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Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 34 min

Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
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Opinion polls • By constituency
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Opinion polls
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This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2019 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2021 Canadian federal election, which took place on September 20, 2021.[1] For riding-specific polls see the list of 2021 constituency polls.

National polls

[edit]

Campaign period

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
2021 election September 20, 2021 HTML 33.7 32.6 17.8 7.6 2.3 4.9 1.1 — 17,042,591 — 1.1
Nanos Research September 19, 2021 [2] 31.2 32.4 17.5 7.5 4.5 6.6 0.3 ±3.6 pp 832 telephone 1.2
Forum Research September 19, 2021 [3] 33.0 29.4 16.2 6.9 2.9 10.3 1.3 ±3 pp 1,181 IVR 3.6
Research Co. September 19, 2021 [4] 32 32 19 7 4 6 1 ±3.1 pp 1,800 online 0
Mainstreet Research September 19, 2021 [5] 30.4 33.4 18.1 6.0 2.1 9.3 0.7 ±2.1 pp 2,211 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 3.0
Abacus Data September 19, 2021 [6] 32 31 19 7 4 6 2 ±2.0 pp 2,431 online 1
EKOS September 19, 2021 [7] 27.3 32.6 18.0 7.3 3.9 9.9 1 ±2.4 pp 1,662 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 5.3
Counsel September 18, 2021 [8] 30 31 19 7 4 7 2 ±1.7 pp 3,298 online 1
EKOS September 18, 2021 [9] 26.9 32.1 18.5 7.2 4.4 10.0 0.9 ±2.7 pp 1,327 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.2
Nanos Research September 18, 2021 [10] 30.5 30.8 21.0 6.5 4.7 5.6 1.0 ±2.5 pp 1,679 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Mainstreet Research September 18, 2021 [11] 30.5 31.9 19.0 6.4 2.5 8.9 0.8 ±1.9 pp 2,494 (1/2) IVR (rolling) 1.4
Abacus Data September 18, 2021 [12] 31 32 21 6 3 6 1 ±2.8 pp 1,271 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Ipsos September 18, 2021 [13] 32 31 21 7 3 4 1 ±2.3 pp 2,359 online/telephone 1
Angus Reid September 18, 2021 [14] 32 30 20 7 3 5 1 ±2.2 pp 2,042 online 2
EKOS September 17, 2021 [15] 27.7 30.6 20.0 7.3 4.5 9.1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,422 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
Nanos Research September 17, 2021 [16] 29.2 31.3 20.9 6.4 3.9 7.3 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2021 [17] 30.8 31.0 19.9 6.6 2.5 8.4 0.9 ±2.2 pp 1,871 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2
Abacus Data September 17, 2021 [18] 32 33 21 6 2 5 1 ±2.7 pp 1,333 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Leger September 17, 2021 [19] 33 32 19 7 2 6 1 ±2.5 pp 2,147 online 1
EKOS September 16, 2021 [20] 30.6 30.4 18.5 7.0 4.1 8.5 0.9 ±2.6 pp 1,384 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2
Nanos Research September 16, 2021 [21] 30.4 31.9 20.3 5.8 3.2 7.5 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,228 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5
Mainstreet Research September 16, 2021 [22] 31.9 29.5 19.5 6.4 3.0 8.8 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,749 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.4
Abacus Data September 16, 2021 [23] 30 34 21 6 3 5 1 ±2.9 pp 1,604 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Campaign Research September 16, 2021 [24] 31 31 21 7 4 5 1 ±1 pp 5,163 online 0
EKOS September 15, 2021 [25] 30.4 32.1 18.4 6.3 3.8 8.2 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,446 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research September 15, 2021 [26] 30.3 31.9 21.2 6.4 3.2 6.7 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,237 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.6
Mainstreet Research September 15, 2021 [27] 32.0 30.2 18.9 6.4 2.9 8.7 0.8 ±2.3 pp 1,753 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.8
Abacus Data September 15, 2021 [28] 31 33 22 5 3 5 2 ±2.9 pp 1,578 online (rolling) 2
EKOS September 14, 2021 [29] 31.8 31.8 19.1 6.4 3.3 6.9 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,322 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.0
Nanos Research September 14, 2021 [30] 31.2 30.5 21.4 6.2 3.7 6.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,281 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Mainstreet Research September 14, 2021 [31] 31.4 31.4 17.5 7.0 3.3 8.7 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,774 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.0
EKOS September 13, 2021 [32] 32.2 31.2 19.4 6.2 3.1 7.3 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.0
Research Co. September 13, 2021 [33] 30 34 20 7 3 5 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 4
Nanos Research September 13, 2021 [34] 31.2 32.3 18.9 6.4 3.8 6.7 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Mainstreet Research September 13, 2021 [35] 29.5 33.5 16.4 7.5 3.3 9.1 0.7 ±2.3 pp 1,732 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.0
Ipsos September 13, 2021 [36] 32 32 21 7 4 3 1 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online/telephone 0
Leger September 13, 2021 [37] 32 32 20 7 3 5 1 ±2.19 pp 2,001 online 0
YouGov September 13, 2021 [38] 32 29 19 6 5 5 4 ±3.4 pp 925 online 3
Earnscliffe/Leger September 12, 2021 [39] 32 32 20 7 4 5 1 — 1,549 online 0
Innovative Research September 12, 2021 [40] 28 33 22 7 4 4 1 — 3,203 online 5
EKOS September 12, 2021 [41] 31.9 30.3 20.3 6.0 3.7 7.0 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,115 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.6
Nanos Research September 12, 2021 [42] 30.2 33.2 18.6 6.8 3.8 6.6 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,268 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.0
Mainstreet Research September 12, 2021 [43] 28.6 33.5 17.1 7.9 3.7 8.4 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,711 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.9
Abacus Data September 12, 2021 [44] 32 32 21 6 3 4 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 0
Angus Reid September 12, 2021 [45] 32 30 21 7 2 6 2 ±2.5 pp 1,840 online 2
Counsel September 11, 2021 [46] 30.2 29.7 21.9 6.5 4.4 5.6 1.7 ±1.7 pp 3,320 online 0.5
EKOS September 11, 2021 [47] 32.8 31.1 19.0 4.7 3.9 7.8 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,162 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research September 11, 2021 [48] 30.7 34.0 18.6 6.6 4.1 5.1 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,252 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Mainstreet Research September 11, 2021 [49] 29.4 33.4 17.6 7.4 3.1 8.1 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,706 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.0
Forum Research September 10, 2021 [50] 31 28 18 8 4 9 2 ±3 pp 1,579 IVR 3
EKOS September 10, 2021 [51] 30.9 30.4 19.9 4.6 4.3 9.1 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,238 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5
Nanos Research September 10, 2021 [52] 30.1 34.4 19.0 6.4 4.6 5.0 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,249 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.3
Mainstreet Research September 10, 2021 [53] 30.2 33.9 17.9 6.4 2.6 7.9 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,751 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.7
September 9, 2021 Leaders' Debates Commission English debate
EKOS September 9, 2021 [54] 33.2 29.7 16.7 4.3 3.8 11.7 0.6 ±2.7 pp 1,303 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.5
Nanos Research September 9, 2021 [55] 33.3 31.3 19.2 6.6 3.8 5.0 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,269 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Mainstreet Research September 9, 2021 [56] 32.0 32.9 18.5 5.3 2.2 8.4 0.8 ±2.3 pp 1,776 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9
September 8, 2021 Leaders' Debates Commission French debate
EKOS September 8, 2021 [57] 33.6 30.7 15.7 4.1 4.1 11.2 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,365 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
Nanos Research September 8, 2021 [58] 32.6 30.6 20.3 5.5 4.2 5.3 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,266 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Mainstreet Research September 8, 2021 [59] 32.9 32.3 19.0 5.5 1.9 7.9 0.5 ±2.3 pp 1,768 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.6
EKOS September 7, 2021 [60] 34.3 31.8 16.4 4.0 3.2 9.5 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,202 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5
Mainstreet Research September 7, 2021 [61] 33.5 30.0 20.7 5.5 2.2 7.6 0.4 ±2.3 pp 1,755 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.5
Nanos Research September 7, 2021 [62] 32.6 31.6 21.1 5.0 4.4 4.3 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,288 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0
EKOS September 6, 2021 [63] 33.7 30.8 19.2 3.8 3.8 7.9 0.8 ±3.0 pp 1,062 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
Mainstreet Research September 6, 2021 [64] 33.5 31.1 19.6 6.4 2.4 6.4 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,794 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.4
Leger September 6, 2021 [65] 33 33 21 6 3 3 <1 ±1.8 pp 3,002 online 0
Ipsos September 6, 2021 [66] 35 32 21 7 2 2 — ±2.9 pp 1,500 online 3
Angus Reid September 6, 2021 [67] 35 32 20 6 2 5 1 ±2.5 pp 1,709 online 3
Abacus Data September 6, 2021 [68] 32 32 21 7 3 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,875 online 0
Earnscliffe/Leger September 5, 2021 [69] 33 33 21 6 3 4 1 — 1,521 online 0
EKOS September 5, 2021 [70] 34.1 27.9 20.3 5.6 3.6 7.9 0.7 ±3.0 pp 1,053 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.2
Nanos Research September 5, 2021 [71] 32.0 34.1 20.9 4.0 4.5 3.8 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,269 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Mainstreet Research September 5, 2021 [72] 34.0 31.1 18.4 6.2 2.6 6.7 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,857 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
EKOS September 4, 2021 [73] 34.5 28.1 20.5 4.8 4.4 6.9 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,158 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.4
Nanos Research September 4, 2021 [74] 34.9 33.4 18.9 4.8 4.2 3.5 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5
Mainstreet Research September 4, 2021 [75] 34.6 31.8 17.5 6.3 2.3 6.3 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,842 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8
Abacus Data September 4, 2021 [76] 33 32 21 7 3 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,692 online 1
EKOS September 3, 2021 [77] 35.0 28.8 19.6 4.9 4.6 6.3 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,274 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.2
Nanos Research September 3, 2021 [78] 35.5 33.0 18.7 4.1 4.4 3.9 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,214 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.5
Mainstreet Research September 3, 2021 [79] 34.3 32.1 18.2 5.6 2.2 6.5 1.2 ±2.3 pp 1,820 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.2
September 2, 2021 TVA French leaders' debate
EKOS September 2, 2021 [80] 35.8 29.5 19.4 3.9 4.5 5.8 0.9 ±2.9 pp 1,161 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.3
Nanos Research September 2, 2021 [81] 35.7 30.7 18.3 5.5 4.5 4.8 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.0
Mainstreet Research September 2, 2021 [82] 35.9 30.7 18.8 5.1 2.4 5.9 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,792 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.2
EKOS September 1, 2021 [83] 35.5 30.7 18.8 4.7 3.7 5.8 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,152 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.8
Nanos Research September 1, 2021 [84] 34.2 30.5 20.1 6.0 4.0 4.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,270 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.7
Mainstreet Research September 1, 2021 [85] 36.0 30.9 18.7 4.8 2.6 5.8 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,757 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.1
Campaign Research September 1, 2021 [86] 33 30 22 6 4 4 1 ±2 pp 3,011 online 3
EKOS August 31, 2021 [87] 36.0 30.7 18.9 5.3 3.2 5.2 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,122 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.3
Nanos Research August 31, 2021 [88] 33.7 31.0 20.3 6.8 3.5 4.1 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,275 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.7
Mainstreet Research August 31, 2021 [89] 37.1 29.2 19.1 4.7 2.8 5.7 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,703 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.9
EKOS August 30, 2021 [90] 35.9 31.3 18.0 5.8 3.2 5.0 0.7 ±3.2 pp 942 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.6
Research Co. August 30, 2021 [91] 32 33 22 6 4 3 <1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 1
Nanos Research August 30, 2021 [92] 32.5 33.2 19.2 6.4 4.6 3.3 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,308 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Mainstreet Research August 30, 2021 [93] 36.9 29.2 18.8 5.7 2.7 5.7 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,763 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.7
Ipsos August 30, 2021 [94] 32 31 23 7 4 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,501 online 1
Leger August 30, 2021 [95] 34 30 24 7 2 3 1 ±2.18 pp 2,005 online 4
Innovative Research August 30, 2021 [96] 29 32 23 8 4 4 1 — 2,806 online 3
Earnscliffe/Leger August 29, 2021 [97] 34 30 24 7 3 2 1 — 1,544 online 4
Angus Reid August 29, 2021 [98] 33 30 21 7 3 4 2 ±2.5 pp 1,639 online 3
Nanos Research August 29, 2021 [99] 32.7 31.3 20.0 5.8 5.9 3.6 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,267 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.4
Mainstreet Research August 29, 2021 [100] 37.6 28.5 19.3 6.3 2.5 5.1 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,767 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.1
EKOS August 29, 2021 [101] 36.8 29.4 19.3 5.6 3.2 5.0 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,232 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 7.4
Abacus Data August 29, 2021 [102] 32 33 22 8 2 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 1
Nanos Research August 28, 2021 [103] 33.2 31.1 19.9 5.5 5.7 4.2 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Mainstreet Research August 28, 2021 [104] 37.8 28.3 19.4 6.9 2.2 4.9 0.5 ±2.3 pp 1,759 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.5
EKOS August 28, 2021 [105] 36.7 29.1 17.7 5.5 3.7 6.5 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,166 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 7.6
Nanos Research August 27, 2021 [106] 33.3 30.8 21.7 5.3 4.9 3.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,243 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.5
Mainstreet Research August 27, 2021 [107] 37.4 29.3 19.6 6.2 2.4 4.5 0.6 ±2.38 pp 1,684 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.1
EKOS August 27, 2021 [108] 34.8 28.5 19.8 5.5 3.8 6.8 0.8 ±2.6 pp 1,426 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 6.3
Nanos Research August 26, 2021 [109] 33.6 33.4 19.9 5.3 4.6 3.1 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Mainstreet Research August 26, 2021 [110] 36.8 31.4 18.5 5.4 2.6 4.3 1.0 ±2.43 pp 1,619 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.4
EKOS August 26, 2021 [111] 34.5 29.0 20.3 5.1 4.2 6.3 0.6 ±2.6 pp 1,424 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 5.5
Nanos Research August 25, 2021 [112] 34.4 33.6 18.9 5.3 4.3 3.1 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,288 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8
Mainstreet Research August 25, 2021 [113] 34.7 31.8 19.1 5.4 3.1 4.6 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,549 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
EKOS August 25, 2021 [114] 32.8 29.4 20.7 6.0 3.8 6.7 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,352 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 3.4
Nanos Research August 24, 2021 [115] 32.7 35.9 16.8 5.6 4.8 3.7 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,261 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Mainstreet Research August 24, 2021 [116] 33.7 31.2 19.0 6.0 3.1 5.8 1.2 ±2.6 pp 1,417 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5
EKOS August 24, 2021 [117] 32.2 31.4 20.5 5.7 3.5 5.7 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.8
Nanos Research August 23, 2021 [118] 33.2 33.5 18.9 5.4 4.7 3.6 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,205 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Mainstreet Research August 23, 2021 [119] 32.3 30.0 19.0 7.0 3.3 7.4 0.9 ±2.6 pp 1,369 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.3
EKOS August 23, 2021 [120] 32.8 32.0 19.6 6.2 3.5 5.0 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,192 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.8
Ipsos August 23, 2021 [121] 32 33 21 6 5 2 1 ±3.5 pp 1,500 online 1
Angus Reid August 23, 2021 [122] 31 33 22 7 3 3 1 ±2.5 pp 1,692 online 2
Earnscliffe/Leger August 22, 2021 [123] 30 33 21 7 4 3 1 — 1,527 online 3
Leger August 22, 2021 [124] 31 33 21 7 4 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,002 online 2
Nanos Research August 22, 2021 [125] 31.4 32.5 20.8 6.1 5.1 3.3 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Mainstreet Research August 22, 2021 [126] 31.7 32.4 18.2 5.9 3.3 6.6 1.0 ±2.6 pp 1,467 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.7
EKOS August 22, 2021 [127] 31.7 32.9 17.0 6.9 4.3 6.3 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,207 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.2
Abacus Data August 22, 2021 [128] 29 33 23 6 3 4 2 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 4
Nanos Research August 21, 2021 [129] 32.4 34.3 19.3 6.3 4.5 2.4 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,209 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.9
Mainstreet Research August 21, 2021 [130] 30.9 34.0 19.7 5.9 3.4 5.1 1.0 ±2.6 pp 1,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.1
EKOS August 21, 2021 [131] 32.8 32.4 16.6 6.1 5.2 6.1 0.8 ±2.7 pp 1,293 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.4
Nanos Research August 20, 2021 [132] 32.3 34.2 20.2 6.1 4.3 2.1 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone (rolling) 1.9
EKOS August 20, 2021 [133] 32.9 31.4 18.3 6.2 4.9 5.7 0.6 ±2.6 pp 1,444 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.5
Mainstreet Research August 20, 2021 [134] 32.6 33.9 19.3 4.9 3.7 4.4 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,449 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.3
EKOS August 19, 2021 [135] 31.9 32.5 19.2 5.7 4.9 5.2 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,426 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.6
Mainstreet Research August 19, 2021 [136] 33.1 33.4 19.8 5.0 3.6 4.0 1.1 ±2.6 pp 1,433 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Counsel August 18, 2021 [137] 28.5 30.3 21.7 7.8 4.8 4.3 2.6 ±1.7 pp 3,499 online 1.8
EKOS August 18, 2021 [138] 32.0 33.3 20.1 5.5 4.5 3.9 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,281 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.3
Mainstreet Research August 18, 2021 Twitter 33.0 33.6 18.4 5.5 4.0 4.5 1.1 ±2.59 pp 1,571 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.6
EKOS August 17, 2021 [139] 30.6 34.3 21.0 5.4 4.2 3.7 0.8 ±3.2 pp 913 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.7
Mainstreet Research August 17, 2021 Twitter 31.7 33.8 18.9 6.1 3.9 4.5 1.1 ±2.7 pp 1,385 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.1
Angus Reid August 17, 2021 [140] 30 36 20 6 4 4 1 ±2.5 pp 1,614 online 6
EKOS August 16, 2021 [141] 29.4 33.7 20.5 5.4 5.7 4.2 1.1 ±3.4 pp 840 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.3
Mainstreet Research August 16, 2021 Twitter 30 33 20 6 4 5 — ±2.7 pp 1,372 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Ipsos August 16, 2021 [142] 31 36 20 6 5 1 1 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online/telephone 5
Innovative Research August 16, 2021 [143] 26 38 21 6 4 3 1 — 1,412 online 12
Abacus Data August 16, 2021 [144] 28 33 22 7 5 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Forum Research August 15, 2021 [145] 31 28 19 7 8 5 3 ±3 pp 1,203 IVR 3
Earnscliffe/Leger August 15, 2021 [146] 29 35 20 7 6 2 2 — 1,515 online 6
EKOS August 15, 2021 [147] 30.3 34.8 17.4 4.2 6.9 5.1 1.2 ±3.4 pp 856 IVR (rolling) 4.5
Leger August 15, 2021 [148] 30 35 20 7 5 2 1 ±2.18 pp 2,007 online 5
Mainstreet Research August 15, 2021 [149] 30.1 33.1 19.1 5.9 3.9 5.6 2.2 ±2.7 pp 1,331 IVR (rolling) 3.0
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Pre-campaign period

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others[e] Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Nanos Research August 13, 2021 [150] 28.4 33.4 20.7 6.3 7.9 1.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.0
Leger August 12, 2021 [151] 30 35 19 7 5 3 1 ±2.4 pp 1,615 online 5
Mainstreet Research August 11, 2021 [152] 29.2 34.6 17.9 5.7 5.3 — 7.3 ±3.3 pp 909 IVR 5.4
Innovative Research August 11, 2021 [153] 25 40 17 7 6 — 5 — 1,282 online 15
Abacus Data August 11, 2021 [154] 28 37 20 5 5 4 2 ±1.8 pp 3,000 online 9
Angus Reid August 10, 2021 [155] 31 36 19 7 3 — 5 ±2 pp 1,615 online 5
EKOS August 10, 2021 [147] 27.7 36.3 18.6 5.3 6.8 4.6 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,482 IVR 8.6
Nanos Research August 6, 2021 [156] 27.3 37.0 19.0 5.8 7.0 2.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.7
Innovative Research August 4, 2021 [157] 25 39 19 7 6 3 1 — 1,953 online 14
Angus Reid August 3, 2021 [158] 30 35 19 7 3 — 6 ±2.5 pp 1,605 online 5
Abacus Data August 2, 2021 [159] 25 37 20 8 6 — — ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 12
Leger August 1, 2021 [160] 29 36 20 7 4 3 2 ±2.15 pp 2,079 online 7
Nanos Research July 30, 2021 [156] 25.5 38.8 19.5 5.9 6.4 2.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.3
EKOS July 28, 2021 [161] 28.6 39.0 17.9 — 4.2 — — ±3 pp 1,067 IVR 10.4
Angus Reid July 27, 2021 [162] 30 33 21 7 4 — 5 ±2 pp 1,606 online 3
Mainstreet Research July 26, 2021 [163] 31.7 34.4 16.2 5.1 4.7 — 7.9 ±2.7 pp 1,299 IVR 2.7
Nanos Research July 23, 2021 [156] 25.0 37.3 21.4 6.0 5.5 3.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.3
Innovative Research July 21, 2021 [164] 27 41 17 6 5 3 1 — 834 online 14
EKOS July 21, 2021 [165] 27.7 35.2 18.5 5.6 5.2 4.5 3.2 ±2.2 pp 1,934 IVR 7.5
Ipsos July 20, 2021 [166] 30 36 20 7 3 2 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 6
Angus Reid July 16, 2021 [168] 31 33 20 7 3 4 2 ±2.0 pp 1,625 online 2
Nanos Research July 16, 2021 [150] 23.6 39.3 21.7 4.8 6.8 3.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.7
Nanos Research July 9, 2021 [169] 23.9 37.8 21.3 — 6.5 — — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.9
Leger July 4, 2021 [170] 30 33 19 7 5 4 2 ±2.52 pp 1,518 online 3
Nanos Research July 2, 2021 [171] 23.6 38.1 20.4 5.1 7.5 4.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.5
Abacus Data June 30, 2021 [172] 25 37 20 7 6 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 12
Nanos Research June 25, 2021 [171] 24.7 37.1 19.3 5.8 7.9 4.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.4
Ipsos June 22, 2021 [173] 26 38 20 8 7 1 1 ±2.9 pp 1,501 online/telephone 12
Abacus Data June 21, 2021 [174] 27 37 18 9 5 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,070 online 10
Leger June 20, 2021 [175] 30 34 20 8 5 — 4 ±2.49 pp 1,542 online 4
Nanos Research June 18, 2021 [171] 25.4 37.4 18.2 7.0 6.5 4.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.0
Abacus Data June 16, 2021 [176] 29 34 21 8 6 1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Research Co. June 14, 2021 [177] 30 38 20 5 5 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 8
Mainstreet Research June 14, 2021 [178] 27.3 37.7 17.2 5.0 5.9 — 6.9 ±2.7 pp 1,291 IVR 10.4
EKOS June 14, 2021 [179] 26.2 35.0 17.3 6.6 8.3 3.9 2.7 ±2.6 pp 1,412 IVR 8.8
Nanos Research June 11, 2021 [171] 26.4 37.5 17.5 7.4 7.0 3.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Innovative Research June 8, 2021 [180] 26 37 17 7 8 — 5 — 1,043 online 11
Angus Reid June 7, 2021 [181] 30 33 21 6 4 — 5 ±2.0 pp 4,948 online 3
Leger June 6, 2021 [182] 29 32 22 6 6 — 5 ±2.5 pp 1,539 online 3
Counsel June 4, 2021 [183] 27.6 31.9 17.9 7.7 6.9 4.2 3.7 ±1.7 pp 3,175 online 4.3
Nanos Research June 4, 2021 [171] 27.3 38.0 17.1 6.6 6.1 3.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.7
Innovative Research May 31, 2021 [184] 27 38 15 8 8 4 1 — 2,579 online 11
Abacus Data May 28, 2021 [185] 31 34 17 7 7 2 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 3
Nanos Research May 28, 2021 [171] 27.3 38.2 17.0 7.7 6.1 3.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.9
EKOS May 27, 2021 Twitter 27.8 35.4 17.9 5.6 7.0 4.0 3.0 ±1.7 pp 1,948 IVR 7.6
Leger May 23, 2021 [186] 30 34 19 7 7 — 3 ±2.43 pp 1,624 online 4
Mainstreet Research May 23, 2021 [187] 31.4 37.2 13.3 5.2 6.9 — 6.0 ±2.7 pp 1,332 IVR 5.8
Nanos Research May 21, 2021 [171] 28.7 36.9 16.1 7.2 7.0 3.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.2
Angus Reid May 17, 2021 [188] 32 34 18 7 5 — 4 ±2.5 pp 1,601 online 2
Leger May 16, 2021 [189] 31 32 19 7 8 — 2 ±2.5 pp 1,516 online 1
Ipsos May 14, 2021 [190] 29 38 21 6 5 1 1 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 9
Nanos Research May 14, 2021 [171] 28.4 36.9 16.7 7.5 6.3 3.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.5
Abacus Data May 12, 2021 [191] 32 34 17 6 7 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 2
Leger May 9, 2021 [192] 30 33 19 7 7 — 4 ±2.51 pp 1,529 online 3
Nanos Research May 7, 2021 [171] 29.5 35.2 16.6 8.5 6.8 2.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
EKOS May 6, 2021 [193] 26.1 36.0 19.7 4.0 7.1 4.9 2.2 ±2.3 pp 1,808 IVR 9.9
Innovative Research May 5, 2021 [194] 27 40 18 4 7 3 1 — 2,738 online 13
Nanos Research April 30, 2021 [171] 31.1 35.2 16.5 7.3 7.2 2.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.1
EKOS April 28, 2021 [195] 29.7 34.6 16.9 — 7.4 — — ±1.8 pp 2,902 IVR 4.9
Leger April 25, 2021 [196] 28 34 20 7 7 — 4 ±2.48 pp 1,548 online 6
Angus Reid April 25, 2021 [197] 32 34 20 7 5 — 5 ±2.2 pp 2,008 online 2
Abacus Data April 25, 2021 [198] 29 36 17 7 7 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,201 online 7
Nanos Research April 23, 2021 [171] 28.8 36.3 18.1 7.2 7.2 1.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Leger April 21, 2021 [199] 30 35 19 6 6 — 5 ±2.5 pp 1,504 online 5
Ipsos April 21, 2021 [200] 27 38 19 7 7 — 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 11
Abacus Data April 21, 2021 Twitter 28 39 16 7 7 — — — 1,900 online 11
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2021 [201] 29.6 36.8 14.9 5.8 6.6 — 6.2 ±2.7 pp 1,246 IVR 7.2
Nanos Research April 16, 2021 [171] 29.0 36.1 18.5 6.8 7.4 1.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.1
Abacus Data April 14, 2021 [202] 29 37 19 6 6 2 2 ±2.1 pp 1,981 online 8
Innovative Research April 13, 2021 [203] 27 39 17 4 8 4 1 — 2,390 online 12
Stratcom April 13, 2021 [204] 30.2 33.1 15.9 6.4 7.4 — 7.1 ±1.8 pp 6,537 IVR 2.9
Leger April 11, 2021 [205] 30 35 18 7 7 — 3 ±2.53 pp 1,504 online 5
Ipsos April 9, 2021 [206] 30 40 13 9 5 — 3 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 10
Nanos Research April 9, 2021 [171] 29.2 37.6 18.9 5.9 7.0 1.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.4
Campaign Research April 8, 2021 [207] 33 34 17 7 7 — 2 ±2 pp 2,880 online 1
EKOS April 6, 2021 [208] 30.4 32.0 16.3 — 8.3 — — ±2.3 pp 1,734 IVR 1.6
Nanos Research April 2, 2021 [171] 27.0 39.2 18.0 5.6 8.0 1.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.2
Abacus Data March 30, 2021 [209] 30 38 17 7 6 1 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 8
Leger March 28, 2021 [210] 28 35 22 7 6 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 7
Nanos Research March 26, 2021 [171] 27.4 38.7 17.4 5.8 7.9 2.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.3
Mainstreet Research March 22, 2021 [211] 34 37 10 8 6 — 5 ±2.23 pp 1,939 IVR 3
Nanos Research March 19, 2021 [171] 27.7 38.0 17.0 5.9 8.0 2.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.3
Abacus Data March 17, 2021 [212] 29 33 19 7 8 3 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 4
Research Co. March 15, 2021 [213] 28 37 20 7 6 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 9
Leger March 14, 2021 [214] 31 36 19 6 5 — 4 ±2.52 pp 1,512 online 5
Nanos Research March 12, 2021 [171] 27.6 36.7 17.0 5.6 8.5 3.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.1
Abacus Data March 5, 2021 [215] 30 34 18 8 7 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 4
Nanos Research March 5, 2021 [171] 29.7 34.8 16.9 6.2 7.4 4.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.1
Ipsos March 3, 2021 [216] 28 35 16 7 10 1 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 7
Angus Reid March 3, 2021 [217] 31 35 19 6 4 2 3 ±1.4 pp 5,004 online 4
Leger February 28, 2021 [218] 28 35 23 7 6 — 2 ±2.50 pp 1,532 online 7
Nanos Research February 26, 2021 [171] 29.4 35.0 16.5 6.2 7.2 4.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.6
Mainstreet Research February 24, 2021 [219] 31 36 15 6 7 — 5 ±2.55 pp 1,476 IVR 5
Angus Reid February 19, 2021 [220] 31 34 20 7 5 2 2 ±2.2 pp 1,987 online 3
Nanos Research February 19, 2021 [171] 29.0 35.2 16.8 6.8 7.2 4.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.2
EKOS February 16, 2021 [221] 31.4 32.9 14.9 — 8.6 — — ±2.43 pp 1,623 IVR 1.5
Leger February 14, 2021 [222] 29 36 20 6 7 — 3 ±2.50 pp 1,535 online 7
Nanos Research February 12, 2021 [171] 30.3 34.2 17.0 7.5 6.7 3.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.9
Ipsos February 10, 2021 [223] 30 33 20 8 8 — 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 3
Nanos Research February 5, 2021 [171] 28.9 35.9 16.4 7.4 7.4 3.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
EKOS February 3, 2021 [224] 28.1 36.5 14.5 — 9.3 — — ±4.1 pp 548 online 8.4
Abacus Data February 3, 2021 [225] 31 32 18 8 7 2 1 ±1.6 pp 3,930 online 1
Innovative Research February 1, 2021 [226] 28 38 15 7 8 — 4 — 4,449 online 10
Leger January 31, 2021 [227] 28 37 22 7 5 — 2 ±2.48 pp 1,559 online 9
Campaign Research January 30, 2021 [228] 30 34 19 6 8 — 3 ±2 pp 2,413 online 4
Nanos Research January 29, 2021 [229] 30.3 35.0 15.5 8.5 7.4 2.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.7
EKOS January 27, 2021 [230] 30.9 34.3 15.0 5.7 7.7 3.7 2.7 ±0.8 pp 8,575 IVR (rolling) 3.4
Angus Reid January 24, 2021 [231] 30 35 20 6 5 1 3 ±2.5 pp 1,559 online 5
Nanos Research January 22, 2021 [171] 28.8 36.3 15.9 8.1 7.8 2.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Mainstreet Research January 20, 2021 [232] 31.9 39.3 14.4 5.2 5.2 2.4 1.6 ±1.8 pp 3,132 IVR 7.4
Leger January 17, 2021 [233] 29 36 21 7 6 — 2 ±2.53 pp 1,516 online 7
Nanos Research January 15, 2021 [171] 27.4 38.7 15.7 8.0 7.5 2.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.3
Abacus Data January 12, 2021 [234] 31 35 17 8 6 1 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 4
EKOS January 12, 2021 [235] 31.3 34.5 15.0 — 7.6 — — ±1.36 pp 5,155 IVR 3.2
Nanos Research January 8, 2021 [171] 27.3 40.2 16.5 6.7 7.4 1.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.9
Ipsos January 6, 2021 [236] 29 36 19 6 8 — 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 7
Leger January 3, 2021 [237] 30 35 20 7 6 — 2 ±2.53 pp 1,506 online 5
Nanos Research January 1, 2021 [229] 25.8 40.4 18.2 6.4 7.3 1.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.6
Nanos Research December 25, 2020 [171] 26.8 39.9 18.0 6.5 6.9 1.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.1
Pollara December 23, 2020 [238] 29 38 18 7 6 — — ±2.8 pp 1,200 online 9
Abacus Data December 18, 2020 [239] 32 35 17 7 7 — — ±2.1 pp 2,200 online 3
Nanos Research December 18, 2020 [171] 26.2 38.1 20.0 6.3 7.0 1.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Mainstreet Research December 17, 2020 [240] 33.2 37.9 13.1 4.9 6.7 2.3 1.9 ±2.7 pp 1,286 IVR 4.7
Research Co. December 14, 2020 [241] 31 37 20 7 3 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 6
Ipsos December 14, 2020 [242] 32 35 18 7 7 — 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 3
Leger December 13, 2020 [243] 29 35 23 7 5 — 2 ±2.50 pp 1,528 online 6
Nanos Research December 11, 2020 [171] 26.4 36.8 21.1 7.0 6.3 1.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.4
Nanos Research December 4, 2020 [171] 26.6 36.0 20.0 7.0 7.9 1.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.4
Campaign Research December 3, 2020 [244] 32 35 19 5 6 — — — 1,956 online 3
EKOS December 2, 2020 [245] 30.2 36.3 14.6 — 8.8 — — ±1.71 pp 3,269 IVR 6.1
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 [246] 33 34 19 6 4 1 2 ±1.4 pp 5,003 online 1
Leger November 29, 2020 [247] 30 34 20 7 7 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,516 online 4
Nanos Research November 27, 2020 [171] 26.5 35.7 19.9 6.0 9.4 1.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research November 26, 2020 [248] 31.7 39.0 12.3 5.1 6.7 3.3 1.9 ±2.7 pp 1,341 IVR 7.3
EKOS November 26, 2020 [249] 31.3 35.0 13.9 6.9 6.8 3.8 2.3 ±1.4 pp 5,240 IVR 3.7
Delphi Polling November 25, 2020 [250] 32 38 16 6 6 1 1 — 1,000 online 6
Abacus Data November 24, 2020 [251] 30 36 16 7 5 3 2 ±1.85 pp 2,912 online 6
Ipsos November 23, 2020 [252] 31 36 17 8 7 — 1 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 5
Nanos Research November 20, 2020 [171] 26.7 35.9 19.6 5.6 10.0 1.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Leger November 15, 2020 [253] 31 35 18 8 6 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,522 online 4
Nanos Research November 13, 2020 [171] 26.4 35.9 19.8 5.4 10.7 1.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.5
Abacus Data November 12, 2020 [254] 30 38 15 8 6 2 2 ±2.5 pp 1,664 online 8
Angus Reid November 9, 2020 [255] 33 35 18 7 5 — 2 ±2.4 pp 1,602 online 2
Leger November 8, 2020 [256] 28 36 21 7 5 — 3 ±2.50 pp 1,534 online 8
Nanos Research November 6, 2020 [171] 28.9 37.6 18.5 4.9 8.5 1.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.7
Leger November 1, 2020 [257] 31 34 21 7 6 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,516 online 3
Nanos Research October 30, 2020 [171] 27.9 39.5 16.9 5.6 8.2 1.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.6
Ipsos October 26, 2020 [258] 32 38 17 6 7 — 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger October 25, 2020 [259] 30 37 18 8 5 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 7
Nanos Research October 23, 2020 [171] 29.4 38.6 15.6 6.0 8.2 1.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research October 21, 2020 [260] 34.0 35.8 15.0 5.4 5.0 3.4 1.4 ±2.7 pp 1,328 IVR 1.8
EKOS October 19, 2020 Twitter 31.4 35.2 13.7 5.7 8.7 4 2 ±2.6 pp 1,416 IVR 3.8
Leger October 18, 2020 [261] 29 36 18 8 6 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,512 online 7
Nanos Research October 16, 2020 [171] 32.5 38.5 13.4 6.0 7.6 1.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
Leger October 11, 2020 [262] 29 37 21 7 6 — 1 ±2.50 pp 1,539 online 8
Nanos Research October 9, 2020 [171] 33.2 35.3 14.9 6.5 7.9 1.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Innovative Research October 6, 2020 [263] 31 37 16 6 5 3 1 — 2,771 online 6
Leger October 4, 2020 [264] 32 36 20 7 4 — 1 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 4
Nanos Research October 2, 2020 [171] 33.5 34.1 16.6 6.6 6.8 1.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.6
October 3, 2020 Annamie Paul is elected leader of the Green Party
Ipsos October 1, 2020 [265] 31 36 18 7 6 — 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 5
Abacus Data September 28, 2020 [266] 30 35 17 6 7 3 2 ±2.0 pp 2,440 online 5
Leger September 27, 2020 [267] 30 40 17 8 5 — 1 ±2.52 pp 1,514 online 10
Nanos Research September 25, 2020 [171] 34.2 34.1 16.7 6.6 5.9 1.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone(rolling) 0.1
Mainstreet Research September 24, 2020 [268] 34.6 37.1 15.2 4.8 4.6 2.2 1.6 ±2.7 pp 1,307 IVR 2.5
Abacus Data September 21, 2020 [269] 32 35 17 6 8 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 3
Leger September 20, 2020 [270] 30 35 19 8 6 — 2 ±2.50 pp 1,538 online 5
Nanos Research September 18, 2020 [171] 33.2 35.0 17.4 6.0 6.1 1.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.8
Campaign Research September 15, 2020 [271] 30 40 15 6 7 — 2 ±2 pp 2,389 online 10
Innovative Research September 15, 2020 [272] 29 39 17 6 7 2 1 — 2,374 online 10
Ipsos September 14, 2020 [273] 32 33 20 6 8 — 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 1
Research Co. September 13, 2020 [274] 32 38 17 8 3 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger September 13, 2020 [275] 31 35 18 7 6 — 3 ±2.50 pp 1,539 online 4
Nanos Research September 11, 2020 [171] 30.1 35.8 19.1 6.8 6.0 1.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
Leger September 6, 2020 [276] 32 34 19 7 6 — 1 ±2.51 pp 1,529 online 2
Nanos Research September 4, 2020 [171] 31.1 33.2 19.2 7.8 7.6 0.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Abacus Data September 3, 2020 [277] 31 33 18 7 7 3 2 ±2.1 pp 2,289 online 2
Angus Reid September 1, 2020 [278] 35 35 17 7 4 1 1 ±1.5 pp 5,005 online 0
Innovative Research September 1, 2020 [279] 28 38 16 7 7 3 1 — 2,308 online (rolling) 10
Leger August 30, 2020 [280] 29 35 21 8 5 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 6
Nanos Research August 28, 2020 [171] 30.5 34.3 19.5 7.6 7.1 0.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.8
August 24, 2020 Erin O'Toole is elected leader of the Conservative Party
Leger August 23, 2020 [281] 30 38 18 7 6 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,516 online 8
Nanos Research August 21, 2020 [171] 30.0 34.4 19.7 7.5 7.1 1.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.4
Abacus Data August 19, 2020 [282] 30 36 18 6 5 4 2 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 6
Ipsos August 18, 2020 [283] 32 35 18 7 7 — 2 ±2.5 pp 2,000 online 3
Innovative Research August 18, 2020 [284] 28 40 16 7 6 3 1 — 1,934 online 12
Leger August 16, 2020 [285] 32 35 18 8 6 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,510 online 3
Nanos Research August 14, 2020 [171] 31.5 33.5 17.9 6.4 8.6 1.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Campaign Research August 13, 2020 [286] 33 30 18 7 8 — 4 ±2 pp 2,013 online 3
Mainstreet Research August 12, 2020 [287] 28.9 41.3 15.6 5.5 5.2 2.1 1.5 ±2.5 pp 1,594 IVR 12.4
Leger August 9, 2020 [288] 29 36 15 8 8 — 3 ±2.52 pp 1,513 online 7
Nanos Research August 7, 2020 [171] 30.1 36.1 17.6 6.4 7.4 2.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
Leger August 2, 2020 [289] 31 33 20 8 6 — 2 ±2.5 pp 1,531 online 2
Nanos Research July 31, 2020 [171] 29.7 34.3 17.4 6.8 8.3 2.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.6
Abacus Data July 29, 2020 [290] 30 34 17 8 6 2 3 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 4
Leger July 26, 2020 [291] 29 35 20 9 6 — 1 ±2.52 pp 1,517 online 6
Nanos Research July 24, 2020 [171] 29.9 33.3 16.9 6.9 9.3 3.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.4
EKOS July 22, 2020 [292] 30.0 34.7 15.2 6.5 7.6 3.5 2.5 ±2.5 pp 1,505 IVR 4.7
Innovative Research July 20, 2020 [293] 28 40 14 7 7 3 1 — 2,599 online 12
Leger July 19, 2020 [294] 28 39 17 7 7 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,524 online 11
Nanos Research July 17, 2020 [171] 28.9 34.9 16.9 7.1 8.8 2.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
EKOS July 16, 2020 [292] 29.5 33.2 18.2 6.6 7.6 2.9 2.1 ±3.7 pp 694 IVR 3.7
Abacus Data July 16, 2020 [295] 31 36 16 7 7 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Leger July 12, 2020 [296] 26 38 19 8 7 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 12
Nanos Research July 10, 2020 [171] 28.9 35.9 15.6 6.7 9.3 2.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
Leger July 5, 2020 [297] 25 39 20 8 5 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,517 online 14
Nanos Research July 3, 2020 [171] 27.8 36.3 16.4 6.1 10.1 2.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.5
Leger June 28, 2020 [298] 28 40 17 7 6 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,524 online 12
Mainstreet Research June 26, 2020 [299] 27.4 43.2 14.1 5.7 4.8 2.9 1.8 ±2.7 pp 1,283 IVR 15.8
Nanos Research June 26, 2020 [171] 27.0 38.4 14.8 6.5 9.3 3.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.4
Innovative Research June 23, 2020 [300] 27 41 15 6 8 — 3 — 2,115 online 14
Leger June 21, 2020 [301] 28 39 19 7 5 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 11
Abacus Data June 21, 2020 [302] 29 40 16 7 6 2 1 ±1.8 pp 2,979 online 11
Nanos Research June 19, 2020 [171] 26.1 38.2 14.1 7.5 9.5 3.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.1
EKOS June 16, 2020 [303] 29.9 40.5 12.7 5.1 6.5 3.5 1.8 ±1.8 pp 3,006 IVR 10.6
Leger June 14, 2020 [304] 27 40 16 7 7 — 3 ±2.51 pp 1,527 online 13
Nanos Research June 12, 2020 [171] 25.7 36.8 16.3 7.0 9.3 4.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Abacus Data June 11, 2020 Twitter 29 39 19 6 5 — — — 1,780 online 10
Leger June 7, 2020 [305] 25 46 15 7 6 — 1 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 21
Nanos Research June 5, 2020 [171] 25.5 35.8 16.7 8.1 8.3 4.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.3
Innovative Research June 1, 2020 [306] 28 42 12 7 7 — 4 — 2,246 online 14
Leger May 31, 2020 [307] 27 40 18 7 7 — 2 ±2.50 pp 1,536 online 13
Abacus Data May 29, 2020 Twitter 29 39 15 7 7 — — — 1,800 online 10
Leger May 25, 2020 [308] 27 41 15 7 6 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,510 online 14
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 [309] 31 37 17 7 5 — 3 ±1.4 pp 5,001 online 6
Nanos Research May 22, 2020 [171] 26.2 35.3 19.3 6.6 7.5 4.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.1
Leger May 17, 2020 [310] 25 44 15 7 7 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,513 online 19
Abacus Data May 17, 2020 [311] 31 39 16 7 6 — — ±2.3 pp 1,800 online 8
Nanos Research May 15, 2020 [171] 26.3 36.7 18.4 6.7 7.2 4.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.4
Leger May 10, 2020 [312] 28 41 17 7 6 — 1 ±2.51 pp 1,526 online 13
Nanos Research May 8, 2020 [171] 26.1 36.9 19.2 6.1 8.0 3.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.8
Mainstreet Research May 7, 2020 [313] 29.4 43.3 11.5 5.8 5.9 3.0 1.1 ±2.6 pp 1,404 IVR 13.9
EKOS May 7, 2020 [314] 28.3 42.7 10.6 6.7 6.7 3.3 1.7 ±1.4 pp 5,276 IVR 14.4
Innovative Research May 5, 2020 [315] 28 41 13 6 7 — 3 — 2,699 online 13
Research Co. May 3, 2020 [316] 30 39 17 5 7 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 9
Leger May 3, 2020 [317] 25 44 15 7 6 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,526 online 19
Nanos Research May 1, 2020 [171] 25.8 36.9 19.0 5.8 8.4 3.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Leger April 26, 2020 [318] 28 43 14 7 6 — 2 ±2.51 pp 1,515 online 15
Abacus Data April 24, 2020 Twitter 30 38 16 8 6 — — — 2,481 online 8
Nanos Research April 24, 2020 [171] 26.2 38.2 17.0 6.9 8.0 3.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.0
Leger April 19, 2020 [319] 29 42 14 8 5 — 2 ±2.53 pp 1,504 online 13
Angus Reid April 17, 2020 [320] 33 36 17 8 4 — 3 ±2.2 pp 1,912 online 3
Nanos Research April 17, 2020 [171] 26.4 38.3 17.4 7.2 7.0 2.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Leger April 12, 2020 [321] 28 39 18 6 8 — 2 ±2.52 pp 1,508 online 11
Nanos Research April 10, 2020 [171] 28.4 38.1 15.7 8.1 6.7 2.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.7
Nanos Research April 3, 2020 [171] 29.1 38.9 14.8 8.4 6.5 1.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.8
Innovative Research April 2, 2020 [322] [f] 27 40 15 8 7 2 1 — 2,059 online 13
Nanos Research March 27, 2020 [171] 30.9 36.1 16.6 7.0 7.0 0.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.2
EKOS March 26, 2020 [323] 28.6 40.4 12.2 8.6 5.9 2.2 2.1 ±2.0 pp 2,304 IVR 11.8
Nanos Research March 20, 2020 [171] 32.5 34.8 17.4 6.0 7.0 1.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Mainstreet Research March 17, 2020 [324] 32.2 38.6 11.1 8.8 5.7 1.7 1.9 ±2.4 pp 1,665 IVR 6.4
Nanos Research March 13, 2020 [171] 29.5 37.0 17.6 5.9 7.4 1.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Nanos Research March 6, 2020 [171] 32.4 34.8 17.1 5.8 7.4 1.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.4
Leger March 2, 2020 [325] 30 32 20 8 8 — 2 ±2.50 pp 1,540 online 2
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 [326] 34 26 21 9 7 — 3 ±1.4 pp 5,043 online 8
Nanos Research February 28, 2020 [171] 35.1 35.3 15.0 5.9 6.5 1.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Campaign Research February 26, 2020 [327] 30 30 19 8 11 — 3 ±2.5 pp 1,606 online 0
Nanos Research February 21, 2020 [171] 36.2 33.0 15.4 6.8 6.6 1.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Nanos Research February 14, 2020 [171] 36.1 32.7 15.5 7.1 7.0 1.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.4
Nanos Research February 7, 2020 [171] 35.5 33.4 13.7 7.8 8.0 1.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Nanos Research January 31, 2020 [171] 33.1 33.2 16.4 7.7 7.9 1.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.1
Leger January 30, 2020 [328] 32 34 19 7 7 — 1 ±2.53 pp 1,501 online 2
Nanos Research January 24, 2020 [171] 31.0 33.8 16.7 8.3 8.9 0.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Leger January 21, 2020 [329] 32 31 19 8 8 — 2 ±2.49 pp 1,552 online 1
Abacus Data January 17, 2020 [330] 30 34 17 6 8 3 2 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 4
Mainstreet Research January 17, 2020 [331] 32.4 39.8 10.6 6.6 5.4 2.8 2.4 ±2.55 pp 1,470 IVR 7.4
Nanos Research January 17, 2020 [171] 30.8 34.1 16.4 8.1 8.6 1.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Nanos Research January 10, 2020 [171] 31.5 32.2 17.8 8.1 8.1 1.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Leger January 7, 2020 [332] 31 34 18 7 8 — 2 ±2.49 pp 1,554 online 3
Nanos Research January 3, 2020 [171] 31.3 33.7 17.0 7.1 8.8 1.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.4
Nanos Research December 27, 2019 [171] 31.4 34.7 16.4 6.3 8.8 1.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Nanos Research December 20, 2019 [171] 29.6 34.7 17.7 6.0 9.8 1.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.1
Abacus Data December 16, 2019 [333] 30 33 18 7 8 2 2 ±2.1 pp 1,500 online 3
Angus Reid December 15, 2019 [334] 33 30 19 8 7 — 3 ±2.0 pp 2,011 online 3
Nanos Research December 13, 2019 [171] 30.5 33.8 18.7 5.0 10.2 0.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
December 12, 2019 Andrew Scheer announces his intention to resign as the leader of the Conservative Party
EKOS December 10, 2019 [335] 29.6 31.1 16.8 5.8 9.8 4.2 2.7 ±2.0 pp 2,339 IVR 1.5
Nanos Research December 6, 2019 [171] 31.0 33.6 17.5 6.7 9.8 0.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.6
Nanos Research November 29, 2019 [171] 31.3 34.1 17.1 6.4 9.5 0.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Leger November 25, 2019 [336] 30 32 19 7 7 3 1 ±1.78 pp 3,040 online 2
Nanos Research November 22, 2019 [171] 30.9 33.7 17.2 6.8 9.3 1.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research November 15, 2019 [171] 30.8 32.8 19.0 7.6 7.3 1.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Nanos Research November 8, 2019 [171] 31.3 31.8 19.9 6.9 7.6 2.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.5
November 4, 2019 Jo-Ann Roberts is named interim leader of the Green Party
Nanos Research November 1, 2019 [171] 32.5 31.1 19.0 6.7 8.5 1.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.4
Nanos Research October 25, 2019 [171] 32.5 31.7 20.8 7.2 6.0 1.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 0.8
2019 election[g] October 21, 2019 HTML 34.3 33.1 16.0 7.6 6.5 1.6 0.9 — 18,170,880 — 1.2
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link Others[e] Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Regional polls

[edit]

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level:

Atlantic Canada

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Narrative Research May 17, 2020 [337] 60 21 10 7 1 — ±2.5 pp 1,500 telephone 39

New Brunswick

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Other Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Narrative Research August 20, 2021 [338] 44 24 18 10 4 — ±5.6 pp 308 telephone 20

Newfoundland and Labrador

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Narrative Research August 29, 2021 [339] 52 25 24 <1 1 — ±5.4 pp 333 telephone 27

Nova Scotia

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Other Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Narrative Research August 22, 2021 [340] 33 36 28 1 1 — ±5.3 pp 341 telephone 3

Prince Edward Island

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Narrative Research August 25, 2021 [341] 39 35 13 12 1 — ±6.2 pp 247 telephone 4
MQO Research March 10, 2020 [342] 38 41 9 11 0 — ±4.9 pp 400 telephone 3

Central Canada

[edit]

Quebec

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Leger September 1, 2021 [343] 33 20 13 28 3 2 1 ±1.8 pp 3,102 online 5
Leger December 13, 2020 [344] 33 21 11 30 4 — 1 ±3.1 pp 1,004 online 3
Leger September 3, 2020 [345] 30 20 14 30 5 — 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 0

Ontario

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Campaign Research September 9, 2021 [346] 37 33 22 4 3 — ±2 pp 1,565 online 4
Pollara November 16, 2020 [347] 46 28 18 6 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,129 online 18
Greater Toronto Area
[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Forum Research September 10, 2021 PDF 39 33 15 3 10 1 ±4 pp 493 IVR 6
Nanos Research August 29, 2021 [348] 44 33 17 4 4 — ±4.4 pp 502 telephone 11
Mainstreet Research August 21, 2021 [349] 43 29 20 5 3 — ±4.2 pp 532 telephone 14
Forum Research August 15, 2021 PDF 36 35 17 3 6 2 ±4 pp 502 IVR 1

Western Canada

[edit]

Manitoba

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Leger September 8, 2021 [350] 30 38 22 3 4 – ±4.0 pp 600 online 8
Probe Research June 11, 2021 [351] 29 32 28 7 4 – ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 3
Probe Research March 26, 2021 [352] 29 37 25 6 4 – ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 8
Probe Research December 4, 2020 [353] 32 37 24 5 – – ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 5
Probe Research September 17, 2020 [354] 33 40 21 5 – – ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 7
Probe Research June 11, 2020 [355] 36 33 22 5 – – ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 1

Alberta

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Janet Brown April 10, 2021 [356] 24 53 17 2 2 0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 Online/phone 29

British Columbia

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[b] 		Sample
size[c] 		Polling method[d] Lead
Insights West September 16, 2021 [357] 22 34 33 7 4 – ±2.8 pp 1,201 online 1
Leger September 12, 2021 [358] 30 31 29 – – – ±3.1 pp 861 online 1
Insights West September 4, 2021 [359] 19 33 35 8 – 5 ±3.1 pp 1,003 online 2
Leger August 22, 2021 [360] 27 25 25 5 – – ±3.1 pp 1,002 online 2
Research Co. August 9, 2021 [361] 37 23 29 9 2 – ±3.5 pp 800 online 8

Constituency polls

[edit]
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election by constituency

Leadership polls

[edit]

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

September 2020 – September 2021

[edit]
Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Erin O'Toole Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Annamie Paul Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error[b] 		Lead
Research Co. September 13, 2021 [33] 34 26 18 – 5 2 – ±3.1 pp 7
Leger September 13, 2021 [37] 25 20 22 – 2 4 15 ±2.4 pp 3
Nanos Research September 11, 2021 [48] 34.0 26.2 17.7 3.2 2.0 4.7 12.2 ±2.8 pp 7.8
Nanos Research September 8, 2021 [58] 28.1 27.5 21.2 3.2 1.7 6.2 12.1 ±2.8 pp 0.6
Nanos Research September 7, 2021 [62] 29.9 26.3 21.1 2.9 1.9 4.8 13.0 ±2.8 pp 3.6
Nanos Research September 2, 2021 [81] 27.3 31.1 19.6 2.6 2.2 4.4 12.8 ±3.1 pp 3.8
Leger August 30, 2021 [95] 23 21 23 – 1 3 15 ±2.4 pp 0
Innovative Research August 30, 2021 [96] 34 28 26 4 3 5 — 6
Nanos Research August 28, 2021 [103] 29.7 27.6 19.5 2.3 2.2 4.1 14.5 ±3.1 pp 2.1
Nanos Research August 21, 2021 [129] 32.6 26.3 17.9 3.2 2.0 3.6 14.4 ±3.1 pp 6.3
Leger August 16, 2021 [148] 27 15 18 – 1 3 17 ±2.4 pp 9
Nanos Research August 13, 2021 [362] 35.6 17.9 16.9 4.3 2.6 2.9 20.1 ±3.1 pp 17.7
Leger August 12, 2021 [151] 25 15 18 – 2 4 19 ±2.4 pp 7
Leger August 1, 2021 [160] 27 11 19 – 1 3 19 ±2.52 pp 8
Nanos Research July 23, 2021 [363] 38.9 15.7 17.6 3.5 1.0 3.5 19.9 ±3.1 pp 21.3
Nanos Research July 9, 2021 [364] 37.4 14.3 17.6 2.7 1.4 3.0 23.6 ±3.1 pp 19.8
Leger July 4, 2021 [170] 22 16 17 – 1 4 20 ±2.52 pp 5
Nanos Research July 2, 2021 [365] 35.1 15.7 16.7 3.4 1.7 2.8 24.6 ±3.1 pp 18.4
Nanos Research June 25, 2021 [366] 33.3 17.4 15.7 3.7 2.4 3.5 24.1 ±3.1 pp 15.9
Ipsos June 22, 2021 [367] 42 23 23 6 5 — — ±2.9 pp 19
Nanos Research June 11, 2021 [368] 35.1 19.9 13.8 4.2 4.2 4.7 18.1 ±3.1 pp 15.2
Nanos Research May 14, 2021 [369] 36.3 20.8 12.6 5.2 5.3 5.2 14.6 ±3.1 pp 15.5
Innovative Research May 5, 2021 [370] 44 20 23 2 4 6 — 21
Ipsos April 9, 2021 [206] 42 25 17 8 7 — ±3.5 pp 17
Nanos Research April 2, 2021 [371] 40.1 18.9 13.2 2.3 4.1 2.9 18.5 ±3.1 pp 21.2
Nanos Research March 26, 2021 [372] 38.9 19.3 13.7 2.2 4.7 3.2 18.0 ±3.1 pp 19.6
Research Co. March 15, 2021 [373] 40 15 12 3 2 2 25 ±3.1 pp 25
Nanos Research March 12, 2021 [374] 36.7 22.0 14.4 3.7 5.6 3.4 14.2 ±3.1 pp 14.7
Nanos Research February 26, 2021 [375] 34.0 24.5 15.2 4.2 4.6 4.1 14.2 ±3.1 pp 9.5
Nanos Research February 5, 2021 [376] 38.1 24.7 13.5 5.4 4.6 4.1 9.6 ±3.1 pp 13.4
Nanos Research January 15, 2021 [377] 38.5 23.9 13.3 4.6 4.2 3.2 12.3 ±3.1 pp 14.6
Nanos Research January 1, 2021 [378] 39.3 20.3 13.1 3.2 3.9 2.4 17.7 ±3.1 pp 19.0
Nanos Research December 18, 2020 [379] 38.2 21.1 13.2 3.6 2.2 2.2 19.6 ±3.1 pp 17.1
Research Co. December 14, 2020 [241] 39 22 13 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp 17
Nanos Research December 11, 2020 [380] 37.5 19.7 13.5 3.9 3.2 2.3 19.9 ±3.1 pp 17.8
Nanos Research November 20, 2020 [381] 38.5 20.3 14.5 3.4 1.8 2.0 19.5 ±3.1 pp 18.2
Nanos Research October 30, 2020 [382] 39.0 20.1 12.7 2.8 2.5 1.9 21.0 ±3.1 pp 18.9
Nanos Research October 23, 2020 [383] 37.7 21.6 12.6 2.9 2.7 2.1 20.5 ±3.1 pp 16.1
Nanos Research October 16, 2020 [384] 38.5 23.0 11.1 1.9 2.9 2.5 20.1 ±3.1 pp 15.0
Nanos Research October 9, 2020 [385] 37.1 22.5 11.6 2.8 4.0 2.1 19.7 ±3.1 pp 14.6
Nanos Research September 25, 2020 [386] 35.6 22.8 13.2 3.1 3.3 2.1 19.9 ±3.1 pp 12.8
Nanos Research September 4, 2020 [387] 34.4 20.2 15.2 4.2 4.0 1.5 20.5 ±3.1 pp 14.2

October 2019 – August 2020

[edit]
Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error[b] 		Lead
Nanos Research August 21, 2020 [387] 33.9 18.6 14.3 4.7 5.4 1.8 21.4 ±3.1 pp 15.3
Innovative Research August 18, 2020 [284] 47 21 22 – 6 5 — 26
Nanos Research August 7, 2020 [388] 32.6 20.7 12.5 5.2 6.7 3.1 19.2 ±3.1 pp 11.9
Nanos Research July 17, 2020 [389] 35.6 19.7 14.9 6.7 6.4 4.1 12.7 ±3.1 pp 15.9
Nanos Research June 26, 2020 [390] 40.2 18.0 13.7 4.7 7.4 2.7 13.2 ±3.1 pp 22.2
Nanos Research June 12, 2020 [391] 39.1 16.9 14.4 5.2 7.3 3.7 13.3 ±3.1 pp 22.2
Nanos Research May 29, 2020 [392] 38.8 15.5 14.4 6.1 5.8 4.8 13.2 ±3.1 pp 23.3
Nanos Research May 15, 2020 [393] 37.5 17.2 14.5 7.0 6.2 4.2 13.2 ±3.1 pp 20.3
Nanos Research May 8, 2020 [394] 38.0 17.0 14.3 7.0 7.5 4.0 12.0 ±3.1 pp 21.0
Nanos Research May 1, 2020 [395] 37.1 17.8 15.5 6.7 7.6 3.9 11.5 ±3.1 pp 19.3
Nanos Research April 24, 2020 [396] 38.0 17.3 15.7 6.6 7.0 4.3 11.2 ±3.1 pp 20.7
Nanos Research April 17, 2020 [397] 37.4 16.3 15.5 6.2 6.2 3.7 14.8 ±3.1 pp 21.1
Nanos Research April 10, 2020 [398] 37.6 17.1 15.2 5.7 4.8 1.1 16.5 ±3.1 pp 20.5
Nanos Research April 3, 2020 [398] 35.4 17.8 14.1 5.4 5.4 2.1 19.8 ±3.1 pp 17.6
Nanos Research March 27, 2020 [399] 31.9 19.7 13.2 4.3 5.8 1.8 23.3 ±3.1 pp 12.2
Nanos Research March 20, 2020 [400] 30.7 21.4 12.8 3.8 6.2 2.2 22.9 ±3.1 pp 9.3
Nanos Research March 13, 2020 [399] 32.3 19.2 12.2 3.8 6.9 2.5 23.1 ±3.1 pp 13.1
Nanos Research March 6, 2020 [401] 32.6 20.6 12.3 3.8 6.1 2.1 22.6 ±3.1 pp 12.0
Nanos Research February 28, 2020 [402] 31.9 19.7 13.2 4.3 5.8 1.1 23.3 ±3.1 pp 12.2
Nanos Research February 14, 2020 [403] 34.0 21.0 12.4 3.4 5.3 1.5 22.3 ±3.1 pp 13.0
Nanos Research February 7, 2020 [404] 34.5 20.6 12.9 4.2 4.9 1.8 21.2 ±3.1 pp 13.9
Nanos Research January 31, 2020 [405] 33.3 20.1 13.2 5.1 5.1 2.2 21.0 ±3.1 pp 13.2
Nanos Research January 24, 2020 [406] 33.3 19.8 13.4 4.8 6.1 1.9 20.6 ±3.1 pp 13.5
Nanos Research January 17, 2020 [407] 32.8 19.6 13.0 4.9 6.2 2.5 21.1 ±3.1 pp 13.2
Nanos Research January 10, 2020 [408] 31.0 20.9 14.4 4.2 6.8 2.0 20.7 ±3.1 pp 10.1
Nanos Research January 3, 2020 [409] 32.2 21.1 15.1 3.3 6.4 1.7 20.1 ±3.1 pp 11.1
Nanos Research December 27, 2019 [410] 34.4 21.1 14.4 3.1 5.3 2.2 19.4 ±3.1 pp 13.3
Nanos Research December 20, 2019 [411] 36.0 21.0 15.9 2.8 6.4 1.7 16.2 ±3.1 pp 15.0
Nanos Research December 13, 2019 [412] 35.8 21.9 16.1 2.6 7.0 1.5 15.3 ±3.1 pp 13.9
Nanos Research December 6, 2019 [413] 36.6 22.0 15.4 3.1 7.0 1.4 14.6 ±3.1 pp 14.6
Nanos Research November 29, 2019 [414] 38.2 21.5 15.1 2.7 7.4 1.1 14.0 ±3.1 pp 16.7
Nanos Research November 22, 2019 [415] 35.1 22.0 15.4 3.1 7.0 2.1 15.3 ±3.1 pp 13.1
Nanos Research November 15, 2019 [416] 32.3 23.9 17.8 3.9 5.8 1.8 13.5 ±3.1 pp 8.4
Nanos Research November 8, 2019 [417] 31.1 24.9 19.0 3.4 6.2 2.0 13.5 ±3.1 pp 6.2
Nanos Research November 1, 2019 [418] 30.0 27.0 17.3 3.4 7.2 1.6 13.6 ±3.1 pp 3.0

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
  5. ^ a b Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
  6. ^ Percent voting intentions given in the report have been adjusted to reflect only decided/leaning voters for consistency among poll results in the table.
  7. ^ Party columns are ordered from largest to smallest share of the popular vote in the 2019 election, not according to the number of seats won.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Aiello, Rachel (August 15, 2021). "Trudeau calls federal election, voters to go to the polls Sept. 20". CTV News. Bell Media. Archived from the original on August 15, 2021. Retrieved August 15, 2021.
  2. ^ "poll" (PDF). Nanos Research. Archived (PDF) from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
  3. ^ "poll" (PDF). Forum Research.
  4. ^ "poll". Research Co. September 20, 2021. Archived from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
  5. ^ "poll". Mainstreet Research. Archived from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
  6. ^ "poll". Abacus Data. Archived from the original on June 29, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  7. ^ "poll". EKOS. Archived from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
  8. ^ "poll". Counsel. September 19, 2021. Archived from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  9. ^ "poll". EKOS. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  10. ^ "poll" (PDF). Nanos Research. Archived (PDF) from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  11. ^ "poll". Mainstreet Research. Archived from the original on September 19, 2021. Retrieved September 3, 2021.
  12. ^ "poll". Abacus Data. Archived from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  13. ^ "poll". Ipsos. Archived from the original on September 21, 2021. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  14. ^ "poll" (PDF). Angus Reid. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  15. ^ "poll". EKOS. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  16. ^ "poll" (PDF). Nanos Research. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 10, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  17. ^ "poll". Mainstreet Research. Archived from the original on September 18, 2021. Retrieved June 17, 2022.
  18. ^ "poll". Abacus Data. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
  19. ^ "poll" (PDF). Leger. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 31, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  20. ^ "poll". EKOS. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
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