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Opinion polling for the 2013 Israeli legislative election

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 9 min

Main article: Israeli legislative election, 2013

Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that dropped out or did not poll consistently.

Polling

[edit]

By party

[edit]
Date Poll Kadima Likud Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Labor Shas UTJ National
Union 		Jewish
Home 		UAL
-Ta'al 		Hadash Balad Meretz Yesh
Atid 		Otzma Am
Shalem 		Hatnuah
2009 election results 28 27 15 13 11 5 4 3 4 4 3 3 — — — —
Seats in the outgoing Knesset 21 27 15 8 10 5 2 3 4 4 3 3 — 2 1 7
Final results[1] 2 31 15 11 7 12 4 4 3 6 19 0 0 6
2013
22 Jan Channel 1 exit poll[2] 0 31 17 11 6 12 3 3 2 7 19 2 0 7
22 Jan Channel 2 exit poll[2] 0 31 17 12 6 12 3 4 2 7 19 0 0 7
22 Jan Channel 10 exit poll[2] 0 31 17 13 6 12 4 5 2 6 18 0 0 6
18 Jan Yedioth Ahronot/Dahaf[3] 2 32 17 11 6 12 4 4 3 6 13 2 8
17 Jan Haaretz/Dialogue[4] 2 32 17 12 5 14 3 5 4 6 12 8
17 Jan Knesset Channel/Panels Politics 3 34 16 10 6 14 4 4 3 6 11 2 7
17 Jan Israel Hayom/The New Wave[5] 2 35 17 11 6 15 3 4 3 5 12 7
17 Jan Maariv/Ma'agar Mochot[6] 3 37 15 12 6 14 3 4 3 7 8 2 1 5
16 Jan Channel 10/Dialogue[7] 2 32 16 11 6 14 3 4 4 6 11 2 9
16 Jan Walla!/TNS-Teleseker[8] 3 34 18 10 6 15 4 3 3 5 11 2 6
15 Jan Channel 2/Dahaf[9] 2 33 17 11 6 12 3 4 3 6 11 2 9
14 Jan Knesset Channel/Panels Politics[10] 3 35 17 9 5 14 4 3 3 5 11 3 8
12 Jan Channel1/Midgam[11] 2 33 16 10 5 15 4 4 3 6 10 3 9
11 Jan Yisrael Post/Sof Hashavua[12] 2 34 17 9 6 14 4 3 3 5 11 3 9
11 Jan Jerusalem Post/Smith[13] 2 34 18 10 6 14 4 4 3 4 10 3 8
11 Jan Yediot/Dahaf[14] 2 33 18 10 5 14 4 4 3 6 11 2 8
11 Jan Yisrael Hayom/New Wave[15] 2 35 17 11 6 14 3 4 4 4 11 9
11 Jan Maariv/Maagar[16] 3 38 16 12 6 13 3 4 3 5 8 1 1 7
10 Jan Geocartography[17] 34 16.5 11 6 15 3 4 5 5.5 12 5
10 Jan Mako & Channel2/Panels[18] 2 33 16 10 6 15 4 3 4 5 10 2 2 8
10 Jan Reshet Bet/Sarid[19] 2 34 17 9 7 14 3 4 3 4 9 2 1 7
10 Jan Channel 2/Dahaf[20] 2 33 18 10 5 14 4 4 3 6 11 2 11
9 Jan News1/Reshet Bet/Machon Sarid[21] 2 34 17 9 7 14 3 4 3 4 9 2 7
8 Jan Walla/TNS-Teleseker[22] 34 18 11 6 13 4 4 2 4 11 2 11
7 Jan Channel 10/Dialog[23] 2 35 17 12 6 14 4 3 4 5 11 7
7 Jan Panels Politics, Mako[24] 32 16 10 6 16 11 5 10 3 2 9
7 Jan Times of Israel[25] 34 21 10 6 15 12 6 11 5
3 Jan Jerusalem Post, Globes/Smith[26] 2 32 17 10 5 16 3 4 4 4 10 3 10
3 Jan Israel Radio/Geocartography[27] 35 18 8 7 18 11 7 5 6 6
2 Jan Haaretz/Dialog[28] 2 34 16 11 6 14 4 4 4 4 9 2 10
1 Jan Channel 2/Dahaf[29] 33 17 11 6 13 4 4 3 5 11 2 11
2012
27 Dec Globes/Rafi Smith[30] 34 18 11 6 14 3 4 4 4 10 2 10
27 Dec Reshet Bet/Meno Geva[31] 34 16 13 6 15 4 4 3 5 9 11
25 Dec Dialog[32] 2 35 17 13 6 13 11 4 9 10
21 Dec Maariv/Maagar[33] 37 20 11 6 12 4 3 3 4 7 2 9
20 Dec Reshet Bet[34] 36 19 11 6 11 3 4 3 4 11 3 9
18 Dec Channel 2/Dahaf[35] 35 19 11 6 12 4 4 3 3 9 2 2 10
14 Dec Yedioth Ahronoth/Dahaf[36] 35 19 11 6 11 4 4 3 4 8 2 11
14 Dec Maariv/Maagar[37] 1 38 20 12 6 11 10 3 8 1 1 9
14 Dec Jerusalem Post/Geocartography[38] 0 35 17 10 6 16 4 4 3 6 12 0 0 7
13 Dec Knesset Channel/Panels[39] 0 36 18 9 6 13 5 4 2 5 7 3 2 9
12 Dec Jerusalem Post/Smith Research[38] 0 39 19 10 6 10 3 4 4 4 9 0 3 9
11 Dec Walla/Tns-Teleseker[40] 4 38 17 11 5 9 5 3 3 3 11 0 0 11
10 Dec Haaretz/Dialog[41] 2 39 17 12 6 11 5 4 3 3 6 0 3 9
6 Dec Channel 2[42][43] 2 38 19 13 6 12 3 3 3 2 5 1 3 10
6 Dec Atzmaut announces withdrawal
6 Dec Knesset Channel/Panels[44] 2 36 19 10 5 12 11 5 8 3 3 6
6 Dec Reshet Bet/Meno Geva[45] 0 36 20 10 6 11 4 3 4 3 9 3 2 9
5 Dec Channel 10/Dialog[46] 2 37 20 10 6 11 5 3 3 4 7 0 3 9
29 Nov Yisrael Hayom/New Wave[47] 2 39 20 11 5 10 3 4 3 4 10 0 2 7
29 Nov Yedioth Ahronoth/Dahaf[47] 0 37 19 11 5 10 4 4 3 5 9 2 2 9
29 Nov Globes/Smith[48] 0 37 20 11 6 11 3 4 4 5 10 3 6
28 Nov Haaretz/Dialog[49] 2 39 18 11 6 8 11 5 8 2 3 7
22 Nov Knesset Channel/Panels[50] 0 33 24 10 6 13 10 6 11 4 3
18 Nov Panels[51] 0 38 22 9 5 11 10 5 13 3 4
18 Nov Haaretz/Dialogue[52] 3 41 21 12 5 8 5 3 4 4 9 3
13 Nov MAKO/Panels[53] 2 36 21 10 5 12 9 5 15 3
8 Nov Knesset Channel/Panels[54] 0 36 23 10 5 13 11 5 13 4
6 Nov Channel 2/Maagar[55] 3 39 22 14 6 7 10 3 10
5–6 Nov Maagar[56] 4 39 22 15 6 7 9 2 10
4 Nov Yedioth Ahronoth[57][58][59] 0 35 24 13 6 5 11 4 15 2
28 Oct Maariv/Teleseker[60] 4 43 20 10 6 8 11 3 15
28 Oct Channel 2/Maagar[61] 3 42 23 13 5 5 10 6 9
28 Oct Channel 10/Panels[62] 5 35 23 14 6 9 11 4 13
25 Oct Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu announce joint list
18 Oct Haaretz/Dialog[63] 9 29 13 20 11 6 6 4 4 3 5 11
17 Oct Globes[64] 3 25 15 18 13[a] 6 4 5 11[b] 4 14
11 Oct Maariv/Teleseker[65] 6 29 13 17 10 5 2 5 4 3 3 4 17
10 Oct Haaretz/Dialog[66] 7 29 15 19 10 6 8 5 4 2 4 11
28 Sept Haaretz/Dialog[67] 8 28 14 20 11 7 6 5 4 2 5 8
1 Aug Globes[68] 4 27 15 19 9 6 4 5 11 4 13
31 Jul Haaretz/Dialog[69] 7 25 15 21 11 6 7 4 4 2 4 12
26 Jul Globes[68] 7 28 16 18 9 6 3 4 11 4 11
20 Jul Yediot Aharonot/Dahaf[70] 7 25 13 21 10 4 6 4 11 4 13
17 Jul Maariv/Maagar[71] 7 27 16 17 9 6 3 3 10 4 11
17 Jul Kadima leaves the coalition
17 May Knesset Channel/Panels[72] 3 30 12 20 6 5 6 3 3 4 3 6 17
13 May Globes/Smith[73] 9 31 13 17 7 5 3 3 10 4 11
8 May Maariv/TNS[74] 10 30 12 20 7 6 4 4 11 4 12
8 May Haaretz/Dialog[75] 11 33 15 19 8 6 5 10 6 6
8 May Kadima joins the coalition
1 May Maariv/TNS[76] 11 31 12 18 8 6 4 4 10 5 11
1 May Haaretz/Dialog[77] 11 32 14 19 8 6 5 4 4 2 5 10
30 Apr Ynet/Dahaf[78] 11 30 13 18 7 6 2 2 11 5 11
26 Apr Israel Hayom/New Wave[79] 13 31 14 17 9 5 3 2 10 4 12
22–23 Apr JPost/Smith[80] 13 31 15 15 8 6 4 3 11 3 11
29 Mar TNS[81] 13 30 13 18 7 6 4 4 10 4 11
28 Mar Dahaf[82] 12 29 13 18 8 6 4 2 11 3 12
28 Mar Channel 10/Dialog[83] 15 32 14 15 9 5 5 5 9
27 Mar Shaul Mofaz wins 2012 Kadima leadership election
21 Mar Yedioth Ahronoth[84] 12 29 14 13 8 6 3 3 11 3 14
9 Mar Teleseker[85] 14 27 14 14 8 4 4 4 10 5 11
4–5 Mar Haaretz/Dialog[86] 12 35 15 14 9 7 5 3 5 2 5 8
29 Feb Globes/Smith[87] 15 29 15 14 10 5 4 4 10 3 11
17 Feb Geocartography[88] 12 39 13 12 9 5 10 10 4 6
31 Jan Benjamin Netanyahu wins 2012 Likud leadership election
27 Jan Globes/Smith[89] 13 30 14 15 10 6 5 3 3 4 3 3 11
18 Jan Maagar[90] 9 28 17 15 7 6 5 4 11 3 8
17 Jan Geocartography[91] 11 33 16 13 8 6 2 3 11 4 13
10 Jan New Wave[92] 14 28 14 15 9 5 2 3 10 5 15
9 Jan Dahaf[93] 8 28 16 14 6 6 2 4 11 4 14
9 Jan Teleseker[94] 15 26 14 17 7 4 8 10 3 12
9 Jan Panels[95] 9 29 13 12 8 20
8 Jan Maagar[96] 12 27 17 14 7 6 5 4 11 3 7
8 Jan Haaretz[97] 10 24 14 15 15
2011
29 Dec Globes/Smith[89] 19 31 14 18 11 6 4 3 10 4
27 Oct Channel 2/Sarid[98] 17 37 15 22
26 Sept Maagar[96] 17 27 17 19 9 6 4 3 9 4 2
21 Sept Shelly Yachimovich wins 2011 Israeli Labor Party leadership election
5 Aug Maagar[99] 25 29 16 11 13 5 4 3 9 4
2 May Globes/Smith[100] 26 29 18 8 11 5 5 4 10 3
17 Jan Channel 10/Dialog[101] 27 30 17 6 6
2009 election results 28 27 15 13 11 5 4 3 4 4 3 3 — — — —
Seats in the outgoing Knesset 21 27 15 8 10 5 2 3 4 4 3 3 — 2 1 7
Date Poll Kadima Likud Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Labor Shas UTJ National
Union 		Jewish
Home 		UAL
-Ta'al 		Hadash Balad Meretz Yesh
Atid 		Otzma Am
Shalem 		Hatnuah
Notes
  1. ^ If Aryeh Deri leads Shas.
  2. ^ Hadash polled at 4 seats.
Hypothetical polling

The following table contains polls if Tzipi Livni had been leader of Kadima.

Date Poll Kadima Likud Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Labor Shas UTJ National
Union 		Jewish
Home 		UAL
-Ta'al 		Hadash Balad Meretz Yesh
Atid 		Aryeh
Deri
Seats won in 2009 28 27 15 13 11 5 4 3 4 4 3 3
2012
27 Mar Shaul Mofaz wins 2012 Kadima leadership election
21 Mar Yedioth Ahronoth[84] 15 29 12 13 8 6 3 3 11 4 13 2
9 Mar Teleseker[85] 16 27 14 14 8 4 4 4 10 5 10
4–5 Mar Haaretz/Dialog[86] 10 37 16 14 9 7 5 3 5 2 5 7
31 Jan Benjamin Netanyahu wins 2012 Likud leadership election
18 Jan Maagar[90] 13 26 17 14 7 6 5 4 11 3 7 3
9 Jan Dahaf[93] 13 28 15 13 6 6 2 4 11 4 11 5
9 Jan Teleseker[94] 15 27 14 18 8 5 8 10 3 12

For prime minister

[edit]

Incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Nentanyahu has maintained a healthy plurality lead in every poll to date.

Date Poll Netanyahu Mofaz Yachimovich Lieberman Lapid Neither/Don't know
2012
28-29 Nov Yisrael Hayom/New Wave[47] 32.8% 4.6% 11.8% 3.8% 3.8% 22.6%
28-29 Nov Maariv/Dahaf[47] 62% - 19% - - 19%
68% - - - 17% 15%
5–6 Nov Maagar[56] 44% 1% 8% - 1% 21%
10 Oct Haaretz/Dialog[66][102] 57-62% 16% - - - -
- 17% - - n/a
23 Sept Haaretz/Dialog[67] 35% 6% 16% 8% - 31%
31 Jul Haaretz/Dialog[69] 29% 5% 16% 14% 7% 28%
17 Jul Maariv/Maagar[70] 41% - 7% - - 52%
44% 6% - - - 50%
37% - - 16% - 47%
17 Jul Kadima leaves the coalition
8 May Kadima joins the coalition
8 May New Wave[103] 39.8% 4.5% 11.3% 4.2% 7.2% 28%
1 May Maariv/TNS[76] 63.5% 16.3% - - - 16.6%
62.0% - 22.8% - - 12.1%
70.6% - - 9.5% - 18.1%
26 Apr New Wave[79] 29.1% 4.6% 9.2% 9.2% 7% 40.9%
28 Mar Dahaf[82] 54% 16% - - - 30%
27 Mar Shaul Mofaz wins 2012 Kadima leadership election
9 Mar Teleseker[85] 66.4% 10.3% - - - 21.2%
31 Jan Benjamin Netanyahu wins 2012 Likud leadership election
9 Jan Teleseker[94] 60.5% 9.6% - - - 29.9%
57.7% - - - 19.7% 22.6%
Hypothetical polling

The following table contains polls if Tzipi Livni had been leader of Kadima.

Date Poll Netanyahu Livni Yachimovich Lieberman Don't know
2012
28-29 Nov Maariv/Dahaf[47] 55% 30% - - 15%
27 Mar Shaul Mofaz wins 2012 Kadima leadership election
9 Mar Teleseker[85] 62.2% 24.6% - - 11.7%
31 Jan Benjamin Netanyahu wins 2012 Likud leadership election
9 Jan Teleseker[94] 55% 23.5% - - 21.5%
2011
10 Oct Channel 10/Dialog[104] 36% 13% 17% 14% 20%
5 Aug Maagar[99] 51% 28% 4% 17% -

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
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