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Opinion polling for the 1997 Polish parliamentary election

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Opinion polling was carried out prior to the September 1997 parliamentary elections in Poland. CBOS polling showed a lead for Solidarity Electoral Action (AWS) in late 1996 and early 1997, but a lead for Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) in the months immediately before the elections. The AWS ultimately emerged as the largest party in the elections, leading by a margin of 7%.

Poll results

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Graph of opinion polls conducted

1997

[edit]
Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link SLD PSL UW UP BBWR AWS ROP KPEiR Others/Undecided Lead
21 September 1997 Election results 27.1 7.3 13.4 4.7 1.4 33.8 5.6 2.2 4.5 6.7
21 September 1997 Exit polls
PBS/ "Rz" 		26.53 7.90 13.95 4.43 0.75 34.15 5.33 2.58 4.38 7.62
6–9 September 1997 OBOP 26 9 14 5 3 22 8 5 8 4
26 August-1 September 1997 CBOS 22 8 10 5 2 21 5 5 22 1
21–25 August 1997 OBOP 26 10 11 6 2 27 7 7 4 1
24–30 July 1997 CBOS 24 9 6 4 1 23 4 5 25 1
26–29 June 1997 OBOP 23 9 13 9 2 25 9 7 3 2
21–22 June 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 28 10 11 9 - 25 6 8 6 3
13–17 June 1997 CBOS 26 8 7 8 1 21 5 7 17 5
13–15 June 1997 OBOP 20 11 11 7 3 25 7 12 4 5
7–8 June 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 25 9 12 9 - 26 8 7 4 1
15–19 May 1997 CBOS 24 10 8 8 2 22 5 7 14 2
17–18 May 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 24 9 13 10 - 25 7 6 6 1
8–11 May 1997 OBOP 24 10 9 5 2 24 12 10 4 Tie
26–27 April 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 25 9 11 10 - 27 8 7 3 2
12–19 April 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 29 9 14 7 - 27 6 7 1 2
11–15 April 1997 CBOS 23 7 8 5 1 26 5 7 16 3
5–8 April 1997 OBOP 25 10 11 4 3 23 11 8 5 2
22–29 March 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 25 12 12 10 - 29 10 - 3 4
13–18 March 1997 CBOS 23 10 8 5 1 24 6 5 18 1
8–11 March 1997 OBOP 23 12 12 5 4 20 13 6 5 3
8–9 March 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 26 12 12 9 - 29 8 - 4 3
22–23 February 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 29 10 12 11 - 26 8 - 4 3
14–17 February 1997 CBOS 22 10 8 8 1 24 6 3 18 2
8–11 February 1997 OBOP 22 12 12 6 2 29 10 4 3 7
8–9 February 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 26 15 10 9 - 26 10 - 4 Tie
17–21 January 1997 CBOS 20 10 4 5 4 25 8 6 18 5
18–19 January 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 29 10 11 8 - 29 9 - 4 Tie
9–12 January 1997 OBOP 25 12 7 6 0 29 16 - 5 4

1996

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link SLD PSL UW UP KPN BBWR AWS ROP KPEiR Others/Undecided Lead
12–17 December 1996 CBOS 18 12 8 8 w. AWS 2 23 8 3 16 5
14–15 December 1996 PBS/ "Rz" 28 11 13 10 w. AWS - 26 9 - 3 2
7–10 December 1996 OBOP 16 12 10 5 w. AWS 2 19 10 - 26 3
16–19 November 1996 OBOP 20 11 10 4 w. AWS 2 19 11 - 23 1
15–19 November 1996 CBOS 22 11 7 7 w. AWS 1 26 8 5 13 4
19–22 October 1996 OBOP 19 10 8 6 w. AWS - 21 12 - 24 2
11–15 October 1996 CBOS 23 12 7 8 w. AWS 4 20 9 - 17 3
21–24 September 1996 OBOP 19 12 9 5 w. AWS - 23 11 - 21 4
12–17 September 1996 CBOS 22 15 8 9 w. AWS - 21 7 - 18 1
23–27 August 1996 OBOP 21 10 6 4 w. AWS - 21 14 - 24 Tie
22–27 August 1996 CBOS 23 14 9 6 w. AWS - 18 12 - 16 5
12–17 July 1996 CBOS 22 14 8 5 w. AWS - 26 13 - 12 4
12–16 July 1996 OBOP 24 10 6 4 w. AWS 1 15 13 - 27 9
21–25 June 1996[a] OBOP 24 9 6 4 w. AWS 1 17 13 - 26 7
14–18 June 1996 CBOS 18 14 11 4 3 2 14 16 - 18 2
8 June 1996 Creation of Solidarity Electoral Action announced
May 1996 CBOS 24 13 8 5 3 1 14 10 - 22 10
18–21 May 1996 OBOP 24 9 8 5 2 3 10 11 - 28 13
9–13 May 1996 CBOS 23 12 8 5 3 2 10 13 - 24 10
April 1996 CBOS 19 10 8 5 1 2 14 15 - 26 4
13–16 April 1996 OBOP 20 12 10 4 2 2 13 8 - 29 7
11–15 April 1996[b] CBOS 19 11 6 5 3 1 13 10 - 32 6
11–15 April 1996[c] CBOS 24 15 8 7 4 2 14 7 - 19 9
9–12 March 1996 OBOP 22 9 9 3 2 3 15 12 - 25 7
7–12 March 1996[b] CBOS 24 11 10 5 2 1 10 9 - 28 13
7–12 March 1996[c] CBOS 24 15 8 5 4 4 16 3 - 21 8
10–13 February 1996 OBOP 22 10 10 3 4 2 11 9 - 29 11
9–13 February 1996 CBOS 28 9 8 4 4 3 15 6 - 23 13
2–6 February 1996 CBOS 26 10 10 6 3 3 15 4 - 23 11
20–23 January 1996 OBOP 21 8 10 4 3 2 11 9 - 32 10
12–16 January 1996 CBOS 28 10 8 7 3 5 12 4 - 23 16

1995

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link SLD PSL UW UP KPN BBWR "S" ROP Others/Undecided Lead
December 1995 OBOP 25 7 8 3 3 6 10 8 30 15
December 1995 CBOS 25 7 11 6 3 5 15 - 28 10
November 1995 CBOS 24 6 8 8 3 5 14 - 32 10
24–26 November 1995 OBOP 30 5 10 3 4 5 9 8 26 20
6–10 October 1995 CBOS 21 9 8 9 2 5 16 - 30 5
September 1995 CBOS 18 10 10 8 1 5 12 - 36 6
September 1995 CBOS 16 11 7 10 3 4 10 - 39 5
August 1995 CBOS 21 9 6 9 3 8 10 - 34 11
24 June-3 July 1995 OBOP 23 11 9 6 3 4 9 - 35 12
June 1995 OBOP 22 10 10 5 4 3 9 - 37 12
8–12 June 1995 CBOS 21 13 11 10 4 5 13 - 23 8
29 May 1995 CBOS 23 12 13 12 5 5 11 - 19 10
13–16 May 1995 OBOP 25 8 9 7 4 3 6 - 38 16
10 May 1995 CBOS 22 12 14 11 2 5 11 - 23 8
7–11 April 1995 CBOS 20 15 13 10 3 4 11 - 24 5
1–4 April 1995 OBOP 22 12 12 5 4 2 8 - 35 10
30 March-3 April 1995 CBOS 23 12 13 10 4 5 11 - 22 10
March 1995 CBOS 24 11 11 12 4 5 10 - 23 12
3–7 March 1995 OBOP 21 13 11 11 6 2 5 - 31 8
February 1995 CBOS 21 17 11 9 4 6 7 - 25 4
3–6 February 1995 OBOP 19 12 11 8 5 5 7 - 33 7
January 1995 CBOS 19 14 13 10 3 5 12 - 24 5

1994

[edit]
Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link SLD PSL UW UP KPN BBWR "S" Others/Undecided Lead
December 1994 CBOS 18 14 13 10 4 6 12 23 4
9–13 December 1994 OBOP 19 19 9 7 3 5 7 31 Tie
18–22 November 1994 OBOP 15 21 10 5 6 4 4 35 6
3–7 November 1994 CBOS 23 15 11 11 3 6 8 23 8
October 1994 CBOS 20 17 10 10 3 4 10 26 3
1–4 October 1994 OBOP 17 24 11 5 5 6 7 25 7
2–6 September 1994 OBOP 19 22 9 7 4 5 6 28 3
2–5 September 1994 CBOS 22 20 8 8 4 6 8 24 5
July 1994 CBOS 20 15 13 9 3 6 7 27 5
15–19 July 1994 OBOP 24 19 11 8 3 9 4 22 5
June 1994 CBOS 21 16 13 9 3 9 7 22 5
May 1994 CBOS 16 18 12 8 6 5 7 28 2
20–24 May 1994 OBOP 14 17 8 7 3 5 3 43 3
6–10 May 1994 OBOP 14 19 10 6 3 6 6 36 5
19 September 1993 Election results 20.4 15.4 14.6[d] 7.3 5.8 5.4 4.9 26.2 5.0

Notes

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  1. ^ The poll includes two alternative scenarios:
    a) SLD – 23, ROP – 13, SO – 11, PSL – 9, UW – 6, UP – 3, others – 35,
    b) Coalition of AWS and ROP – 27, SLD – 22, PSL – 10, UW – 6, UP – 4, others – 31.
  2. ^ a b The question included names of parties and names of their leaders.
  3. ^ a b The question included names of parties only.
  4. ^ The sum of results of UD (10.6) and KLD (4.0) parties which merged in April 1994 and formed the UW.
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