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Opinion polling for the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election

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Opinion polling for the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election started early after the previous election with polls on individual parties. As electoral coalitions were formed, coalition ratings started to be polled as well. The poll results below are listed by category and ordered in reverse chronological order. Major political events are indicated chronologically between individual polls. Concurrent polling was at the time also done for the 2012 Croatian European Union membership referendum.

Exit polls

[edit]

Seat projections

[edit]

The three main national television stations contracted Ipsos Puls to conduct exit polling at 403 stations.[1][2][3]

Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ · HGS · DC Kukuriku HSS HDSSB HSP HSLS Labour Jurčić et al. Grubišić et al. HSP-AS · HČSP Ladonja
4 Dec 2011 19:50 Ipsos Puls for HRT/Nova TV/RTL Televizija 30,000 40 82 2 6 0 0 6 0 2 1 1
4 Dec 2011 19:00 Ipsos Puls for HRT/Nova TV/RTL Televizija 25,000 40 83 2 6 0 0 6 0 2 1 0

Campaign poll results

[edit]

Overall party rating

[edit]

Generic national polls are conducted to indicate overall party rating and provide a trend indicator, while the actual election is conducted not with a single electoral unit but with the Croatian Parliament electoral districts.

Cro Demoskop polling since January 2008 for the Croatian parliamentary election 2011.

The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.

Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ Kukuriku HSS HDSSB HSP HSLS Labour Jurčić et al. Other Undecided
4 Dec Election Day.[4]
3 Dec Election silence begins.[4]
29-30 Nov CRO Demoskop 1,300 19% 37.5% 4.2% 2.5% 4.4% 3.2% 5.6% 3.2% 6.4% 14%
25 Nov Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 19% 37.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 6.6% 4.3% 5.4% 14.7%
17 Nov Official candidate lists finalized.[4]
8 Nov Croatian Democratic Union signs a pre-election coalition with the Croatian Citizen Party in two electoral districts.[5]
2-3 Nov CRO Demoskop 1,300 18.3% 37.2% 3.6% 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 5.7% 3% 4.7% 18%
31 Oct General election officially called: President of the Republic agrees to a dissolution of Parliament, allowing the general election to take place on 4 December.[6]
28 Oct MPs vote to dissolve Parliament.[7]
28 Oct Former PM and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader appears in court for the first of many pending trials for corruption.[8]
27 Oct As a result of the ongoing investigation of the party's 'black funds', USKOK and the Attorney General issue an indictment against HDZ as a legal entity.[9]
25 Oct Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 20.3% 38.8% 2.5% 1.6% 4.7% 1.6% 6.3% 4.4% 6.8% 13%
13 Oct After Vladimir Šeks and HDZ caused a number of incidents in a parliamentary immunity proceedings, most of the opposition parties (Kukuriku coalition and Labour) decided to boycott the work of the Sabor. Their concerns were also echoed by SDSS which is part of the ruling coalition, causing a quorum issue.[10]
6 Oct Ljubo Jurčić signs a formal pre-election coalition agreement with the Party of Pensioners and the Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar.[11]
3-4 Oct CRO Demoskop 1,300 19% 36.7% 4.4% 2.5% 3.7% 3.5% ~5% 7.2% 18%
27 Sep HDZ reveals its manifesto for the upcoming election.[12]
26 Sep Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 20.1% 37.2% 4.2% 3.5% 4.5% 2.5% 6.1% 5.1% 7.2% 9.6%
23 Sep USKOK issues a second indictment against Ivo Sanader for taking a 10 million euro bribe from MOL[13]
18 Sep Hendal for HRT 873 10% 33.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.6% 2.4% 8.7% 40.2%
17 Sep HDZ holds its 14th party convention.[14]
15 Sep Kukuriku coalition reveals its political manifesto called 'Plan 21'.[15]
11 Sep Former HDZ treasurer Branka Pavošević testifies to USKOK about the party's 'black funds' and illegal finances used for previous elections.[16]
1-2 Sep CRO Demoskop 1,300 20.4% 37% 4.4% 2% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 7% 19.7%
25 Aug Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 20.8% 35.3% 5.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 5.3% 4.3% 9.5% 12.1%
23 Aug Prizma for HDZ 3,000 24.9% 37.8%[17][18]
1-3 Aug CRO Demoskop 1,300 20.1%[19] 37.4%[18] 4.5% <2% 3.1%[20] 2.8% 4.3% <2% N/A 20.4%
25 Jul Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 23.8%[21] 37.8%[22] 4.3% 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 4.7% N/A 9% 11%
15 Jul Kukuriku coalition leaders sign a formal pre-election coalition agreement.[23]

Seat projections

[edit]

Because the seats in the Parliament are split according to Croatian Parliament electoral districts, seat projections significantly vary from a generic overall poll.

The seat projections do not include:

  • the 8 seats from minority voters, and these representatives are not usually strictly aligned with mainstream parties
  • the 3 seats from voters residing abroad, which have in every election since independence gone to HDZ

The new composition of Parliament will have 151 seats meaning that 76 seats will be needed for a majority.

Because of the nature of the D'Hondt method and the division into constituencies, seat projections are less reliable, so some polls list tentative options, indicated in parentheses.

The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.

Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ Kukuriku HSS HDSSB HSP HSLS Labour Jurčić et al. Grubišić et al. HSP-AS Other
15-28 Nov 2011 Promocija Plus for HRT 8,000 42 79 1 4 3 1 7 1 1 1 0
15-29 Nov 2011 Ipsos Puls for Večernji list, Media servis & Nova TV 4,171 43 79 3 5 1 3 4 1 1 0 0
15-25 Nov 2011 GFK for RTL 4,000 39 85 1 4 4 1 3 1 2 0 0
11-24 Nov 2011 Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 4,000 41 83 1 3 3 1 6 1 1 0 0
4 Nov 2011 Ipsos Puls for Večernji list, Media servis & Nova TV 4,047 41 78 2
(3) 		4 1 1 7
(3) 		4 1
(0) 		1 0
14-28 Oct 2011 GFK for RTL 4,000 35 90 0 3 5 1 5 1 0 0 0
25 Oct 2011 Promocija Plus for HNS[24] 8,000 44 77 2
(2) 		4
(1) 		2 0
(4) 		6 2
(3) 		0 0 3

Early polling

[edit]

Overall party rating

[edit]

Generic national polls are conducted to indicate overall party rating and provide a trend indicator, while the actual election is conducted not with a single electoral unit but with the Croatian Parliament electoral districts.

The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.

  • CRO Demoskop poll performance since the last general election: Six parties
    CRO Demoskop poll performance since the last general election: Six parties
  • Ipsos Puls poll performance since February, 2009: Five parties
    Ipsos Puls poll performance since February, 2009: Five parties

2011

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ SDP HNS-LD HSS HSU HSP HSLS Other Undecided HDZ coalition SDP coalition
1-2 Jul CRO Demoskop 1,300 18.4% 27.9% 5.5% 4.4% 3.2% 3.5% 2.2% N/A N/A 21.5%[25] 38%[22]
26 Jun Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 19.3% 26.6% 4.7% 4.7% 3.9% 4.6% 4.4% 17.3% 14.5% 20.6%[25] 35.9%[22]
2-3 Jun CRO Demoskop[dead link‍] 1,300 17.8% 29.8% 6.2% 3.9% 3.1% 3.5% 2.1% N/A N/A 19.9% 39.8%
25 May Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 20.3% 30.3% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 6.1% 2.9% 7.9% 14.7% 22%[25] 38.2%[22]
16 May GFK for RTL 600 8% 26.4% 3.3% 0.9% 2.6% 1.5% 1.5% N/A 40.9%
2–3 May CRO Demoskop 1,300 18% 29% 5.9% 4.5% 3.1% 3.6% 2.6% N/A N/A 19.9%[25] 39.8%[22]
22 Apr Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 20.9% 26.9% 4.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4% 2.6% 16.8% 17.8% 22.5%[25] 33.2%[22]
15 Apr Former Croatian general Ante Gotovina is sentenced to 24 years in prison by ICTY after being found guilty of war crimes during Operation Storm.[26]
1-3 Apr CRO Demoskop 1,300 18.3% 29.2% 5.9% 5.1% 3% 3.1% 3.2% N/A N/A 21.2%[25] 40.4%[22]
24 Mar Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 17% 27.8% 5.5% 3.1% 5.1% 5.3% 2% 15.8% 18.4% 18.9%[25] 40.9%[22]
20 Mar Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 15.1% 26.7% 5% 1.3% 3.1% 1.5% 2.2% N/A 15.9%
14 Mar GFK for RTL 600 6.6% 30% 3.3% 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 0.4% N/A 41.7%
4 Mar CRO Demoskop 1,300 19.2% 29.9% 5.9% 5.1% 2.9% 4% 3.1% N/A N/A 24.4%[25] 41.2%[22]
2 Mar Anti-government protests are held across the country. The protesters burn the flags of major political parties as well as the flag of Europe and calling for an early general election.[27]
24 Feb Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 22% 29% 6.3% 4.5% 5.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.1% 12.6% 24.2%[25] 44.3%[22]
1-2 Feb CRO Demoskop 1,300 21.9% 31% 5.6% 5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% N/A N/A 27.8%[25] 42%[22]
25 Jan Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 22.5% 33.3% 5.2% 4.8% 4.1% 4.4% N/A 12.5% 11.1% 24.2%[28] 44.3%[18]
3-4 Jan CRO Demoskop 1,300 22.6% 31.2% 6% 5.1% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% N/A N/A 27.9%[25] 41.2%[22]

2010

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ SDP HNS-LD HSS HSU HSP HSLS Other Undecided HDZ coalition SDP coalition
27 Dec Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor reshuffles the Cabinet with four ministerial changes as well as adding a new vice-presidential post.[29]
25 Dec Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 24.7% 32% 6.9% 5.4% 3.9% 3.6% 4.2% N/A N/A 27.4%[30] 47%[18]
10 Dec Ivo Sanader is arrested in Salzburg, Austria.[31]
9 Dec Former Prime Minister and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader flees the country after he is indicted under charges of corruption.[32] He is put on the Interpol wanted list.[33]
7 Dec Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[1] 4,000 21.2% 34.3% 6.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.4% 3.7% 14.2% 7.9% 20.5%[28] 44%[18]
30 Nov-1 Dec CRO Demoskop 1,300 22.1% 32.8% 6.2% 5.2% 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% N/A N/A 27.5%[25] 41.6%[22]
25 Nov Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 24.3% 31.4% 6.4% 4.2% 3.9% 3.6% 3.5% 12.9% 9.8% 25.5%[28] 42.1%[18]
23 Nov Leaders of the four main opposition parties: SDP, HNS-LD, IDS and HSU; sign a declaration in Kastav officially forming a coalition for the next parliamentary election called Alliance for Change[34]
2-3 Nov CRO Demoskop 1,300 22.3% 32.8% 6.2% 5.3% 3.5% 3.1% 3.1% N/A N/A 27.6%[17] 43.7%[17]
29 Oct Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 22% 31% 6.4% 5.5% 3.6% N/A N/A 15.4% 13.7% 25.2%[28] 40.5%[18]
15 Oct Former Vice President of the Government Damir Polančec is sentenced to 15 months in prison for abuse of power while Minister of the Economy. A letter surfaces where Polančec accuses Prime Minister Kosor and the Vice President of Parliament Vladimir Šeks of knowing the judge's verdict over a month before it was actually sentenced.[35]
13 Oct Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader reactivates his mandate in Parliament.[36]
4-5 Oct CRO Demoskop 1,300 23% 32.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.8% 2.9% 2.9% N/A N/A 28.2%[17] 43%[17]
30 Sep Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 26% 31.4% 7.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.3% N/A 9% 10.3% 25.1%[28] 41.6%[18]
1-2 Sep CRO Demoskop 1,300 23.4% 32.3% 6% 5.1% 3% 2.2% 3.2% N/A N/A 28.5%[17] 42.6%[17]
31 Aug Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 964 25.7% 34.1% 5.6% 5.9% 5.5% N/A 3.8% 8.4% N/A 25.8%[28] 42.9%[18]
1-2 Aug CRO Demoskop 1,300 22.7% 30.9% 6.2% 5.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.9% N/A N/A 27.9% 41.7%
28 Jul Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 25.8% 30.8% 6.5% 6.1% 7% 4.2% 3% 8% N/A 29.9%[28] 40.5%[18]
13-16 Jul Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 700 25.4% 32.4% 4.4% 3.7% 1.4% 2.4% 1.6% 6.2% 19.5% 25%[25] 44%[22]
12 Jul The Government signs an agreement with three independents: the Croatian Social Liberal Party's two former representatives and Zlatko Horvat. This brings the governing coalition from 82 to 83 of 153 seats in parliament.[37]
11 Jul The leaders of the four main opposition parties: SDP, HNS-LD, IDS and HSU; hold a meeting in Baranja and announce their intention to form a coalition for the next general election.
10 Jul Darinko Kosor, the leader of the Croatian Social Liberal Party, announce his party's decision to leave the governing coalition.
1-2 Jul CRO Demoskop 1,300 22.5% 31.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.1% 2.5% 1.7% N/A N/A
30 Jun Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 24.5% 34.7% 6.6% 6.5% 3.9% 4% N/A N/A N/A 30.7% 44.7%
24 Jun Labour Unions announce they have collected the necessary number of signatures to trigger a binding referendum against the new labour bill proposed by the Government.
1-2 Jun CRO Demoskop 1,300 23.9% 30.5% 6.1% 5% 3% 2.6% 1.7% N/A N/A
31 May Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 28% 30% 8.4% 6.1% 3.9% 4.1% N/A 18.7% N/A 33%[25] 42%[22]
3–4 May CRO Demoskop 1,300 23.4% 30.8% 6% 4.9% 2.8% 2.5% 1.6% N/A N/A
30 Apr Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 962 29.7% 30.4% 8.4% 4.8% 5.1% N/A N/A 11% 10% 36.4% 39.8%
31 Mar-1 April CRO Demoskop 1,300 24.3% 31% 5.9% 5.1% 3% 2.8% N/A N/A N/A
30 Mar Former Vice President of the Government of Croatia Damir Polančec, the Minister of the Economy in the Sanader II and, until his resignation, the current Kosor cabinet is arrested under charges of corruption during his tenure as a member of government.
25 Mar Ipsos Puls for Nova TV ? 27.7% 33% 6.9% 5.4% 4.4% 4.1% N/A 7.5% 11%
4 Mar CRO Demoskop 1,300 24% 32.2% 5.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.9% 2.2% N/A N/A
27 Feb Ipsos Puls for Nova TV ? 30.2% 33.4% 7.7% 5.1% 4.2% 3.4% 2.8% 4.9% N/A 37.9%[25] 42%[22]
3 Feb CRO Demoskop 1,300 24% 32.6% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.7% 2% N/A N/A
29 Jan Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 27.6% 34% 8.3% 5.9% 5.7% 2.7% 2% N/A N/A 32.9%[38] 45.2%[39]
10 Jan SDP presidential candidate Ivo Josipović is elected the third President of the Republic.
4-5 Jan CRO Demoskop 1,300 23.5% 33% 6.2% 4.7% 2.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 Jan Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader issues a press conference attacking Jadranka Kosor, Andrija Hebrang and most of the HDZ party leaders for their 'failed leadership', announcing his return. He is expelled from the party the day after.

2009

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ SDP HNS-LD HSS HSU HSP HSLS Other Undecided
31 Dec Ipsos Puls for Nova TV ? 27% 33% 7.8% 5.5% 4.9% N/A N/A 12.2% 9.6%
30 Nov-1 Dec CRO Demoskop 1,300 24.2% 31% 6.8% 5.2% 3.3% 2.2% 2% 9% 18.5%
30 Nov Ipsos Puls for Nova TV ? 26.3% 32% 7.3% 5.2% 5.5% 3.8% N/A 7.5% 12.4%
4 Nov CRO Demoskop 1,300 24.6% 30.8% 6.5% 4.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 Oct Ipsos Puls for Nova TV ? 27.1% 31.7% 7.5% 7.3% 5.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 Oct Damir Polančec, member of the HDZ Presidency, resigns as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of the Economy following allegations of corruption.
31 Sep-1 Oct CRO Demoskop 1,300 24.1% 30.2% 7.1% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2% 1.3% 7.1% 21.2%
3 Sep CRO Demoskop 1,300 21.9% 30.5% 6.9% 5.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Aug Ipsos Puls for Nova TV ? 23.3% 34.8% 7.6% 5.5% 6.9% 3.1% N/A 8.3% 10%
1-2 Jul CRO Demoskop 1,300 23.7% 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Jul Prime Minister Ivo Sanader resigns giving no specific reason. Jadranka Kosor becomes the new Prime Minister.
6 May CRO Demoskop 1,300 25.3% 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 Mar Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 30% 29.5% 7.4% 7.6% 4.1% 3.6% N/A 8.3% 9.5%
5 Mar CRO Demoskop 1,300 23% 29.5% 5.3% 5% 3.1% 3.4% N/A N/A N/A
28 Feb Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 29.3% 29% 8.1% 8% 4.8% N/A N/A 8.8% 12%
5 Feb CRO Demoskop 1,300 25% 28.3% 5.6% 5.1% 3.3% 3.1% 1.3% N/A N/A

2008

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ SDP HNS-LD HSS HSU HSP HSLS Other Undecided
3-4 Oct CRO Demoskop 1,300 27.7% 29.2% 5.3% 5% 2.2% 4.2% 1.3% 6.7% N/A
31 Jul-1 Aug CRO Demoskop 1,300 31.8% 31.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 Jul CRO Demoskop 1,300 32.9% 31.9% 5.4% 5.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
2 May CRO Demoskop 1,300 33.7% 31.5% 5.4% 5.2% N/A 1.8% N/A N/A N/A
4 Feb CRO Demoskop 1,300 35.6% 33.8% 5.4% 4.1% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 Jan The sixth assembly of Parliament is constituted.
7 Jan CRO Demoskop 1,300 34.7% 33.1% 5.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% N/A N/A

2007

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ SDP HNS-LD HSS HSU HSP HSLS Other Undecided
25 Nov 2007 parliamentary election 2,429,078 36.6% 31.2% 6.8% 6.5%* 4.1%* 3.5% 6.5%* 10.7% N/A

* – HSS and HSLS contested the election together, with HSS being the senior partner. HSU contested the election with another smaller party.

Seat projections

[edit]

The seat projections do not include:

  • the 8 seats from minority voters, and these representatives are not usually strictly aligned with mainstream parties
  • the 3 seats from voters residing abroad, which have in every election since independence gone to HDZ

The new composition of Parliament will have 151 seats meaning that 76 seats will be needed for a majority.

The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.

Coalition rating

[edit]
Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ-HSS-DC SDP-HNS-IDS-HSU Other
7 December 2010 Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 2,619 41 85 14
25 November 2010 Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 49 80 11

Party rating

[edit]

The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.

Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size HDZ SDP HNS-LD HSS HDSSB IDS HSU HSP HSLS Other
7 Dec 2010 Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 4,000 42 69 9 4 4 2 2 4 2 2
25 Nov 2010 Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,000 50 68 8 2 3 4 1 1 1 2

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Kukuriku ima apsolutnu većinu od 80 mandata, HDZ ih osvaja 47 - Odluka 2011". Archived from the original on 2011-12-06. Retrieved 2011-05-28.
  2. ^ "HRT: Naslovnica".
  3. ^ "Kukuriku koalicija premoćno osvaja izbore! — RTL Televizija". Archived from the original on 2011-12-06. Retrieved 2011-12-04.
  4. ^ a b c "Na izborima se natječu 4382 kandidata, opet pretežu muškarci". Vjesnik (in Croatian). 2011-11-17. Archived from the original on 19 November 2011. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
  5. ^ "Kosor i Kerum u koaliciji: Zašto smo potpisali sporazum? Želimo okupiti sve koji misle HRVATSKI!" (in Croatian). 2011-11-08. Retrieved 2011-12-18.
  6. ^ "Josipović raspisao izbore" [Josipović calls election] (in Croatian). Nacional (weekly). 31 October 2011. Archived from the original on 2012-09-09. Retrieved 1 July 2012.
  7. ^ Pogledajte sve snimke sa suđenja Sanaderu, Nova TV
  8. ^ Ovo su bili najzanimljiviji trenuci u Saboru!, Nova TV
  9. ^ J. Kosor: Neću dati ostavku i nećemo dopustiti da se HDZ uruši, Večernji list
  10. ^ "Parl't speaker, HDZ MPS call on Opposition to reconsider boycott - Daily - tportal.hr". Archived from the original on 2012-07-09. Retrieved 2011-10-28.
  11. ^ Ljubo Jurčić, SU i PGS zajedno na izbore Archived 2012-05-27 at the Wayback Machine, Nova TV, 2011-10-06, accessed 2011-11-26
  12. ^ HDZ predstavio izborni program: Bez novih poreza i s olakšicama za ulagače Archived 2011-10-03 at the Wayback Machine, iPress.hr
  13. ^ Sanader mora vratiti 10 milijuna eura
  14. ^ KOSOR 'ZAPALILA' HDZ-OVCE U ARENI: 'Ovih dana nas blate kao Tuđmana 90-ih', tportal.hr
  15. ^ Pogledajte što je Milanović obećao Hrvatskoj, tportal.hr
  16. ^ Iskopana tajna: HDZ s prljavih 13 milijuna kuna financirao Jadranku Kosor, ali i Houdeka, Škoru, Kindl..., Jutarnji list
  17. ^ a b c d e f g Sum of "known electoral blocs"
  18. ^ a b c d e f g h i j SDP-HNS-IDS-HSU
  19. ^ Possible HDZ-DC coalition given 20.5% support
  20. ^ Potential coalition of HSP/HČSP/A-HSP given 3.6%
  21. ^ Possible HDZ coalition given 25.3% support
  22. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Lijevi blok (left-wing bloc) or Lijeva koalicija (left-wing coalition) or Savez za promjene (Alliance for Change)
  23. ^ Ugovor Kukuriku koalicije - S HDZ-om nitko neće ni u slučaju izbornog poraza!, tportal.hr, 2011-07-23, accessed 2011-11-26
  24. ^ Sandra Bartolović (25 October 2011). "Tanka pobjeda Milanovića, potop HDZ-a" [Narrow victory for Milanović, disaster for HDZ] (in Croatian). Nacional (weekly). Archived from the original on 27 December 2011. Retrieved 1 July 2012.
  25. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Desni blok (right-wing bloc) or Vladajuća koalicija (governing coalition)
  26. ^ HAŠKA PRESUDA: Gotovina je izgledao mirno, a u njemu je ključalo. Čeljust mu se tresla, Jutarnji list
  27. ^ Rastrgali zastavu HDZ-a, zapalili SDP-ovu i EU-a Archived 2011-08-17 at the Wayback Machine, Novi list
  28. ^ a b c d e f g HDZ-HSS-DC
  29. ^ Premijerka Kosor pokazala tko su ljudi na koje računa u HDZ-u i vlasti, Jutarnji list
  30. ^ HDZ-HSS
  31. ^ Croatian ex-PM Ivo Sanader arrested in Austria, BBC News
  32. ^ Sanader u bijegu: Preko granice ga odvezla kći, on čitao novine, Večernji list
  33. ^ Wanted: SANADER, Ivo, Interpol
  34. ^ Počelo je rušenje HDZ-a: Vlada lijevog centra predstavila Deklaraciju "Savez za promjene", Index.hr
  35. ^ Polancec releases statement on meetings with HDZ leaders Archived 2011-10-02 at the Wayback Machine, tportal.hr
  36. ^ Sanader se vraća u Sabor i dobiva zastupnički imunitet, Net.hr
  37. ^ Prije izlaska HSLS-a imali 82, a sada imaju 83 ruke u Saboru!, Jutarnji List
  38. ^ HDZ-HSS-HSLS
  39. ^ SDP-HNS-IDS
Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 | Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2011_Croatian_parliamentary_election
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