2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

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2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

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22 Republican National Convention delegates
TurnoutTBA
 
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count 13 9
Popular vote 176,392 140,288
Percentage 54.35% 43.28%

The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis, as long as the candidate received at least 10% of the statewide vote. Any leftover delegates were to be added to the candidate that receives the most votes in the primary.[2] The New Hampshire primary was the second contest in the nation, held after the Iowa caucuses. The primary was won by former President Donald Trump, defeating former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.

After most polls closed at 8:00 PM EST, media outlets began projecting a win for Trump.[3][4] Trump's eleven-point lead wound up equating to an edge just under 36,000 votes. Despite calls to drop out, Haley declined to withdraw from the race after the primary.[5] Trump became the first non-incumbent Republican candidate in American history to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary in the same election cycle.[6] Trump also broke the record of number of votes received for any candidate in New Hampshire primary history.[7]

Background

[edit]

Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote. Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.[8]

Procedure

[edit]

Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote.[2]

Candidates

[edit]

The following candidates officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023:[9]

Campaign

[edit]
Trump holds campaign rally in Rochester, New Hampshire.

In January 2023, Trump selected outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.[19]

Nikki Haley's campaign purchased $10 million worth of ads to run in New Hampshire and Iowa beginning in December 2023.[20]

New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee",[21] though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination.[22]

Endorsements

[edit]
Nikki Haley

Governor

U.S. Senators

State Senator

State Representative

  • Michael Moffett, Merrimack's District 4 (2022–present), Merrimack's District 9 (2016–2018, 2020–2022)[27]

Mayor

Notable Individual

Donald Trump

Former federal official

Former U.S. Senator

State Senators

State Representative

Notable individual

Withdrawn candidates

[edit]
Chris Christie (withdrawn)

Former U.S. Representative

Former State Representative

Larry Elder (withdrawn)

State legislator

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

State Representatives

  • Jason Osborne, Rockingham's District 4 (2014–present); Majority Leader (2020–present)[37]
  • Lisa Smart, Belknap's District 2 (2022–present)[38]
  • Matthew Simon, Grafton's District 1 (2020–present)[39]
  • Brian Cole, Hillsborough's District 26 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[40]
  • James Spillane, Rockingham's District 2 (2014–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[41]
  • Katherine Prudhomme O'Brien, Rockingham's District 13 (2018–present)[39]
  • Tom Dolan, Rockingham's District 16 (2018–present)[39]
  • Kristine Perez, Rockingham's District 16 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[42]
  • Debra DiSimone, Rockingham's District 18 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[40]
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)

State representatives

  • Richard Brown, Carroll's District 3 (2022–present)[43]
  • Fred Doucette, Rockingham's District 25 (2014–present); Deputy Majority Leader (2020–present)[44]
  • David Love, Rockingham's District 13 (2022–present) and District 6 (2018–2022)[43]
  • Mark McLean, Hillsborough's District 15 (2022–present), District 44 (2017–2022), and District 14 (2014–2016)[43]
  • Fred Plett, Hillsborough's District 29 (2022–present) and Hillsborough District 6 (2018–2022)[43]
  • David Rochefort, Grafton's District 1 (2022–present)[43]
  • Susan Vandecasteele, Rockingham's District 25 (2022–present) and District 8 (2020–2022)[43]
  • Peter Varney, Belknap's District 7 (2022–present)[43]

Polling

[edit]
Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
270 to Win[45] January 22–23, 2024 January 23, 2024 35.7% 56.5% 7.8%[b] Trump +20.8
FiveThirtyEight[46] Through January 22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.3% 53.9% 9.8% Trump +17.6
RealClearPolling[47] January 16–22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.5% 55.8% 7.7% Trump +19.3
Average 36.2% 55.4% 8.4% Trump +19.2
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[48] Jan 21–22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 60% 1% 1%
Insider Advantage[49] January 21, 2024 850 (LV) ±4.32% 35% 62% 3%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[50] Jan 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 57% 2% 2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[51] Jan 19–20, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 36% 55% 0.6% 2.4%
American Research Group[52] Jan 18–20, 2024 600 (LV) ±4.0% 6% 44% 46%
Emerson College/WHDH[53] Jan 18–20, 2024 673 (RV) ±3.7% 8% 35% 50% 7%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[54] Jan 17–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 35% 52% 4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[55] Jan 16–17, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 36% 50% 1% 4%
Saint Anselm College[56] January 16, 2024 1,398 (LV) ± 2.6% 6% 38% 52% 4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[57] Jan 15–16, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 34% 50% 11%
American Research Group[58] Jan 12–15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 40% 1% 4% 40% 2% 9%
Saint Anselm College[59] Jan 8–9, 2024 1,194 (LV) ± 2.8% 9% 6% 31% 6% 45% 3%
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN[60] Jan 4–8, 2024 919 (LV) ± 3.2% 12% 5% 32% 0% 8% 39% 0% 5%
American Research Group[61] December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 5% 33% 1% 4% 37% 1% 9%
American Research Group[62] Dec 14–20, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 6% 29% 1% 5% 33% 1% 12%
Saint Anselm College[63] Dec 18–19, 2023 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 12% 6% 30% 0% 5% 44% 3%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[64] Dec 7–18, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.4% 6% 10% 22% 1% 4% 52% 0%[d] 5%
CBS News/YouGov[65] Dec 8–15, 2023 855 (LV) ± 4.1% 10% 11% 29% 1% 5% 44%
Trafalgar Group[66] Dec 9–11, 2023 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 14% 11% 18% 0% 10% 45% 1%
Americans for Prosperity[67] Nov 19–21, 2023 800 (LV) 9% 25% 40% 26%
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN[68] Nov 10–14, 2023 994 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 14% 9% 20% 0% 8% 42% 3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University[69] Nov 9–14, 2023 606 (LV) ± 4.5% 2% 11% 7% 18% 1% 8% 3% 46% 0% 4%
Emerson College/WHDH[70] Nov 10–13, 2023 465 (RV) ± 3.3% 1.5% 8.8% 7.2% 17.6% 0.3% 4.6% 2.2% 48.5% 9.3%
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University[71] Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 6% 10% 19% 1% 4% 4% 49%
CBS News/YouGov[72] Sep 15–24, 2023 502 (LV) ± 5.4% 2% 8% 13% 11% 1% 2% 8% 5% 50% 0%[e]
Saint Anselm College[73] Sep 19–20, 2023 931 (LV) ± 3.2% 1% 10% 11% 15% 1% 1% 6% 3% 45% 0%[f] 6%
Insider Advantage[74] September 20, 2023 850 (LV) ± 3.36% 4% 10% 8% 14% 1% 1% 5% 5% 42% 1%[g] 9%
University of New Hampshire[75] Sep 14–18, 2023 1,006 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 11% 10% 12% 0% 2% 13% 6% 39% 1%[h] 6%
NMB Research[76] Aug 25–31, 2023 800 (LV) 1% 8% 10% 10% 1% 4% 8% 5% 47% <3%[i] 4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[77] Aug 25–28, 2023 500 (LV) 2% 5% 11% 9% <1% 1% 9% 5% 48% <3%[j] 9%
Echelon Insights[78][A] Aug 15–17, 2023 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 14% 9% 3% 1% 3% 11% 7% 34% 3%[k] 12%
Emerson College[79] Aug 9–11, 2023 498 (RV) ± 4.9% 4% 9% 8% 4% 1% 3% 6% 49% 3%[l] 13%
co/efficient[80] Aug 5–7, 2023 862 (LV) ± 3.3% 4% 9% 9% 7% 1% 3% 5% 5% 43% 3%[m] 13%
Manhattan Institute[81] July 2023 603 (LV) 3% 11% 13% 7% 1% 4% 8% 7% 34% 3%[n] 8%
National Research[82][B] Jul 25–26, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 8% 11% 3% 1% 2% 6% 8% 41% 15%
University of New Hampshire[83] Jul 13–17, 2023 898 (LV) ± 3.3% 6% 6% 23% 5% 0% 1% 5% 8% 37% 1%[o] 8%
National Research[84][B] Jul 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 7% 15% 5% 1% 1% 4% 6% 39% 17%
American Pulse[85] Jul 5–11, 2023 895 ± 3.2% 3% 10% 11% 3% 5% 5% 7% 48% 8%[p]
Saint Anselm College[86] Jun 21–23, 2023 494 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 6% 19% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 47% 0%[q] 10%
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient[87] Jun 14–16, 2023 904 (LV) ± 3.3% 9% 13% 3% 5% 3% 3% 47% 5% 10%
23% 49% 28%
National Research[88][B] Jun 12–14, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 12% 5% 2% 3% 3% 7% 44% 18%[r]
National Research[89][B] May 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 18% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 39% 32%[s]
University of New Hampshire[90] Apr 13–17, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 22% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 42% 20%[t] 4%
J.L Partners[91] Apr 2–11, 2023 623 (LV) ± 3.9% 2% 18% 4% 2% 1% 1% 51% 19%[u] 6%
33% 53% 13%
Saint Anselm College[92] Mar 28–30, 2023 1,320 (RV) ± 4.0% 1% 29% 4% 1% 3% 1% 42% 19%[v]
Emerson College[93] Mar 3–5, 2023 384 (RV) ± 5.0% 17% 6% 4% 1% 58% 14%[w]
co/efficient[94] Jan 25–26, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.35% 43% 42% 15%
26% 4% 3% 37% 13%[x] 18%
University of New Hampshire[95] Jan 19–23, 2023 349 (LV) ± 5.2% 42% 8% 1% 0% 30% 16%[y] 3%
Neighborhood Research and Media[96] Dec 5–13, 2022 434 (LV) ± 4.7% 33% 3% 32% 13% 19%
WPA Intelligence[97][C] Nov 11–13, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 37% 11%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Saint Anselm College[98] Aug 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 3% 3% 1% 50% 4%[z] 8%
WPA Intelligence[97][C] Aug 7–10, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Neighborhood Research and Media[99][D] Jul 5–8, 2022 475 (RV) ± 4.5% 22% 1% 1% 41% 3%[aa] 32%
University of New Hampshire[100] Jun 16–20, 2022 318 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 6% 9% 0% 37% 6%[ab] 3%
University of New Hampshire[101] Oct 14–18, 2021 441 (LV) ± 4.7% 18% 6% 4% 43% 14%[ac] 10%
University of New Hampshire[102] Jul 15–19, 2021 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 19% 6% 5% 43% 13%[ad] 10%
Saint Anselm College[103][E] May 7–10, 2021 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 20% 7% 4% 0% 52% 7%[ae] 10%
Victory Insights[104] Mar 5–11, 2021 400 (RV) 5% 3% 6% 52% 14%[af]
21% 7% 18% 29%[ag]
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Praecones Analytica[105] Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 624 (RV) ± 4.0% 7% 6% 2% 57% 19%[ah] 10%
12% 25% 3% 46%[ai] 14%

Results

[edit]
New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024[106][107]
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegate count[108]
Donald Trump 176,391 54.35% 13
Nikki Haley 140,491 43.28% 9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 2,241 0.69%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,493 0.46%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 833 0.26%
Joe Biden (Write-In) (Democrat) 497 0.15%
Mike Pence (withdrawn) 404 0.12%
Ryan Binkley 315 0.10%
Mary Maxwell 287 0.09%
Robert F. Kennedy (Write-In) (Independent) 205 0.06%
Tim Scott (withdrawn) 196 0.06%
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) 180 0.06%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 108 0.03%
Rachel Swift 105 0.03%
Scott Ayers 80 0.02%
Dean Phillips (Write-In) (Democrat) 79 0.02%
Darius Mitchell 74 0.02%
Glenn McPeters 49 0.02%
"Ceasefire" (Write-In) 34 0.01%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) 26 0.01%
Peter Jedick 25 0.01%
David Stuckenberg 25 0.01%
Donald Kjornes 23 0.01%
Scott Merrell 21 0.01%
John Anthony Castro 19 0.01%
Robert Carney 15 <0.01%
Marianne Williamson (Write-In) (Democrat) 14 <0.01%
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn) 9 <0.01%
Sam Sloan 7 <0.01%
Vermin Supreme (Write-In) (Democrat) 3 <0.01%
Mark Steward Greenstein (Write-In) (Democrat) 1 <0.01%
Other write-in votes 325 0.10%
Total: 324,575 100.00% 22
By county and municipality
County/
Municipality
Donald Trump Nikki Haley Others Margin Total

votes

% # % # % # % #
Belknap County 56.63% 10,508 41.17% 7,639 2.21% 410 15.46% 2,869 18,557
Alton 60.75% 1,238 37.93% 773 1.32% 27 22.82% 465 2,038
Barnstead 65.21% 881 33.09% 447 1.70% 23 32.12% 434 1,351
Belmont 64.96% 1,244 33.42% 640 1.62% 31 31.54% 604 1,915
Center Harbor 51.52% 204 46.97% 186 1.52% 6 4.55% 18 396
Gilford 49.63% 1,284 47.12% 1,219 3.25% 84 2.51% 65 2,587
Gilmanton 61.74% 789 36.15% 462 2.11% 27 25.59% 327 1,278
Laconia 56.21% 2,307 41.47% 1,702 2.31% 95 14.74% 605 4,104
Meredith 43.66% 981 53.23% 1,196 3.12% 70 -9.57% -215 2,247
New Hampton 58.53% 429 40.11% 294 1.36% 10 18.42% 135 733
Sanbornton 61.27% 617 37.34% 376 1.39% 14 23.93% 241 1,007
Tilton 59.27% 534 38.18% 344 2.55% 23 21.09% 190 901
Carroll County 52.68% 7,870 45.16% 6,747 2.16% 323 7.52% 1,123 14,940
Albany 57.06% 101 40.68% 72 2.26% 4 16.38% 29 177
Bartlett 35.19% 304 62.73% 542 2.08% 18 -27.55% -238 864
Brookfield 58.56% 171 39.73% 116 1.71% 5 18.84% 55 292
Chatham 59.79% 58 40.21% 39 0.00% 0 19.59% 19 97
Conway 48.67% 988 49.75% 1,010 1.58% 32 -1.08% -22 2,030
Eaton 44.74% 51 53.51% 61 1.75% 2 -8.77% -10 114
Effingham 67.67% 316 30.41% 142 1.93% 9 37.26% 174 467
Freedom 53.88% 285 42.34% 224 3.78% 20 11.53% 61 529
Hale's Location 45.00% 36 52.50% 42 2.50% 2 -7.50% -6 80
Hart's Location 73.68% 14 26.32% 5 0.00% 0 47.37% 9 19
Jackson 26.02% 89 72.22% 247 1.75% 6 -46.20% -158 342
Madison 49.05% 361 49.32% 363 1.63% 12 -0.27% -2 736
Moultonborough 48.79% 946 48.53% 941 2.68% 52 0.26% 5 1,939
Ossipee 66.28% 790 32.13% 383 1.59% 19 34.14% 407 1,192
Sandwich 48.74% 213 49.43% 216 1.83% 8 -0.69% -3 437
Tamworth 56.16% 401 40.76% 291 3.08% 22 15.41% 110 714
Tuftonboro 51.11% 508 46.58% 463 2.31% 23 4.53% 45 994
Wakefield 64.83% 1,056 32.90% 536 2.27% 37 31.92% 520 1,629
Wolfeboro 51.66% 1,182 46.07% 1,054 2.27% 52 5.59% 128 2,288
Cheshire County 54.79% 8,531 43.06% 6,704 2.15% 335 11.73% 1,827 15,570
Alstead 55.58% 259 42.27% 197 2.15% 10 13.30% 62 466
Chesterfield 48.78% 420 49.59% 427 1.63% 14 -0.81% -7 861
Dublin 40.95% 190 54.74% 254 4.31% 20 -13.79% -64 464
Fitzwilliam 64.77% 388 32.05% 192 3.17% 19 32.72% 196 599
Gilsum 56.41% 110 41.03% 80 2.56% 5 15.38% 30 195
Harrisville 37.40% 92 59.35% 146 3.25% 8 -21.95% -54 246
Hinsdale 61.44% 333 36.90% 200 1.66% 9 24.54% 133 542
Jaffrey 58.83% 723 38.73% 476 2.44% 30 20.10% 247 1,229
Keene 44.10% 1,468 54.10% 1,801 1.80% 60 -10.00% -333 3,329
Marlborough 52.38% 220 44.76% 188 2.86% 12 7.62% 32 420
Marlow 57.89% 121 40.19% 84 1.91% 4 17.70% 37 209
Nelson 56.05% 88 43.95% 69 0.00% 0 12.10% 19 157
Richmond 72.73% 256 25.28% 89 1.99% 7 47.44% 167 352
Rindge 69.74% 1,180 27.90% 472 2.36% 40 41.84% 708 1,692
Roxbury 40.82% 20 59.18% 29 0.00% 0 -18.37% -9 49
Stoddard 61.69% 256 37.35% 155 0.96% 4 24.34% 101 415
Sullivan 62.30% 119 35.08% 67 2.62% 5 27.23% 52 191
Surry 42.86% 93 56.22% 122 0.92% 2 -13.36% -29 217
Swanzey 55.84% 851 42.45% 647 1.71% 26 13.39% 204 1,524
Troy 66.10% 310 31.13% 146 2.77% 13 34.97% 164 469
Walpole 41.22% 352 55.85% 477 2.93% 25 -14.64% -125 854
Westmoreland 46.41% 194 51.44% 215 2.15% 9 -5.02% -21 418
Winchester 72.62% 488 25.45% 171 1.93% 13 47.17% 317 672
Coös County 61.02% 4,295 36.64% 2,579 2.34% 165 24.38% 1,716 7,039
Berlin 63.54% 875 34.35% 473 2.11% 29 29.19% 402 1,377
Cambridge 66.67% 2 0.00% 0 33.33% 1 66.67% 2 3
Carroll 58.59% 133 38.33% 87 3.08% 7 20.26% 46 227
Clarksville 64.29% 54 35.71% 30 0.00% 0 28.57% 24 84
Colebrook 60.88% 344 37.88% 214 1.24% 7 23.01% 130 565
Columbia 61.93% 122 37.06% 73 1.02% 2 24.87% 49 197
Dalton 61.31% 168 33.58% 92 5.11% 14 27.74% 76 274
Dixville 0.00% 0 100.0% 6 0.00% 0 -100.0% -6 6
Dummer 65.82% 52 29.11% 23 5.06% 4 36.71% 29 79
Errol 54.62% 65 43.70% 52 1.68% 2 10.92% 13 119
Gorham 56.08% 355 41.55% 263 2.37% 15 14.53% 92 633
Jefferson 58.60% 218 37.10% 138 4.30% 16 21.51% 80 372
Lancaster 55.66% 398 42.38% 303 1.96% 14 13.29% 95 715
Milan 63.53% 216 35.00% 119 1.47% 5 28.53% 97 340
Millsfield 78.57% 11 14.29% 2 7.14% 1 64.29% 9 14
Northumberland 65.02% 290 32.51% 145 2.47% 11 32.51% 145 446
Pittsburg 65.61% 206 32.80% 103 1.59% 5 32.80% 103 314
Randolph 40.91% 36 56.82% 50 2.27% 2 -15.91% -14 88
Shelburne 62.14% 87 34.29% 48 3.57% 5 27.86% 39 140
Stark 72.19% 122 26.04% 44 1.78% 3 46.15% 78 169
Stewartstown 67.76% 124 30.60% 56 1.64% 3 37.16% 68 183
Stratford 69.47% 91 28.24% 37 2.29% 3 41.22% 54 131
Wentworth
Location
75.00% 12 25.00% 4 0.00% 0 50.00% 8 16
Whitefield 57.40% 314 39.67% 217 2.93% 16 17.73% 97 547
Grafton County 46.82% 8,949 50.92% 9,732 2.26% 432 -4.10% -783 19,113
Alexandria 58.55% 332 38.10% 216 3.35% 19 20.46% 116 567
Ashland 56.47% 275 40.86% 199 2.67% 13 15.61% 76 487
Bath 62.80% 184 36.52% 107 0.68% 2 26.28% 77 293
Benton 68.57% 72 30.48% 32 0.95% 1 38.10% 40 105
Bethlehem 49.82% 282 48.23% 273 1.94% 11 1.59% 9 566
Bridgewater 54.63% 236 43.98% 190 1.39% 6 10.65% 46 432
Bristol 56.25% 495 42.05% 370 1.70% 15 14.20% 125 880
Campton 53.76% 465 44.62% 386 1.62% 14 9.13% 79 865
Canaan 48.69% 354 50.07% 364 1.24% 9 -1.38% -10 727
Dorchester 68.18% 75 30.91% 34 0.91% 1 37.27% 41 110
Easton 48.10% 38 50.63% 40 1.27% 1 -2.53% -2 79
Ellsworth 37.50% 12 59.38% 19 3.13% 1 -21.88% -7 32
Enfield 46.58% 402 51.33% 443 2.09% 18 -4.75% -41 863
Franconia 33.03% 110 65.77% 219 1.20% 4 -32.73% -109 333
Grafton 63.20% 225 35.11% 125 1.69% 6 28.09% 100 356
Groton 67.35% 132 30.61% 60 2.04% 4 36.73% 72 196
Hanover 13.04% 228 85.07% 1,487 1.89% 33 -72.03% -1,259 1,748
Haverhill 61.80% 550 36.07% 321 2.13% 19 25.73% 229 890
Hebron 41.35% 129 56.09% 175 2.56% 8 -14.74% -46 312
Holderness 43.91% 256 53.86% 314 2.23% 13 -9.95% -58 583
Landaff 52.99% 62 45.30% 53 1.71% 2 7.69% 9 117
Lebanon 35.80% 658 61.10% 1,123 3.10% 57 -25.30% -465 1,838
Lincoln 36.52% 145 59.45% 236 4.03% 16 -22.92% -91 397
Lisbon 60.66% 202 37.84% 126 1.50% 5 22.82% 76 333
Littleton 57.21% 734 39.98% 513 2.81% 36 17.23% 221 1,283
Lyman 61.05% 116 35.79% 68 3.16% 6 25.26% 48 190
Lyme 15.45% 51 81.82% 270 2.73% 9 -66.36% -219 330
Monroe 62.76% 150 35.98% 86 1.26% 3 26.78% 64 239
Orange 55.84% 43 41.56% 32 2.60% 2 14.29% 11 77
Orford 41.98% 110 56.11% 147 1.91% 5 -14.12% -37 262
Piermont 53.85% 98 43.96% 80 2.20% 4 9.89% 18 182
Plymouth 48.43% 431 49.21% 438 2.36% 21 -0.79% -7 890
Rumney 61.40% 307 36.20% 181 2.40% 12 25.20% 126 500
Sugar Hill 37.04% 70 60.32% 114 2.65% 5 -23.28% -44 189
Thornton 46.81% 352 51.06% 384 2.13% 16 -4.26% -32 752
Warren 66.14% 168 32.28% 82 1.57% 4 33.86% 86 254
Waterville Valley 27.78% 55 65.66% 130 6.57% 13 -37.88% -75 198
Wentworth 65.42% 193 31.86% 94 2.71% 8 33.56% 99 295
Woodstock 41.87% 152 55.37% 201 2.75% 10 -13.50% -49 363
Hillsborough County 54.24% 49,462 43.79% 39,935 1.97% 1,799 10.45% 9,527 91,196
Amherst 42.61% 1,516 55.87% 1,988 1.52% 54 -13.27% -472 3,558
Antrim 57.62% 382 40.12% 266 2.26% 15 17.50% 116 663
Bedford 44.55% 2,981 53.65% 3,590 1.81% 121 -9.10% -609 6,692
Bennington 64.07% 230 33.70% 121 2.23% 8 30.36% 109 359
Brookline 47.16% 764 51.48% 834 1.36% 22 -4.32% -70 1,620
Deering 64.46% 399 34.57% 214 0.97% 6 29.89% 185 619
Francestown 55.41% 302 40.55% 221 4.04% 22 14.86% 81 545
Goffstown 52.99% 2,329 44.60% 1,960 2.41% 106 8.40% 369 4,395
Greenfield 57.23% 277 40.29% 195 2.48% 12 16.94% 82 484
Greenville 67.67% 270 30.33% 121 2.01% 8 37.34% 149 399
Hancock 42.05% 201 55.44% 265 2.51% 12 -13.39% -64 478
Hillsborough 63.28% 865 34.53% 472 2.19% 30 28.75% 393 1,367
Hollis 41.47% 1,143 56.53% 1,558 2.00% 55 -15.06% -415 2,756
Hudson 62.64% 3,619 35.94% 2,076 1.42% 82 26.71% 1,543 5,777
Litchfield 53.22% 1,297 44.81% 1,092 1.97% 48 8.41% 205 2,437
Lyndeborough 57.33% 301 41.14% 216 1.52% 8 16.19% 85 525
Manchester 56.77% 10,027 40.89% 7,223 2.34% 414 15.87% 2,804 17,664
Mason 59.58% 286 38.13% 183 2.29% 11 21.46% 103 480
Merrimack 50.52% 3,529 47.63% 3,327 1.85% 129 2.89% 202 6,985
Milford 52.85% 2,005 45.07% 1,710 2.08% 79 7.78% 295 3,794
Mont Vernon 46.39% 385 51.45% 427 2.17% 18 -5.06% -42 830
Nashua 52.08% 7,861 45.93% 6,932 1.99% 300 6.16% 929 15,093
New Boston 55.08% 1,020 44.06% 816 0.86% 16 11.02% 204 1,852
New Ipswich 74.24% 1,193 23.46% 377 2.30% 37 50.78% 816 1,607
Pelham 68.45% 3,037 29.95% 1,329 1.60% 71 38.49% 1,708 4,437
Peterborough 41.29% 545 56.59% 747 2.12% 28 -15.30% -202 1,320
Sharon 49.58% 59 49.58% 59 0.84% 1 0.00% 0 119
Temple 57.74% 235 40.79% 166 1.47% 6 16.95% 69 407
Weare 62.39% 1,790 35.80% 1,027 1.81% 52 26.59% 763 2,869
Wilton 56.17% 551 40.98% 402 2.85% 28 15.19% 149 981
Windsor 75.00% 63 25.00% 21 0.00% 0 50.00% 42 84
Merrimack County 52.41% 19,558 45.39% 16,940 2.20% 820 7.02% 2,618 37,318
Allenstown 63.36% 638 34.76% 350 1.89% 19 28.60% 288 1,007
Andover 60.98% 375 37.24% 229 1.79% 11 23.74% 146 615
Boscawen 61.12% 525 36.90% 317 1.98% 17 24.21% 208 859
Bow 41.52% 1,018 56.44% 1,384 2.04% 50 -14.93% -366 2,452
Bradford 50.42% 238 45.97% 217 3.60% 17 4.45% 21 472
Canterbury 47.44% 370 50.26% 392 2.31% 18 -2.82% -22 780
Chichester 62.01% 555 36.54% 327 1.45% 13 25.47% 228 895
Concord 45.48% 3,588 52.17% 4,116 2.36% 186 -6.69% -528 7,890
Danbury 62.91% 251 34.84% 139 2.26% 9 28.07% 112 399
Dunbarton 54.14% 575 43.79% 465 2.07% 22 10.36% 110 1,062
Epsom 61.37% 872 37.02% 526 1.62% 23 24.35% 346 1,421
Franklin 65.21% 1,168 33.05% 592 1.73% 31 32.16% 576 1,791
Henniker 50.09% 549 48.91% 536 1.00% 11 1.19% 13 1,096
Hill 65.56% 236 32.22% 116 2.22% 8 33.33% 120 360
Hooksett 54.05% 1,997 43.84% 1,620 2.11% 78 10.20% 377 3,695
Hopkinton 41.33% 629 56.31% 857 2.37% 36 -14.98% -228 1,522
Loudon 61.53% 1,222 36.86% 732 1.61% 32 24.67% 490 1,986
Newbury 44.80% 375 51.97% 435 3.23% 27 -7.17% -60 837
New London 32.42% 404 63.64% 793 3.93% 49 -31.22% -389 1,246
Northfield 62.72% 752 35.28% 423 2.00% 24 27.44% 329 1,199
Pembroke 55.86% 992 41.55% 738 2.59% 46 14.30% 254 1,776
Pittsfield 68.30% 711 29.59% 308 2.11% 22 38.71% 403 1,041
Salisbury 61.52% 291 35.94% 170 2.54% 12 25.58% 121 473
Sutton 47.78% 291 49.92% 304 2.30% 14 -2.13% -13 609
Warner 50.37% 405 46.02% 370 3.61% 29 4.35% 35 804
Webster 54.75% 334 43.61% 266 1.64% 10 11.15% 68 610
Wilmot 46.79% 197 51.78% 218 1.43% 6 -4.99% -21 421
Rockingham County 56.70% 47,937 41.47% 35,061 1.82% 1,541 15.23% 12,876 84,539
Atkinson 60.18% 1,576 37.84% 991 1.99% 52 22.34% 585 2,619
Auburn 58.16% 1,173 40.16% 810 1.69% 34 18.00% 363 2,017
Brentwood 50.04% 713 47.44% 676 2.53% 36 2.60% 37 1,425
Candia 62.75% 945 34.66% 522 2.59% 39 28.09% 423 1,506
Chester 58.17% 1,015 40.23% 702 1.60% 28 17.94% 313 1,745
Danville 69.03% 992 29.78% 428 1.18% 17 39.25% 564 1,437
Deerfield 59.28% 942 39.21% 623 1.51% 24 20.08% 319 1,589
Derry 63.93% 4,485 34.41% 2,414 1.65% 116 29.52% 2,071 7,015
East Kingston 50.31% 400 47.92% 381 1.76% 14 2.39% 19 795
Epping 61.58% 1,242 36.74% 741 1.69% 34 24.84% 501 2,017
Exeter 41.74% 1,457 56.43% 1,970 1.83% 64 -14.69% -513 3,491
Fremont 60.91% 952 36.98% 578 2.11% 33 23.93% 374 1,563
Greenland 43.13% 559 55.17% 715 1.70% 22 -12.04% -156 1,296
Hampstead 61.71% 1,763 36.93% 1,055 1.37% 39 24.78% 708 2,857
Hampton 51.33% 2,299 46.71% 2,092 1.96% 88 4.62% 207 4,479
Hampton Falls 53.04% 445 44.82% 376 2.15% 18 8.22% 69 839
Kensington 52.80% 340 44.88% 289 2.33% 15 7.92% 51 644
Kingston 64.82% 1,242 33.56% 643 1.62% 31 31.26% 599 1,916
Londonderry 56.77% 3,868 41.25% 2,811 1.98% 135 15.51% 1,057 6,814
New Castle 25.88% 96 70.08% 260 4.04% 15 -44.20% -164 371
Newfields 40.78% 241 57.02% 337 2.20% 13 -16.24% -96 591
Newington 50.81% 157 46.60% 144 2.59% 8 4.21% 13 309
Newmarket 43.42% 788 53.88% 978 2.70% 49 -10.47% -190 1,815
Newton 66.56% 870 31.83% 416 1.61% 21 34.74% 454 1,307
North Hampton 45.72% 641 52.00% 729 2.28% 32 -6.28% -88 1,402
Northwood 58.96% 724 39.58% 486 1.47% 18 19.38% 238 1,228
Nottingham 53.44% 869 44.53% 724 2.03% 33 8.92% 145 1,626
Plaistow 68.72% 1,362 29.82% 591 1.46% 29 38.90% 771 1,982
Portsmouth 37.08% 1,445 60.64% 2,363 2.28% 89 -23.56% -918 3,897
Raymond 67.88% 1,984 30.65% 896 1.47% 43 37.22% 1,088 2,923
Rye 38.11% 702 58.96% 1,086 2.93% 54 -20.85% -384 1,842
Salem 66.91% 5,227 31.48% 2,459 1.61% 126 35.43% 2,768 7,812
Sandown 67.37% 1,379 31.61% 647 1.03% 21 35.76% 732 2,047
Seabrook 71.14% 1,499 27.20% 573 1.66% 35 43.95% 926 2,107
South Hampton 58.13% 143 40.24% 99 1.63% 4 17.89% 44 246
Stratham 37.53% 826 61.11% 1,345 1.36% 30 -23.58% -519 2,201
Windham 54.02% 2,576 44.27% 2,111 1.72% 82 9.75% 465 4,769
Strafford County 54.29% 13,730 43.74% 11,062 1.97% 497 10.55% 2,668 25,289
Barrington 53.68% 1,277 44.26% 1,053 2.06% 49 9.42% 224 2,379
Dover 44.46% 2,438 53.20% 2,917 2.33% 128 -8.74% -479 5,483
Durham 29.51% 476 68.32% 1,102 2.17% 35 -38.81% -626 1,613
Farmington 71.47% 1,052 27.45% 404 1.09% 16 44.02% 648 1,472
Lee 43.08% 439 54.76% 558 2.16% 22 -11.68% -119 1,019
Madbury 39.45% 187 59.07% 280 1.48% 7 -19.62% -93 474
Middleton 69.45% 366 28.84% 152 1.71% 9 40.61% 214 527
Milton 69.83% 773 29.09% 322 1.08% 12 40.74% 451 1,107
New Durham 59.96% 563 37.91% 356 2.13% 20 22.04% 207 939
Rochester 62.21% 4,026 35.78% 2,316 2.01% 130 26.42% 1,710 6,472
Rollinsford 53.89% 319 45.10% 267 1.01% 6 8.78% 52 592
Somersworth 59.10% 1,104 38.87% 726 2.03% 38 20.24% 378 1,868
Strafford 52.83% 710 45.31% 609 1.86% 25 7.51% 101 1,344
Sullivan County 56.33% 5,551 41.52% 4,092 2.15% 212 14.80% 1,459 9,855
Acworth 53.25% 123 45.89% 106 0.87% 2 7.36% 17 231
Charlestown 63.10% 578 34.83% 319 2.07% 19 28.28% 259 916
Claremont 66.03% 1,324 32.22% 646 1.75% 35 33.82% 678 2,005
Cornish 50.57% 220 46.90% 204 2.53% 11 3.68% 16 435
Croydon 67.10% 208 31.61% 98 1.29% 4 35.48% 110 310
Goshen 61.69% 153 37.10% 92 1.21% 3 24.60% 61 248
Grantham 37.89% 330 59.59% 519 2.53% 22 -21.70% -189 871
Langdon 56.52% 104 41.85% 77 1.63% 3 14.67% 27 184
Lempster 66.57% 235 32.58% 115 0.85% 3 33.99% 120 353
Newport 62.30% 836 35.84% 481 1.86% 25 26.45% 355 1,342
Plainfield 33.86% 194 61.61% 353 4.54% 26 -27.75% -159 573
Springfield 49.76% 209 48.33% 203 1.90% 8 1.43% 6 420
Sunapee 44.97% 528 51.96% 610 3.07% 36 -6.98% -82 1,174
Unity 69.75% 279 28.25% 113 2.00% 8 41.50% 166 400
Washington 58.52% 230 39.69% 156 1.78% 7 18.83% 74 393

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Ron DeSantis 7.3%
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  5. ^ Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  6. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  7. ^ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  8. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
  9. ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
  10. ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  11. ^ Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  12. ^ Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  15. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  16. ^ Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
  17. ^ Suarez with 0%
  18. ^ Undecided, Other & Refused
  19. ^ Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
  20. ^ Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  21. ^ Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  22. ^ Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
  23. ^ Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  24. ^ Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  25. ^ Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  26. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  27. ^ Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  28. ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  29. ^ Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  30. ^ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  31. ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
  32. ^ Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  33. ^ Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  34. ^ Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  35. ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  2. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC

References

[edit]
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