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Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election

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Opinion polling for UK general elections
2015 election
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2017 election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval
2019 election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval
2024 election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval
Next election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval

Opinion polling for the 2019 general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the 2019 general election. The election was held on 12 December 2019.

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.

Graphical summaries

[edit]

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted in the lead up to the 2019 UK general election using a LOESS lines. As discussed below, most of these polls do not include Northern Ireland. The final points represent the actual results of the election.

Polling for the 2019 UK general election campaign period (6 November 2019 onwards).
  Conservatives
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  Brexit Party
  SNP & Plaid Cymru
  Greens

National poll results

[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland. However, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide.

The campaigning period officially began on 6 November 2019.[1]

The various polls use a variety of methodologies. For example, in Kantar and Ipsos MORI polls, Change UK and the Brexit Party were spontaneous responses and not prompted by the pollster.[2][3] In YouGov polls before June 2019, only the Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats were prompted, the names of other parties being listed when "other" was selected.[4] YouGov polls conducted since June 2019 prompt for both the Greens and the Brexit Party, alongside the earlier list.[5] BMG polls also use two-stage questions in which the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, the Brexit Party, the Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru are included on the initial prompt and the remaining parties provided after "another party" is selected. Prior to August 2019, BMG did not prompt the Brexit Party and the Greens initially.[6]

As the parties standing for each seat became known (including the 11 November announcement that the Brexit Party would not be contesting the 317 seats won by the Conservatives in 2017) the major pollsters began listing only those standing in a respondent's constituency as options.[7]

2019

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2019 in the United Kingdom.
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Green Brexit UKIP Change UK Others Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election UK – 43.6% 32.1% 11.6% 3.9% 0.5% 2.7% 2.0% 0.1% 0.03% 3.1% 11.5
GB 44.7% 33.0% 11.8% 4.0% 0.5% 2.8% 2.1% 0.1% 0.03% 1.0% 11.7
10–11 Dec Survation GB 2,395 45% 34% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 11
10–11 Dec Panelbase GB 3,174 43% 34% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% – – – 9
10–11 Dec Opinium Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 3,005 45% 33% 12% 4% 0% 2% 2% – – 1% 12
9–11 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard GB 2,213 44% 33% 12% 4% 1% 3% 2% – – 6% 11
9–11 Dec Deltapoll GB 1,818 45% 35% 10% 4% 0% 3% 4% – – 0% 10
9–11 Dec Kantar Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,815 44% 32% 13% 4% 0% 3% 3% – – 1% 12
6–11 Dec BMG/The Independent GB 1,660 41% 32% 14% – – 3% 4% – – 6% 9
9–10 Dec SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,051 41% 36% 12% 4% – 2% 3% – – 2% 5
8–10 Dec Number Cruncher Politics/Bloomberg GB 1,009 43% 33% 12% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 10
4–10 Dec YouGov (MRP) GB 105,612 43% 34% 12% 3% 0% 3% 3% – – 2% 9
27 Nov – 10 Dec FocalData (MRP) GB 21,213 42% 34% 14% 3% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 8
6–9 Dec ICM Research/Reuters GB 2,011 42% 36% 12% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% – 1% 6
6–8 Dec SavantaComRes/Remain United[a] GB 6,073 43% 36% 12% 4% 0% 2% 3% – – 1% 7
5–8 Dec Qriously UK 2,222 43% 30% 12% 2% – 4% 3% – – 5% 13
5–7 Dec Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,012 45% 31% 11% 3% 1% 2% 4% – – 3% 14
5–7 Dec Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,533 44% 33% 11% 4% 0% 2% 3% 1% – 1% 11
5–6 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,680 43% 33% 13% 4% 0% 3% 3% – – 1% 10
4–6 Dec BMG/The Independent GB 1,542 41% 32% 14% 3% 0% 4% 4% 0% 0% 1% 9
4–6 Dec Opinium/The Observer GB 2,002 46% 31% 13% 4% 0% 2% 3% – – 1% 15
4–6 Dec Panelbase GB 2,033 43% 34% 13% 4% 1% 2% 3% – – 0% 9
4–5 Dec SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph GB 2,034 41% 33% 12% 4% – 2% 3% – – 5% 8
2–5 Dec SavantaComRes/Remain United[a] GB 2,005 42% 36% 11% 3% – 2% 4% – – 1% 6
2–4 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard GB 1,545 44% 32% 13% 4% 1% 3% 2% – – 1% 12
2–3 Dec SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,041 42% 32% 12% 4% – 2% 3% – – 5% 10
2–3 Dec YouGov/The Times/Sky News GB 1,699 42% 33% 12% 5% 0% 4% 4% – – 1% 9
29 Nov – 2 Dec ICM Research GB 2,029 42% 35% 13% 3% 0% 2% 3% – – 1% 7
28 Nov – 2 Dec Kantar Archived 3 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,096 44% 32% 15% 3% 1% 3% 2% – – 1% 12
28–30 Nov Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,528 45% 32% 15% 3% 0% 1% 3% 0% – 0% 13
26–30 Nov Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,065 42% 33% 11% 3% 1% 4% 3% – – 3% 9
28–29 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,680 43% 34% 13% 4% 0% 3% 2% – – 1% 9
27–29 Nov Opinium/The Observer GB 2,018 46% 31% 13% 4% 0% 3% 2% – – 2% 15
27–29 Nov BMG/The Independent GB 1,663 39% 33% 13% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% 0% 1% 6
27–28 Nov SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph GB 2,025 43% 33% 13% 3% – 3% 4% – – 1% 10
27–28 Nov Panelbase GB 2,010 42% 34% 13% 3% 0% 3% 4% – – 1% 8
25–26 Nov SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,034 41% 34% 13% 3% – 2% 5% – – 1% 7
25–26 Nov YouGov/The Times/Sky News GB 1,678 43% 32% 13% 4% 0% 2% 4% – – 1% 11
22–25 Nov ICM Research GB 2,004 41% 34% 13% 3% 1% 3% 4% 0% – 1% 7
21–25 Nov Kantar[permanent dead link‍] GB 1,097 43% 32% 14% 4% 0% 4% 3% – – 0% 11
21–23 Nov Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,519 43% 30% 16% 4% 0% 3% 3% – – 0% 13
20–23 Nov Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,010 41% 30% 15% 3% 1% 3% 5% – – 4% 11
21–22 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,677 42% 30% 16% 4% 0% 4% 3% – – 1% 12
20–22 Nov Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,003 47% 28% 12% 5% 0% 3% 3% – – 2% 19
20–22 Nov Panelbase GB 2,028 42% 32% 14% 3% 1% 3% 3% – – 2% 10
20–21 Nov SavantaComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,038 42% 32% 15% 3% 0% 2% 5% – – 1% 10
19–21 Nov BMG GB 1,663 41% 28% 18% 2% 0% 5% 3% – – 1% 13
12–20 Nov YouGov GB 11,277 43% 29% 15% 4% 1% 3% 4% – – 2% 14
18–19 Nov SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 1,628 42% 31% 15% 4% 0% 2% 5% – – 1% 11
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,606 42% 30% 15% 4% 0% 4% 4% – – 1% 12
15–19 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard GB 1,128 44% 28% 16% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 16
17–18 Nov YouGov GB 1,634 43% 29% 15% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 3% 14
15–18 Nov ICM Research GB 2,010 42% 32% 13% 3% 0% 3% 5% – – 2% 10
14–18 Nov Kantar Archived 23 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,176 45% 27% 16% 4% 1% 3% 2% – – 1% 18
14–16 Nov Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,010 42% 28% 13% 3% 1% 3% 5% – – 4% 14
14–16 Nov Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,526 45% 30% 11% 3% 0% 2% 6% 2% 0% 0% 15
15 Nov Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced)
14–15 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,670 45% 28% 15% 4% 0% 3% 4% – – 2% 17
13–15 Nov Opinium/The Observer Archived 28 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,008 44% 28% 14% 4% 1% 3% 6% – – 0% 16
12–15 Nov BMG/The Independent GB 1,506 37% 29% 16% 2% 0% 5% 9% – – 0% 8
13–14 Nov SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph GB 2,052 41% 33% 14% 3% 0% 2% 5% – – 1% 8
13–14 Nov Panelbase GB 1,021 43% 30% 15% 4% 0% 2% 5% – – 0% 13
11–12 Nov SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,022 40% 30% 16% 4% 0% 3% 7% – – 1% 10
11–12 Nov YouGov/The Times/Sky News GB 1,619 42% 28% 15% 3% 1% 4% 4% – – 4% 14
8–11 Nov ICM Research GB 2,035 39% 31% 15% 3% 0% 3% 8% – – 2% 8
7–11 Nov Kantar Archived 13 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,165 37% 27% 17% 3% 1% 3% 9% 1% 1% 1% 10
8–10 Nov ComRes/Britain Elects GB 2,014 37% 29% 17% 4% 0% 3% 9% – – 1% 8
6–9 Nov Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,518 41% 29% 16% 3% 0% 2% 6% 1% 0% 1% 12
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,598 39% 26% 17% 4% 0% 4% 10% – – 0% 13
6–8 Nov Survation UK 2,037 35% 29% 17% 4% 1% 1% 10% – – 3% 6
6–8 Nov Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,001 41% 29% 15% 5% 1% 2% 6% – – 0% 12
6–8 Nov Panelbase GB 1,046 40% 30% 15% 4% 0% 3% 8% – – 0% 10
5–8 Nov BMG/The Independent GB 1,504 37% 29% 16% 2% 0% 7% 9% – – 0% 8
5–6 Nov YouGov/The Times/Sky GB 1,667 36% 25% 17% 4% 1% 5% 11% – – 1% 11
6 Nov Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins
30 Oct – 5 Nov ComRes/Remain United GB 6,097 36% 29% 17% 4% 1% 3% 11% 0% 0% 0% 7
1–4 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 3,284 38% 25% 16% 4% 1% 5% 11% 0% 0% 0% 13
1–4 Nov ICM Research/Reuters GB 2,047 38% 31% 15% 3% 0% 3% 9% 1% 0% 1% 7
31 Oct – 2 Nov Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,500 40% 28% 14% 3% 1% 2% 11% 1% 0% 0% 12
30 Oct – 1 Nov Opinium/The Observer Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,004 42% 26% 16% 4% 1% 2% 9% 0% 0% 1% 16
30 Oct – 1 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,834 39% 27% 16% 5% 1% 4% 7% 0% 0% 1% 12
30–31 Oct ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,032 36% 28% 17% 4% 0% 3% 10% 0% 0% 1% 8
30–31 Oct ORB/The Sunday Telegraph Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,025 36% 28% 14% 5% 0% 4% 12% 0% 0% 1% 8
30–31 Oct Panelbase GB 1,008 40% 29% 14% 3% 0% 3% 9% 0% 0% 1% 11
30 Oct The House of Commons votes for an early general election
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,750 36% 21% 18% 4% 1% 6% 13% 0% 0% 1% 15
29–30 Oct Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,010 34% 26% 19% 4% 0% 1% 12% 0% 0% 4% 8
29 Oct Richard Braine resigns as leader of UKIP[8]
25–28 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard GB 1,007 41% 24% 20% 4% 1% 3% 7% 0% 0% 0% 17
17–28 Oct YouGov GB 11,590 36% 22% 19% 4% 1% 6% 12% 0% 0% 0% 14
24–25 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,672 36% 23% 18% 4% 1% 6% 12% 0% 0% 0% 13
23–25 Oct Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,001 40% 24% 15% 5% 0% 3% 10% 1% 0% 1% 16
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,689 37% 22% 19% 3% 1% 7% 11% 1% 0% 0% 15
18–21 Oct Deltapoll GB 2,017 37% 24% 19% 4% 1% 3% 11% 1% 0% 0% 13
17–18 Oct Panelbase GB 1,008 36% 27% 17% 4% 0% 3% 11% 0% 0% 0% 9
17–18 Oct Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,025 32% 24% 21% 4% 1% 2% 13% 0% 0% 4% 8
16–17 Oct ComRes/Britain Elects GB 2,067 33% 29% 18% 4% 1% 4% 12% 0% 0% 0% 4
15–17 Oct Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,001 37% 24% 16% 4% 1% 4% 12% 2% 0% 1% 13
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,625 37% 22% 18% 4% 1% 5% 11% 1% 0% 0% 15
10–15 Oct Kantar[permanent dead link‍] GB 1,184 39% 25% 18% 3% 1% 3% 8% 1% 0% 1% 14
9–11 Oct Panelbase/The Sunday Times GB 2,013 33% 30% 17% 4% 0% 3% 12% 0% 0% 0% 3
9–10 Oct ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,018 33% 27% 18% 4% 0% 4% 12% 0% 0% 2% 6
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,616 35% 22% 20% 4% 1% 6% 12% 0% 1% 0% 13
4–7 Oct ICM Research/Represent Us GB 2,013 35% 29% 16% 3% 1% 4% 11% 1% 0% 1% 6
4–6 Oct ComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,006 33% 27% 19% 4% 1% 3% 13% 1% 0% 1% 6
3–4 Oct Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,006 38% 23% 15% 5% 0% 4% 12% 1% 0% 0% 15
1–4 Oct BMG/The Independent GB 1,514 31% 26% 20% 3% 1% 7% 11% 0% 0% 0% 5
30 Sep – 1 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,623 34% 21% 23% 3% 1% 5% 12% 0% 0% 1% 11
26–27 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,623 33% 22% 21% 4% 1% 5% 13% 0% 0% 1% 11
25–27 Sep Opinium/The Observer Archived 29 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,007 36% 24% 20% 5% 1% 2% 11% 0% 0% 1% 12
25 Sep Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,011 27% 24% 22% 4% 0% 3% 16% 0% 0% 4% 3
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,635 33% 22% 22% 3% 1% 6% 14% 0% 0% 0% 11
19–20 Sep YouGov/People's Vote GB 2,006 30% 23% 22% 4% 0% 5% 14% 0% 0% 1% 7
19–20 Sep Opinium/The Observer Archived 22 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,004 37% 22% 17% 4% 1% 4% 12% 2% 0% 0% 15
18–19 Sep ComRes/Britain Elects GB 2,050 29% 27% 20% 4% 0% 4% 13% 0% 1% 0% 2
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,608 32% 21% 23% 4% 1% 4% 14% 1% 0% 2% 9
13–16 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard GB 1,006 33% 24% 23% 4% 4% 10% 0% 0% 1% 9
11–13 Sep Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,002 37% 25% 16% 4% 1% 2% 13% 1% 0% 0% 12
11–12 Sep ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,057 28% 27% 20% 4% 1% 5% 13% 1% 1% 0% 1
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,676 32% 23% 19% 4% 0% 7% 14% 0% 0% 1% 9
5–9 Sep Kantar Archived 7 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,144 38% 24% 20% 4% 1% 3% 7% 1% 1% 1% 14
6–8 Sep ComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,016 30% 29% 17% 3% 1% 4% 13% 1% 0% 2% 1
5–7 Sep Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 2,049 31% 28% 17% 5% 1% 4% 13% 1% 0% 0% 3
5–6 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,676 35% 21% 19% 4% 0% 7% 12% 1% 0% 1% 14
5–6 Sep Panelbase GB 1,013 31% 28% 19% 3% 0% 2% 15% 0% 0% 0% 3
5–6 Sep Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,006 29% 24% 18% 4% 1% 3% 17% 0% 0% 5% 5
4–6 Sep ComRes/Britain Elects GB 2,009 31% 27% 20% 3% 1% 3% 13% 1% 0% 1% 4
4–6 Sep Opinium/The Observer Archived 27 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,009 35% 25% 17% 5% 0% 3% 13% 1% 0% 1% 10
3–6 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,504 31% 27% 19% 3% 0% 6% 13% 1% 0% 0% 4
3–4 Sep Hanbury Strategy Archived 9 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine GB 995 33% 26% 17% 4% 1% 3% 14% 0% 0% 2% 7[b]
2–3 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 35% 25% 16% 4% 1% 7% 11% 1% 0% 0% 10
30 Aug – 3 Sep ICM Research/Represent Us GB 2,041 37% 30% 16% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 0% 1% 7
29–31 Aug Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 2,028 35% 24% 18% 4% 1% 4% 14% 0% 1% 0% 11
29–30 Aug Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,020 31% 24% 21% 4% 1% 3% 14% 0% 0% 3% 7
28–29 Aug YouGov GB 1,867 33% 22% 21% 4% 1% 7% 12% 0% 0% 1% 11
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 2,006 34% 22% 17% 4% 1% 8% 13% 1% 0% 1% 12
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 2,019 33% 21% 19% 4% 1% 7% 14% 0% 0% 1% 12
21–23 Aug Opinium/The Observer GB 2,005 32% 26% 15% 5% 1% 4% 16% 1% 0% 1% 6
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,687 32% 22% 20% 4% 1% 7% 12% 0% 0% 2% 10
15–19 Aug Kantar Archived 21 August 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,133 42% 28% 15% 5% 0% 3% 5% 0% 1% 1% 14
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,625 30% 21% 20% 4% 1% 8% 14% 1% 0% 2% 9
7–12 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,515 31% 25% 19% 3% 1% 6% 12% 1% 0% 2% 6
9–11 Aug ComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,011 31% 27% 16% 3% 0% 4% 16% 1% 0% 2% 4
6–11 Aug Survation UK 2,040 28% 24% 21% 4% 0% 3% 15% 0% 0% 4% 4
10 Aug Richard Braine is elected leader of UKIP[9]
8–9 Aug Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,003 31% 28% 13% 4% 1% 5% 16% 1% 0% 0% 3
5–6 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,628 31% 22% 21% 4% 0% 7% 14% 0% 0% 1% 9
1 Aug Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10]
29–30 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 2,066 32% 22% 19% 4% 1% 8% 13% 0% 0% 1% 10
26–30 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,007 34% 24% 20% 4% 1% 6% 9% 1% 0% 1% 10
26–28 Jul ComRes/Britain Elects GB 2,004 29% 30% 16% 3% 1% 5% 15% 1% 0% 2% 1
25–27 Jul Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 2,001 30% 25% 18% 4% 1% 4% 14% 1% 2% 1% 5
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,697 31% 21% 20% 5% 1% 8% 13% 0% 0% 1% 10
24–26 Jul Opinium/The Observer GB 2,006 30% 28% 16% 5% 1% 5% 15% 1% 0% 1% 2
24–25 Jul ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,029 28% 27% 19% 3% 1% 4% 16% 1% 0% 0% 1
23–24 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,715 25% 19% 23% 4% 1% 9% 17% 1% 0% 1% 2
23 Jul Boris Johnson is elected leader of the Conservative Party, and becomes Prime Minister the next day
22 Jul Jo Swinson is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[11]
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,749 25% 21% 20% 4% 1% 8% 19% 0% 0% 1% 4
15–16 Jul ComRes/Britain Elects GB 2,038 25% 28% 17% 4% 0% 5% 19% 1% 1% 1% 3
10–11 Jul ComRes/Sunday Express GB 1,791 24% 28% 15% 3% 1% 5% 20% 1% 1% 2% 4
10–11 Jul Survation GB 1,012 23% 29% 19% 4% 1% 3% 20% – – 1% 6
9–10 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,671 24% 20% 19% 5% 1% 9% 21% 0% 0% 1% 3
5–7 Jul ComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,010 25% 28% 16% 3% 0% 5% 19% 1% 0% 1% 3
3–5 Jul Opinium/The Observer GB 2,002 23% 25% 15% 5% 1% 8% 22% 1% 1% 0% 2
2–5 Jul BMG/The Independent GB 1,532 28% 27% 18% 2% 1% 6% 14% 2% 1% 0% 1
2–3 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,605 24% 18% 20% 4% 1% 9% 23% 0% 0% 1% 1
24–25 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 2,059 22% 20% 19% 4% 1% 10% 22% 1% 0% 1% Tie
21–25 Jun Ipsos MORI GB 1,043 26% 24% 22% 4% 1% 8% 12% 1% 0% 0% 2
19–20 Jun Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,009 20% 26% 16% 4% 1% 6% 23% 2% 1% 1% 3
19–20 Jun Survation/The Mail on Sunday GB 2,016 24% 26% 18% 3% 1% 6% 20% 1% 1% 1% 2
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 20% 20% 21% 4% 1% 9% 23% 1% 0% 0% 2
13–14 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,672 21% 21% 19% 3% 1% 9% 24% 0% 0% 1% 3
9–10 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,702 17% 19% 22% 4% 1% 8% 26% 0% 1% 1% 4
7–9 Jun ComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,017 23% 27% 17% 3% 1% 5% 22% 1% 1% 1% 4
4–7 Jun BMG/The Independent GB 1,520 26% 27% 17% 3% 1% 6% 18% 1% 1% 1% 1
6 Jun Peterborough by-election[10]
5–6 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,670 18% 20% 20% 5% 0% 9% 26% 1% 0% 0% 6
4–5 Jun YouGov GB 1,663 18% 19% 22% 4% 0% 9% 25% 0% – 3% 3
4 Jun Anna Soubry becomes leader of Change UK after six of its MPs leave the party[12]
31 May – 1 Jun YouGov GB 1,644 18% 19% 23% 5% 0% 10% 23% – – 2% Tie
29–30 May Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 2,449 20% 26% 16% 4% 1% 5% 24% 1% 4% 1% 2
28–30 May Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,005 17% 22% 16% 4% 1% 11% 26% 1% 1% 1% 4
28–29 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,763 19% 19% 24% 6% 8% 22% 1% 1% 0% 2
24 May Theresa May announces her intention to resign as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party
23 May European Parliament election[13]
22 May Survation/Daily Mail UK 2,029 28% 33% 13% 3% 0% 3% 12% 3% 2% 3% 5
18–21 May Number Cruncher Politics GB 1,005 27% 31% 15% 5% 1% 4% 14% 1% 2% 0% 4
14–21 May Panelbase/The Sunday Times GB 2,033 21% 31% 13% 4% 0% 5% 19% 3% 4% 0% 10
17–20 May Opinium Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,005 22% 26% 12% 4% 1% 4% 25% 2% 2% 0% 1
17 May Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,000 27% 32% 13% 5% 0% 3% 13% 2% 2% 4% 5
8–17 May YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate GB 9,260 24% 24% 18% 4% 1% 6% 18% 2% 2% 1% Tie
14–16 May Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,009 22% 29% 11% 4% 0% 3% 24% 2% 3% 1% 5
13–14 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,655 25% 25% 16% 5% 7% 18% 2% 2% 1% Tie
10–14 May Ipsos MORI GB 1,072 25% 27% 15% 4% 1% 7% 16% 3% 2% 1% 2
9–13 May Hanbury Strategy/Politico Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,000 21% 30% 13% 4% – 5% 19% 2% 6% 1% 9
9–13 May Kantar Archived 25 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,152 25% 34% 15% 5% 2% 3% 10% 4% 1% 2% 9
10–12 May ComRes/The Daily Telegraph GB 2,028 20% 27% 13% 3% 0% 4% 20% 4% 6% 1% 7
8–10 May Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,004 22% 28% 11% 4% 0% 6% 21% 4% 4% 0% 6
7–10 May BMG/The Independent GB 1,541 27% 30% 18% 2% 0% 6% 10% 3% 3% 1% 3
9 May ComRes/Brexit Express GB 2,034 19% 27% 14% 3% 1% 5% 20% 3% 7% 1% 8
8–9 May YouGov/The Times GB 2,212 24% 24% 16% 5% 7% 18% 2% 2% 1% Tie
3–7 May Opinium/People's Vote GB 2,000 25% 30% 11% 3% 1% 5% 17% 4% 2% 1% 5
2 May Local elections in England and Northern Ireland[14][15]
29–30 Apr YouGov GB 1,630 29% 29% 13% 4% 5% 15% 2% 3% 1% Tie
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,787 27% 30% 11% 5% 5% 14% 4% 3% 1% 3
18–24 Apr Panelbase/The Sunday Times GB 2,030 27% 36% 8% 4% – 3% 13% 5% 4% 1% 9
21–23 Apr Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,004 26% 33% 6% 5% 1% 4% 17% 4% 4% 1% 7
16–17 Apr ORB/The Daily Telegraph UK 1,546 26% 29% 8% 4% 1% 4% 14% 5% 5% 4%[c] 3
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,755 29% 30% 10% 5% 5% 12% 4% 3% 2% 1
16 Apr ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,061 23% 33% 7% 3% 1% 3% 14% 5% 9% 1% 10
9–12 Apr Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,007 29% 36% 8% 5% 1% 4% – 11% – 6% 7
10–11 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,843 28% 32% 11% 5% 5% 8% 6% 3% 2% 4
5–8 Apr Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe Archived 8 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,000 31% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% – 8% – 4% 9
4–8 Apr Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,172 32% 35% 11% 5% 1% 4% – 7% – 6% 3
3–8 Apr Survation E+W 6,062 37% 41% 10% – 1% 2% – 7% 1% 2% 4
5–7 Apr ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,018 32% 32% 7% 3% 0% 3% – 9% 9% 3% Tie
2–5 Apr BMG/The Independent GB 1,500 29% 31% 8% 3% 1% 4% 6% 7% 8% 1% 2
35% 34% 11% 4% 1% 5% – 6% – 3% 1
4 Apr Newport West by-election[10]
2–3 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,771 32% 31% 12% 6% 4% 5% 7% – 3% 1
28–30 Mar Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,010 32% 35% 7% 2% 1% 2% 6% 6% 9% 1% 3
36% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% – 7% – 3% 5
28–29 Mar Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,008 35% 35% 9% 4% 0% 5% – 9% – 3% Tie
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 2,110 36% 33% 11% 5% 4% 5% 4% – 2% 3
22–24 Mar ComRes/Leave Means Leave Archived 31 March 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,030 33% 33% 8% 3% 1% 3% – 7% 9% 3% Tie
20–22 Mar Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,002 36% 35% 7% 5% 1% 4% – 9% – 3% 1
20–21 Mar ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,063 34% 35% 8% 3% 1% 4% – 7% 6% 3% 1%
15–19 Mar Ipsos MORI GB 1,050 38% 34% 8% 5% 1% 4% 1% 7% 2% 0% 4
15–17 Mar ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,033 34% 35% 8% 3% 1% 3% – 6% 7% 3% 1
15 Mar Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,007 35% 39% 10% 3% 0% – – – – 12% 4
14–15 Mar YouGov/People's Vote GB 1,823 35% 33% 11% – – – – – – 21% 2
14–15 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,756 35% 31% 12% 4% 4% 4% 6% – 2% 4
13–15 Mar Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,003 35% 35% 7% 5% 0% 4% – 8% 4% 2% Tie
12–15 Mar GB 2,008 38% 34% 8% 5% 1% 3% – 8% – 3% 4
7–11 Mar Kantar Archived 7 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,152 41% 31% 8% 5% 0% 6% – 6% – 2% 10
4–8 Mar BMG/The Independent GB 1,510 37% 31% 10% 3% 1% 5% – 6% 5% 1% 6
39% 34% 12% 3% 1% 4% – 5% – 2% 5
4–5 Mar ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 5 January 2020 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,042 36% 34% 8% 3% 0% 3% – 6% 8% 2% 2
3–4 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 2,172 40% 31% 11% 5% 4% 3% 3% – 3% 9
26 Feb – 1 Mar Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,004 37% 33% 7% 4% 1% 4% – 7% 5% 2% 4
GB 2,003 40% 34% 9% 4% 1% 3% – 7% – 3% 6
22–23 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,672 41% 30% 10% 5% 4% 2% 5% – 3% 11
36% 23% 6% – – – – – 18% 16% 13
21–23 Feb Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday GB 1,027 39% 31% 5% 5% 0% 3% – 4% 11% 1% 8
43% 36% 6% 4% 0% 3% – 5% – 2% 7
20–22 Feb Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,008 40% 32% 5% 4% 1% 4% – 7% 6% 2% 8
19 Feb Sky Data UK 1,034 32% 26% 9% 4% 1% 4% – 6% 10% 7% 6
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,861 38% 26% 7% – – – – – 14% 15% 12
YouGov/The Times 41% 33% 10% 5% 4% – 4% – 3% 8
18 Feb Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,023 40% 36% 10% 3% – 2% – 5% – 5% 4
18 Feb Eight Labour MPs, soon joined by three Conservatives, quit their parties to form Change UK[16]
13–15 Feb Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,005 37% 37% 8% 4% 0% 4% – 7% – 2% Tie
7–11 Feb Kantar[permanent dead link‍] GB 1,145 40% 35% 10% 4% 1% 4% – 3% – 3% 5
4–8 Feb BMG GB 1,503 38% 35% 13% 3% 1% 5% – 5% – 1% 3
2–7 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 40,119 39% 34% 11% 3% 1% 4% – 5% – 2% 5
5 Feb The Brexit Party is registered with the Electoral Commission[17]
1–5 Feb Ipsos MORI GB 1,005 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 3% – 4% – 3% Tie
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,851 41% 34% 10% 4% 0% 4% – 4% – 2% 7
30 Jan – 1 Feb Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,008 41% 34% 8% 4% 1% 4% – 7% – 1% 7
30 Jan Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,029 38% 39% 9% 3% 0% 2% – 4% – 4% 1
23–25 Jan Opinium/People's Vote GB 2,001 40% 36% 7% 3% 0% 4% – 7% – 1% 4
16–18 Jan ICM GB 2,046 39% 40% 9% 3% 0% 3% – 5% – 1% 1
16–18 Jan Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,006 37% 40% 7% 5% 1% 4% – 7% – 1% 3
16–17 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,031 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% – 6% – 1% 1
10–17 Jan Number Cruncher Politics UK 1,030 41% 39% 8% 3% 1% 2% – 4% – 1% 2
14–15 Jan ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,010 37% 39% 8% 3% 0% 3% – 7% – 1% 2
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,701 39% 34% 11% 4% 1% 4% – 6% – 1% 5
10–14 Jan Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,106 35% 38% 9% 4% 1% 4% – 6% – 3% 3
10–11 Jan Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,013 38% 41% 10% 3% 0% 2% – 4% – 3% 3
8–11 Jan BMG/The Independent GB 1,514 36% 36% 12% 3% 1% 5% – 6% – 1% Tie
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,656 41% 35% 11% 4% 0% 3% – 4% – 1% 6
21 Dec 2018 – 4 Jan 2019 YouGov/People's Vote UK 25,537 40% 34% 10% 4% 0% 4% – 4% – 2% 6

2018

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2018 in the United Kingdom.
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Other Lead
18–20 Dec Opinium/The Observer GB 2,000 39% 39% 6% 4% 0% 6% 4% 1% Tie
16–17 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 39% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 2
14–15 Dec YouGov/Hope Not Hate GB 1,660 38% 35% 10% 6% 4% 5% 2% 3
13–14 Dec Opinium/The Observer GB 2,016 38% 39% 8% 4% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1
12–14 Dec YouGov/People's Vote GB 5,043 40% 36% 10% 5% 4% 3% 1% 4
10–11 Dec Populus/Best for Britain Archived 9 January 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,002 37% 40% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3
9–10 Dec YouGov GB 2,008 39% 38% 9% 5% 5% 4% 1% 1
6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,652 38% 37% 10% 5% 3% 4% 1% 1
4–7 Dec BMG/The Independent GB 1,508 37% 38% 12% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1
5–6 Dec Kantar[permanent dead link‍] GB 1,178 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 5% 5% 1% Tie
30 Nov – 5 Dec Ipsos MORI GB 1,049 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 4% 5% 1% Tie
3–4 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,624 40% 38% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2
30 Nov – 2 Dec ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,035 37% 39% 9% 3% 0% 6% 3% 1% 2
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,737 40% 35% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 5
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,671 39% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 1% 3
14–15 Nov ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express GB 2,000 36% 40% 9% 3% 1% 7% 3% 1% 4
14–15 Nov Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,003 36% 39% 7% 5% 1% 8% 3% 1% 3
8–12 Nov Kantar Archived 7 August 2020 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,147 40% 39% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1
6–9 Nov BMG/The Independent GB 1,506 36% 37% 12% 3% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1
2–7 Nov Panelbase/Constitutional Commission GB 2,016 40% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 3% – Tie
4–5 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,637 41% 37% 8% 4% 4% 4% 1% 4
20 Oct – 2 Nov Survation/Channel 4 UK 20,090 39% 40% 8% 3% – 3% 2% 3% 1
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 41% 39% 7% 4% 5% 2% 0% 2
26–28 Oct ICM GB 2,048 40% 38% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 0% 2
24–26 Oct Deltapoll/Daily Mirror GB 1,017 43% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 0% 3
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,802 41% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 1%[d] 5
19–22 Oct Ipsos MORI GB 1,044 39% 37% 10% 4% 1% 5% 5% 0% 2
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,649 41% 36% 9% 4% 4% 3% 1% 5
11–15 Oct Kantar[permanent dead link‍] GB 1,128 41% 36% 10% 4% 1% 3% 4% 2% 5
11–12 Oct Opinium/The Observer GB 2,010 41% 37% 8% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 4
10 Oct Survation UK 1,009 40% 39% 7% 4% – 6% – 5% 1
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,647 41% 37% 9% 5% 4% 3% 2%[e] 4
3–5 Oct BMG/The Independent GB 1,503 38% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 4% 0% 1
3–5 Oct Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,007 39% 39% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
30 Sep – 1 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,607 42% 36% 9% 4% 5% 2% 2%[d] 6
28–29 Sep BMG/HuffPost UK GB 1,203 35% 40% 12% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1% 5
28 Sep Adam Price is elected leader of Plaid Cymru[18]
26–28 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,008 39% 36% 9% 4% 0% 6% 3% 1% 3
26–27 Sep ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,036 39% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,625 42% 36% 11% 4% 4% 2% 0% 6
21–24 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 2,006 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1
21–22 Sep BMG/HuffPost UK GB 1,006 38% 38% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% Tie
18–20 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 8% 2% 1% 2
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 2,509 40% 36% 11% 5% 5% 2% 1% 4
14–18 Sep Ipsos MORI GB 1,070 39% 37% 13% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 2
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,620 40% 36% 11% 4% 4% 3% 1% 4
11–13 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,011 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1
6–10 Sep Kantar Archived 17 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,119 40% 35% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 1% 5
7–9 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 2,051 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 3
7 Sep Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,039 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 1
4–7 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,533 37% 38% 11% 2% 1% 7% 4% 1% 1
4 Sep Jonathan Bartley and Siân Berry become co-leaders of the Green Party[19]
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,883 39% 35% 11% 5% 5% 4% 1% 4
31 Aug – 1 Sep Survation UK 1,017 37% 41% 6% 3% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,664 39% 37% 10% 4% 5% 3% 2%[d] 2
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,697 40% 37% 9% 5% 6% 2% 2%[d] 3
17–19 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 40% 40% 8% 3% 0% 6% 2% 1% Tie
14–17 Aug Opinium/The Observer GB 2,003 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 7% 3% 1% 1
14–16 Aug Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,904 37% 40% 8% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% 3
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 38% 8% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3
9–13 Aug Kantar Archived 28 August 2018 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,119 40% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1
9–13 Aug Number Cruncher Politics UK 1,036 38% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2
6–10 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,481 37% 39% 10% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% 2
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,675 39% 35% 10% 5% 7% 3% 1% 4
3–5 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 2,049 39% 40% 7% 4% 0% 6% 3% 0% 1
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,718 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% Tie
20–24 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,023 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,650 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 0% Tie
20–22 Jul ICM/The Guardian GB 2,010 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1
19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,668 38% 39% 9% 5% 6% 2% 1% 1
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,657 36% 41% 9% 4% 7% 2% 0% 5
12–14 Jul Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,484 37% 42% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 5
10–13 Jul Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,005 36% 40% 8% 4% 1% 8% 3% 1% 4
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,732 37% 39% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 2
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,669 39% 39% 9% 4% 5% 3% 1% Tie
6–9 Jul ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 41% 39% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2
5–9 Jul Kantar Archived 10 July 2018 at the Wayback Machine GB 1,086 40% 38% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2
7 Jul Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,007 38% 40% 10% 3% 1% – – 8% 2
3–5 Jul BMG/The Independent GB 1,511 39% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2
3–4 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 41% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1
22–27 Jun Ipsos MORI GB 1,026 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,645 42% 37% 9% 5% 3% 3% 1% 5
22–24 Jun ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1
19–20 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,022 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,606 42% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2
14 Jun Lewisham East by-election[10]
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,638 42% 39% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3
8–10 Jun ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 42% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2
5–8 Jun BMG/The Independent GB 1,490 38% 41% 11% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3
5–7 Jun Opinium/The Observer GB 2,005 42% 40% 7% 6% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,619 44% 37% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 7
31 May – 4 Jun Survation UK 2,012 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1
30 May – 1 Jun Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,013 41% 41% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% Tie
28–29 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,670 42% 39% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3
25–29 May ICM/The Guardian GB 2,002 43% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3
18–22 May Ipsos MORI GB 1,015 40% 40% 7% 5% 0% 2% 5% 0% Tie
20–21 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 42% 38% 9% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4
16–17 May ComRes/We, The People GB 2,045 41% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% Tie
15–16 May Opinium/The Observer GB 2,009 43% 39% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4
13–14 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,634 43% 38% 9% 3% 3% 3% 1% 5
11–13 May ICM/The Guardian GB 2,050 43% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 3
8–10 May Survation UK 1,585 41% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1
8–9 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 43% 38% 9% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5
1–4 May BMG/The Independent GB 1,441 39% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% Tie
3 May English local and mayoral elections and West Tyrone by-election[20][10]
30 Apr – 1 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,585 42% 38% 7% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4
27–29 Apr ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,030 40% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
27–29 Apr ICM/The Guardian GB 2,026 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3
24–25 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,668 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 5
20–24 Apr Ipsos MORI GB 1,004 41% 40% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,631 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5
14 Apr Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 2,060 40% 40% 9% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% Tie
14 Apr Gerard Batten is elected leader of UKIP[21]
11–13 Apr BMG GB 1,500 39% 38% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% 1% 1
11–12 Apr ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,038 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1
10–12 Apr Opinium/The Observer GB 2,008 40% 40% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% Tie
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 40% 40% 9% 4% 4% 2% 1% Tie
6–8 Apr ICM/The Guardian GB 2,012 42% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1
4–5 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,662 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1
27 Mar – 5 Apr Number Cruncher Politics UK 1,037 43% 38% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 0% 5
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,659 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4
16–18 Mar ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 44% 41% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3
13–16 Mar BMG GB 2,065 38% 40% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2
14–15 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,986 42% 39% 7% 5% 3% 3% 1% 3
13–15 Mar Opinium/The Observer GB 2,001 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 0% 2
7–8 Mar Survation/GMB UK 1,038 37% 44% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 7
2–7 Mar Ipsos MORI GB 1,012 43% 42% 6% 4% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 41% 43% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2
2–4 Mar ICM/The Guardian GB 2,030 43% 42% 7% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,622 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,650 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 2
16–19 Feb ICM/The Guardian GB 2,027 42% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 40% 41% 8% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1
6–12 Feb Kantar Archived 19 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,448 39% 39% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% Tie
6–9 Feb BMG GB 1,507 40% 40% 8% 2% 0% 5% 4% 1% Tie
6–8 Feb Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,002 42% 39% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 2,000 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4
2–4 Feb ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 41% 40% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 1
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,669 42% 42% 6% 4% 2% 3% 1% Tie
26–29 Jan Survation UK 1,059 40% 43% 8% 2% 0% 3% 1% 3% 3
19–23 Jan Ipsos MORI GB 1,031 39% 42% 9% 4% 0% 3% 2% 1% 3
10–19 Jan ICM/The Guardian GB 5,075 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% Tie
16–17 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,672 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1
12–14 Jan ICM/The Guardian GB 2,027 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 3% 0% 1
11–12 Jan Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,008 40% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
9–12 Jan BMG GB 1,513 40% 41% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,663 40% 41% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1

2017

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2017 in the United Kingdom.
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Other Lead
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,610 40% 42% 7% 5% 4% 1% 0% 2
12–14 Dec ICM/The Sun on Sunday GB 2,004 41% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1
12–14 Dec Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,005 39% 41% 7% 4% 1% 6% 2% 1% 2
10–11 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,680 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2%[d] 1
8–10 Dec ICM/The Guardian GB 2,006 42% 40% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2
5–8 Dec BMG/The Independent GB 1,509 37% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 3
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,638 40% 41% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2%[d] 1
30 Nov – 1 Dec Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,003 37% 45% 6% 3% 0% 4% 1% 3% 8
29 Nov – 1 Dec ICM/The Sun on Sunday GB 2,050 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1
24–28 Nov Ipsos MORI GB 1,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 2
24–26 Nov ICM/The Guardian GB 2,029 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% 0% Tie
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,644 39% 41% 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 2
19–20 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,677 40% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 3
14–20 Nov Kantar Archived 21 November 2017 at the Wayback Machine GB 2,437 42% 38% 9% 2% 0% 5% 3% 1% 4
14–17 Nov BMG GB 1,507 40% 41% 8% – – 4% – 7% 1
14–16 Nov Opinium/The Observer GB 2,032 40% 42% 6% 4% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2
10–12 Nov ICM/The Guardian GB 2,010 41% 41% 7% 4% 0% 4% 2% 0% Tie
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 2,012 40% 43% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3
27 Oct – 1 Nov Ipsos MORI GB 1,052 38% 40% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2
23–24 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,637 41% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2
20–23 Oct ICM/The Guardian GB 2,022 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% Tie
17–20 Oct BMG GB 1,506 37% 42% 10% – – 4% – 7% 5
18–19 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,680 39% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 3
6–8 Oct ICM/The Guardian GB 2,052 41% 41% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% Tie
4–6 Oct Opinium/The Observer GB 2,009 40% 42% 5% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% 2
4–5 Oct Survation UK 2,047 38% 44% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,615 40% 42% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2
29 Sep Henry Bolton is elected leader of UKIP[22]
26–29 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,910 37% 42% 10% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 5
22–24 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 1,968 40% 42% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2
22–24 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,716 39% 43% 7% 4% 4% 2% 0% 4
22 Sep Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,174 38% 42% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4
19–22 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,004 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2
15–20 Sep Survation/LabourList UK 1,614 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1
15–18 Sep Ipsos MORI GB 1,023 40% 44% 9% 4% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4
12–15 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,447 39% 38% 8% 3% 0% 6% 4% 1% 1
12–15 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,009 41% 41% 5% 4% 1% 5% 3% 0% Tie
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1
8–10 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 2,052 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% Tie
31 Aug – 1 Sep Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,046 38% 43% 7% 3% 1% 4% – 3% 5
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,658 41% 42% 6% 4% 4% 2% 0% 1
25–28 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 1,972 42% 42% 7% 2% 0% 3% 3% 0% Tie
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,664 41% 42% 8% 4% 4% 1% 0% 1
15–18 Aug Opinium/The Observer GB 2,006 40% 43% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3
7–11 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,512 42% 39% 7% 2% 0% 6% 3% 0% 3
31 Jul – 1 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,665 41% 44% 7% 3% 3% 2% 0% 3
20 Jul Vince Cable is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[23]
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,593 41% 43% 6% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2
14–18 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,071 41% 42% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1
14–16 Jul ICM/The Guardian GB 2,046 42% 43% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1
14–15 Jul Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,024 39% 41% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2
11–14 Jul BMG GB 1,518 37% 42% 10% – – 4% – 7% 5
11–14 Jul Opinium/The Observer GB 2,013 41% 43% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 2
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,700 40% 45% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 5
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 38% 46% 6% 4% 4% 1% 1% 8
30 Jun – 3 Jul ICM/The Guardian GB 2,044 41% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2
28–30 Jun Survation UK 1,017 41% 40% 7% 2% 0% 2% 2% 6%[f] 1
27–29 Jun Opinium/The Observer GB 2,010 39% 45% 5% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 6
16–21 Jun Panelbase/The Sunday Times GB 5,481 41% 46% 6% 3% <1% 2% 1% <1% 5
16–17 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,005 41% 44% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3%[g] 3
10 Jun Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,036 39% 45% 7% 3% 1% 3% – 2% 6
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election GB – 43.4% 41.0% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.4
UK 42.3% 40.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.5% 1.8% 1.6% 3.3% 2.3

Seat projections

[edit]

Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.

A small number of large polls were carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[24]

Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Con Lab SNP Lib Dem DUP SF Plaid Cymru Green Alliance SDLP Brexit Other Majority
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 365 202 48 11 8 7 4 1 1 2 0 1 Con 80
12 Dec 2019 BBC Exit Poll 368 191 55 13 — — 3 1 — — 0 19 Con 86
4–11 Dec 2019 Electoral Calculus 351 224 41 13 10 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 Con 52
27 Nov – 10 Dec 2019 FocalData (MRP) 337 235 41 14 — — 3 1 — — 0 1 Con 24
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) 339 231 41 15 — — 4 1 — — 0 1 Con 28
4–9 Dec 2019 Electoral Calculus 349 226 41 13 10 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 Con 48
6–8 Dec 2019 Savanta ComRes/Remain United Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 340 233 45 11 10 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 Con 30
2–7 Dec 2019 Electoral Calculus 348 225 41 13 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 46
7 Dec 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 344 221 47 14 — — 4 1 — — — — Con 38
28 Nov – 4 Dec 2019 Electoral Calculus 335 233 44 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 20
26 Nov – 3 Dec 2019 Electoral Calculus 339 229 44 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 28
26–30 Nov 2019 Electoral Calculus 342 225 45 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 34
21–28 Nov 2019 Electoral Calculus 336 231 45 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 22
20–26 Nov 2019 Electoral Calculus 331 235 45 16 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 12
20–26 Nov 2019 YouGov (MRP) 359 211 43 13 — — 4 1 — — 0 1 Con 68
19–26 Nov 2019 Electoral Calculus 342 225 41 19 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 34
26 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 349 216 49 14 — — 5 1 — — 0 0 Con 48
19–23 Nov 2019 Electoral Calculus 365 202 41 20 8 7 3 1 3 0 0 0 Con 80
12–19 Nov 2019 Electoral Calculus 361 201 46 19 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 Con 72
6 Nov 2019 Seat totals at start of campaign period[h] 298 243 35 21 10 7 4 1 0 0 – 31 Hung
(Con 28 short)
1–25 Sep 2019 Focaldata 364 189 52 23 10 7 1 0 0 0 0 4 Con 78
2–7 Feb 2019 YouGov (MRP) 321 250 39 16 — — 4 1 — — – 1 Hung
(Con 5 short)
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election 317 262 35 12 10 7 4 1 0 0 – 2 Hung
(Con 9 short)

Sub-national poll results

[edit]

Scotland

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.1% – 0.5% 0.1% 19.9
10–11 Dec 2019 Survation/The Courier 1,012 43% 28% 20% 7% 1% – – 1% – 15
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [25] 41% 27% 20% 10% 1% – – 1% – 14
3–6 Dec 2019 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,020 39% 29% 21% 10% 1% – – 0% 0% 10
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2019 YouGov/The Times 1,002 44% 28% 15% 12% 1% – – 0% 0% 16
19–25 Nov 2019 Ipsos MORI/STV 1,046 44% 26% 16% 11% 2% – – <1% – 18
20–22 Nov 2019 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,009 40% 28% 20% 11% <1% – – <1% <1% 12
15 Nov 2019 Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced)
6 Nov 2019 Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins
23–25 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,060 42% 22% 12% 13% 4% 0% 0% 6% 0% 20
9–11 Oct 2019 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,003 39% 21% 19% 13% 2% – – 5% – 18
30 Aug – 3 Sep 2019 YouGov/The Times 1,059 43% 20% 15% 12% 4% 0% 0% 6% 0% 23
29 Aug 2019 Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservative Party[26]
18–20 Jun 2019 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,024 38% 18% 17% 13% 2% <1% <1% 9% – 20
14–17 May 2019 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,021 38% 18% 19% 10% 3% 1% 2% 9% <1% 19
24–26 Apr 2019 YouGov/The Times 1,029 43% 20% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4% 0% 23
18–24 Apr 2019 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,018 38% 22% 21% 6% 2% 2% 3% 5% <1% 16
18–23 Apr 2019 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,012 41% 22% 24% 8% – – – – 5% 17
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2019 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,002 37% 27% 22% 7% 2% 2% 2% – <1% 10
1–4 Mar 2019 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,011 40% 24% 23% 8% – – – – 4% 16
30 Nov – 5 Dec 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,028 37% 26% 26% 6% 2% 2% – – <1% 11
9–13 Nov 2018 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,013 39% 26% 24% 8% – – – – 3% 13
2–7 Nov 2018 Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 1,050 37% 28% 25% 7% 2% 2% – – 3% 9
20 Oct – 2 Nov 2018 Survation/Channel 4 1,734 40% 27% 23% 7% 1% 1% – – 1% 13
18–21 Oct 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,017 36% 27% 26% 7% 1% – – – 1% 9
3–5 Oct 2018 Survation/SNP 1,013 37% 28% 26% 6% – – – – 2% 9
28 Sep – 4 Oct 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,024 38% 27% 24% 6% 2% 2% – – <1% 11
28 Sep – 2 Oct 2018 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,036 41% 26% 24% 7% – – – – 3% 15
5–10 Jul 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,004 42% 24% 23% 8% – – – – 3% 18
21–26 Jun 2018 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,018 38% 27% 25% 7% 2% <1% – – <1% 11
8–13 Jun 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,021 38% 27% 27% 6% 2% <1% – – <1% 11
1–5 Jun 2018 YouGov/The Times 1,075 40% 27% 23% 7% 2% 1% – – 1% 13
23–28 Mar 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,037 36% 28% 27% 6% 2% 1% – – <1% 8
5–11 Mar 2018 Ipsos MORI/STV 1,050 39% 25% 26% 6% 4% 0% – – 0% 13
24–28 Jan 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,029 39% 24% 27% 7% – – – – 3% 12
12–16 Jan 2018 YouGov/The Times 1,002 36% 23% 28% 6% 3% 3% – – 0% 8
1–5 Dec 2017 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,006 38% 24% 29% 7% – – – – 3% 9
27–30 Nov 2017 Survation/Daily Record 1,017 37% 25% 28% 7% – – – – 3% 9
18 Nov 2017 Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[27]
2–5 Oct 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,135 40% 23% 30% 5% 1% 1% – – 0% 10
8–12 Sep 2017 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,016 39% 26% 26% 7% – – – – 2% 13
31 Aug – 7 Sep 2017 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,021 41% 27% 24% 6% 2% – – – – 14
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 36.9% 28.6% 27.1% 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% – – 0.3% 8.3

Wales

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem UKIP Green Change UK Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% - 1.0% – 5.4% 0.7% 4.8
4-10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [28] 43% 34% 10% 5% – 1% – 6% 1% 9
6–9 Dec 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,020 40% 37% 10% 6% – 1% – 5% 1% 3
22–25 Nov 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,116 38% 32% 11% 9% – 1% – 8% 1% 6
31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,136 29% 28% 12% 12% 0% 3% 0% 15% 1% 1
10–14 Oct 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,071 25% 29% 12% 16% 0% 4% 0% 14% 1% 4
1 Aug 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10]
23–28 July 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,071 22% 24% 15% 16% – 3% – 18% 1% 2
16–20 May 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,009 25% 17% 13% 12% 1% 5% 2% 23% 2% 2
2–5 Apr 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,025 33% 26% 15% 7% 3% 2% 9% 4% 1% 7
4 Apr 2019 Newport West by-election[10]
7–23 Feb 2019 ICM/BBC Wales 1,000 42% 33% 13% 6% 3% 1% – – 2% 9
19–22 Feb 2019 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,025 35% 29% 14% 8% 6% 3% – – 4% 6
7–14 Dec 2018 Sky Data/Cardiff University 1,014 45% 32% 14% 3% 4% 2% – – 1% 13
6–13 Dec 2018 Mark Drakeford is elected leader of Welsh Labour and becomes First Minister[29][30]
4–7 Dec 2018 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,024 43% 31% 13% 6% 3% 3% – – 1% 12
30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,031 42% 33% 10% 7% 4% 2% – – 1% 9
20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 Survation/Channel 4 1,177 47% 30% 13% 6% 3% 2% – – 0% 17
28 Sep 2018 Adam Price is elected leader of Plaid Cymru[18]
6 Sep 2018 Paul Davies is elected leader of the Welsh Conservatives[31]
28 Jun–2 Jul 2018 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,031 44% 31% 13% 5% 3% 2% – – 1% 13
12–15 Mar 2018 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,015 46% 33% 11% 4% 4% 2% – – 1% 13
8–25 Feb 2018 ICM/BBC Wales 1,001 49% 32% 11% 5% 2% 1% – – 0% 17
21–24 Nov 2017 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,016 47% 31% 11% 5% 3% 2% – – 1% 16
3 Nov 2017 Jane Dodds is elected leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[32]
4–7 Sep 2017 YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,011 50% 32% 8% 4% 3% 1% – – 1% 18
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 48.9% 33.6% 10.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3% – – 0.2% 15.4

Northern Ireland

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Green Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 30.6% 22.8% 14.9% 11.7% 16.8% 0.2% 3.1%[33] 7.8
27–30 Nov 2019 Lucid Talk/Remain United 2,422 30% 25% 13% 11% 16% 0% 5% 5
9 Nov 2019 Steve Aiken becomes leader of the Ulster Unionist Party
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2019 Lucid Talk/Remain United 2,386 28% 24% 14% 9% 16% 1% 8% [i] 4
9–12 Aug 2019 Lucid Talk 2,302 29% 25% 8% 9% 21% 1% 7% 4
21 Nov 2018 Clare Bailey becomes leader of Green Party NI
20 Oct – 2 Nov 2018 Survation/Channel 4 555 31% 27% 11% 15% 12% – 4% 4
3 May 2018 West Tyrone by-election[10]
10 Feb 2018 Mary Lou McDonald becomes leader of Sinn Féin[34]
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 36.0% 29.4% 11.7% 10.3% 7.9% 0.9% 3.7% 6.6

London

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 48.1% 32.0% 14.9% 3.1% – – 1.4% 0.5% 16.1
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [35] 47% 31% 15% 3% – – 2% 1% 16
28 Nov – 2 Dec 2019 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,019 47% 30% 15% 4% – – 3% 1% 17
30 Oct – 4 Nov 2019 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,175 39% 29% 19% 5% 0% — 6% — 10
7–10 May 2019 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,015 35% 23% 21% 7% 0% 2% 10% 1% 12
3–6 Dec 2018 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,020 49% 33% 11% 3% 3% – – 1% 16
3–7 Sep 2018 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,218 48% 26% 15% 5% 4% – – 2% 22
14 Jun 2018 Lewisham East by-election[10]
3 May 2018 2018 London local elections[20]
20–24 Apr 2018 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,099 52% 31% 10% 3% 2% – – 1% 21
12–15 Feb 2018 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,155 53% 33% 8% 3% 2% – – 0% 20
25–29 Sep 2017 YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 1,044 55% 30% 8% 2% 3% – – 1% 25
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 54.5% 33.1% 8.8% 1.8% 1.3% – – 0.5% 21.4

North East England

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 42.6% 38.3% 6.9% 0.1% 2.3% 7.9% 1.7% 4.3
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [36] 44% 35% 7% – 2% 10% 1% 9
21–22 Nov 2019 Survation/Daily Mail 248 42% 30% 11% – 4% 13% – 12
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 523 32% 26% 15% 1% 7% 19% 1% 6
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 55.6% 34.5% 4.6% 3.9% 1.3% – 0.2% 21.1

North West England

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 46.4% 37.6% 7.9% 0.0% 2.4% 3.8% 1.7% 8.8
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [37] 44% 36% 8% – 3% 6% 2% 8
21–22 Nov 2019 Survation/Daily Mail 681 39% 37% 11% – 3% 8% 1% 2
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,269 30% 33% 17% 1% 5% 14% 0% 3
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 55.0% 36.3% 5.4% 1.9% 1.1% – 0.3% 18.7

Yorkshire and the Humber

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 38.8% 43.0% 8.0% 0.0% 2.2% 5.9% 1.7% 4.8
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [38] 40% 40% 8% – 2% 7% 2% Tie
21–22 Nov 2019 Survation/Daily Mail 434 39% 38% 13% – 3% 7% 1% 1
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,036 29% 34% 16% 0% 7% 14% 1% 5
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 49.1% 40.6% 5.0% 2.6% 1.3% – 1.4% 8.5

East Midlands

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 54.9% 31.8% 7.8% 0.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.6% 23.1
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [39] 51% 34% 8% – 2% 2% 2% 17
21–22 Nov 2019 Survation/Daily Mail 464 49% 31% 13% – 3% 3% 1% 18
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 896 45% 22% 15% 0% 6% 12% 1% 23
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 50.8% 40.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% – 0.6% 10.3

West Midlands

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 53.5% 33.9% 7.9% 0.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 19.6
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [40] 49% 36% 9% – 3% 2% 1% 13
21–22 Nov 2019 Survation/Daily Mail 507 41% 34% 15% – 4% 5% 2% 7
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,017 43% 23% 14% 0% 7% 12% 1% 20
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 49.1% 42.6% 4.4% 1.8% 1.6% – 0.5% 6.5

East of England

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 57.2% 24.5% 13.4% 0.0% 2.9% 0.4% 1.6% 32.7
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [41] 54% 27% 14% – 3% 1% 2% 27
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,107 45% 17% 18% 0% 5% 14% 0% 27
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 54.7% 32.8% 7.9% 2.5% 1.5% – 0.2% 21.9

South East England

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 54.2% 22.1% 18.3% 3.9% 0.1% 0.2% 1.2% 32.1
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [42] 51% 24% 19% 4% – – 2% 27
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,592 41% 16% 23% 6% 0% 12% 0% 18
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 54.8% 28.6% 10.6% 3.1% 2.2% – 0.8% 26.2

South West England

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 52.9% 23.3% 18.1% 3.7% 0.0% 0.3% 1.5% 29.6
4–10 Dec 2019 YouGov (MRP) [43] 50% 25% 19% 3% – – 2% 25
17–28 Oct 2019 YouGov 1,172 41% 17% 21% 7% 0% 13% 1% 20
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 51.5% 29.1% 14.9% 2.2% 1.1% – 1.1% 22.4

Other polling

[edit]

Marginal constituencies

[edit]

Number Cruncher Politics polled adults living in the 60 English marginal constituencies with a Labour or Conservative majority of less than 5 per cent at the 2017 election.

Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Other Lead
1–19 Sep 2018 Number Cruncher Politics/Shelter 1,247 40% 42% 10% 2% 5% 2% 2
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 46% 44% 7% 1% 2% – 2

Individual constituency polling

[edit]

Note that where the client is a political party, constituency level polling may be particularly susceptible to publication bias.[44]

East Midlands

[edit]

Gedling

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 44.1% 45.5% 4.6% 2.2% 3.6% 1.4
4 Nov 2019 Survation/The Economist 409 42% 37% 6% 1% 13% 5
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 51.9% 42.8% 2.0% 3.2% – 9.1

East of England

[edit]

Cambridge

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Lib Dem Con Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 48.0% 30.0% 15.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 17.9
16–17 Oct 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 417 30% 39% 10% 12% 7% 1% 9
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 51.9% 29.3% 16.3% 2.2% N/A 0.2% 22.6

South Cambridgeshire

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 46.3% 11.7% 42.0% — — — 4.3
4–5 Nov 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 410 36% 12% 40% 4% 7% 0% 4
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 51.8% 27.2% 18.6% 2.3% — — 24.6

South East Cambridgeshire

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 50.0% 16.3% 32.1% — 1.6% 17.9
25–28 Oct 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 408 42% 16% 31% 8% 4% 11
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 53.3% 27.7% 19.0% – — 25.6

South West Hertfordshire

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Gauke Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 49.6% 11.8% 10.2% 2.4% 26.0% — 23.5
22–26 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 405 50% 17% 13% 2% 16% 2% 33
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 57.9% 25.7% 11.7% 2.6% — 2.1 32.2

London

[edit]

Carshalton and Wallington

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lib Dem Con Lab Brexit Green Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 41.1% 42.4% 12.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 1.3
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov ? 42.8% 41.2% 9% 2.6% 4.4% – 1.6
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 41% 38.3% 18.4% – 1.3% – 2.7

Chelsea and Fulham

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem AWP Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 49.9% 23.2% 25.9% 1.1% – 24.0
14–21 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 502 48% 24% 25% – 3% 23
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov ? 41.6% 21.4% 34.4% – 0% 7.2
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 52.6% 33.2% 11.0% – 3.1% 19.4

Chingford and Woodford Green

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 48.5% 45.9% 5.7% — 2.6
4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 700–800 46% 44.4% 9.6% 0% 1.6
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 350–400 46.6% 42.4% 11% – 4.2
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 49.1% 43.9% 4.4% 2.6% 5.2

Cities of London and Westminster

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 39.9% 27.2% 30.7% 1.7% 0.5% 9.3
3–8 Dec 2019 Deltapoll/Datapraxis 502 44% 26% 28% 1% 1% 16
14–21 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 39% 26% 33% 1% 1% 6
4–22 Nov 2019 YouGov/Datapraxis ? 38.8% 25.7% 29.9% 4% 1.5% 8.9
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 46.6% 38.4% 11.1% 2.1% 1.8% 8.1

Finchley and Golders Green

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 43.8% 24.2% 31.9% – – – 11.9
3–6 Dec 2019 Deltapoll/Datapraxis/ 500 46% 19% 34% 0% – 1% 12
Nov 2019 Watermelon/The Jewish Chronicle 507 37% 18% 31% – – 13% 6
7–12 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 46% 19% 32% 0% – 3% 14
4–22 Nov 2019 YouGov/Datapraxis ? 42.4% 25.1% 32.5% – – 0% 9.9
2 Oct 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 400 29% 25% 41% 3% 2% 0% 12
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 47.0% 43.8% 6.6% 1.8% – – 3.2

Hendon

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 48.8% 41.1% 8.4% 1.7% – 7.7
14–21 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 501 51% 33% 12% 1% 3% 14
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 350–400 46.6% 32.3% 18% 3% – 14.3
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 48.0% 46.0% 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0

Kensington

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 38.0% 38.3% 21.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3
4–8 Dec 2019 Deltapoll/Datapraxis 502 29% 39% 26% – – 4% 10
7–13 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 501 27% 36% 33% – – 3% 3
4–22 Nov 2019 YouGov/Datapraxis ? 30.1% 34.4% 27.7% – – 7.7% 4.3
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 42.2% 42.2% 12.2% 2.0% – 3.4% 0.05

Putney

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 35.7% 45.1% 16.9% 2.2% N/A 9.4
26 Nov – 1 Dec 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 501 38% 35% 24% 2% 1% 3
4 Nov – 5 Dec 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 700–800 37.9% 34.7% 23.5% 3.8% 0% 3.2
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov 350–400 37.7% 29.3% 28.4% 4.6% – 8.4
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 44.1% 40.8% 11.6% 2.4% 1.1% 3.3

Richmond Park

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lib Dem Lab Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 41.2% 53.1% 5.2% 0.5% 11.9
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov ? 35.6% 56% 6.4% 2.1% 20.4
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 45.1% 45.1% 9.1% 0.7% 0.01

Wimbledon

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 38.4% 23.7% 37.2% 0.7% 1.2
7–13 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 38% 23% 36% 3% 2
4–22 Nov 2019 Datapraxis/YouGov ? 37.4% 24.7% 34.7% 3.3% 2.7
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 46.5% 35.6% 14.5% 3.5% 11.5

North East England

[edit]

Berwick-upon-Tweed

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 56.9% 21.6% 18.2% 3.3% 35.3
22–26 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 60% 17% 21% 2% 39
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 52.5% 24.6% 21.1% 1.9% 27.9

Stockton South

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 41.1% 50.7% – 4.3% – 4.0% – 9.6
9 Dec 2019 Survation ? 43% 46% – 3% – 7% – 3.0
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 48.5% 46.8% 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% – – 1.6

North West England

[edit]

Southport

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 47.6% 39.0% 13.5% – 8.6
2–6 Dec 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 43% 35% 22% – 7
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 38.7% 32.6% 26.4% 2.4% 6.1

Workington

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 39.2% 49.3% 3.7% 1.4% 4.2% 2.2% 10.1
30–31 Oct 2019 Survation 506 34% 45% 5% 2% 13% 2% 11
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 51.1% 41.7% 2.7% – – 4.4% 9.4

South East England

[edit]

Beaconsfield

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Grieve Green Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 56.1% 9.9% – 29.0% 3.5% 1.4% 27.1
21–26 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 53% 7% – 35% – 5% 18
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 65.3% 21.4% 7.9% – 2.5% 2.9% 43.9

Esher and Walton

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 49.4% 4.5% 45.0% – – 1.3% 4.3
21–26 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 396 46% 9% 41% – – 4% 5
30 Oct – 4 Nov 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 406 45% 11% 36% 3% 4% 1% 9
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 58.6% 19.7% 17.3% 1.8% – 2.5% 38.9

Guildford

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Milton

(Ind)[45]

Lib Dem Lab Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 44.9% 7.4% 39.2% 7.7% 0.8% 5.7
21–26 Nov 2019 Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 500 40% 7% 41% 11% 1% 1
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 54.6% 23.9% 19.0% 2.6% 30.7

Portsmouth South

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 48.6% 37.3% 11.4% 2.1% 0.5% 11.3
22–27 Nov 2019 Deltapoll 500 46% 38% 11% 2% 2% 8
28–29 Oct 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 406 24% 27% 30% 14% 6% 3
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 41.0% 37.6% 17.3% – 4.1% 3.5

Reading West

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 48.2% 40.1% 8.9% 2.5% – – 8.1
7–8 Nov 2019 Survation 410 50% 26% 13% 3% 7% 0% 24
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 48.9% 43.3% 5.9% 1.9% – – 5.6

Wokingham

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 49.6% 10.4% 37.7% 2.2% — 0.1% 11.9
31 Oct—4 Nov 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 406 42% 12% 38% 3% 5% — 4
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 56.6% 25.1% 15.9% 2.3% — — 24.6

South West England

[edit]

Bath

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lib Dem Con Lab Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 54.5% 30.9% 12.7% 1.2% 0.7% 23.5
7–14 Sep 2017 Survation/Bath Labour 555 46% 32% 17% 5% – 14
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 47.3% 35.8% 14.7% – – 11.5

North East Somerset

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 50.4% 24.2% 22.1% 2.5% – 0.8% 26.1
16–17 Oct 2019 Survation/Liberal Democrats 405 44% 14% 28% 3% 7% 4% 16
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 53.6% 34.7% 8.3% 2.3% – 1.1% 18.9

Wales

[edit]

Wrexham

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Plaid Cymru Brexit Green Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 39.0% 45.3% 4.3% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 6.3
27–30 Nov 2019 Survation/The Economist 405 29% 44% 5% 10% 9% – 15
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 48.9% 43.7% 2.5% 5.0% – – 5.2

West Midlands

[edit]

Warwick and Leamington

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 43.8% 42.3% 9.2% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% [j] 1.5
21–23 Nov 2019 Survation/The Economist 413 39% 40% 10% – 6% 4% 1
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 46.7% 44.4% 5.2% 2.2% – 1.7% [k] 2.3

Yorkshire and the Humber

[edit]

Great Grimsby

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Pollster/client(s) Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 32.7% 54.9% 3.2% 1.6% 7.2% 0.5% 22.2
14–15 Nov 2019 Survation/The Economist 401 31% 44% 4% 3% 17% 1% 13
8 Jun 2017 2017 general election – 49.4% 42.2% 2.7% – – 5.7% 7.2

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b This poll does not feature constituency prompting.
  2. ^ Question specified an election taking place in October
  3. ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  4. ^ a b c d e f Including the British National Party with 1%
  5. ^ Women's Equality Party on 1%
  6. ^ Including Alliance, Democratic Unionist Party, Social Democratic and Labour Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  7. ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party with 2%
  8. ^ A significant number of MPs changed parties during the 2017–2019 Parliament.
  9. ^ Including 1% for Traditional Unionist Voice, 1% for People Before Profit and 3% for Sylvia Hermon.
  10. ^ Independent with 0.3%; SDP with 0.1%
  11. ^ UKIP with 1.5%; rejected ballots with 0.2%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Johnson says he had 'no choice' over election". BBC News. 6 November 2019. Archived from the original on 6 November 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
  2. ^ Luke Taylor (14 May 2019). "Latest Brexit Barometer: Labour 9 points ahead of Conservatives". Kantar. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  3. ^ Gideon Skinner; Glenn Gottfried; Cameron Garrett; Keiran Pedley (21 March 2019). "Worst public satisfaction ratings for any government since John Major". Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  4. ^ Anthony Wells (31 May 2019). "Here's how we prompt for the Brexit Party, and why it's more accurate". YouGov. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  5. ^ Matt Chorley (7 June 2019). "Brexit Party increases lead as Tories struggle". The Times. Archived from the original on 7 June 2019. Retrieved 7 June 2019. The emergence of new political forces has prompted YouGov to adapt the way it runs its surveys. The Brexit Party and the Green Party are now included when asking for voting intention alongside the established parties such as the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP and Plaid Cymru. YouGov carried out testing this week and found similar levels of support regardless of method used.
  6. ^ "Poll tracker: How popular are the Westminster political parties?". BBC News. BMG Research. 4 October 2019. Archived from the original on 6 October 2019. Retrieved 6 October 2019.
  7. ^ Walker, Ben (27 November 2019). "The Brexit Party's pullout demonstrates a problem for pollsters". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 27 November 2019. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
  8. ^ "UKIP leader Richard Braine resigns after three months in the job". BBC News. 30 October 2019. Archived from the original on 31 October 2019. Retrieved 30 October 2019.
  9. ^ "UKIP: Richard Braine elected as party leader". BBC News. 10 August 2019. Archived from the original on 13 August 2019. Retrieved 14 August 2019.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i "By-elections since the 2017 General Election". UK Parliament. Archived from the original on 26 June 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  11. ^ "Lib Dems: Jo Swinson elected new leader". BBC News. 22 July 2019. Archived from the original on 22 July 2019. Retrieved 22 July 2019.
  12. ^ "Change UK loses six of its 11 MPs". BBC News. 4 June 2019. Archived from the original on 4 June 2019. Retrieved 4 June 2019.
  13. ^ "European elections 2019: Polls take place across the UK". BBC News. 23 May 2019. Archived from the original on 23 May 2019. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  14. ^ "England local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 28 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  15. ^ "Northern Ireland local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 17 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  16. ^ "Independent Group: Three MPs quit Tory party to join". BBC News. 20 February 2019. Archived from the original on 30 November 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  17. ^ "Brexit Party registration with The Electoral Commission". The Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 11 May 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
  18. ^ a b "Plaid Cymru leadership contest: Adam Price wins". BBC News. 28 September 2018. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  19. ^ "Jonathan Bartley and Sian Berry elected Green Party co-leaders". BBC. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 31 October 2019.
  20. ^ a b "England local elections 2018". BBC News. Archived from the original on 7 December 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  21. ^ "UKIP confirms Gerard Batten as new leader". Sky News. 14 April 2018. Archived from the original on 10 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  22. ^ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". BBC News. 29 September 2017. Archived from the original on 29 September 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  23. ^ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Archived from the original on 20 July 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  24. ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  25. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Scotland was not recorded.
  26. ^ "Ruth Davidson quits as Scottish Tory leader citing Brexit and family". The Guardian. 29 August 2019. Archived from the original on 3 September 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
  27. ^ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Archived from the original on 7 April 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2017.
  28. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Wales was not recorded.
  29. ^ "Welsh Labour leadership: Mark Drakeford set to be Wales' first minister". BBC News. 6 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  30. ^ "Wales new First Minister Mark Drakeford is sworn in". BBC News. 13 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  31. ^ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". BBC News. 6 September 2018. Archived from the original on 6 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  32. ^ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". BBC News. 3 November 2017. Archived from the original on 28 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  33. ^ Aontú (1.2%), People Before Profit (0.9%) and the Conservative Party (0.7%) outpolled the Greens despite not being measured separately in pre-election polling.
  34. ^ "Mary Lou McDonald confirmed as new leader of Sinn Féin". Irish Times. 20 January 2018. Archived from the original on 10 July 2018. Retrieved 4 August 2019.
  35. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in London was not recorded.
  36. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in North West England was not recorded.
  37. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in North West London was not recorded.
  38. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Yorkshire and the Humber was not recorded.
  39. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in the East Midlands was not recorded.
  40. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in the West Midlands was not recorded.
  41. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in the East of England was not recorded.
  42. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in South East England was not recorded.
  43. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in South West England was not recorded.
  44. ^ Wells, Anthony. "Lib Dem private polls again". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 9 December 2019.
  45. ^ Milton was the Conservative candidate in the 2017 election.
[edit]
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