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Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election

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Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2008
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This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.

First round

[edit]

2004–2006 polls

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Ivanov
UR 		Gryzlov
UR 		Luzhkov
UR 		Shoigu
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Glazyev
Rodina / IND 		Rogozin
Rodina 		Kasyanov
IND 		Other Against
all[a] 		Undecided Wouldn't
vote
Levada[1][2] 13–16 Aug 2004 — 2 — — — 6 9 — — — 46 — 23 15
Levada May 2005 — — 7 9 — 11 9 5 7 3 4[b] 13 — 11
VCIOM 17–18 Sep 2005 — 1 4 4 8 6 5 2 3 1 17[c] 9 31 6
Levada 16–19 Sep 2005 — — 6 10 — 10 8 4 5 2 5[d] 16 21 14
Levada[1][2] 14–17 Oct 2005 — — — — — 12 8 — — — 45 — 24 12
11–14 Nov 2005 — — — — — 15 9 — — — 47 — 23 15
9–12 Dec 2005 — — — — — 13 8 — — — 47 — 23 13
16–19 Dec 2005 — 8 — — — 17 9 — — — 37 — 21 17
Levada 20–24 Jan 2006 — — — 10 — 9 8 4 3 1 3[e] 16 25 15
Levada[1][2] — 25 — — — 9 8 — — — 37 — — 15
10–14 Feb 2006 — 25 — — — 7 7 — — — 36 — — 18
Levada 10–14 Mar 2006 — 7 — 8 — 7 8 4 3 1 4[f] 16 26 17
Levada[1][2] 20–25 Apr 2006 8 23 — — — 7 8 — — — 30 — — 15
Levada Apr 2006 18 17 — — — 16 18 7 5 4 9[g] 5 — —
Levada[1][2] 19–22 May 2006 10 25 — — — 7 7 — — — 28 — — 16
10–14 Jun 2006 11 21 — — — 6 10 — — — 30 — — 17
14–17 Jul 2006 12 22 — — — 7 9 — — — 26 — — 16
18–21 Aug 2006 10 23 — — — 8 10 — — — 12 — — 29
15–18 Sep 2006 14 27 — — — 9 8 — — — 10 — — 26
13–16 Oct 2006 11 29 — — — 9 10 — — — 8 — — 25
10–13 Nov 2006 14 23 — — — 9 8 — — — 9 — — 28
8–12 Dec 2006 19 30 — — — 5 6 — — — 9 — — 18

2007 polls

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Ivanov
UR 		Zubkov
UR 		Shoigu
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Glazyev
IND 		Rogozin
IND 		Kasyanov
RNDS / IND 		Nemtsov
IND 		Bogdanov
DPR 		Other Undecided Unsure Wouldn't
vote
Levada[1] Jan 33 21 — — 14 14 5 1 — — — 11[h] — — —
Levada[2] 19–22 Jan 17 11 — — 7 7 — — — — — 10 28 8 20
Levada[1] Feb 32 27 — — 13 13 5 2 — — — 8[h] — — —
VCIOM 3–4 Feb 22 6 — 5 4 6 1 1 0 — — 20[i] 24 — 11
10–11 Feb 20 6 — 5 5 5 1 1 0 — — 18[j] 27 — 11
15 Feb Sergey Ivanov appointed first deputy premier alongside Dmitry Medvedev
VCIOM 17–18 Feb 20 10 — 4 5 5 1 0 0 — — 13[k] 27 — 11
Levada[2] 16–19 Feb 19 16 — — 8 8 — — — — — 9 20 4 21
Levada[1] Mar 31 25 — — 15 14 6 4 — — — 8[h] — — —
ROMIR Mar 16 10 — 8 5 9 — — 1 — — 27[l] 8 — 16
Levada[2] 16–19 Mar 17 14 — — 7 6 — — — — — 8 27 8 13
Levada[1] Apr 29 31 — — 17 11 5 2 — — — 6[h] — — —
Levada[2] 13–16 Apr 18 18 — — 9 10 — — — — — 9 23 8 10
ROMIR 12–18 Apr 16 8 — 9 5 8 — — 1 — — 31[m] 6 — 16
Levada[1] May 34 31 — — 12 13 3 2 — — — 6[h] — — —
Levada[2] 11–14 May 15 12 — — 2 3 — — — — — 9 44 6 8
Levada[1] Jun 27 31 — — 14 14 5 2 — — — 7[h] — — —
Levada[2] 15–18 Jun 17 19 — — 9 9 — — — — — 8 20 10 11
ROMIR 6–12 Jul 18 14 — — 6 9 — — 2 — — 24[n] 8 — —
Levada[2] 13–16 Jul 17 22 — — 8 6 — — — — — 5 22 6 14
Levada[1] Aug 34 36 — — 12 12 1 1 — — — 3[h] — — —
Levada[2] 10–13 Aug 18 19 — — 7 6 — — — — — 3 23 10 14
Levada[1] Sep 30 34 4 — 15 11 4 <1 — — — 3[h] — — —
14 Sep Viktor Zubkov replaces Mikhail Fradkov as prime minister
Levada[1] Oct 26 25 19 — 12 13 3 — — — — 2[h] — — —
Levada[2] 12–15 Oct 5 5 — — 4 2 — — — — — 5 28 10 —
14 14 10 — 7 7 — — — — — 3 26 7 11
Levada[1] Nov 24 25 20 — 15 8 4 — — — — 4[h] — — —
Levada[2] 9–12 Nov 13 16 11 — 9 6 — — — — — 4 22 9 10
26 Nov Presidential election set for 2 March 2008
2 Dec 2007 Russian legislative election: United Russia wins supermajority
Levada 7–10 Dec 35 21 17 — 11 11 — — 1 1 — 3[o] — — —
10 Dec Outgoing president Putin endorses Dmitry Medvedev
FOM[3] 15–16 Dec 32 5 2 4 5 7 — — — — — 6[p] 28 — 10
VCIOM 15–16 Dec 44.6 — — — 4.6 4.8 — — 0.3 0.5 <1 — 30.2 — 7.8
FOM[4][5] 22–23 Dec 46 — — — 6 7 — — 1 1 — 4[q] 25 — 9
VCIOM 22–23 Dec 52.3 — — — 4.1 4.8 — — 0.4 0.4 0.3 — 22.6 — 6.8
22 Dec CEC denies registration for Vladimir Bukovsky, Nikolai Kuryanovich, other independents
Levada 21–24 Dec 79 — — — 9 9 — — 2 <1 <1 0–3[r] — — —
26 Dec Boris Nemtsov withdraws his candidacy, endorses Kasyanov

2008 polls

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Kasyanov
RNDS / IND 		Nemtsov
IND 		Bogdanov
DPR 		Spoil Undecided Wouldn't
vote
VCIOM 5–6 Jan 52.5 5.4 4.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 — 21.9 5.9
12–13 Jan 60.4 6.1 7.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 — 14.0 10.2
FOM[4] 12–13 Jan 50 6 7 — — 0 — 26 10
Levada[6] 18–21 Jan 82 9 8 <1 — <1 — — —
FOM[4] 19–20 Jan 50 6 7 — — 0 0 26 9
VCIOM 26–27 Jan 63.5 5.3 5.5 0.8 — 0.4 — 16.8 7.8
FOM[4] 26–27 Jan 54 5 7 — — 0 1 23 10
2–3 Feb 52 7 7 — — 0 1 24 9
Levada[6] 8–11 Feb 80 11 9 — — <1 — — —
FOM[4] 9–10 Feb 49 9 8 — — 1 0 22 11
FOM[7] 16–17 Feb 49.6 9.1 8.7 — — 0.6 0.6 22.1 9.3
67.8 16.3 13.7 — — 1.3 0.9 — —
FOM[8][9] 23–24 Feb 50 9 8 — — 0 1 22 10
70 15.8 12.4 — — 0.7 — — —
Election result 2 Mar 70.3 17.7 9.3 — — 1.3 1.4 — —

Polls with Vladimir Putin as a candidate

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Ivanov
UR 		Putin[s]
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		No preference Other Against
all[a] 		Undecided Unsure Wouldn't
vote
Levada[1][2] 13–16 Aug 2004 — — 49 5 6 26 15 — 8 — 12
FOM[10] 15–16 Jan 2005 — — 43 3 5 — 11[t] 6 — 16 15
FOM[11] 9–10 Jul 2005 — — 43 4 4 — 11[u] 6 — 15 16
Levada[1][2] 15–18 Jul 2005 — — 36 6 4 45 10 — 24 8 10
19–22 Aug 2005 — — 37 4 3 47 9 — 23 7 13
26–29 Sep 2005 — — 35 6 3 48 8 — 22 11 10
14–17 Oct 2005 — — 35 4 3 51 8 — 30 7 8
11–14 Nov 2005 — — 36 3 3 49 10 — 24 9 10
20–24 Jan 2006 — 0 33 3 3 53 8 — — 9 31
10–14 Feb 2006 — 1 34 4 3 52 7 — — 9 25
10–13 Mar 2006 2 2 31 3 3 53 6 — — 12 27
20–25 Apr 2006 2 — 33 4 2 52 7 — — 8 30
19–22 May 2006 2 2 32 4 3 50 7 — — 11 27
14–17 Jul 2006 2 1 40 3 3 46 5 — — 7 27
18–21 Aug 2006 2 1 40 3 4 45 6 — — 9 22
15–18 Sep 2006 2 1 39 3 3 48 5 — — 14 10
13–16 Oct 2006 2 1 37 5 3 50 3 — — 7 29
10–13 Nov 2006 2 1 38 4 4 46 4 — — 11 22
8–12 Dec 2006 3 2 36 2 2 51 4 — — 10 27
19–22 Jan 2007 5 3 34 5 2 46 10 — 25 8 10
16–19 Feb 2007 5 3 32 5 3 46 11 — 25 5 11
16–19 Mar 2007 6 3 33 4 3 47 9 — 25 9 9
13–16 Apr 2007 6 4 31 5 3 45 6 — 25 11 6
11–14 May 2007 5 3 41 3 3 41 8 — 25 7 8
15–18 Jun 2007 3 5 44 4 3 35 6 — 19 8 6
13–16 Jul 2007 3 4 48 4 3 34 4 — 18 7 8
10–13 Aug 2007 5 5 40 4 2 41 3 — 22 10 7
14–17 Sep 2007 16 18 35 8 7 44 4 — 27 7 7
FOM[12] 24–25 Nov 2007 3 1 57 3 4 — 5[v] — 16 — 10
FOM[13][14] 27–28 Nov 2007 — — —
FOM[15] 11–12 Dec 2007 3 2 60 4 4 — 7[w] — 12 — 8
FOM[16] 15–16 Dec 2007 9 2 54 4 5 — 5[x] — 12 — 9
Levada 21–24 Dec 2007 55 4 24 7 7 — 1–5[y] — — — —

Hypothetical second round polls

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev Ivanov Zubkov
Levada[1] Jan 2007 54 46 —
Feb 2007 52 48 —
Mar 2007 48 52 —
Apr 2007 45 55 —
May 2007 51 49 —
Jun 2007 46 55 [sic] —
Aug 2007 46 54 —
Sep 2007 41 59 —
Oct 2007 47 53 —
— 59 41
56 — 44
Nov 2007 47 53 —
— 57 43
57 — 43
Dec 2007 56 44 —
— 58 42
63 — 37

Exit polls

[edit]
Agency Medvedev
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Bogdanov
DPR
FOM[8][17] 67.4 19.5 10.5 1.4
VCIOM[18] 70.1 16.8 11.4 1.7
Election result 70.3 17.7 9.3 1.3

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "Against all" line was removed from Russian election ballots in 2006.
  2. ^ Ryzhkov 4%
  3. ^
  4. ^ Yavlinsky 3%, Ryzhkov 2%.
  5. ^ Yavlinsky 2%, Ryzhkov 1%.
  6. ^ Yavlinsky 3%, Ryzhkov 1%.
  7. ^ Ryzhkov 5%, Yavlinsky 4%.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Combined vote for the generic "liberal candidate". In different polls, the lists included: Irina Khakamada, Nikita Belykh, Mikhail Kasyanov, Vladimir Ryzhkov, Grigory Yavlinsky.[1]
  9. ^
  10. ^
  11. ^
  12. ^ Lavrov, Yakunin 1%, other 25%.
  13. ^ Lavrov 1%, other 30%.
  14. ^ Lavrov 2%, Yakunin 1%, other 21%.
  15. ^ Yavlinsky 3%.
  16. ^ Mironov 2%, Gryzlov 1%, other 3%.
  17. ^ Bukovsky 0%, other 4%.
  18. ^ Bukovsky, Kuryanovich, Shenin <1%.
  19. ^ Term-limited.
  20. ^ Kharitonov 3%, Glazyev 2%, Khakamada, Rogozin, Shoigu, Yavlinsky 1%, other 2%.
  21. ^ Glazyev, Kharitonov, Shoigu 2%, Khakamada, Rogozin, Yavlinsky 1%, other 2%.
  22. ^ Mironov, Shoigu, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
  23. ^ Mironov, Shoigu 2%, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
  24. ^ Shoigu 2%, Mironov, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 1%.
  25. ^ Zubkov 1%, Kasyanov, Mironov, Shoigu, Yavlinsky <1%.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008" (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2007-11-30.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Russia votes
  3. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 20 December 2007. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  4. ^ a b c d e "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 14 February 2008. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  5. ^ "Предновогодний экспресс-выпуск. Доминанты 52". FOM (in Russian). 25 December 2007. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  6. ^ a b "Президентские рейтинги. Выборы 2008". Levada Center (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2 April 2008.
  7. ^ Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)
  8. ^ a b Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC) FOM
  9. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  10. ^ "Электоральные рейтинги политиков - 2005. Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 20 January 2005. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  11. ^ "Электоральные рейтинги политиков - 2005. Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 14 July 2005. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  12. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  13. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  14. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  15. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  16. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  17. ^ Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results FOM
  18. ^ "Пресс-выпуск № 888". VCIOM (in Russian). 2 March 2008. Archived from the original on 9 March 2008.
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