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Elections in Mississippi |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Mississippi voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Mississippi's six votes in the Electoral College were unaffected by reapportionment after the 2020 United States census.[1]
Though Mississippi has voted to the left of its bordering states in recent presidential elections, owing mainly to its large African-American minority, the state is located in the Deep South and therefore the Bible Belt. One of the most socially conservative states in the nation, it has not been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since Southerner Jimmy Carter's narrow statewide victory in 1976, nor has it been competitive at this level since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas fell five points short of carrying the state in 1996.
Donald Trump, who is running on the Republican ballot for a third consecutive time, easily handled Mississippi in the past two election cycles, winning the state by 17.8% in 2016 and again by 16.5% four years later. He is widely expected to comfortably carry Mississippi once again in 2024.
In the 2024 election cycle, incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term and became the party's presumptive nominee but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2][3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[5] Independent Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has received the nomination of the Reform Party of the United States of America, which has ballot access in the state.[6]
The Mississippi Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Missouri, and Washington. 40 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[7]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
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Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 229,198 | 92.50% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 13,437 | 5.42% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 4,042 | 1.63% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,096 | 0.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 247,773 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
The 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside the Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Mississippi, and Washington primaries, and Northern Mariana Islands caucuses. 40 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[9]
In Mississippi, candidates have to pay a filing fee of $2,500 and gather at least 500 signatures to make the primary ballot.[10] Incumbent President Joe Biden won the primary, being the only candidate that met these requirements.[11][better source needed]
Results
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
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Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 87,922 | 98.7% | 35 | ||
Write-in votes | 1,187 | 1.3% | |||
Total: | 89,109 | 100.00% | 35 | 35 |
The Mississippi Libertarian caucuses were held on February 27, 2024. Author and former New York University professor, Michael Rectenwald from Pennsylvania won the non-binding preferential vote with 41.2% of the vote.
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Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[16] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[17] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[18] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[19] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
538[20] | Solid R | September 20, 2024 |
RCP[21] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[22][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[22][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[23][B] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Mississippi is one of only three remaining states (along with Alabama and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.[24]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Republican | |||||
Democratic | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Green | |||||
American Solidarity |
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Constitution | |||||
Socialism and Liberation | |||||
Independent |
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Independent |
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Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
Partisan clients