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Opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish local elections (Catalonia)
From Wikipedia - Reading time: 9 min
In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Catalonia are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
[edit]Badalona
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GBC | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 57.5 | 34.2 10 |
14.1 4 |
7.9 2 |
6.7 2 |
11.0 3 |
[a] | 5.6 1 |
[a] | 17.5 5 |
16.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[1][2][3] | 13–14 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 39.3 12/13 |
19.9 6 |
10.0 3 |
6.0 1/2 |
7.1 2 |
[a] | 4.8 0/1 |
[a] | 9.1 2/3 |
19.4 |
| Llorente & Cuenca[4] | 31 Oct 2014 | ? | ? | ? 9/10 |
? 7/8 |
? 2/4 |
? 2/4 |
? 1/2 |
? 1/2 |
– | ? 2/3 |
– | ? |
| CUP[b][5][6] | 14–26 Jul 2014 | 400 | 64 | 17.4 6 |
12.8 3 |
8.9 2 |
10.6 3 |
17.4 5 |
6.4 1 |
7.1 2 |
17.4 5 |
– | Tie |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 52.1 | 33.5 11 |
27.1 9 |
12.5 4 |
8.9 3 |
3.7 0 |
1.8 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | – | 6.4 |
Barcelona
[edit]Girona
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 56.0 | 32.6 10 |
14.5 4 |
6.0 1 |
14.9 4 |
4.2 0 |
15.2 4 |
7.5 2 |
17.4 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[7][8] | 24 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? 9/10 |
? 3/4 |
? 2/3 |
? 5/6 |
? 0/1 |
? 4/5 |
? 0/1 |
? |
| GESOP/El Periódico[1][9][10] | 8–9 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 35.7 10/11 |
15.7 4 |
9.4 2 |
13.0 3/4 |
5.0 0/1 |
11.0 3 |
6.0 1/2 |
20.0 |
| PSC[11][12] | 11 Jun 2014 | 500 | ? | ? 9/10 |
? 4/5 |
? 2/3 |
? 2/3 |
? 1/2 |
? 4 |
? 0/1 |
? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 51.7 | 31.5 10 |
23.4 7 |
11.7 3 |
9.3 3 |
7.0 2 |
5.0 0 |
1.3 0 |
8.1 |
Igualada
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | SI |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 59.0 | 45.6 11 |
11.9 3 |
15.0 3 |
6.2 1 |
6.3 1 |
3.4 0 |
0.7 0 |
9.4 2 |
30.6 |
| Opinòmetre[13][14] | 17 Apr 2015 | 400 | ? | ? 9/10 |
? 2/3 |
? 4/5 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
– | ? 1 |
? |
| Ràdio Igualada[15][16] | 30 Mar–11 Apr 2015 | 200 | ? | 40.0 10/11 |
14.6 3/4 |
15.1 3/4 |
4.9 0/1 |
5.9 1 |
4.9 0/1 |
0.5 0 |
7.6 1/2 |
24.9 |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 57.7 | 41.2 10 |
20.6 5 |
9.0 2 |
7.8 2 |
6.4 1 |
5.8 1 |
3.0 0 |
– | 20.6 |
L'Hospitalet de Llobregat
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
PxC |
|
|
|
G | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 53.4 | 33.2 11 |
9.9 3 |
6.0 1 |
10.2 3 |
3.9 0 |
9.0 2 |
13.2 4 |
5.1 1 |
7.5 2 |
20.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[1][17][18] | 14 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 37.4 12 |
12.2 3/4 |
7.2 2 |
7.0 2 |
6.1 1/2 |
7.3 2 |
13.5 4 |
– | – | 23.9 |
| Llorente & Cuenca[4] | 31 Oct 2014 | ? | ? | ? 11/12 |
? 4/6 |
? 3/4 |
? 2/3 |
? 0 |
? 1/2 |
– | ? 1/2 |
? 2/3 |
? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 50.2 | 38.9 13 |
18.6 6 |
12.3 4 |
8.9 2 |
7.3 2 |
2.7 0 |
2.1 0 |
0.6 0 |
– | 20.3 |
Lleida
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comú | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 54.5 | 24.7 8 |
17.9 6 |
8.7 2 |
4.8 0 |
11.3 3 |
8.8 2 |
11.9 4 |
7.6 2 |
6.8 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[7][19] | 24 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? 8/10 |
? 4/5 |
? 4/5 |
? 0/1 |
? 3/4 |
? 2/3 |
? 2/3 |
? 0/1 |
? |
| GESOP/El Periódico[1][20][21] | 9–11 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 34.8 11/12 |
13.5 4 |
12.4 4 |
5.0 0/1 |
11.5 3/4 |
5.4 1 |
10.0 3 |
3.2 0 |
21.3 |
| Infortécnica/UA1 Ràdio[b][22] | Apr 2015 | 415 | ? | 47.4 13/15 |
15.3 4/5 |
8.1 2/3 |
3.4 0 |
8.2 2/3 |
4.4 0 |
13.3 3/4 |
– | 32.1 |
| Infortécnica/UA1 Ràdio[b][23][24] | Nov 2014 | 400 | ? | 42.3 12/14 |
17.1 5 |
13.0 4/5 |
4.9 0/2 |
9.6 3/4 |
6.5 2 |
– | – | 25.2 |
| Infortécnica/UA1 Ràdio[b][25][26] | Apr 2014 | 302 | ? | 42.9 13/14 |
18.8 5/6 |
12.4 3/4 |
5.5 0/2 |
8.2 2/3 |
5.4 0/2 |
– | – | 24.1 |
| Infortécnica/UA1 Ràdio[27][28] | Oct 2013 | 305 | ? | 45.1 12/14 |
15.0 4/5 |
11.3 3/4 |
9.8 2/3 |
11.3 2/3 |
? 0/2 |
? 0/2 |
– | 30.1 |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 49.8 | 42.1 15 |
18.3 6 |
16.5 6 |
4.6 0 |
4.2 0 |
3.3 0 |
1.0 0 |
– | 23.8 |
Mollet del Vallès
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CM | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.3 | 26.4 7 |
6.5 1 |
7.9 2 |
[c] | 16.7 5 |
3.4 5 |
11.2 3 |
[c] | 24.0 7 |
2.4 |
| Opinòmetre/somMollet[29][30] | Jan 2015 | 400 | ? | ? 6/7 |
? 2 |
? 3 |
? 2 |
? 5/6 |
? 2 |
– | ? 3/4 |
– | ? |
| Opinòmetre/somMollet[31] | 14 Feb 2014 | 400 | ? | ? 9 |
? 2/3 |
? 3/4 |
? 5 |
? 4 |
? 0/1 |
? 0/1 |
– | – | ? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 48.2 | 35.4 12 |
13.9 4 |
13.1 4 |
11.7 3 |
7.6 2 |
2.8* 0 |
2.2 0 |
– | – | 21.5 |
| (*) Results for Independents for Mollet. | |||||||||||||
Palafolls
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 57.3 | 38.0 6 |
9.5 1 |
29.1 4 |
5.8 0 |
8.5 1 |
7.5 1 |
– | 8.9 |
| Infortécnica[b][32] | 11–15 May 2015 | 346 | ? | 50.2 6/7 |
10.0 1/2 |
14.5 2/3 |
9.5 1/2 |
4.2 0/1 |
8.9 1/2 |
– | 35.7 |
| Infortécnica[b][33] | Mar 2015 | 351 | ? | 35.0 5/6 |
10.6 1/2 |
15.0 2/3 |
16.2 2/3 |
4.4 0/1 |
5.6 0/1 |
12.9 0/2 |
18.8 |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 54.9 | 44.1 6 |
14.6 2 |
13.5 2 |
13.0 2 |
6.6 1 |
– | – | 29.5 |
Sabadell
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
CAV |
|
|
|
UPCS | GS | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.1 | 15.4 5 |
13.2 4 |
[d] | 5.7 1 |
[e] | 14.8 4 |
13.2 4 |
12.0 3 |
15.0 4 |
6.4 2 |
0.4 |
| Opinòmetre/ERC[34][35] | 25–31 Mar 2015 | 600 | ? | ? 6/7 |
? 4/5 |
[d] | ? 2/3 |
[e] | ? 5/6 |
? 2/3 |
? 2/3 |
? 4/5 |
– | ? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 50.2 | 38.3 13 |
16.9 5 |
11.5 4 |
10.3 3 |
7.2 2 |
3.2 0 |
3.1* 0 |
1.7 0 |
– | – | 21.4 |
| (*) Results for Popular Unity Candidacy. | ||||||||||||||
Sant Feliu de Llobregat
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
JSF | VxSF | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 58.3 | 23.7 6 |
19.3 4 |
10.0 2 |
7.6 1 |
12.7 3 |
10.7 2 |
6.6 1 |
7.7 2 |
4.4 |
| GESOP/City Council of Sant Feliu[36] | 2–6 Jun 2014 | 800 | ? | 26.0– 27.0 6/7 |
14.0– 15.0 3/4 |
12.5– 13.5 3 |
11.5– 12.5 3 |
14.0– 15.0 3/4 |
7.0– 8.0 1/2 |
6.0– 7.0 1 |
– | 12.0 |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 52.5 | 26.8 7 |
25.6 6 |
17.3 4 |
14.8 4 |
4.5 0 |
2.7 0 |
– | – | 1.2 |
Santa Coloma de Gramenet
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
PxC | SG |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 54.0 | 40.7 14 |
7.8 2 |
7.9 2 |
3.4 0 |
18.6 6 |
3.6 0 |
11.5 3 |
4.8 0 |
[f] | 22.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[1][37][38] | 12–13 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 42.7 13/14 |
9.3 3 |
6.7 2 |
– | 15.2 4/5 |
4.0 0 |
12.0 3/4 |
4.0 0 |
[f] | 27.5 |
| Llorente & Cuenca[4] | 31 Oct 2014 | ? | ? | ? 10/11 |
? 4/5 |
? 3/4 |
? 0 |
? 2/3 |
? 1/2 |
– | ? 1/2 |
? 1/2 |
? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 49.7 | 39.2 12 |
17.2 5 |
11.9 3 |
9.1 3 |
6.6* 2 |
6.6 2 |
2.0 0 |
1.6 0 |
– | 22.0 |
| (*) Results for People of Gramenet. | |||||||||||||
Sitges
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
SGI | NH |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 56.2 | 13.3 3 |
19.2 5 |
6.5 1 |
7.0 1 |
9.2 2 |
10.6 3 |
2.0 0 |
10.7 3 |
10.8 3 |
4.0 0 |
– | 5.9 |
| iPolitics/CiU[39] | 4–24 Feb 2015 | 700 | ? | ? 3/4 |
? 5 |
? 2 |
? 2 |
? 1/2 |
? 2 |
– | ? 2/3 |
? 1 |
? 0/1 |
? 1 |
? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 55.1 | 24.5 7 |
21.6 6 |
13.6 3 |
7.5 2 |
7.1 2 |
6.3 1 |
4.8 0 |
4.3 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | – | 2.9 |
Tarragona
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
G | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 56.3 | 28.5 9 |
10.9 3 |
11.5 4 |
5.6 1 |
11.7 4 |
8.2 2 |
14.3 4 |
2.3 0 |
14.2 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[7][40] | 24 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? 9/11 |
? 4/5 |
? 4 |
? 0/1 |
? 2/3 |
? 2/3 |
? 3/4 |
? 0/1 |
? |
| GESOP/El Periódico[1][41][42] | 11–12 May 2015 | 500 | ? | 30.8 9/10 |
15.6 4/5 |
12.7 3/4 |
7.1 2 |
9.8 2/3 |
5.2 0/1 |
14.5 4/5 |
– | 15.2 |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 54.2 | 36.9 12 |
20.6 7 |
20.6 7 |
5.4 1 |
4.0 0 |
2.3 0 |
1.7 0 |
– | 16.3 |
Vic
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
PxC | CV |
|
|
|
SI | PLVI | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 56.8 | 35.4 9 |
0.7 0 |
16.9 4 |
6.7 1 |
20.8 5 |
5.1 1 |
1.9 0 |
5.6 1 |
14.6 |
| CiU[43] | 31 Mar 2015 | 800 | ? | ? 8/10 |
– | ? 5 |
? 1/2 |
? 4 |
– | ? 0/1 |
– | ? |
| 2011 municipal election | 22 May 2011 | — | 60.2 | 33.4 8 |
19.9 5 |
10.8 2 |
8.8 2 |
8.6 2 |
5.7 1 |
5.4 1 |
– | 13.5 |
| (*) Results for Popular Unity Candidacy. | ||||||||||||
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f "Las encuestas electorales de ciudades de EL PERIÓDICO, al detalle y en abierto". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 20 May 2015.
- ^ "Albiol sube en Badalona y tendrá enfrente una oposición atomizada". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
- ^ "BADALONA (Barcelona), Mayo 2015. Sondeo GESOP". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
- ^ a b c "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
- ^ "Una enquesta de la CUP pronostica un triple empat entre PP, Podemos i ERC a Badalona". Catalunya Plural (in Catalan). 24 September 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-09-26.
- ^ "BADALONA (Barcelona), Julio 2014. Sondeo de la CUP". Electograph (in Spanish). 24 September 2014.
- ^ a b c "Colau ganaría las elecciones en Barcelona, según el sondeo a pie de urnas de TV3". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
- ^ "Puigdemont, de CiU, guanya clarament a Girona, segons el sondeig del PSC". CCMA (in Catalan). 24 May 2015.
- ^ "CiU afianza su mayoría en Girona en un consistorio muy atomizado". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 12 May 2015.
- ^ "GIRONA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo GESOP". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 May 2015.
- ^ "Mals presagis per al PSC a Girona". El Punt Avui (in Catalan). 11 June 2014.
- ^ "GIRONA, Febrero 2014. Sondeo del PSC". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 June 2014.
- ^ "CIU es manté a Igualada i ERC es configura com l'alternativa: enquesta del 24M a La Veu". Veuanoia (in Catalan). 16 April 2015.
- ^ "IGUALADA (Barcelona), Abril 2015. Sondeo Opinòmetre". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 April 2015.
- ^ "ENQUESTA RÀDIO IGUALADA – CiU acarona la majoria absoluta a Igualada". Ràdio Igualada (in Catalan). 17 April 2015.
- ^ "IGUALADA (Barcelona), Abril 2015. Sondeo Ràdio Igualada". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 April 2015.
- ^ "Marín apenas cae en L'Hospitalet y Ciutadans crece a costa del PP". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 16 May 2015.
- ^ "L'HOSPITALET DE LLOBREGAT (Barcelona), Mayo 2015. Sondeo GESOP". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 May 2015. Archived from the original on 2015-07-04.
- ^ "Àngel Ros, del PSC, guanya però perdria la majoria absoluta, segons el sondeig de TV3". CCMA (in Catalan). 24 May 2015.
- ^ "Ros pierde la mayoría absoluta en Lleida, pero tiene fácil pactar". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
- ^ "LLEIDA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo GESOP". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
- ^ "Lleida. Abril de 2015. Estudio de opinión municipal" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 26 April 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-05-18.
- ^ "El Baròmetre encarregat per UA1 dóna la victòria al PSC y preveu l'entrada d'ERC i la CUP a la Paeria". UA1 Ràdio (in Catalan). 4 December 2014. Archived from the original on 2016-03-04.
- ^ "Lleida. Noviembre de 2014. Estudio de intención de voto" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 4 December 2014.
- ^ "Segon Baròmetre d'intenció de vot a la ciutat de Lleida encarregat per UA1". UA1 Ràdio (in Catalan). 8 May 2014. Archived from the original on 2016-03-04.
- ^ "Lleida. Abril de 2014. Estudio de intención de voto" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 8 May 2014.
- ^ "Resultat de l'enquesta d'intenció de vot a la ciutat de Lleida encarregada per Ua1 a Infortécnica". UA1 Ràdio (in Catalan). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original on 2013-11-25.
- ^ "Octubre 2013. Situació política del municipi de Lleida" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Catalan). 18 November 2013.
- ^ "El PSC perd l'hegemonia en favor d'ERC i Podemos". somMollet (in Catalan). 6 February 2015.
- ^ "MOLLET DEL VALLÈS (Barcelona), Enero 2015. Sondeo Opinòmetre". Electograph (in Spanish). 7 February 2015.
- ^ "Al 2015 el pacte del PSC amb un sol grup municipal pot ser insuficient per governar". somMollet (in Catalan). 14 February 2014.
- ^ "Palafolls. Del 11 al 15 maig de 2015. Estudi d'opinió municipal" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Catalan). 15 May 2015.
- ^ "Palafolls. Març de 2015. Estudi d'opinió municipal" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Catalan). March 2015.
- ^ "ERC lidera la intenció directa de vot a Sabadell". El Punt Avui (in Catalan). 25 April 2015.
- ^ "SABADELL (Barcelona), Marzo 2015. Sondeo Opinòmetre". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 April 2015.
- ^ "Enquesta d'imatge municipal a Sant Feliu de Llobregat. Informe de resultats. Juny de 2014". Ajuntament de Sant Feliu de Llobregat (in Catalan). 10 January 2019.
- ^ "Parlon acaricia la mayoría y el 'procés' naufraga en Santa Coloma". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
- ^ "SANTA COLOMA DE GRAMENET (Barcelona), Mayo 2015. Sondeo GESOP". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
- ^ "SITGES (Barcelona), Febrero 2015. Sondeo iPolitics". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
- ^ "Ballesteros, del PSC, guanya clarament segons el sondeig de TV3". CCMA (in Catalan). 24 May 2015.
- ^ "El PSC se resiente en Tarragona pero logra una cómoda mayoría". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 14 May 2015.
- ^ "TARRAGONA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo GESOP". Electograph (in Spanish). 14 May 2015.
- ^ "CiU guanyaria les municipals amb comoditat a Vic, segons una enquesta". Nació Digital (in Catalan). 31 March 2015.
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