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2025 Western Australian state election

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 16 min

2025 Western Australian state election
← 2021 8 March 2025[1] 2029 →
All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly
and all 37 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council
30 Assembly seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Reporting
67.45%
as of 15 March, 12:45 AWST
  First party Second party Third party
 
3 Feb 15 FREO FSH gnangarra-123.jpg
Libby Mettam (cropped).jpg
Toodyay show gnangarra-2000 b.jpg
Leader Roger Cook Libby Mettam Shane Love
Party Labor Liberal National
Leader since 6 June 2023 30 January 2023 30 January 2023
Leader's seat Kwinana Vasse Moore
(won Mid-West)
Last election 53 seats, 59.92% 2 seats, 21.30% 4 seats, 4.00%
Seats before 53 3[a] 3[a]
Seats won 43 6 4
Seat change Decrease Increase Increase
Primary vote 504,362 343,322 66,454
Percentage 41.68% 28.37% 5.49%
Swing Decrease Increase Increase
TPP 57.7% 42.3%
TPP swing Decrease Increase
Current leading margin by electorate.
Premier before election

Roger Cook
Labor

Elected Premier

Roger Cook
Labor

The 2025 Western Australian state election was held on 8 March 2025 to elect members to the Parliament of Western Australia, where all 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 37 seats in the Legislative Council were up for election.

The Labor government, led by Premier Roger Cook, won a third consecutive four-year term in a landslide, becoming the first party to win a third term in Western Australia since 1989.[4] Labor were challenged by the Liberal Party, led by Libby Mettam and by the National Party, led by Opposition Leader Shane Love.

This was Labor's third consecutive landslide victory since winning government in 2017 and Labor's second best result after the previous 2021 state election. Currently, the ABC has projected that Labor has won 43 seats in the lower house, the Liberals have won 5, the Nationals have won 4, and 7 seats remain in doubt. Labor's primary vote has fallen to 41.7% (a decrease of 18.2%), the Liberals are on 28.4% (an increase of 7.1%) and the Nationals vote sits at 5.6% (up 1.6%).

In the Legislative Council, Labor has won at least 15 seats, the Liberals 10 and Nationals 2; while minor party the Greens have won 4 seats. Other minor parties likely to earn representation in the Council include One Nation, Legalise Cannabis and Australian Christians, each expected to win 1 seat respectively. This leaves 3 seats in doubt.[5]

Candidates were elected in single-member seats in the Legislative Assembly via full-preferential instant-runoff voting. In the Legislative Council, 37 candidates were elected across the state, which functioned as a single electorate. Amendments made to electoral law increased the size of the Legislative Council by one member at this election and also abolished the former system of six regions of unequal population that each elected six members.

Results

[edit]

The election was called for the incumbent Labor government just after 7:40pm Australian Western Standard Time (AWST).[citation needed]

Legislative Assembly

[edit]
Results by electoral district as of 8 March (shaded by winning party).
  Labor
  Liberal
  National
  In doubt (Labor ahead)
  In doubt (Liberal ahead)
  In doubt (National ahead)
  In doubt (Independent ahead)
Main article: Results of the 2025 Western Australian state election (Legislative Assembly)
76.33% reporting
PartyVotes%Seats
Labor569,27741.6044
Liberal386,51428.246
Greens146,66910.720
National72,9945.334
One Nation53,2763.890
Independents46,7533.420
Australian Christians42,7683.130
Legalise Cannabis31,9172.330
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers9,8890.720
Animal Justice Party5,7000.420
Stop Pedophiles! Protect kiddies!1,6140.120
Libertarian7790.060
Other4080.030
Total1,368,558100.0054
Valid votes1,368,55896.03
Invalid/blank votes56,5283.97
Total votes1,425,086100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,868,94676.25
Source: [1] [2]

Results are not final. Last updated on 18 March 2025 at 5:00pm AWST.

Legislative Council

[edit]
Main article: Results of the 2025 Western Australian state election (Legislative Council)
65.78% reporting
PartyVotes%Seats
Labor495,81441.6216
Liberal327,63627.5011
Greens127,93110.744
National67,0215.632
One Nation42,5763.571
Legalise Cannabis32,2382.711
Australian Christians31,0692.611
Independents14,7461.24–
Animal Justice Party13,7631.16–
Sustainable Australia Party11,5800.97–
Stop Pedophiles! Protect kiddies!10,5950.89–
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers9,0350.76–
Libertarian7,3000.61–
Total1,191,304100.0036
Registered voters/turnout1,868,946–
Source: [3] [4]

Seats changing hands

[edit]

Uncalled seats

[edit]

As of 17 March 2025 the following five seats are uncalled:[6]

Seat Ref. Pre-2025 Swing Post-2025
Party Member Margin 1st place Party 2nd place Party
Albany [7]   Labor Rebecca Stephens 11.0% 13.8% Rebecca Stephens   Labor Tom Brough   Liberal
Kalamunda [8]   Labor Matthew Hughes 14.5% 15.4% Karen Beale   Labor Adam Hort   Liberal
Kalgoorlie [9]   Labor Ali Kent 11.2% 9.7% Ali Kent   Labor Rowena Olsen   Liberal
Pilbara [10]   Labor Kevin Michel 17.6% 15.9% Kevin Michel   Labor Amanda Kailis   Liberal
Warren-Blackwood [11]   Labor Jane Kelsbie 2.2% 4.2% Jane Kelsbie   Labor Bevan Eatts National

Background

[edit]

The 2021 state election saw Labor win one of the most comprehensive victories on record at the state or territory level in Australia. It won 53 of the 59 seats, surpassing its own record set four years earlier for the largest government majority and seat tally in Western Australian parliamentary history.[12][13]

In May 2023, McGowan resigned the premiership, saying he was "exhausted".[14]

Since the 2021 election, there have been two by-elections. North West Central elected a new member upon the resignation of Vince Catania.[15] Rockingham also elected a new member after former premier Mark McGowan retired from politics. Labor retained this seat with their candidate Magenta Marshall.[16] Merome Beard, the winner of the North West Central by-election defected from the National Party to the Liberal Party in October 2023 and will be running as the Liberal Party's candidate in this election.[17]

Registered parties

[edit]

The following parties are registered with the Western Australian Electoral Commission:[18]

Electoral system

[edit]

Candidates are elected to single-member seats in the Legislative Assembly via full-preferential instant-runoff voting. In the Legislative Council, 37 candidates are elected across the state, which functions as a single electorate. They are to be elected using single transferable voting.

Legislative Council voting changes

[edit]

In September 2021, the McGowan Labor Government introduced the "one vote, one value" legislation to change the voting system for the Legislative Council at this election. Under the then-existing voting system for the upper house, which had been in place since 2005, voters were divided into six regions of unequal weight, each of whom were responsible for electing six candidates (36 in total). Three of the regions were based in metropolitan Perth, and three in the regions. This meant that the Mining and Pastoral region had as many voters as only 16% of the number of electors in the three metropolitan regions on average.[19][20] The government first proposed abolishing the regions and replacing them with what it called a "one vote, one value" system.

Instead, 37 members will be elected from a single statewide constituency using single transferable voting (STV). This increased the size of the council by one seat. Group voting tickets would also be abolished. (They were abolished for the federal Senate in 2016 and are currently used only for the Victorian Legislative Council.)[21] Votes are to be cast under a semi-optional preferential form of STV using above-the-line voting. It will require electors to vote for one or more preferred parties above the dividing line on the ballot paper, or at least 20 candidates below the dividing line. The legislation passed the parliament on 17 November 2021 and received royal assent seven days thereafter.[22][23]

Electing 37 members of the Legislative Council at one time is the largest district magnitude seen in STV any time in history.

Redistribution

[edit]
Map
Map
Electoral districts of the Western Australian Legislative Assembly for the 2021 state election
Map
Map
Electoral districts of the Western Australian Legislative Assembly for the 2025 state election

The Western Australian Electoral Commission conducted a redistribution of the boundaries of all 59 electoral districts. The final boundaries for the electoral districts were released on 1 December 2023.[24]

The seats of Moore and North West Central were merged to create a new seat, Mid-West.[24] The merger of two rural seats into one was matched by the creation of a new seat in Perth, Oakford, which covers growing suburbs between Armadale and the Kwinana Freeway.[24]

According to psephologist Antony Green, the Coalition will need a combined swing of 23.4% to gain the 24 seats needed to form a majority government.[24]

On the new boundaries, there are 17 seats with margins under 15%, which will be regarded as "key seats". (Green described these as "marginal seats" due to the extent of Labor's landslide in 2021, as normally a margin of over 15% would be considered a safe seat.)

Changes to electorates of the Legislative Assembly

[edit]
Current seat 2021 election New seat 2023 redistribution
Party Member Margin Party Member Margin*
Burns Beach Labor Mark Folkard 26.9 Mindarie Labor Notional 23.1
Mirrabooka Labor Meredith Hammat 33.7 Girrawheen Labor Notional 33.4
Moore Nationals Shane Love 8.5 Mid-West Nationals Notional 8.6
North-West Central Nationals Vince Catania 1.7
New seat Oakford Labor Notional 27.7
Warnbro Labor Paul Papalia 33.4 Secret Harbour Labor Notional 31.3
Willagee Labor Peter Tinley 27.1 Bibra Lake Labor Notional 28.2
*These margins are notional, being calculated by Antony Green to take account of the 2023 redistribution. As such, it may vary from the 2021 election results.

Key dates

[edit]

Elections are scheduled for the second Saturday of March every four years, in line with legislative changes made in 2011.[25]

While the Legislative Assembly has fixed four-year terms, the Governor of Western Australia may still dissolve the Assembly and call an election early on the advice of the Premier.[26]

Key dates of this election were:

Date Event
3 January 2025 Postal vote applications open
13 February 2025 Last day to join the electoral roll, 6:00 PM
24 February 2025 Early voting opens
5 March 2025 Last day to apply for postal vote, 6:00 PM
8 March 2025 Election day, 8:00 AM – 6:00 PM
13 March 2025 Last day for postal votes to be returned, 9:00 PM
Source: [27]

Retiring MPs

[edit]

Labor

[edit]

Liberal

[edit]

National

[edit]

Independent

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Main article: Candidates of the 2025 Western Australian state election

Opinion polling

[edit]
Primary vote opinion polling for the Western Australian 2025 election with a local regression (LOESS) trendline for each party.
Two-party-preferred opinion polling for the Western Australian 2025 election with a local regression (LOESS) trendline for each party.

Voting intention

[edit]
Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling
Date Firm Sample Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LIB NAT GRN ONP OTH ALP LIB
8 March 2025 election N/A 41.7% 28.4% 5.4% 10.5% 3.8% 10.2% 57.8% 42.2%
4 – 5 March 2025 Demos AU[53][54] 1126 43% 30% 5% 11% — 11% 57% 43%
27 February – 5 March 2025 Newspoll[55] 1061 44% 29% 5% 10% 3% 9% 57.5% 42.5%
29 January – 4 February 2025 Newspoll[56] 1039 42% 32% 3% 12% 4% 7% 56% 44%
30 October – 4 November 2024 Demos AU[57][58][59] 948 41% 34% 4% 12% — 9% 56% 44%
September 2024 Freshwater[60] 1045 39% 32% 6% 11% — 12% 55% 45%
August 2024 Wolf & Smith[61][62][63] 878 37% 29% 3% 12% 4% 15% 55% 45%
July 2024 Freshwater[64] 1000 39% 33% 5% 12% 2% 9% 56% 44%
14 December 2023 Redbridge[65] 1200 44% 29% 4% 11% 3% 9% 59% 41%
23 July 2023 Utting Research[66] 1000 32% 37% 6% 10% — 15% 46% 54%
31 May 2023 Utting Research[67] 800 52% 28% 5% 8% — 7% 61% 39%
13 March 2021 election N/A 59.9% 21.3% 4.0% 6.9% 1.3% 6.6% 69.7% 30.3%

Preferred Premier

[edit]
Date Firm Sample Preferred Premier
Cook Mettam Don't know
4 – 5 March 2025 Demos AU[53][54] 1126 47% 32% 21%
27 February – 5 March 2025 Newspoll[55] 1061 53% 34% 13%
29 January – 4 February 2025 Newspoll[56] 1039 54% 34% 12%
30 October – 4 November 2024 Demos AU[57][58][68] 948 42% 29% 29%
September 2024 Freshwater[60] 1045 46% 34% 20%
31 May 2023 Utting Research[67] 800 50% 24% 26%

Satisfaction ratings

[edit]
Date Firm Sample Cook Mettam
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net
27 February – 5 March 2025 Newspoll[55] 1061 55% 38% 7% +17% 43% 42% 15% +1%
29 January – 4 February 2025 Newspoll[56] 1039 55% 37% 8% +18% 39% 41% 20% –2%
23 July 2023 Utting Research[66] 1000 27% 37% 36% –10% 31% 24% 45% +7%
31 May 2023 Utting Research[67] 800 42% 26% 32% +16% 31% 33% 36% –2%
Date Firm Sample McGowan Mettam
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net
11 Mar 2023 Painted Dog Research[69] 1052 63% 24% 13% +39% 24% 18% 58% +6%
Date Firm Sample McGowan Honey
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net
19–21 Oct 2022 Painted Dog Research[70] 637 70% 18% 12% +52% 9% 31% 60% –22%

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b In late October 2023, Merome Beard, National MP for the rural electorate of North West Central, defected to the Liberal Party.[2][3]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "WA Election 2025". ABC News. Retrieved 8 March 2025.
  2. ^ Carmody, James; Perpitch, Nicolas; Mundy, Garrett (31 October 2023). "Nationals MP Merome Beard quits party to join Liberals, throwing opposition alliance into doubt". ABC News.
  3. ^ Hastie, Hamish (31 October 2023). "WA Liberals-Nationals divide widens to a chasm with shock defection of MP". WA Today.
  4. ^ Bourke, Keane; Shine, Rhiannon (8 March 2025). "Labor enjoys third successive thumping WA election win as swing splits between minor parties, independents". ABC News. Retrieved 8 March 2025.
  5. ^ "Party Totals". ABC Elections. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  6. ^ "Western Australia Election 2025 Results". www.abc.net.au. 12 March 2025. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
  7. ^ "Albany (Key Seat) - WA Electorate, Candidates, Results". www.abc.net.au. 9 March 2025. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  8. ^ "Kalamunda (Key Seat) - WA Electorate, Candidates, Results". www.abc.net.au. 9 March 2025. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  9. ^ "Kalgoorlie (Key Seat) - WA Electorate, Candidates, Results". www.abc.net.au. 9 March 2025. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  10. ^ "Pilbara (Key Seat) - WA Electorate, Candidates, Results". www.abc.net.au. 9 March 2025. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  11. ^ "Warren-Blackwood - WA Electorate, Candidates, Results". www.abc.net.au. 9 March 2025. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  12. ^ "WA Election 2021". ABC News. Archived from the original on 1 October 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2021.
  13. ^ Hopkin, Michael (13 March 2021). "Mark McGowan leads Labor landslide in WA as Liberals' worst fears are realised". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 8 March 2025. Retrieved 25 March 2021.
  14. ^ Shepherd, Tory (29 May 2023). "Mark McGowan resigns as premier of Western Australia saying he is 'exhausted'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 29 May 2023. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  15. ^ Bourke, Keane (10 June 2022). "Nationals MP Vince Catania quits state politics, sparking West Australian by-election". ABC News. Archived from the original on 8 March 2025. Retrieved 8 March 2025.
  16. ^ Bourke, Keane (29 July 2023). "WA Labor candidate Magenta Marshall to replace Mark McGowan in seat of Rockingham after winning by-election". ABC News. Archived from the original on 8 March 2025. Retrieved 8 March 2025.
  17. ^ Carmody, James; Perpitch, Nicolas; Mundy, Garrett (31 October 2023). "Nationals MP Merome Beard quits party to join Liberals, throwing opposition alliance into doubt". ABC News. Archived from the original on 8 March 2025. Retrieved 8 March 2025.
  18. ^ "Registered Political Parties in WA". www.elections.wa.gov.au. Archived from the original on 15 February 2017. Retrieved 29 April 2024.
  19. ^ Green, Antony (6 March 2017). "The Growing Bias Against Perth and the South West in WA's Legislative Council". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Archived from the original on 22 November 2021. Retrieved 22 November 2021.
  20. ^ Green, Antony (4 May 2021). "WA's Zonal Electoral System and the Legislative Council Reform Debate – Antony Green's Election Blog". Antony Green's Election Blog. Archived from the original on 22 May 2021. Retrieved 22 May 2021.
  21. ^ Rhiannon Shine and Jacob Kagi (15 September 2021). "Mark McGowan announces sweeping changes to WA's electoral system, abolishing regions". ABC News. Archived from the original on 15 September 2021. Retrieved 15 September 2021.
  22. ^ Shine, Rhiannon; Perpitch, Nicolas (17 November 2021). "WA government uses majority to introduce sweeping changes to electoral system". ABC News. Archived from the original on 8 January 2023. Retrieved 21 January 2025.
  23. ^ Constitutional and Electoral Legislation Amendment (Electoral Equality) Act 2021 (WA)
  24. ^ a b c d "Western Australia State Redistribution – Final Boundaries Released – Antony Green's Election Blog". December 2023. Archived from the original on 2 December 2023. Retrieved 2 December 2023.
  25. ^ "State Elections". Western Australia Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 20 April 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2021.
  26. ^ Electoral and Constitution Amendment Act 2011 (WA) s 5
  27. ^ "2025 WA State Election". Western Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 9 March 2025.
  28. ^ Caporn, Dylan (5 March 2024). "Lisa Baker: Another Labor MP announces retirement from politics ahead of 2025 State Election". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 5 March 2024. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  29. ^ Law, Peter (29 July 2022). "Alannah MacTiernan set to retire from politics at next State election". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 29 July 2022. Retrieved 29 July 2022.
  30. ^ "Battle looms for Perth Hills after MP confirms retirement". The West Australian. 9 February 2024. Retrieved 20 February 2024.
  31. ^ Weber, David (30 November 2023). "WA's Mines, Petroleum and Energy Minister Bill Johnston resigns from state parliament". ABC News. Archived from the original on 1 December 2023. Retrieved 2 December 2023.
  32. ^ "Kyle McGinn: MUA-aligned Upper House MP seeks to enter Federal Parliament via new WA seat of Bullwinkel". The West Australian. 7 July 2024. Archived from the original on 14 July 2024. Retrieved 14 July 2024.
  33. ^ Zimmerman, Josh (8 April 2024). "Mt Lawley MP Simon Millman to retire at 2025 State election". The West Australian. Retrieved 8 April 2024.
  34. ^ WA Labor (16 May 2024). "Today, we thank Martin Pritchard as he announces that he will not seek re-election in the upcoming 2025 State Election. Martin has made an enormous contribution to the labour movement. He has served almost 10 years as Member for the Legislative Council, and before that, 26 years as a union official! We're sad to see Martin go, but we wish him all the best for a happy retirement - and lots more time with the grandkids!". Facebook. Archived from the original on 16 May 2024. Retrieved 16 May 2024.
  35. ^ Ho, Cason (19 February 2024). "WA Attorney-General John Quigley to quit politics at 2025 state election". ABC News. Archived from the original on 20 February 2024. Retrieved 20 February 2024.
  36. ^ Zimmerman, Josh (2 April 2024). "Landsdale MP Margaret Quirk confirms retirement at 2025 election, opening door to Daniel Pastorelli". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 3 April 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  37. ^ Brookes, Sarah (3 April 2024). "Labor stalwart's retirement opens door for WA Premier's right-hand man to enter politics". WAtoday. Archived from the original on 3 April 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  38. ^ "Speaker Michelle Roberts to quit State politics at the next election". 16 October 2024.
  39. ^ Zimmerman, Josh (5 July 2024). "Confirmed: Labor MP Katrina Stratton abandons Nedlands in favour of safe seat in the Legislative Council". The West Australian. Retrieved 6 July 2024.
  40. ^ Zimmerman, Josh (3 June 2024). "Swan Hills MP Jessica Shaw announces shock retirement to pursue more active role in energy transition". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 3 June 2024. Retrieved 3 June 2024.
  41. ^ Chris Tallentire MLA. "Since 2008 it's been my honour to serve the people of the Thornlie, and previously the Gosnells, electorates. I now announce that will not be recontesting the seat at the March 2025 State election". Facebook.
  42. ^ "David Templeman to retire from State Parliament". 17 September 2024. Archived from the original on 17 September 2024. Retrieved 17 September 2024.
  43. ^ "Willagee MP Peter Tinley to quit Parliament at 2025 election". 14 March 2024. Archived from the original on 18 March 2024. Retrieved 18 March 2024.
  44. ^ Darren West MLC on Facebook
  45. ^ Joe, Spagnolo (29 January 2023). "Joe Spagnolo opinion: Leadership stoush a test of the power of The Clan". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 30 January 2023. Retrieved 30 January 2023.
  46. ^ Dietsch, Jake (10 January 2024). "Long-serving Liberal MLC Donna Faragher will retire at 2025 election". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 10 January 2024. Retrieved 10 January 2024.
  47. ^ Hastie, Hamish (10 January 2024). "WA Liberals' only upper house female MLC to quit parliament". WAtoday. Archived from the original on 10 January 2024. Retrieved 10 January 2024.
  48. ^ "David Honey out, Sandra Brewer selected as Liberal party's Cottesloe candidate". 10 February 2024. Archived from the original on 21 April 2024. Retrieved 21 April 2024.
  49. ^ Zimmerman, Josh (16 April 2024). "Martin Aldridge: Nationals MP to retire from politics at next election". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 8 June 2024. Retrieved 9 June 2024.
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  61. ^ Curtis, Katina (8 September 2024). "Cost of living top-order political issue for more than half of West Australian voters". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 8 September 2024. Retrieved 8 September 2024.
  62. ^ "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. 8 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
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  65. ^ "WA has turned into a Labor fortress". Twitter. 15 December 2023. Archived from the original on 15 December 2023. Retrieved 15 December 2023.
  66. ^ a b "Poll shows Libby Mettam's Liberals hold 54-46 two-party preferred lead over Labor with Roger Cook as Premier". The West Australian. 23 July 2023. Archived from the original on 23 July 2023. Retrieved 23 July 2023.
  67. ^ a b c "Leadership polling: New numbers offer Liberals a small glimmer of hope". The West Australian. 31 May 2023. Archived from the original on 2 June 2023. Retrieved 3 June 2023.
  68. ^ "New poll: West Australian voters back Labor despite Double Digit Swing - DemosAU". demosau.com. 12 November 2024. Retrieved 7 February 2025.
  69. ^ "McGowan's approval rating at lowest level since pandemic". 11 March 2023. Archived from the original on 19 March 2023. Retrieved 18 March 2023.
  70. ^ Law, Peter. "'WA Liberal Party leader David Honey's approval rating at a humiliating low, new Painted Dog Research reveals'". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 12 November 2022. Retrieved 28 October 2022.

Further reading

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[edit]
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