Table of Contents Categories
2024 United States Senate election in Florida
From Wikipedia - Reading time: 21 min
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
_2.jpg)
| Elections in Florida |
|---|
 |
 Government |
The 2024 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Republican incumbent Rick Scott won a second term, defeating Democratic former congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. Primary elections took place on August 20, 2024.[1]
Background
[edit]Long one of the core swing states, Florida has trended towards Republicans in recent[clarification needed] years and is now considered to be a moderately red state at the federal level, with Donald Trump carrying Florida by about three and a half percentage points in the 2020 presidential election.[2]
As a result of that trend, Republicans have seen much more success in the state in recent years. That was most prevalent when the Florida GOP saw landslide victories in the 2022 gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections. As of 2024, Republicans control both of Florida's U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, supermajorities in both houses of the Florida Legislature, and a large majority in its U.S. House congressional delegation.[3]
Scott was first elected in 2018 by 0.1 points, defeating then-incumbent Bill Nelson.[4] With the benefit of incumbency and the state's rightward trend, most political pundits considered the race to be favoring Scott to win re-election.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Rick Scott, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present)[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- John Columbus, actor[6]
- Keith Gross, former assistant state attorney for Florida's 18th circuit court[7]
Declined
[edit]- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative from Florida's 6th congressional district (2013–2018) (ran for president)[8]
- Byron Donalds, U.S. representative from Florida's 19th congressional district (2021–present)[9] (ran for re-election)[10]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present) (ran for re-election)[11]
Endorsements
[edit]Keith Gross
- Organizations
Rick Scott
- U.S. executive branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[13]
- Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021), Director of the CIA (2017–2018), and U.S. representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)[14]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[15]
- U.S. senators
- Norm Coleman, former U.S. senator from Minnesota (2003–2009)[16]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present)[17]
- U.S. representatives
- 19 Republican U.S. representatives from Florida[17]
- Governors
- Luis Fortuño, former Governor of Puerto Rico (2009–2013)[18]
- Statewide officials
- Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General (2011–2019)[19]
- Ashley Moody, Florida Attorney General (2019–present)[19]
- Wilton Simpson, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2023–present)[20]
- State legislators
- Territorial legislators
- Keren Riquelme, member of the Senate of Puerto Rico[18]
- Local officials
- Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[24]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[25]
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Florida[26]
- Club for Growth[27]
- Florida Association of Realtors[28]
- Florida Police Chiefs Association[29]
- National Association of Home Builders[30]
- National Federation of Independent Business[31]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[16]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[32]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Columbus (R) | $23,174 | $22,857 | $317 |
| Keith Gross (R) | $2,449,122[a] | $2,440,444 | $8,679 |
| Rick Scott (R) | $29,350,647[b] | $26,466,192 | $4,345,058 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[33] | |||
Results
[edit]
Scott
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Scott (incumbent) | 1,283,904 | 84.38% | |
| Republican | Keith Gross | 142,392 | 9.36% | |
| Republican | John Columbus | 95,342 | 6.26% | |
| Total votes | 1,521,638 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative from Florida's 26th congressional district (2019–2021)[35]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Stanley Campbell, IT company CEO and brother of rapper Uncle Luke[36]
- Rod Joseph, consultant and Purple Heart recipient[37]
- Brian Rush, former state representative (1987–1995) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[38]
Withdrew
[edit]- Phil Ehr, nonprofit executive, nominee for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2020 and candidate in 2018 (ran for U.S. House, endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[39]
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative from Florida's 9th congressional district (2009–2011, 2013–2017) and perennial candidate[c] (ran for state senate)[40]
Declined
[edit]- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, U.S. representative from Florida's 20th congressional district (2022–present)[41] (ran for re-election)[10]
- Fentrice Driskell, Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2022–present) from the 67th district (2018–present)[42]
- Anna Eskamani, state representative (2018–present)[43] (ran for re-election)[44]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[43] (ran for re-election, endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[10][45]
- Shevrin Jones, state senator from the 35th district (2021–present)[46] (endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[47]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative from Florida's 25th congressional district (2004–present)[41] (endorsed Mucarsel-Powell)[45]
- Frederica Wilson, U.S. representative from Florida's 24th congressional district (2011–present)[41]
Endorsements
[edit]Stanley Campbell
- State legislators
- Local officials
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar (2015–present)[48]
- Hazelle Rogers, Broward County commissioner and former state representative (2012–2016)[48]
- Labor unions
Rod Joseph
- Organizations
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
- Federal officials
- Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021–present)[51]
- U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from Florida's 14th congressional district[d] (2007–present)[45]
- Val Demings, U.S. representative from Florida's 10th congressional district (2017–2023)[52]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[e] (2013–present)[45]
- Maxwell Frost, U.S. representative from Florida's 10th congressional district (2023–present)[45]
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[53]
- Hakeem Jeffries, House Minority Leader (2023–present) from New York's 8th congressional district (2013–present)[54]
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative from Florida's 5th congressional district (2017–2023)[55]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative from Florida's 25th congressional district[f] (2005–present)[45]
- State legislators
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Brady PAC[61]
- CHC BOLD PAC[62]
- Council for a Livable World[63]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[64]
- EMILY's List[65]
- End Citizens United[66]
- Feminist Majority PAC[67]
- Giffords[53]
- Human Rights Campaign[68]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[69]
- Latino Victory Fund[70]
- League of Conservation Voters[71]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare PAC[72]
- Peace Action[73]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[74]
- PODER PAC[75]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[76]
- Vote Mama[77]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Stanley Campbell (D) | $1,081,092[g] | $687,145 | $394,415 |
| Rod Joseph (D) | $28,596 | $20,855 | $7,741 |
| Alan Grayson (D)[h] | $728,813[i] | $582,703 | $150,148 |
| Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) | $12,133,366 | $7,802,905 | $4,330,461 |
| Brian Rush (D) | $82,333[j] | $63,529 | $18,804 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[33] | |||
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson |
Debbie Mucarsel- Powell |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research | June 8–9, 2024 | 346 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 12% | 43% | 45% |
Results
[edit]
Mucarsel-Powell
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Campbell
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 747,397 | 68.50% | |
| Democratic | Stanley Campbell | 213,777 | 19.59% | |
| Democratic | Brian Rush | 73,013 | 6.69% | |
| Democratic | Rod Joseph | 56,961 | 5.22% | |
| Total votes | 1,091,148 | 100.0% | ||
Independents and third-party candidates
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Feena Bonoan (Libertarian), artist and nominee for U.S. Senate in Hawaii in 2022[6]
- Ben Everidge (Independent), fundraising consultant and former legislative consultant to U.S. Senators Lawton Chiles and Ben Nelson[6]
- Howard Knepper (write-in), real estate developer and perennial candidate[6]
- Tuan Nguyen (Independent), system engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[6]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[78] | Likely R | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[79] | Likely R | September 26, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] | Likely R | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[81] | Lean R | August 26, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[82] | Likely R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[83] | Likely R | September 26, 2024 |
| RealClearPolitics[84] | Lean R | October 15, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[85] | Lean R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[86] | Likely R | October 23, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]Rick Scott (R)
- Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, pharmaceutical executive and candidate for president in 2024[87]
- Organizations
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police[88]
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, former President of the United States (2009–2017)[89]
- Statewide officials
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)[90]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[91]
- State legislators
- Dianne Hart, state representative[90]
- Katherine Waldron, state representative[90]
- Local officials
- John Dailey, mayor of Tallahassee[90]
- Jerry Demings, mayor of Orange County[92]
- Daniella Levine Cava, mayor of Miami-Dade County[92]
- Dean Trantalis, mayor of Fort Lauderdale[90]
- Labor unions
Polling
[edit]- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Rick Scott (R) |
Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D) |
Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | through November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.6% | 44.9% | 5.5% | Scott +4.7% |
| RealClearPolitics | September 29 – November 1, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 48.9% | 44.3% | 6.8% | Scott +4.6% |
| 270toWin | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.3% | 44.5% | 6.2% | Scott +4.8% |
| TheHill/DDHQ | November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 50.8% | 45.4% | 3.8% | Scott +5.4% |
| Average | 49.7% | 44.8% | 5.5% | Scott+4.9% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 43% | 3%[m] | 4% |
| Victory Insights (R) | November 1–2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | 2% |
| Stetson University[94] | October 25 – November 1, 2024 | 452 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 45% | 2%[n] | – |
| Morning Consult | October 23 – November 1, 2024 | 2,022 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 3%[o] | 3% |
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | October 19–27, 2024 | 897 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 46% | 2%[p] | 2% |
| 913 (RV) | 50% | 46% | 2%[q] | 3% | |||
| ActiVote | October 17–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls[A] | October 23–25, 2024 | 1,227 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 46% | – | 6% |
| Emerson College[B] | October 18–20, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| 48% | 44% | – | 8% | ||||
| Cherry Communications[C] | October 10–20, 2024 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 4% |
| ActiVote | September 23 – October 20, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[D] | October 16–18, 2024 | 1,275 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 42% | 5%[r] | 8% |
| University of North Florida | October 7–18, 2024 | 977 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | 1%[s] | 4% |
| RMG Research[E] | October 14–17, 2024 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 44% | – | 3% |
| YouGov[F] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 3.46% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[D] | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 42% | 6%[t] | 8% |
| Marist College | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,257 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 48% | – | 1% |
| 1,410 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | – | 2% | ||
| NYT/Siena College | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
| 622 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 39% | – | 12% | ||
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[G] | October 1–4, 2024 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 2%[u] | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[D] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 2,946 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 44% | 41% | 4%[v] | 10% |
| RMG Research[E] | September 25–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 44% | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[H] | September 25–26, 2024 | 808 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| 44% | 43% | 2%[w] | 12% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] | September 23–25, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
| Victory Insights (R) | September 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | 12% |
| The Bullfinch Group[J] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
| 43% | 42% | 4% | 11% | ||||
| ActiVote | August 21 – September 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[D] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,602 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 41% | 3%[x] | 11% |
| Morning Consult | September 9–18, 2024 | 2,948 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 3,182 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College[B] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[D] | August 25–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 4%[y] | 14% |
| Cherry Communications (R)[C] | August 15–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[H] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 2%[z] | 10% | ||
| Primary elections held | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 11%[aa] | 7% |
| 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 3%[ab] | 6% | ||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 52% | 42% | – | 7% |
| University of North Florida | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | –[ac] | 11% |
| Targoz Market Research[K] | July 19–24, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| 988 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% | ||
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 40% | 6%[ad] | 10% |
| 771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 4%[ae] | 8% | ||
| The Tyson Group (R) | June 6–9, 2024 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 33% | – | 21% |
| CBS News/YouGov | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 37% | – | 19% |
| Cherry Communications (R)[C] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 39% | – | 7% |
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 35% | 5%[af] | 9% |
| 815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 36% | 4%[ae] | 8% | ||
| USA Today/Ipsos | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 26% | 5%[ag] | 33% |
| Emerson College | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 38% | – | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[L] | February 29 – March 1, 2024 | 790 (V) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[M] | July 5–10, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
Hypothetical polling
Rick Scott vs. Phil Ehr
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Phil Ehr (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[N] | June 27–29, 2023 | 1,298 (LV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14%[ah] |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Scott (incumbent) | 5,977,706 | 55.57% | +5.52% | |
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 4,603,077 | 42.79% | −7.14% | |
| Independent | Ben Everidge | 62,644 | 0.58% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Feena Bonoan | 57,326 | 0.53% | N/A | |
| Independent | Tuan TQ Nguyen | 56,553 | 0.53% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 10,754,365 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By congressional district
[edit]Scott won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[96]
| District | Scott | Mucarsel-Powell | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 69% | 29% | Matt Gaetz |
| 2nd | 60% | 38% | Neal Dunn |
| 3rd | 60% | 38% | Kat Cammack |
| 4th | 55% | 43% | Aaron Bean |
| 5th | 60% | 38% | John Rutherford |
| 6th | 63% | 35% | Michael Waltz |
| 7th | 55% | 43% | Cory Mills |
| 8th | 59% | 39% | Bill Posey (118th Congress) |
| Mike Haridopolos (119th Congress) | |||
| 9th | 48% | 50% | Darren Soto |
| 10th | 38% | 60% | Maxwell Frost |
| 11th | 58% | 41% | Daniel Webster |
| 12th | 64% | 34% | Gus Bilirakis |
| 13th | 54% | 44% | Anna Paulina Luna |
| 14th | 46% | 53% | Kathy Castor |
| 15th | 54% | 44% | Laurel Lee |
| 16th | 57% | 42% | Vern Buchanan |
| 17th | 62% | 37% | Greg Steube |
| 18th | 63% | 35% | Scott Franklin |
| 19th | 67% | 32% | Byron Donalds |
| 20th | 28% | 70% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
| 21st | 57% | 42% | Brian Mast |
| 22nd | 46% | 53% | Lois Frankel |
| 23rd | 47% | 51% | Jared Moskowitz |
| 24th | 33% | 65% | Frederica Wilson |
| 25th | 45% | 54% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| 26th | 68% | 31% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
| 27th | 56% | 42% | María Elvira Salazar |
| 28th | 61% | 38% | Carlos A. Giménez |
Notes
[edit]- ^ $2,255,605 of this total was self-funded by Gross
- ^ $12,563,834 of this total was self-funded by Scott
- ^ Candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2022; candidate for Florida's 9th congressional district in 2018; write-in candidate for Florida's 6th congressional district in 2020; candidate for Florida's 10th congressional district in 2022
- ^ Numbered as the 11th from 2007–2013
- ^ Numbered as the 22nd from 2013–2017 & the 21st from 2017–2023
- ^ Numbered as the 20th from 2005–2013 & the 23rd from 2013–2023
- ^ $1,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Campbell
- ^ Withdrawn candidate. Fundraising numbers as of March 31, 2024.
- ^ $454,105 of this total was self-funded by Grayson
- ^ $12,000 of this total was self-funded by Rush
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bonoan (L) with 2%; Everidge (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 0%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%, Bonoan (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 3%, Bonoan (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Bonoan (L) with 1%; "Other: with 1%
- ^ Bonoan (L) with 2%
- ^ Bonoan (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%; "Won't vote" with 1%
- ^ Bonoan (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%; "Won't vote" with 2%
- ^ Bonoan (L) with 2%
- ^ "Another Candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Another Candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with <1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%
- ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ Includes "would not vote" with 3%
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Florida Politics
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Hill
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Napolitan News
- ^ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
- ^ Poll sponsored by NBC6 & Telemundo 51
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank
- ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Mucarsel-Powell
- ^ Poll sponsored by the DSCC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign
References
[edit]- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ "Florida 2020 presidential election results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
- ^ Fineout, Gary (November 9, 2022). "Florida Republicans get a 'win for the ages'". POLITICO. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
- ^ "Florida | Full Senate results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
- ^ Caputo, Marc (January 26, 2023). "Sen. Rick Scott is running for re-election pushing his controversial 'Rescue' plan". NBC News. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e "Candidate Tracking System". Florida Department of State Division of Elections. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (April 11, 2023). "Keith Gross launches GOP Primary challenge to Rick Scott". Florida Politics.
- ^ Dorn, Sara (August 28, 2023). "DeSantis Team Denies Trump's Rumor He'll Drop Out Of Presidential Race To Run For Senate". Forbes. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
- ^ Greenwood, Max (December 14, 2022). "Rick Scott faces uncertain future after bruising midterm year".
One GOP operative suggested Rep. Byron Donalds, a first-term congressman from southwest Florida, as a possible rival [to Scott].
- ^ a b c Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ "Sixty Days for 3.14.23 — A prime-time look at the 2023 Legislative Regular Session".
U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz, declining to challenge U.S. Rick Scott in 2024.
- ^ "Republican Liberty Caucus Makes Endorsement in Florida U.S. Senate Primary". West Orlando News. April 13, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". boltonpac.com. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
- ^ Daugherty, Eric (October 13, 2023). "Rick Scott endorsed by Mike Pompeo for reelection". Florida's Voice. Archived from the original on October 13, 2023. Retrieved October 13, 2023.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (December 5, 2023). "Donald Trump endorses Rick Scott for re-election". Florida Politics. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ a b "RJC PAC Endorses Champions of the Jewish Community, Senators Ted Cruz and Rick Scott, for Re-Election". Republican Jewish Coalition. July 12, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ a b Ogles, Jacob (March 6, 2024). "Republicans in Florida congressional delegation back Rick Scott for re-election". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
- ^ a b c Gancarski, A.G. (April 27, 2024). "Rick Scott touts Puerto Rican leaders' support for re-election bid". Florida Politics.
- ^ a b c Scheckner, Jesse (April 8, 2024). "'A stalwart defender of law enforcement': Rick Scott nabs endorsements from Ashley Moody, Pam Bondi, 11 State Attorneys". Florida Politics.
- ^ DeLisa, Caden (February 26, 2024). "Wilton Simpson endorses Rick Scott for reelection". The Capitolist. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (January 30, 2024). "In effort to stamp out Primary challenge, Rick Scott nabs support from 80 Florida lawmakers". Florida Politics.
- ^ Wilson, Drew (July 24, 2023). "Rick Scott earns endorsements from 59 Florida Sheriffs for 2024 re-election bid". Florida Politics.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (June 27, 2024). "In latest show of strength, Rick Scott endorsed by 115 County Commissioners". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 26, 2023). "Senior citizen group endorses Rick Scott's re-election". Florida Politics.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (September 15, 2023). "Florida builders, contractors endorse Rick Scott's re-election bid". Florida Politics.
- ^ "Club for Growth endorses Scott and dings McConnell".
- ^ McCool, Jim (January 20, 2024). "Florida Realtors Endorse Rick Scott's 2024 Campaign". The Floridian Press. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
- ^ Cooper, Amber (September 18, 2023). "Florida Police Chiefs Association endorses Rick Scott's 2024 reelection bid". Florida's Voice. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
- ^ Daugherty, Eric (March 25, 2024). "Rick Scott gains endorsement from local builders in reelection bid". Florida's Voice. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
- ^ "Florida's Small Business Community Endorses U.S. Sen. Rick Scott for Re-Election". NFIB. May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
- ^ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Florida". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
- ^ a b "August 20, 2024 Primary Election - Official Results". Florida Department of State.
- ^ "Former US Rep. Debbie Murcasel-Powell to challenge Rick Scott for Senate seat - CBS Miami". www.cbsnews.com. August 22, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023.
- ^ Fontenay, Blake (November 10, 2023). "Brother of 2 Live Crew rapper Luther Campbell challenges Rick Scott for U.S. Senate seat". Treasure Coast Newspapers. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
- ^ Derby, Kevin (February 23, 2023). "Rick Scott Plans to Hit Every County in Florida During Reelection Campaign". Florida Daily. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
- ^ Perry, Mitch (November 20, 2023). "New group of Dem state lawmakers announce support for Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". Florida Phoenix. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". POLITICO. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 11, 2024). "Alan Grayson withdraws from U.S. Senate race, files in SD 25". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Can Florida Democrats Find Anyone (at All) to Run for Senate?". March 27, 2023.
- ^ Dixon, Matt (August 21, 2023). "Top Florida Democrat passes on challenging Sen. Rick Scott in 2024". NBC News.
Florida House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell is not running against Republican Sen. Rick Scott, a move she says is due to unfinished business in the state legislature.
- ^ a b Covey, Erin (April 4, 2023). "Florida Senate: A Cloudy Forecast for Democrats". Retrieved April 4, 2023.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (September 6, 2023). "Anna Eskamani kicks off re-election campaign". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Ogles, Jacob (September 21, 2023). "4 Florida members of Congress endorse Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ Dixon, Matt; Allen, Jonathan (May 8, 2023). "Democratic donors hope to recruit NBA legends Grant Hill and Dwyane Wade to run for Senate in Florida". NBC News. Retrieved May 8, 2023.
- ^ a b c Ogles, Jacob (October 19, 2023). "10 sitting, former state lawmakers back Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
- ^ a b c Gancarski, A.G. (April 13, 2024). "Stanley Campbell trumpets endorsements for underdog Senate campaign". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 14, 2024.
- ^ Caputo, Liv (June 24, 2024). "Democratic Senate Candidate Stanley Campbell Scores Florida AFL-CIO Endorsement". The Floridian. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (April 23, 2024). "Joe Biden backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell during Tampa visit". Florida Politics.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (January 13, 2024). "Val Demings backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 15, 2024.
- ^ a b "GIFFORDS Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for US Senate". Giffords. August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (August 16, 2024). "Hakeem Jeffries backs former colleague Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Senate race". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (July 22, 2024). "Al Lawson backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 2, 2024.
- ^ a b Scheckner, Jesse (November 20, 2023). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell adds 13 state lawmaker endorsements to U.S. Senate campaign". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
- ^ Scheckner, Jesse (February 16, 2024). "6 state lawmakers back Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 17, 2024). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell announces endorsements from Black leaders across Florida". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (August 3, 2024). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell lands more union support with AFSCME nod". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 4, 2024.
- ^ "SEIU Florida Announces 2024 Early Endorsements, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Leads Pro-Worker Slate". SEIU Florida. May 16, 2024. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ "Brady PAC Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". Brady PAC. November 14, 2023. Archived from the original on November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Florida U.S. Senate Race". BOLD PAC. August 28, 2023. Retrieved August 29, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved June 13, 2024.
- ^ "Elect Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and expand our Democratic Senate majority!". ActBlue. August 22, 2023. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
- ^ Wang, Danni (May 11, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Election to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
- ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Votes Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Former Congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Human Rights Campaign. February 21, 2024. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
- ^ "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters". Jewish Democratic Council of America. March 28, 2023.
- ^ "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for United States Senate". Latino Victory. March 6, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (November 21, 2023). "Social Security-focused PAC backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
- ^ "Meet Our 2024 Candidates". Peace Action. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
- ^ McGill Johnson, Alexis. "ENDORSEMENT: Planned Parenthood Action Fund Backs Alsobrooks, Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
- ^ "Candidates". PODER PAC. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
- ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for the U.S. Senate". Reproductive Freedom for All. February 8, 2024. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
- ^ "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (October 12, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy to rally Republicans for Rick Scott". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (September 19, 2024). "Badge of honor: Rick Scott picks up police union backing". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2024.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (October 4, 2024). "Barack Obama backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell's U.S. Senate bid". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e Rohrer, Gray (August 29, 2024). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell releases Democratic endorsements in U.S. Senate race". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved September 2, 2024.
- ^ "Fight Like Hell PAC". Fight Like Hell PAC. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Gancarski, A.G. (September 13, 2024). "Democratic Mayors back Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
- ^ Gancarski, A.G. (September 18, 2024). "AFL-CIO sides with Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Senate race". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 18, 2024.
- ^ "November Poll Crosstabs" (PDF). Stetson University. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
- ^ "Florida U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
- ^ https://x.com/MappingFL/status/1859058014591873498
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites
Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 | Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Florida1 | ↧ Download as ZWI file
EncycloReader
is supported by the 
KSF