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2024 United States presidential election in California

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For related races, see 2024 United States presidential election.
2024 United States presidential election in California
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Reporting
97%
as of Nov. 21, 1:48 AM PST
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Projected electoral vote 54 0
Popular vote 9,077,796 5,899,130
Percentage 58.7% 38.1%
County results
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

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Mayoral elections:

The 2024 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.[2]

The most populous state in the union and one of the most Democratic, California is a deeply blue state that voted Democratic in every presidential election starting in 1992. It did so by double digits in each of them excluding 2004, when John Kerry won it by 9.95 points. It was widely expected that California would continue its streak, with Vice President Kamala Harris – a native Californian who served as the state's attorney general from 2011 to 2017 and later represented it in the U.S. Senate from 2017 to 2021 before assuming the vice presidency – being the Democratic nominee for president. Harris was the first Californian to appear on a major party presidential ticket since Ronald Reagan in 1984.

With 97% of the vote in, Harris is winning California by just over 20 points with nearly 9.1 million votes. Despite it being her home state, her performance is noticeably poorer than Joe Biden's 29 point win in 2020. If it holds, Harris's performance in California will be the worst for a Democratic candidate since 2004; she would also be the first Democratic candidate since 2004 to not receive at least 60% of the vote.[3]

Trump flipped eight counties that were won by Biden in 2020: Butte, Fresno, Inyo, Merced, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus. Of these eight, all except Butte and Inyo were also won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump’s win in Riverside, San Bernardino, Fresno, San Joaquin, Merced and Stanislaus marked the first time they voted for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article: 2024 California Democratic presidential primary

The California Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won all 424 pledged delegates with nearly 90% of the vote, the largest share of delegates awarded by any contest in the 2024 primaries.

Popular vote share by county
  Biden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
California Democratic primary, March 5, 2024[4][5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 3,207,687 89.1% 424 424
Marianne Williamson 146,356 4.1%
Dean Phillips 100,284 2.8%
Armando Perez-Serrato 43,105 1.2%
Gabriel Cornejo 41,390 1.2%
"President" R. Boddie 25,455 0.7%
Stephen P. Lyons 21,062 0.6%
Eban Cambridge 12,758 0.3%
Total (including write-ins): 3,598,126 100.00% 424 73 497

The electors of the Democratic Party are chosen by the candidates who received the most votes in the primary election in their respective congressional district.[6]

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article: 2024 California Republican presidential primary

The California Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 60 points and earning all 169 delegates.

The state was the site of the second Republican primary debate, held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library on September 27, 2023.

Popular vote share by county
  Trump
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
California Republican primary, March 5, 2024[7][8][9]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 1,962,905 79.25% 169 0 169
Nikki Haley 431,876 17.44% 0 0 0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 35,717 1.44% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 20,210 0.82% 0 0 0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 11,113 0.45% 0 0 0
Rachel Swift 4,253 0.17% 0 0 0
David Stuckenberg 3,909 0.16% 0 0 0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 3,577 0.14% 0 0 0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 3,336 0.13% 0 0 0
Total: 2,476,896 100.00% 169 0 169

The electors of the Republican Party are their nominees for the main offices of the State of California and for Senator at the last two elections, as well as their leaders in the state legislature and party committee.[6]

Libertarian primary

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

Charles Ballay was the only candidate to qualify for the Libertarian Party primary ballot.[10] Chase Oliver later qualified as a write-in candidate.[11]

2024 California Libertarian primary[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Charles Ballay 21,906 98.6%
Chase Oliver (write-in) 313 1.4%
Total: 22,219 100.0%

Th electors of the Libertarian party were elected by the state party convention.[6]

Green primary

[edit]
Main article: 2024 Green Party presidential primaries

Jill Stein, the Green Party's nominee for president in 2012 and 2016, was the only candidate on the California primary ballot, although she was followed by three write-in candidates.[10][11] Stein won the primary and earned all 59 of the state's delegates.

2024 California Green primary[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Jill Stein 15,801 99.96% 59
Matthew Pruden (write-in) 3 0.02%
Jorge Zavala (write-in) 3 0.02%
Davi (write-in) 1 0.00%
Total: 15,808 100.0% 59

Peace and Freedom primary

[edit]
Peace and Freedom primary results by county:
  Claudia De la Cruz
  •   100%
      80–85%
      75–80%
      70–75%
      65–70%
      60–65%
      55–60%
      50–55%
      45–50%
      40–45%
      35–40%
  Cornel West
  •   100%
      65–70%
      60–65%
      55–60%
      50–55%
      45–50%
      40–45%
      35–40%
  De la Cruz-West tie
  •   45–50%
      40–45%
      35–40%
  De la Cruz-Sherman tie
  •   50%
  West-Sherman tie
  •   35–40%
  No votes
  •   No votes

Three candidates successfully achieved ballot access in the Peace and Freedom Party non-binding presidential primary: Claudia de la Cruz, the nominee for the Party for Socialism and Liberation; Cornel West, who is running an independent campaign after withdrawing from the Green nomination; and Jasmine Sherman.[13] The party's presidential nominee will be chosen by the state central committee in August.[14]

2024 California Peace and Freedom primary[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Claudia de la Cruz 6,430 47.0%
Cornel West 5,455 39.9%
Jasmine Sherman 1,795 13.1%
Total: 13,680 100.0%

American Independent Party

[edit]

The sole candidate of the American Independent Party primary was James Bradley, who was simultaneously running for the U.S. Senate as a Republican in the blanket primary held on the same day.[10][15] Andrew George Rummel also qualified as an official write-in candidate.[11]

2024 California American Independent primary[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage
James Bradley 45,565 99.96%
Andrew George Rummel (write-in) 16 0.04%
Total: 45,581 100.0%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
See also: Ballot access in the 2024 United States presidential election

In California, six political parties have qualified for ballot access in the 2024 election. On August 29, 2024, California secretary of state Shirley Weber published the certified list of candidates for the general election:[16]

Weber's office published the list of write-in candidates on October 25, in which Peter Sonski was the only certified candidate listed, alongside his running mate Lauren Onak.[17]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[21] Safe D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[23] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[24] Safe D June 12, 2024
538[25] Solid D June 11, 2024
NBC News[26] Safe D October 6, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[27] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 64% 32% 4%
Competitive Edge Research[28] October 28–30, 2024 517 (RV) ± 4.3% 53% 38% 8%[d]
UC Berkeley IGS[29] October 22–28, 2024 4,341 (LV) ± 2.0% 57% 35% 8%
ActiVote[30] October 7–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37% –
Rose Institute/YouGov[31] October 7–17, 2024 1,139 (RV) ± 3.4% 60% 33% 7%[e]
63%[f] 34% 3%
1,139 (LV) 63% 34% 3%
Emerson College[32][A] October 12–14, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% 6%[g]
61%[f] 37% 2%[g]
ActiVote[33] September 22 – October 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63.5% 36.5% –
ActiVote[34] August 22 – September 21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 36% –
Emerson College[35] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 60% 36% 4%
61%[f] 38% 1%[h]
ActiVote[36] August 2–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 65% 35% –
UC Berkeley IGS[37] July 31 – August 11, 2024 3,765 (LV) ± 2.0% 59% 34% 7%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 15%


Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[39] October 27–30, 2024 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 31% 4% – 2% 1% 7%[i]
Public Policy Institute of California[40] October 7–15, 2024 1,137 (LV) ± 3.7% 59% 33% 3% – 1% 0% 4%[j]
UC Berkeley IGS[41] September 25 – October 1, 2024 3,045 (LV) ± 2.5% 57% 35% 2% 1% 1% 0% 4%
University of Southern California/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona[42] September 12–25, 2024 1,685 (LV) ± 2.4% 58% 36% 2% – 2% 0% 2%[k]
Capitol Weekly[43] September 11–16, 2024 1,054 (LV) – 59% 34% 3% 0% 2% – 2%[i]
Capitol Weekly[44] August 23–26, 2024 3,154 (LV) – 58% 36% 4% 0% 2% – –
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Capitol Weekly[45] August 13–15, 2024 1,738 (LV) – 57% 37% 5% 0% 1% – –
Capitol Weekly[46] July 25–27, 2024 1,904 (LV) – 59% 35% 5% 0% 2% – –
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Capitol Weekly[47] July 19–22, 2024 2,121 (LV) – 54% 33% 7% 0% 4% – 2%[i]
Capitol Weekly[48] July 12–14, 2024 1,044 (LV) – 54% 35% 7% 0% 3% – 2%[i]
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Public Policy Institute of California[49] June 24 – July 2, 2024 1,261 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 30% 15%[l]
Public Policy Institute of California[50] May 23 – June 2, 2024 1,098 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 31% 14%[m]
The Bullfinch Group[51][C] April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 59% 34% 7%
John Zogby Strategies[52][D] April 13–21, 2024 740 (LV) – 56% 38% 6%
Public Policy Institute of California[53] March 19–25, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 3.9% 54% 31% 14%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[54] February 29 – March 3, 2024 740 (RV) – 54% 36% 10%[n]
692 (LV) 56% 37% 7%[o]
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[55][B] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 57% 35% 8%
UC Berkeley IGS[56] February 22–26, 2024 6,536 (LV) ± 1.5% 52% 34% 14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[57][B] February 16–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 33% 12%
Public Policy Institute of California[58] February 6–13, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 32% 13%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[59][B] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (RV) ± 2.9% 54% 34% 12%
UC Berkeley IGS[60] January 1–4, 2024 4,471 (LV) ± 2.0% 56% 37% 19%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 13%
Public Policy Institute of California[61] November 9–16, 2023 1,113 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 30% 16%
UC Berkeley IGS[62] October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 31% 23%
Public Policy Institute of California[63] October 3–19, 2023 1,377 (LV) ± 4.0% 60% 29% 12%
Data Viewpoint[64] October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 67% 33% –
Public Policy Institute of California[65] August 25 – September 5, 2023 1,146 (LV) ± 3.7% 57% 26% 17%[p]
UC Berkeley IGS[66] August 24–29, 2023 6,030 (RV) ± 2.0% 51% 31% 18%
Public Policy Institute of California[67] June 7–29, 2023 1,089 (LV) ± 3.8% 57% 31% 12%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[68][B] June 4–7, 2023 1,056 (RV) ± 2.9% 54% 32% 14%
Public Policy Institute of California[69] May 17–24, 2023 1,062 (LV) ± 3.9% 58% 25% 17%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[70] February 14–20, 2023 7,512 (RV) ± 2.0% 57% 27% 16%
5,149 (LV) 59% 29% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Capitol Weekly[43] September 11–16, 2024 1,054 (LV) – 51% 34% 4% 0% 3% 8%[i]
Capitol Weekly[44] August 23–26, 2024 3,154 (LV) – 52% 35% 4% 0% 3% 5%[i]
Capitol Weekly[45] August 13–15, 2024 1,738 (LV) – 51% 36% 6% 2% 1% 5%[j]
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Capitol Weekly[47] July 19–22, 2024 2,121 (LV) – 52% 35% 6% 0% 4% 3%[q]
Capitol Weekly[48] July 12–14, 2024 1,044 (LV) – 51% 33% 6% 0% 5% 5%[r]
The Bullfinch Group[51][C] April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 48% 28% 12% 2% 2% 8%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[55][B] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 32% 6% 2% 1% 8%
UC Berkeley IGS[56] February 22–26, 2024 6,536 (LV) ± 1.5% 40% 28% 11% 3% 2% 16%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[57][B] February 16–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 31% 8% 1% 1% 10%
USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona[71] January 21–29, 2024 1,416 (LV) ± 2.6% 53% 25% 7% 3% 1% 9%[s]
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[59][B] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 32% 6% 1% 1% 13%
UC Berkeley IGS[60] January 1–4, 2024 4,471 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 31% 7% 2% 2% 11%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 31% 8% 1% 2% 15%
UC Berkeley IGS[62] October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 43% 29% 9% 4% – 15%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[52][D] April 13–21, 2024 740 (LV) – 51% 40% 9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[52][D] April 13–21, 2024 740 (LV) – 47% 35% 18%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[68][B] June 4–7, 2023 1,056 (RV) ± 2.9% 54% 28% 18%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[70] February 14–20, 2023 7,512 (RV) ± 2.0% 54% 31% 15%
5,149 (LV) 56% 34% 10%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Data Viewpoint[64] October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 58% 42% –

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 35% 13%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Probolsky Research[72] August 4–9, 2022 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 55% 38% 7%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in California[73]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
9,077,796 58.7% Decrease 4.49%
Republican
5,899,130 38.1% Increase 3.78%
American Independent
192,392 1.2% Increase 0.86%
Green
163,317 1.1% Increase 0.54%
Peace and Freedom
70,515 0.5% Increase 0.11%
Libertarian
65,296 0.4% Decrease 0.67%
Write-In
Total votes 15,486,446 100.0%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Kennedy suspended his campaign on August 23, after the deadline for ballot access had passed, and thus will remain on the ballot.
  2. ^ a b De la Cruz and Garcia are affiliated with the Party for Socialism and Liberation on a national level.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  5. ^ "Other" with 7%
  6. ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  7. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ^ a b c d e f Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 2%
  10. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
  11. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 11%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 13%
  14. ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
  15. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  17. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 3%
  18. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 4%
  19. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Inside CA Politics and The Hill
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
  4. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ Mathis, Joel; published, The Week US (November 13, 2024). "Where did Democratic voters go?". theweek. Retrieved November 14, 2024.
  4. ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  5. ^ "California Presidential Primary". Associated Press. March 5, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  6. ^ a b c "Electors and the Electoral College" (PDF). California Secretary of State. November 5, 2024.
  7. ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  8. ^ "California Presidential Primary - Republican". California Secretary of State. March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  9. ^ "California Presidential Primary". The AP. May 9, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  10. ^ a b c "Certified List of Candidates" (PDF). California Secretary of State. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  11. ^ a b c "Certified List of Presidential Write-In Candidates" (PDF). Office of the Secretary of State of California. February 23, 2024. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
  12. ^ a b c d "STATEMENT OF VOTE MARCH 5, 2024, PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY RESULTS" (PDF). California Secretary of State. April 12, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 13, 2024. Retrieved April 12, 2024.
  13. ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  14. ^ Winger, Richard (December 3, 2023). "Peace & Freedom Presidential Primary Ballot Will Contain Three Names". Retrieved December 3, 2023.
  15. ^ Frisk, Garrett (September 22, 2023). "California Senate Candidate Roundup: September 22, 2023". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  16. ^ "Certified List of Candidates for the November 5, 2024, General Election" (PDF). Sacramento: Secretary of State of California. August 29, 2024. Retrieved September 8, 2024.
  17. ^ "Certified List of Presidential Write-In Candidates for the November 5, 2024, General Election" (PDF). Sacramento: Secretary of State of California. October 25, 2024. Retrieved October 25, 2024.
  18. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  19. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  20. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  21. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  23. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  24. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  25. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
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  27. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
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Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 | Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_California
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