In the run-up to the 2023 Serbian parliamentary election , various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia . The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election , held on 3 April 2022, to the 2023 election, which was held on 17 December 2023.[ 1]
Local regression chart of poll results from 3 April 2022 to 17 December 2023
Polling firm
Date of publishment
Sample size
SNS–led coalition
SPS –JS
SPN
NADA
NO
Narodna
Others
Lead
SSP
PSG
DS
Together
SRCE
NDB /ZLF
EU [ a]
NPS [ b]
NDSS
POKS
Dveri
SSZ
2023 election
17 December
–
48.0
6.7
24.3
5.2
2.8
0.9
11.9[ c]
23.8
Ipsos [ 2] [ d]
14 December
3,712
44.6
8.7
23.6
4.9
3.2
1.2
10.8[ e]
21.0
OFID[ 3]
14 December
1,200
38.7
8.9
27.1
5.3
6.1
1.3
12.6[ f]
11.6
NSPM[ 4]
12 December
1,000
39.8
8.9
25.6
5.9
6.5
2.8
10.5[ g]
14.2
NSPM[ 5]
15 November
1,000
39.2
8.1
25.8
4.4
5.1
3.2
14.2[ h]
13.4
NSPM[ 6]
22 October
1,000
38.5
9.6
6.2
3.1
–
3.8
2.7
3.6
3.1
4.2
5.6
3.3[ i]
16.3[ j]
28.9
Faktor Plus[ 7]
13 October
1,200
44.5
10.8
8.1
1.1
1.5
1.2
2.0
2.4
2.3
5.9
4.0
11.0
1.7
3.5[ k]
34.5
Stata[ 8]
13 October
1,546
36.6
7.0
8.6
–
–
–
4.3
3.8
3.5
7.7
3.1
–
3.9
3.4
–
18.1[ l]
28.0
NSPM[ 9]
28 September
1,000
37.3
9.5
4.2
–
2.4
1.3
3.2
2.3
2.6
2.8
3.6
–
3.1
3.0
2.8
21.9[ m]
27.7
Stata[ 10]
19 September
1,580
36.3
7.3
9.8
1.9
1.2
0.6
4.4
4.0
3.1
5.5
3.0
–
2.6
3.4
0.5
18.8[ n]
26.5
Stata[ 11] [ 12]
28 July
1,558
37.8
8.0
9.6
–
–
6.0
4.7
3.7
–
–
3.6
–
2.6
3.1
2.1
18.8[ o]
28.2
NSPM[ 13]
23 July
1,100
37.2
9.4
4.0
–
2.1
1.3
3.5
2.3
3.4
–
4.2
–
3.9
3.6
3.4
21.7[ p]
27.8
NSPM[ 14]
2 June
1,000
36.2
8.4
3.8
–
2.6
1.6
3.0
1.8
4.3
–
4.6
1.3
4.0
3.6
3.5
21.3[ q]
27.8
NSPM[ 15]
27 April
1,000
38.0
9.4
4.2
–
2.8
1.4
3.9
–
3.8
–
4.4
1.0
4.0
3.4
3.2
20.5[ r]
28.6
Faktor Plus[ 16]
11 April
?
45.5
10.7
6.9
1.2
1.8
2.4
2.0
3.0
–
–
4.5
4.0
4.5
2.5
11.0[ s]
34.8
ŠSM[ 17]
5 April
1,329
42.8
8.5
4.5
2.2
1.9
3.9
2.9
3.2
–
–
5.2
1.7
4.5
3.1
2.6
13.0[ t]
31.9
ŠSM[ 18]
22 February
?
44.5
8.9
4.5
2.1
2.2
3.9
4.3
2.3
–
–
3.1
2.4
3.8
4.0
2.2
11.8[ u]
35.6
NSPM[ 19]
14 February
1,050
39.1
10.0
4.7
–
2.2
–
5.2
1.6
3.7
–
5.4
–
3.8
3.6
3.1
17.6[ v]
29.1
Faktor Plus[ 20]
13 February
1,100
46.0
10.8
7.1
1.1
2.0
2.2
2.2
3.3
–
–
4.7
3.3
4.3
2.7
10.3[ w]
35.2
Polling firm
Date of publishment
Sample size
SNS–led coalition
SSP
Narodna
DS
PSG
SPS –JS
NADA
NDB
Together
Dveri
SSZ
SRCE
Others
Lead
NDSS
POKS
Faktor Plus[ 21]
12 December
?
46.8
7.0
2.8
1.8
1.0
10.9
4.5
3.7
1.6
3.0
3.9
2.0
11.0[ x]
32.7
NSPM[ 22]
1 November
1,050
42.5
4.6
2.5
1.5
–
9.8
5.5
–
1.2
3.4
3.9
3.9
4.5
15.8[ y]
32.7
Faktor Plus[ 23]
25 October
?
46.3
6.8
2.8
2.2
1.2
10.8
5.7
4.3
2.5
3.4
4.0
–
8.9[ z]
32.0
NSPM[ 24]
27 July
1,000
42.6
5.3
1.5
1.7
1.4
9.4
6.1
–
–
4.8
3.1
3.8
5.9
14.3[ aa]
33.2
Demostat[ 25]
29 June
1,203
48.0
10.0
–
3.0
–
9.0
6.0
–
4.0
4.0
3.0
–
13.0
38.0
2022 election
3 April
–
44.2
14.0
11.7
5.5[ ab]
4.8
3.9[ ac]
3.8
–
11.7
30.2
In July 2023, Stata conducted a scenario opinion poll. It showed that a potential coalition of SNS, SPS, JS, Social Democratic Party of Serbia , Party of United Pensioners of Serbia , and Movement of Socialists would win 44 percent of the popular vote, while a hypothetical alliance of those who organised the Serbia Against Violence protests, which includes SSP, Narodna, DS, PSG, ZLF, and Together, would win 41 percent of the popular vote.[ 29] Stata conducted another scenario polls in September and October 2023, this time with Narodna being in the "state-building opposition" bloc.[ 10] CRTA, however, only polled Dveri, SSZ, NDSS, and POKS as part of the "patriotic bloc".[ 30]
Polling firm
Date of publishment
Sample size
SNS–led coalition
SPN
State-building opposition [ ad]
Others
Lead
CRTA[ 30]
16 October
1,544
49.0
41.0
10.0
0.0
8.0
Stata[ 8]
13 October
1,546
43.0
39.0
12.0
6.0
4.0
Stata[ 10]
19 September
1,580
44.0
38.0
11.0
7.0
6.0
Stata[ 29]
28 July
1,558
44.0
41.0
10.0
5.0
3.0
Nova srpska politička misao (NSPM) conducted an opinion poll in October 2023 in which they polled 6 alliances of parties.[ 6]
^ Was part of Together until September 2023.
^ Split from the People's Party (Narodna) in August 2023.
^ MI-GIN : 4.8%, VMSZ : 1.7%, SRS : 1.5%, DJS : 1.2%, SPP –DSHV : 0.8%, SDAS : 0.6%, PBASN : 0.4%, RS –NKPJ : 0.3%, LDP : 0.2%, KZMT : 0.2%, Nova–D2SP –GDF –Libdem–Glas: 0.1%, APN : 0.1%
^ Poll commissioned on the orders of SNS .[ 2]
^ Mi–GiN: 4.4%, DJS : 2.1%, VMSZ : 1.4%, SRS : 1.0%, SPP –DSHV : 0.7%, SDAS : 0.3%, MD : 0.3%, PBASN : 0.2%, RS : 0.2%, SNZ: 0.1%, ADA : 0.1%, KZMT: 0.0%
^ Mi–GIN: 2.8%, DJS : 2.4%, SRS : 1.7%, VMSZ/SVM : 1.6%, Others: 4.1%
^ Mi–GIN: 2.3%, DJS : 2.2%, SRS : 1.5%, VMSZ/SVM : 1.5%, SPP –DSHV : 1.2%, Others: 1.8%
^ DJS : 2.5%, Others: 3.3%, while 8.4% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ Including Enough is Enough (DJB)
^ ZS : 1.4%, Others: 5.8%, while 9.1% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ SRS : 1.5%; SDS : 1.0%; PEP : 1.0%
^ Minority parties: 4.3%, Others: 11.0%, Undecided: 2.8%
^ SDS : 1.4%, SRS : 1.2%, Others: 4%, while 15.3% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ PEP : 2.5%, SDS : 1.5%, SRS : 1.2%, Minority parties: 4.2%, Others: 0.7%, Undecided: 6.4%
^ PEP : 1.9%, Others: 16.9%
^ SDS : 1.6%, SRS : 1.5%, Others: 3.6%, while 15.0% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ SDS : 2.0%, SRS : 1.2%, Others: 3.1%, while 15.0% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ SRS : 1.4%, SDS : 1.5%, Others: 4.4%, while 13.2% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ SRS : 2.0%, SDS : 1.8%, Minority parties: 4.0%, Others: 3.2%
^ DJB : 2.9%, SRS : 1.5%, VMSZ/SVM : 1.5%, SDS : 1.1%, LSV : 0.8%, SPP : 0.8%, SDAS : 0.6%, GDF : 0.3%, ZS : 0.2%, Minority parties: 1.0%, Blank vote: 2.5%
^ DJB : 1.9%, VMSZ/SVM : 1.4%, SRS : 1.3%, SDS : 1.2%, SPP : 0.8%, LSV : 0.8%, SDAS : 0.5%, GDF : 0.4%, ZS : 0.3%, LDP : 0.03%, Minority parties: 0.9%, Blank votes: 2.3%
^ SRS : 2.1%, SDS : 1.5%, Others: 5.0%, while 9.0% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ SDS : 2.1%, SRS : 2.0%, Minority parties: 3.2%, Others: 3.0%
^ SDS : 1.8%, DJB : 1.0%, SRS : 1.0%
^ SRS : 2.2%, SDS : 1.5%, while 7.9% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ SDS : 1.5%, SRS : 1.5%, DJB : 1.3%, Others: 4.6%
^ SDS : 2.0%, while 7.9% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ DSS took part with Vojislav Mihailović -led faction of POKS in the 2022 parliamentary election.[ 26] Mihailović was legally recognised as the president of POKS in July 2022.[ 27]
^ Dveri took part with Žika Gojković -led faction of POKS in the 2022 parliamentary election.[ 28]
^ Including National Democratic Alternative , Dveri , and Serbian Party Oathkeepers in polls from July 2023 onwards. Including the People's Party in Stata polls only from September 2023 onwards.
^ Including the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS), United Serbia (JS), and Serbian Radical Party (SRS)
^ Including the Serbian Party Oathkeepers (SSZ), Dveri , People's Party (Narodna), and Enough is Enough (DJB)
^ Others: 4.1%, while 7.5% of respondents had stated that they would vote for the opposition
^ "Serbia: National Assembly" . Inter-Parliamentary Union . Archived from the original on 31 December 2022. Retrieved 31 December 2022 .
^ a b "Procene rezultata parlamentarnih izbora 2023. godine" (PDF) . Ipsos . 14 December 2023. Retrieved 15 December 2023 .
^ "Poslednje veliko istraživanje pred izbore: Beograd u rukama opozicije, SNS i SPS nemaju dovoljno da zajedno formiraju većinu u parlamentu" . NOVA portal (in Serbian). 14 December 2023. Retrieved 14 December 2023 .
^ "Predizborna Srbija" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 12 December 2023. Retrieved 12 December 2023 .
^ "Srbija, novembar 2023. – SNS 39,2 odsto, "Srbija protiv nasilja" 25.8" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 15 November 2023. Retrieved 15 November 2023 .
^ a b c "Srbija, oktobar 2023" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 22 October 2023. Retrieved 22 October 2023 .
^ "64 DANA DO IZBORA, EVO NAJNOVIJIH REJTINGA Ubedljivo najjača SNS, raste krajnja desnica, građanska opozicija iscepkana" . Blic (in Serbian). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 13 October 2023 .
^ a b "Kako stoje SNS i SPS, a kako opozicija: Rezultat istraživanja o rejtinzima stranaka" . Danas (in Serbian). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 13 October 2023 .
^ "Srbija, avgust 2023" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 28 September 2023. Retrieved 28 September 2023 .
^ a b c "Istraživanje javnog mnjenja: Koliko bi građana glasalo za vlast, koliko za organizatore protesta" (in Serbian). N1. 19 September 2023. Retrieved 19 September 2023 .
^ "Opoziciji podrška raste, SNS i SPS u padu" . NOVA portal (in Serbian). 29 July 2023. Retrieved 30 July 2023 .
^ "Više od polovine građana Srbije podržava raspisivanje izbora" . Vreme (in Serbian). 28 July 2023. Retrieved 29 July 2023 .
^ "Srbija, leto 2023" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 23 July 2023. Archived from the original on 24 July 2023. Retrieved 24 July 2023 .
^ "Srbija, maj 2023 – EU, francusko-nemački sporazum i rejtinzi" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 2 June 2023. Archived from the original on 3 June 2023. Retrieved 3 June 2023 .
^ "Novo istraživanje NSPM: Mali pad SNS, stranke opozicije preko cenzusa" . Danas (in Serbian). 27 April 2023. Archived from the original on 27 April 2023. Retrieved 27 April 2023 .
^ Tašković, Marko (11 April 2023). "Za koga bi građani Srbije danas glasali i šta misle o EU: Najnovije istraživanje Faktor plusa" . Blic (in Serbian). Retrieved 11 April 2023 .
^ "Spoljnopolitičko opredeljenje Srbije" (in Serbian). Šta Srbija misli?. 5 April 2023. Archived from the original on 5 April 2023. Retrieved 7 April 2023 .
^ "Međunarodna politička situacija i javno mnjenje u Srbiji" (in Serbian). Šta Srbija misli?. 22 February 2023. Archived from the original on 22 February 2023. Retrieved 22 February 2023 .
^ "Srbija januar 2023 – SNS na 39.1 odsto. Za ulazak Srbije u EU 35,5%, protiv 47,7%. Protiv sankcija Rusiji 80,1% odsto građana, a podržava 8,2 odsto" . Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 14 February 2023. Archived from the original on 14 February 2023. Retrieved 14 February 2023 .
^ "SRBI HOĆE SPORAZUM O KOSOVU, ALI NE I PONIŽENJE Novo istraživanje "Faktora plus": Evo koliko bi građana potpisalo priznanje južne pokrajine" . Blic (in Serbian). 13 February 2023. Archived from the original on 13 February 2023. Retrieved 13 February 2023 .
^ "SNS i dalje najpopularniji, desnica u blagom padu: Najnovije istraživanje agencije "Faktor plus": Evo kolika bi bila izlaznost da su izbori danas" . Blic (in Serbian). 12 December 2022. Archived from the original on 20 December 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023 .
^ "Predstavljeni rezultati istraživanja NSPM "Srbija – jesen 2022": Đorđe Vukadinović – Razlika između pristalica i protivnika ulaska u EU porasla na 14 odsto u korist evroskeptika. Nacionalne i "desne" stranke u porastu" (in Serbian). Nova srpska politička misao. 3 November 2022. Archived from the original on 12 December 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023 .
^ "SNS na 46,3 odsto, desnica u porastu: najnovije istraživanje "Faktor plusa" pokazalo i ovo: Neko treba da popuni prazninu nastalu u "proevropskoj" opoziciji!" . Blic (in Serbian). 25 October 2022. Archived from the original on 6 November 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023 .
^ "Srbija, leto 2022. – protivljenje uvođenju sankcija Rusiji porsalo sa 82,2 na 84 odsto. Članstvo srbije u NATO podržava 4,3 odsto, a protivi mu se 88,1 odsto" (in Serbian). Nova srpska politička misao. 27 July 2022. Archived from the original on 8 November 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023 .
^ "Istraživanje Demostata: spoljno-političke orijentacije građana Srbije" (PDF) (in Serbian). Demostat. 29 June 2022. p. 22. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 September 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023 .
^ "POKS izlazi na izbore sa DSS-om" . Radio Television of Serbia (in Serbian). 14 February 2022. Archived from the original on 14 February 2022. Retrieved 22 February 2023 .
^ "Vojislav Mihailović dobio ekskluzivno pravo na korišćenje imena POKS" . Danas (in Serbian). 1 August 2022. Archived from the original on 19 August 2022. Retrieved 22 February 2023 .
^ "Dveri i Gojković POKS predali RIK-u listu za parlamentarne izbore" . N1 (in Serbian). 22 February 2022. Archived from the original on 13 February 2023. Retrieved 13 February 2023 .
^ a b "Istraživanje: Lista oko SNS 44 odsto, koalicija Srbija protiv nasilja 41 odsto" . N1 (in Serbian). 28 July 2023. Archived from the original on 28 July 2023. Retrieved 29 July 2023 .
^ a b "Stavovi građana Srbije i Beograda" [Stances of citizens of Serbia and Belgrade] (PDF) . CRTA (in Serbian). 16 October 2023. p. 2, 9. Retrieved 16 October 2023 .