
6/8
6.6–12.6
2/3
3.0–7.0
0/1
2.0–6.0
0/1
0.7–2.7
0
2.5–6.5
0/1
8.3–12.3
2/3
1.7
Intercampus 9 Jun 2024 19,502 38–42 27.2–33.2
6/8
26.9–32.9
6/8
7.5–11.5
2/3
3.1–6.1
0/1
2.3–5.3
0/1
0.3–2.3
0
3.0–6.0
0/1
8.3–12.3
2/3
2.8–8.8
0
0.3
Intercampus[j] 29 May–4 Jun 2024 604 ? 27.5
7
28.3
7
13.7
3
6.6
1
2.9
0
3.5
0
5.1
1
10.4
2
2.0
0
0.8
CESOP–UCP 27 May–3 Jun 2024 1,552 ? 33
7/9
31
6/8
12
2/4
4
0/1
4
0/1
1
0
4
0/1
8
1/2
3
0
2
Aximage 17–22 May 2024 801 55.3 30.6
7/8
26.6
6
15.5
4
6.3
1
3.5
0
1.6
0
5.2
1
7.5
1/2
3.2
0
4.0
Intercampus[k] 12–20 May 2024 609 ? 23.1
5
22.0
5
18.1
4
9.2
2
3.7
0
4.0
1
6.9
1
12.0
3
1.0
0
1.1
CESOP–UCP 13–18 May 2024 965 ? 30
6/8
31
6/8
15
3/4
5
1
5
1
1
0
5
1
6
1/2
2
0
1
Duplimétrica 6–13 May 2024 800 ? 34
9
32
8
10
2
3
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
9
2
5
0
2
ICS/ISCTE 27 Apr–8 May 2024 1,001 ? 32
8
26
6
18
4
5
1
4
1
2
0
2
0
4
1
7
0
6
Intercampus[l] 18–23 Apr 2024 605 ? 33.4
8
28.2
7
13.0
3
7.4
1
3.3
0
1.3
0
5.8
1
4.4
1
3.3
0
5.2
Aximage 12–16 Apr 2024 805 58.0 31.3
7/8
24.8
6
18.4
4
5.9
1
4.1
1
1.8
0
3.6
0/1
5.8
1
4.3
0
6.5
2024 legislative elections 10 Mar 2024 59.8 28.0
(7)
28.8
(7)
18.1
(5)
4.4
(1)
3.2
(0)
1.9
(0)
3.2
(0)
4.9
(1)
7.5
(0)
0.8
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,000 ? 29.6
8
31.0
8
3.4
0
14.2
3
4.4
1
2.3
0
2.1
0
3.6
0
4.5
1
4.9
0
1.4
2022 legislative elections 30 Jan 2022 51.5 41.4
(10)
29.1
(7)
1.6
(0)
0.0
(0)
7.2
(1)
4.4
(1)
4.3
(1)
1.6
(0)
1.3
(0)
4.9
(1)
4.7
(0)
12.3
2019 legislative elections 6 Oct 2019 48.6 36.3
(10)
27.8
(7)
4.2
(1)
0.2
(0)
1.3
(0)
9.5
(2)
6.3
(1)
3.3
(0)
1.1
(0)
1.3
(0)
8.8
(0)
8.5
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 30.7 33.4
9
21.9
6
6.2
1
1.5
0
9.8
2
6.9
2
5.1
1
1.8
0
0.9
0
12.5
0
11.5

Voter turnout

[edit]

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas.

Turnout Time
12:00 16:00 19:00
2019 2024 ± 2019 2024 ± 2019 2024 ±
Total 11.56% 14.48% Increase 2.92 pp 23.37% 27.89% Increase 4.52 pp 30.75% 36.63% Increase 5.88 pp
Sources[49][50]

Results

[edit]
Summary of the results of Portugal's 9 June 2024 election to the European Parliament
National party European
party
Main candidate Votes % +/– Seats +/–
Socialist Party (PS) PES Marta Temido 1,268,915 32.11 1.29Decrease 8 1Decrease
Democratic Alliance (AD)
Social Democratic Party (PSD)
CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP)
People's Monarchist Party (PPM)
EPP / ECPM Sebastião Bugalho 1,229,895 31.12 [m] 7
6
1
0

0Steady
0Steady
new
CHEGA! (CH) ID António Tânger Corrêa 387,068 9.79 8.30Increase 2 2Increase
Liberal Initiative (IL) ALDE João Cotrim de Figueiredo 358,811 9.08 8.20Increase 2 2Increase
Left Bloc (BE) PEL / EACL Catarina Martins 168,107 4.25 5.58Decrease 1 1Decrease
Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU)
Portuguese Communist Party (PCP)
Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV)
PEL / EGP João Oliveira 162,630 4.12 2.77Decrease 1
1
0

1Decrease
0Steady
LIVRE (L) EGP Francisco Paupério [pt] 148,572 3.76 1.93Increase 0 0Steady
National Democratic Alternative (ADN) NI Joana Amaral Dias 54,120 1.37 0.89Increase 0 0Steady
People–Animals–Nature (PAN) EGP Pedro Fidalgo Marques 48,006 1.21 3.87Decrease 0 1Decrease
Volt Portugal (VP) Volt Duarte Costa 9,445 0.24 new 0 new
Rise Up (E) AENM Rui Fonseca e Castro [pt] 8,302 0.21 0.28Decrease 0 0Steady
React, Include, Recycle (RIR) NI Márcia Henriques 6,407 0.16 new 0 new
New Right (ND) NI Ossanda Liber 6,361 0.16 new 0 new
Socialist Alternative Movement (MAS) NI Gil Garcia [pt] 5,016 0.13 0.07Decrease 0 0Steady
Earth Party (MPT) NI Manuel Carreira 4,558 0.12 new 0 new
Portuguese Labour Party (PTP) NI José Manuel Coelho 4,312 0.11 0.14Decrease 0 0Steady
We, the Citizens! (NC) ALDE Pedro Ladeira 4,246 0.11 0.94Decrease 0 0Steady
Valid votes 3,874,771 98.05
Blank and invalid votes 77,208 1.95
Totals 3,951,979 100.00 21 0 Steady
Eligible voters / turnout 10,789,781 36.63 5.88Increase
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições[6]
Vote share
PS
32.11%
AD
31.12%
CH
9.79%
IL
9.08%
BE
4.25%
CDU
4.12%
L
3.76%
ADN
1.37%
PAN
1.21%
Others
1.24%
Blank/Invalid
1.95%
Seats
PS
38.10%
AD
33.33%
CH
9.52%
IL
9.52%
BE
4.76%
CDU
4.76%

Distribution by European group

[edit]
Summary of political group distribution in the 10th European Parliament (2024–2029)
Groups Parties Seats Total %
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) 8 8 38.10
European People's Party (EPP) 6
1
7 33.33
Patriots for Europe (PfE)
2 2 9.52
Renew Europe (RE) 2 2 9.52
European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) 1
1
2 9.52
Total 21 21 100.00

Maps

[edit]

Demographics

[edit]
Demographic Size PS AD CH IL BE CDU L Others
Total vote 100% 32.1% 31.1% 9.8% 9.1% 4.3% 4.1% 3.8% 5.7%
Sex
Men 46% 30% 30% 13% 11% 3% 5% 4% 5%
Women 54% 35% 32% 7% 8% 5% 4% 4% 6%
Age
18–34 years old 22% 15% 29% 10% 19% 6% 3% 9% 9%
65 years and older 24% 48% 31% 6% 2% 3% 6% 1% 4%
Education
No/with High-school 53% 39% 28% 12% 5% 3% 4% 2% 6%
College graduate 47% 26% 33% 7% 13% 5% 4% 5% 6%
Source: ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris exit poll

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Social Democratic Party (PPD/PSD) got 21.9% of the vote and elected 6 MEPs while the CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) got 6.2% and elected 1 in the 2019 elections. The two parties ran together in 2024.
  2. ^ a b Chega (CH) ran in a coalition with the People's Monarchist Party (PPM) and Citizenship and Christian Democracy Party (PPV/CDC) called Basta!, getting 1.5% of the votes and failing to elect any MEPs in the 2019 election.
  3. ^ Francisco Guerreiro was elected MEP in 2019 in the PAN list, but he left PAN in June 2020 and since then became an Independent seated in the European Green Party.
  4. ^ As Democratic Republican Party in 2019
  5. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  6. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  7. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  8. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  9. ^ Via videotelephony
  10. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.5%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 24.8%; AD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 12.0%; IL: 9.1%; BE: 5.8%; Livre: 4.5%; PAN: 3.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.8%.
  11. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (3.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 22.2%; AD: 21.2%; CHEGA: 17.4%; IL: 11.6%; BE: 8.9%; Livre: 6.6%; PAN: 3.9%; CDU: 3.6%; Others/Invalid: 0.9%.
  12. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.5%; AD: 23.2%; CHEGA: 10.7%; BE: 6.1%; Livre: 4.8%; IL: 3.6%; CDU: 2.7%; PAN: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 2.7%.
  13. ^ In 2019, the Social Democratic Party (PPD/PSD) and the CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) had a combined total of 28.12% of the votes. Together, their share increased by 3.00Increase.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ ECO (4 April 2024). "Marcelo convoca europeias para 9 de junho. Mais de meio milhão de eleitores serão estreantes". ECO (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 10 April 2024.
  2. ^ a b Observador (30 April 2024). "Europeias. Partidos arriscam tudo na segunda volta das legislativas". observador.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 14 May 2024.
  3. ^ a b c d Expresso (9 June 2024). "Pedro Nuno canta vitória. Montenegro promete apoio a Costa para o Conselho Europeu. Siga aqui a noite eleitoral (com vídeo)". observador.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 9 June 2024.
  4. ^ RTP (10 June 2024). "Europeias. Marta Temido é a primeira mulher a ganhar uma eleição nacional". rtp.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 13 June 2024.
  5. ^ Público (10 June 2024). "Abstenção nas europeias foi a mais baixa dos últimos 20 anos". publico.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 13 June 2024.
  6. ^ a b "Comissão Nacional de Eleições Mapa Oficial n.º 4/2024" (PDF). Comissão Nacional de Eleições. 28 June 2024. Retrieved 28 June 2024.
  7. ^ "EU riles Portugal by teeing up June dates for 2024 elections". POLITICO. 10 May 2023. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  8. ^ "Council confirms 6 to 9 June 2024 as dates for next European Parliament elections". Council of the EU. Council of the EU Press Office. 22 May 2023.
  9. ^ ECO (4 April 2024). "Marcelo convoca europeias para 9 de junho. Mais de meio milhão de eleitores serão estreantes". ECO (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 10 April 2024.
  10. ^ "Estão abertas as inscrições para o voto antecipado nas eleições europeias". Público (in Portuguese). 26 May 2024. Retrieved 29 May 2024.
  11. ^ "Aumentaram em mais de 40 mil os eleitores inscritos para voto antecipado". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 31 May 2024. Retrieved 31 May 2024.
  12. ^ "Quase 90% dos eleitores inscritos votaram antecipadamente nas Europeias". Sapo (in Portuguese). 6 June 2024. Retrieved 6 June 2024.
  13. ^ ECO (29 April 2024). "17 partidos e coligações concorrem às Europeias de 9 de junho". ECO (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 29 April 2024.
  14. ^ ECO (22 April 2024). "Marta Temido deverá ser cabeça de lista do PS para as europeias. Assis será número dois". ECO (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 22 April 2024.
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