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2024 Indian general election in Assam

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2024 Indian general election in Assam
← 2019 19 April- 7 May 2024 2029 →
All 14 Assam seats in the Lok Sabha
Opinion polls
Turnout81.62% (Increase 0.02%)
  First party Second party
 
Sarbananda Sonowal with PM Modi (cropped).jpg
Gaurav Gogoi and Manmohan Singh.jpg
Leader Sarbananda Sonowal Gaurav Gogoi
Party BJP INC
Alliance NDA INDIA
Leader since 2018 2020
Leader's seat Dibrugarh Jorhat
Last election 36.41%, 9 seats 35.79%, 3 seats
Seats won 9 3
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 74,67,558 74,78,077
Percentage 37.43% 37.48%
Swing Increase 1.38% Increase 2.04%
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Atul Bora Urkhao Gwra Brahma
Party AGP UPPL
Alliance NDA NDA
Seats won 1 1
Seat change Increase 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 12,89,464 4,84,681
Percentage 6.46% 2.43%
Swing Decrease 1.85% Increase 0.09%
Results of the 2024 Indian general election in Assam

The 2024 Indian general election in Assam was held from 19 April to 7 May 2024, to elect the 14 members of the 18th Lok Sabha.[1][2]

Election schedule

[edit]
Poll event Phase
I II III
Notification Date 20 March 28 March 12 April
Last Date for filing nomination 27 March 4 April 19 April
Scrutiny of nomination 28 March 5 April 20 April
Last Date for withdrawal of nomination 30 March 8 April 22 April
Date of poll 19 April 26 April 7 May
Date of counting of votes/Result 4 June 2024
No. of constituencies 5 5 4

Parties and alliances

[edit]

  National Democratic Alliance

[edit]
Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats Contested
Bharatiya Janata Party
Sarbananda Sonowal 11
Asom Gana Parishad
Atul Bora 2
United People's Party Liberal
Urkhao Gwra Brahma 1
Total 14

  Indian National Developmental Inclusive
      Alliance

[edit]
Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats Contested
Indian National Congress
Gourav Gogoi 13
Assam Jatiya Parishad
Lurinjyoti Gogoi 1
Total 14

Others

[edit]
Recognised parties
Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats Contested
All India United Democratic Front
Badruddin Ajmal 3
Bodoland People's Front
Hagrama Mohilary 4
All India Trinamool Congress Ripun Bora 4
Aam Aadmi Party Bhaben Choudhury 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
Manoranjan Talukdar 1
Communist Party of India Kanak Gogoi 1
Total 15
Unrecognised parties
Party Leader Symbol Seats Contested
Voters Party International 8
Bharatiya Gana Parishad 6
All Party Hill Leaders Conference Jonas Ingti Kathar 1 as Independent from Diphu Lok Sabha constituency
Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) Chandralekha Das 6
Gana Suraksha Party Heera Saraniya 4
Rashtriya Ulama Council 4
Republican Party of India (Athawale) 4
Asom Jana Morcha 3
Bahujan Maha Party 3
Bangali Nabanirman Sena 2
Ekam Sanatan Bharat Dal 2
Autonomous State Demand Committee Jayanta Rongpi 1
Bharatheeya Jawan Kisan Party 1
Hindu Samaj Party 1
Jai Prakash Janata Dal 1
The National Road Map Party of India 1
Total 47

Candidates

[edit]
Constituency
NDA INDIA Others
1 Kokrajhar (ST) UPPL Joyanta Basumatary INC Garjan Mushahary AITC Gauri Shankar Sarania
BPF Kampa Borgoyari
2 Dhubri AGP Zabed Islam INC Rakibul Hussain AIUDF Badruddin Ajmal
3 Barpeta AGP Phani Bhusan Choudhury INC Deep Bayan AITC Abul Kalam Azad
CPI(M) Manoranjan Talukdar
4 Darrang–Udalguri BJP Dilip Saikia INC Madhab Rajbangshi BPF Durga Das Boro
5 Guwahati BJP Bijuli Kalita Medhi INC Mira Barthakur Goswami ESBD Amitabh Sharmah
6 Diphu (ST) BJP Amar Sing Tisso INC Joyram Engleng ASDC Jotson Bey
7 Karimganj BJP Kripanath Mallah INC Rashid Ahmed Choudhary AIUDF Sahabul Islam Choudhary
8 Silchar (SC) BJP Parimal Suklabaidya INC Surjya Kanta Sarkar AITC Radheshyam Biswas
9 Nowgong BJP Suresh Bora INC Pradyut Bordoloi AIUDF Aminul Islam
10 Kaziranga BJP Kamakhya Prasad Tasa INC Roselina Tirkey RPI(A) Salesh Ahmed Mazumdar
11 Sonitpur BJP Ranjit Dutta INC Premlal Ganju AAP Rishiraj Sharma
BPF Raju Deuri
12 Lakhimpur BJP Pradan Baruah INC Uday Shankar Hazarika AITC Ghana Kanta Chutia
CPI Dhiren Kachari
13 Dibrugarh BJP Sarbananda Sonowal AJP Lurinjyoti Gogoi AAP Manoj Dhanuar
14 Jorhat BJP Topon Kumar Gogoi INC Gaurav Gogoi ESBD Arun Chandra Handique

Surveys and polls

[edit]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[3] ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[4] ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024[5] ±3% 12 1 1 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024[6] ±3-5% 12 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023[7] ±3% 9-11 2-4 0-1 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023[8] ±3% 12 1 1 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023[9] ±3% 7-9 4-6 0-1 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 9-11 3-4 0-1 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023[10] ±3-5% 12 1 1 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[11] ±5% 51.8% 35.5% 16.3% 12.7
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[12] ±5% 45% 38% 13% 7
India Today-CVoter February 2024[13] ±3-5% 46% 31% 23% 15
India Today-CVoter August 2023[14] ±3-5% 48% 36% 16% 12

Exit polls

[edit]
Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
Actual Results 11 3 0 0 NDA

Voter turnout

[edit]

Phase wise

[edit]
Phase Poll Date Constituencies Voter Turnout (%)
I 19 April 2024 Kaziranga, Sonitpur, Lakhimpur, Dibrugarh, Jorhat 78.25%
II 26 April 2024 Darrang–Udalguri, Diphu (ST), Karimganj, Silchar (SC), Nowgong 81.17%
III 7 May 2024 Kokrajhar (ST), Dhubri, Barpeta, Guwahati 85.45%
Total 81.62%

Constituency wise

[edit]
Constituency Poll Date Turnout Swing
1 Kokrajhar (ST) 7 May 2024 83.55% 0.25%Increase
2 Dhubri 92.08% 1.42%Increase
3 Barpeta 85.24% 1.33%Decrease
4 Darrang–Udalguri 26 April 2024 82.01% Steady
5 Guwahati 7 May 2024 78.39% 2.48%Decrease
6 Diphu (ST) 26 April 2024 75.74% 1.89%Decrease
7 Karimganj 80.48% 1.3%Increase
8 Silchar (SC) 79.05% 0.46%Decrease
9 Nowgong 84.97% 1.74%Increase
10 Kaziranga 19 April 2024 79.33% Steady
11 Sonitpur 78.46% Steady
12 Lakhimpur 76.42% 1.25%Increase
13 Dibrugarh 76.75% 0.55%Decrease
14 Jorhat 79.89% 2.32%Increase

Results

[edit]

Results by alliance or party

[edit]
Alliance/ Parties Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Contested Won +/−
NDA BJP 74,67,558 37.43 Increase 1.38 11 9 Steady
AGP 12,89,464 6.46 Decrease 1.85 2 1 Increase 1
UPPL 4,84,681 2.43 Increase0.09 1 1 Increase 1
Total 92,41,703 42.29 14 11 Increase 2
INDIA INC 74,78,077 37.48 Increase 2.04 13 3 Steady
AJP 4,14,441 1.99 New 1 0 Steady
Total 78,92,518 39.47 14 3 Steady
Others
BPF 7,77,570 3.86 4 0
AIUDF 6,24,305 3.13 Decrease 4.74 3 0 Decrease 1
APHLC 1,87,017 0.86 1 0
AAP 1,70,912 0.85 2 0
GSP 1,23,365 0.56 4 0
CPI(M) 96,138 0.48 1 0
AITC 74,641 0.37 4 0
SUCI(C) 26,270 0.12 6 0
CPI 19,631 0.10 1 0
ESBD 16,613 0.07 2 0
RPI(A) 14,317 0.06 4 0
RUC 12,952 0.05 4 0
ASDC 9,633 0.04 1 0
BJKP 1 0
Independents 53 0 Decrease 1
Total 37,25,964 17.05 0 Decrease2
NOTA 238,276 1.19
Total 20,864,200 100 143 14

Results by constituency

[edit]
Constituency Turnout Winner Runner Up Margin
Party Alliance Candidate Votes % Party Alliance Candidate Votes % Votes %
1 Kokrajhar (ST) 83.55%Increase UPPL NDA Joyanta Basumatary 488,995 39.39% BPF Others Kampa Borgoyari 4,37,412 35.23% 51,583 4.16%
2 Dhubri 92.08%Increase INC INDIA Rakibul Hussain 1,471,885 59.99% AIUDF Others Badruddin Ajmal 4,59,409 18.72% 10,12,476 41.27%
3 Barpeta 85.24%Decrease AGP NDA Phani Bhusan Choudhury 8,60,113 51.02% INC INDIA Deep Bayan 6,37,762 37.83% 2,22,351 13.19%
4 Darrang–Udalguri 82.01%Steady BJP NDA Dilip Saikia 8,68,387 47.95% INC INDIA Madhab Rajbangshi 5,39,375 29.78% 3,29,012 18.17%
5 Guwahati 78.39%Decrease BJP NDA Bijuli Kalita Medhi 8,94,887 55.95% INC INDIA Mira Borthakur Goswami 6,43,797 40.25% 2,51,090 15.70%
6 Diphu (ST) 75.74%Decrease BJP NDA Amar Sing Tisso 3,34,620 49.01% Independent Independent J.I. Kathar 1,87,017 27.39% 1,47,603 21.62%
7 Karimganj 80.48%Increase BJP NDA Kripanath Mallah 5,45,093 47.53% INC INDIA Hafiz Rashid Ahmed Choudhury 5,26,733 45.93% 18,360 1.60%
8 Silchar (SC) 79.05%Decrease BJP NDA Parimal Suklabaidya 6,52,405 59.89% INC INDIA Surya Kanta Sarkar 3,88,094 35.62% 2,64,311 24.27%
9 Nowgong 84.97%Increase INC INDIA Pradyut Bordoloi 7,88,850 50.89% BJP NDA Suresh Borah 5,76,619 37.20% 2,12,331 13.69%
10 Kaziranga 79.33%Steady BJP NDA Kamakhya Prasad Tasa 8,97,043 55.04% INC INDIA Roselina Tirkey 6,48,096 39.76% 2,48,947 15.28%
11 Sonitpur 78.46%Steady BJP NDA Ranjit Dutta 7,75,788 60.21% INC INDIA Premlal Ganju 4,14,380 32.16% 3,61,408 28.05%
12 Lakhimpur 76.42%Increase BJP NDA Pradan Baruah 6,63,122 54.75% INC INDIA Uday Shankar Hazarika 4,61,865 38.13% 2,01,257 16.62%
13 Dibrugarh 76.75%Decrease BJP NDA Sarbananda Sonowal 6,93,762 54.27% AJP INDIA Lurinjyoti Gogoi 4,14,441 32.42% 2,79,321 21.85%
14 Jorhat 79.89%Increase INC INDIA Gourav Gogoi 7,51,771 54.04% BJP NDA Topon Kumar Gogoi 6,07,378 43.66% 1,44,393 10.38%

Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

[edit]

Map needed

Party Assembly segments Current Position in the Assembly
NDA BJP 75 63
AGP 10 8
UPPL 7 7
Total 92 78
INDIA INC 31 25
CPI(M) 0 1
RD Did Not Contest 1
Total 31 27
Others AIUDF 0 15
BPF 3 3
Independents 0 3
Total 3 21
Total 126

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "BJP targets to win 14 seats in Assam in 2024 Lok Sabha elections".
  2. ^ "Assam Congress initiates grand alliance move against BJP for 2024 Lok Sabha polls". Retrieved 11 March 2023.
  3. ^ ABP News Bureau (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Set To Reign Supreme In Northeast, INDIA Faces Washout". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  4. ^ "ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep Assam As INDIA Bloc Projected To Suffer Setback". ABP News. 14 March 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  5. ^ Bhandari, Shashwat, ed. (5 March 2024). "Narendra Modi set to become PM for third time as BJP-led NDA may win 378 seats: India TV-CNX Opinion Poll". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  6. ^ Menon, Aditya (9 February 2024). "Mood of the Nation Survey: Modi 3.0 Certain or Can INDIA Push Back? 8 Key Trends". The Quint. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  7. ^ "ETG Survey: अगर आज हुए लोकसभा चुनाव तो किसकी बनेगी सरकार? देखें हर राज्य का गुणा-गणित". Times Now (in Hindi). 18 December 2023. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  8. ^ Dash, Nivedita, ed. (5 October 2023). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: BJP-led NDA set to sweep Assam with 12 Lok Sabha seats". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  9. ^ "Who Is Likely To Win If Lok Sabha Polls Are Held Today? ETG Survey Reveals | The Newshour Debate". Youtube. Times Now. 3 October 2023. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  10. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  11. ^ ABP News Bureau (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Set To Reign Supreme In Northeast, INDIA Faces Washout". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  12. ^ "ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep Assam As INDIA Bloc Projected To Suffer Setback". ABP News. 14 March 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  13. ^ Kalita, Karishma Saurabh (8 February 2024). "NDA to win 12 of 14 seats in Assam, INDIA bloc to get 2, predicts Mood of the Nation". India Today. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  14. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
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