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Elections in New Jersey |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
As a densely-populated state in the Northeast, New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election starting in 1992, doing so consistently by double digits starting in 2008. In 2020, the state broke 57%โ41% for Democrat Joe Biden of neighboring Delaware. However, early polling when Joe Biden was running for president, showed a tighter race in 2024 compared to previous election cycles. Nonetheless, the state is still heavily favored to be carried by the Democrats by forecasters.
Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. claimed he had gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot in May 2024,[2] although he later dropped out of the race nationally on August 23.[3][4]
The New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 458,281 | 88.2% | 124 | ||
Uncommitted | 46,988 | 9.1% | 2 | ||
Terrisa Bukovinac | 14,179 | 2.7% | |||
Write-in votes | 1,269 | 0.2% | |||
Total: | 520,717 | 100.0% | 126 | 20 | 146 |
The New Jersey Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 294,658 | 96.7% | 12 | 12 | |
Write-in votes | 9,915 | 3.3% | |||
Total: | 304,573 | 100.00% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[7] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[8] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | Safe D | August 26, 2024 |
CNalysis[11] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[12] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[13] | Likely D | August 23, 2024 |
538[14] | Likely D | June 11, 2024 |
RCP[15] | Likely D | June 26, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote[16] | September 4 โ October 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ยฑ 4.9% | 56% | 44% | โ |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United 2024 (R)[17] | July 1โ2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ยฑ 4.5% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
John Zogby Strategies[18][A] | April 13โ21, 2024 | 530 (LV) | โ | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Emerson College[19] | March 26โ29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ยฑ 3.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United 2024 (R)[17] | July 1โ2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ยฑ 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 8% | โ | 3% | 3% |
Emerson College[19] | March 26โ29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ยฑ 3.0% | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
co/efficient (R)[20] | June 26โ27, 2024 | 810 (LV) | ยฑ 3.4% | 40% | 41% | 7%[b] | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[18][A] | April 13โ21, 2024 | 530 (LV) | โ | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[18][A] | April 13โ21, 2024 | 530 (LV) | โ | 42% | 40% | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ยฑ% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kamala Harris Tim Walz |
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Republican | Donald Trump JD Vance |
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Libertarian | Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat |
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Green | Jill Stein Butch Ware |
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Constitution | Randall Terry Stephen Broden |
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Socialism and Liberation | Claudia de la Cruz Karina Garcia |
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Socialist Equality | Joseph Kishore Jerome White |
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Socialist Workers | Rachele Fruit Margaret Trowe[c] |
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Independent |
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Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
Partisan clients
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