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CNalysis

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 4 min

CNalysis
Type of site
Politics
Available inEnglish
OwnerChaz Nuttycombe
URLcnalysis.com
Launched2020; 4 years ago (2020)
Current statusOnline

CNalysis is an American political website that projects the winners of elections in the United States. The site specializes in predicting state legislative elections and, unique among election forecasters, makes predictions for every such contest in a given year.[1][2] It was launched in 2020 by Chaz Nuttycombe, who has been Director of the website mostly while he was a political science student at Virginia Tech.[3] Nuttycombe and co-forecaster Jack Kersting finished their education in May 2024. The website has a staff of seven as well as two interns.

CNalysis earned recognition in 2023 for correctly predicting all 100 results in the 2023 Virginia House of Delegates election and all 40 results in the 2023 Virginia Senate election.[2][4] A June 2024 article announced that the site plans to shutter operations in December 2024, following the 2024 United States elections.[5]

For the 2024 United States presidential election, CNalysis incorrectly predicted that Kamala Harris would win by roughly 308 electoral votes with a 70% chance of victory.[6] They forecasted a 60% chance of a Democratic victory in Nevada and North Carolina (tilting Democratic), a 70% chance in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (leaning Democratic), and an 80% chance in Georgia and Michigan (likely Democratic).[7] All 6 states were instead won by Donald Trump. They also incorrectly predicted a Democratic victory in the 2024 United States House of Representatives elections.[8]

References

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  1. ^ JoJack, Beth (July 12, 2023). "Virginia Tech student has become a national 'go-to' source on state legislative elections". Cardinal News. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  2. ^ a b Levine, Sam (November 18, 2023). "He's correctly predicting the US's most critical elections. He's still in college". the Guardian. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  3. ^ Dietrich, Connor (November 7, 2023). "Virginia Tech student capturing national audience for election prediction platform". WSLS. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  4. ^ Littlehales, Alex (November 14, 2023). "Perfect predictions: Virginia Tech senior from Newport News correctly forecasts every race result of Virginia elections". 13newsnow.com. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  5. ^ Nuttycombe, Chaz (June 20, 2024). "CNalysis is ending operations after this election. What's next?". CNalysis. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
  6. ^ "Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster". Newsweek. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. August 18, 2024. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 House Forecast". CNalysis. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
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Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 | Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CNalysis
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