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Opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish presidential election

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 16 min
For the parliamentary election scheduled to occur alongside the presidential election, see Opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish parliamentary election.
For opinion polling on the leaders of major parties, see Leadership opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish general election.

In the run up to the 2023 Turkish presidential election, with its first round held on 14 May and a second round on 28 May, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 24 June 2018, to the present day.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, or that no candidate exceeds 50%, top two candidates' figures are shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

First round

[edit]

Polling aggregations

[edit]
  Light red denotes reports that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Aggregator/
Pollsters 		Fieldwork dates Last updated Erdoğan
PEOPLE 		Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION 		Oğan
ANCESTRAL 		İnce
HOMELAND 		Others/
Undecided 		Lead
600vekil April–May 13 May 47.0% 49.3% 3.7% – – 2.3%
Euronews 25 April – 12 May 12 May 45.8% 48.9% 3.0% 2.3% – 3.1%
POLITICO April–May 12 May 46% 50% 3% 2% '-1%' 4%
TGRT Haber May 4 May 47.5% 46.13% 2.83% 3.53% – 1.37%
Piyasal Siyasal April–May 4 May 45.67% 47.32% 2.53% 4.48% – 1.65%
Anketler ve Raporlar April 4 May 45.2% 46.9% 2.3% 5.5% 0.1% 1.7%
Europe Elects / Euractiv April–May 3 May 44% 48% 3% 5% – 4%
Polimetre April–May 2 May 35.3% 55.5% – – 9.2% 20.2%
Türkiye Raporu April 2 May 44.22% 47.64% 2.78% 5.37% – 3.42%
PolitPro April 1 May 43.3% 48.8% 2.7% 4.9% 0.3% 5.5%
El Electoral April 28 April 44.0% 47.5% 2.0% 5.5% 1.0% 3.5%
Seçimler ve Sayılar April 25 April 45.24% 46.95% 2.16% 5.65% – 1.71%
ThePoliticalPulse March 12 March 44.06% 55.90% – – 0.04% 11.84%

Official campaign polling

[edit]

The table below contains polls conducted after the official start of the campaign period on 10 March.[1][2]

  Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Fieldwork date[nb 1] Polling firm Published by Sample size Lead
Erdoğan
PEOPLE 		Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION 		Oğan
ANCESTRAL 		İnce
HOMELAND
14 May 2023 Nationwide results YSK 49.52 44.88 5.17 0.43 4.64
10–13 May AtlasIntel 4,920 44.5 44.6 7.9 1.1 0.1
12–13 May Özdemir 3,016 48.4 45.2 6.4 – 3.2
11–13 May Remres 4,764 44.4 53.6 1.9 0.1 9.2
11–13 May TAG 2,910 45.1 52.1 2.6 0.2 7.0
12 May İEA 1,500 45.6 50.5 3.9 – 4.9
11–12 May BETİMAR 5,751 49.1 45.0 5.6 0.3 4.1
11–12 May AREDA Survey[pc 1] 25,000 51.3 44.2 3.9 0.6 7.1
11–12 May ASAL 2,017 50.6 46.3 3.1 – 4.3
9–12 May Aksoy 4,000 45.6 47.9 5.7 0.8 2.3
10–11 May ORC 3,920 44.2 51.7 2.8 1.3 7.5
10–11 May GENAR 2,000 51.4 44.3 3.7 – 7.1
9–11 May Optimar 5,950 50.4 44.7 3.4 1.5 5.7
8–11 May Avrasya[pc 2] 2,460 44.2 51.3 3.1 1.4 7.1
11 May 2023 Muharrem İnce withdraws his candidacy.[3]
9–10 May Yöneylem 2,476 44.4 49.5 4.7 1.4 5.1
9–10 May MetroPOLL 2,038 46.9 49.1 2.7 1.3 2.2
8–10 May EuroPoll 2,387 46.2 51.5 2.3 – 5.3
7–10 May Argetus 2,568 50.6 46.1 2.1 1.2 4.5
7–10 May SER-AR 2,795 45.2 52.1 2.7 – 6.9
5–10 May ARL 5,243 46.1 50.3 2.2 1.4 4.2
3–10 May Remres 5,411 44.1 52.1 1.7 2.1 8.0
8–9 May Area 3,000 46.1 49.1 3.5 1.3 3.0
6–9 May İEA 5,000 45.9 48.7 3.7 1.7 2.8
6–9 May PİAR – 45.3 51.3 2.6 0.8 6.0
5–9 May ALF 6,000 44.7 51.2 2.5 1.6 6.5
2–9 May Artıbir 1,500 44.6 50.1 3.0 2.3 5.5
20 Apr–9 May ADA 65,000 50.6 44.8 1.7 2.9 5.8
4–8 May İVEM 4,020 48.6 46.9 2.4 2.1 1.7
2–8 May BULGU 2,400 43.2 50.5 3.8 2.5 7.3
6–7 May KONDA 3,480 43.7 49.3 4.8 2.2 5.6
3–7 May SAROS 8,164 46.09 51.00 2.91 – 5.0
44.5 49.96 2.3 3.2 5.5
2–6 May TAG 3,150 44.7 50.2 2.3 2.8 5.5
27 Apr–5 May Avrasya[pc 2] 5,600 43.6 50.9 3.0 2.5 7.3
26 Apr–4 May MAK 5,750 45.4 50.9 2.0 1.7 5.5
1–3 May AtlasIntel 2,006 44.8 44.1 5.8 5.3 0.7
1-3 May AREDA Survey[pc 1] 16,740 50.8 41.9 3.6 3.7 8.9
27 Apr-3 May AR-G 2,231 46.4 49.1 2.2 2.3 2.7
26 Apr–3 May Özdemir 5,916 49.2 43.3 4.7 2.9 5.9
30 Apr-2 May SER-AR 2,600 44.3 52.7 1.6 1.4 8.4
28 Apr-2 May İVEM 4,156 47.8 45.9 3.0 3.3 1.9
27 Apr-2 May SONAR 4,197 48.8 44.1 3.5 3.6 4.7
27 Apr-2 May ASAL 2,523 49.1 46.3 1.9 2.7 2.8
25 Apr-2 May HBS 5,100 47.5 47.0 2.2 3.3 0.5
29 Apr-1 May ORC 3,950 44.6 48.0 3.1 4.3 3.4
27-30 Apr Yöneylem 2,594 42.5 48.6 5.2 3.7 6.1
25-30 Apr TAG 1,900 43.3 51.9 2.3 2.7 8.6
25-30 Apr SAROS 7,284 47.2 49.1 1.3 2.3 1.9
26-29 Apr ADA 3,278 48.9 45.8 2.4 2.9 3.1
26-28 Apr Aksoy 1,537 41.9 47.3 5.0 5.8 5.4
24-28 Apr Sosyo Politik 1,569 44.1 51.7 1.2 3.0 7.6
25-28 Apr Optimar 3,005 48.6 44.1 3.0 4.3 4.5
25-27 Apr AREDA Survey[pc 1] 14,193 51.1 42.0 2.8 4.1 9.1
24-27 Apr SER-AR 5,000 44.8 53.1 0.5 1.6 8.3
24-26 Apr Gezici 3,991 44.6 48.7 2.0 4.7 5.4
23-26 Apr TEAM 3,054 44.4 47.4 2.1 6.1 3.0
17-25 Apr TÜSİAR 1,500 48.7 46.6 1.1 3.6 2.1
10-25 Apr BULGU Sözcü 2,400 41.5 49.5 2.5 6.5 8.0
13-24 Apr Artıbir 1,500 43.7 49.4 2.4 4.5 5.7
19-22 Apr ORC 3,920 42.4 49.3 2.2 6.1 6.9
15-20 Apr AREDA Survey[pc 1] 17,400 51.4 41.8 2.2 4.6 9.6
15-18 Apr Piar 5,400 47.1 49.4 2.3 1.2 2.3
12-20 Apr Area 10,277 46.7 46.8 2.6 3.9 0.1
14-16 Apr Yöneylem 2,422 43.0 48.6 2.8 5.8 5.6
10-16 Apr SONAR 4,541 46.1 44.1 2.1 7.7 2.0
10-16 Apr AKSOY 1,067 38.4 47.9 4.8 9.0 9.5
10-16 Apr MAK 5,750 43.7 47.8 1.1 3.4 4.1
12-14 Apr AREDA Survey[pc 1] 10,136 50.8 43.1 1.6 4.5 7.7
13 Apr AR-G 1,984 45.6 49.2 1.3 3.9 3.6
8-12 Apr ALF 2,340 43.9 47.4 2.2 6.5 3.5
7-11 Apr ORC 5,400 41.5 48.9 2.4 7.2 7.4
6-10 Apr Avrasya[pc 2] 2,410 42.3 50.9 2.0 4.8 8.6
9 Apr SAROS 10,729 46.8 45.7 1.6 6.0 1.1
3-8 Apr TAG 1,600 42.9 51.4 1.6 4.1 8.5
1-8 Apr Optimar Milliyet 4,745 45.9 43.9 1.7 8.3 2.0
1-4 Apr TekAr 3,600 45.8 46.2 2.4 5.6 0.4
1-3 Apr MetroPoll 2,610 41.1 42.6 2.2 5.0 1.5
1-2 Apr Gezici 2.864 43.2 53.4 1.3 2.1 10.2
25 Mar-2 Apr ASAL 2,147 46.8 42.2 2.6 8.4 4.6
28 Mar - 1 Apr AREDA Survey[pc 1] Sabah 18,487 50.6 41.8 2.1 5.5 8.8
31 Mar MetroPoll BirGün 2,046 42.0 44.6 – – 2.6
31 March 2023 Final candidate list was published in the Official Gazette.[6]
28-30 Mar Ankara Analitik 2,187 44.5 39.7 1.5 14.3 4.8
27-29 Mar Yöneylem 2,655 41.6 46.4 2.9 9.1 4.8
24 March 2023 Erbakan withdraws his candidacy, endorsing Erdoğan.[7]
22 March 2023 Labour and Freedom Alliance announces that they are not nominating a candidate.[8]
13-21 Mar Artıbir KRT TV Live 1,500 44.0 51.3 1.2 3.5 7.3
20 Mar SAROS 10,826 44.3 45.5 – 3.1 1.2
13-18 Mar Optimar 1,916 47.4 45.3 0.7 6.5 2.1
12-17 Mar Avrasya[pc 2] 23 DERECE 2,560 39.7 53.5 1.4 2.9 13.8
13-15 Mar TAG 2,100 43.2 45.4 3.6 5.5 2.2
11-15 Mar ORC 4,540 42.3 53.1 1.5 3.1 7.8
17 Mar Themis Haber3 1,458 32.1 36.8 12.2 7.9 4.7
15 Mar MAK Habertürk TV 5,750 45.7 51.1 – – 5.4
14 Mar AR-G 1,472 43.1 46.2 3.1 7.6 3.1

Pre-campaign polling

[edit]

2023

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Published by Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İmamoğlu
CHP 		Yavaş
CHP 		Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP 		Demirtaş
HDP 		Akşener
İYİ 		Karamollaoğlu
SAADET 		Babacan
DEVA 		Davutoğlu
GP 		İnce
MP
6 March 2023 Kılıçdaroğlu is declared the Nation Alliance candidate for president.
23–27 Feb Areda[pc 1] Yeni Şafak 3,000 49.8 6.9 9.6 21.7 6.0 2.6 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.8 1.2 28.1

2022

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Published by Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İmamoğlu
CHP 		Yavaş
CHP 		Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP 		Demirtaş
HDP 		Beştaş
HDP 		Buldan
HDP 		Akşener
İYİ 		Karamollaoğlu
SAADET 		Bahçeli
MHP 		Babacan
DEVA 		Davutoğlu
GP 		İnce
MP
12–15 Aug Optimar Hürriyet 2,000 36.5 3.7 14.7 14.6 9.5 – – 7.6 – 8.3 – – – 5.1 21.8
11–14 Jul Optimar Hürriyet 3,481 30.1 4.6 12.5 11 8.2 – – 6.4 – – – – – – 17.6
13–24 Jun SONAR 3.100 40.2 10.1 17.8 4.3 4.6 – – 10.4 – 2.2 1.7 – 2.1 6.6 22.4
12–15 May Optimar T24 2.519 36.1 8.4 11.9 11.9 4.7 – – 3.2 – – – – – – 24.2
6–12 May SONAR 2.840 39.2 12.5 15.7 3.9 4.7 8.0 2.8 1.9 – – 2.7 8.6 – – 23,5
23–28 Apr Optimar Gazete Duvar 1.847 33.1 9.1 13.0 12.0 – – – – – – – – – – 20,1
Apr MetroPOLL – 40.1 – – 30.2 15.2 – – – – – – – – – 9,9
Apr ALF – 33.7 16.6 22.2 4.3 8.3 7.2 – – – – 2.1 5.6 – – 11,5
10–16 Mar Optimar Hürriyet 2.002 33.8 10.7 9.9 11.5 – – – – – – – – – – 22.3
24–31 Jan AKAM Europe Elects 1.860 28.5 – – 30.3 10.2 – – 11.0 4.9 7.9 2.4 – 2.7 – 1.8
7–13 Jan İEA Europe Elects 1.500 44.0 – – – 15.2 – – 40.8 – – – – – – 2.2

2021

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Published by Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İmamoğlu
CHP 		Yavaş
CHP 		Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP 		Demirtaş
HDP 		Beştaş
HDP 		Buldan
HDP 		Akşener
İYİ 		Karamollaoğlu
SAADET 		Bahçeli
MHP 		Babacan
DEVA 		Davutoğlu
GP 		İnce
MP
30 Nov–5 Dec Yöneylem T24 2,002 43.5 – – 40.8 15.8 – – – – – – – – – 2.7
13–20 Nov Optimar Hürriyet 2,507 26.0 8.5 14.2 5.0 8.7 – – 6.4 – 4.3 – – – – 11.8
11–14 Nov ASAL 1,712 43.3 11.3 10.6 6.0 10.1 – – 7.7 – 3.7 2.4 0.7 1.5 2.7 32.0
27 Oct–3 Nov Yöneylem Europe Elects 2,000 44.8 – – 40.0 15.2 – – – – – – – – – 4.8
Oct ADA 2,423 38.8 – – 19.0 – – 6.1 17.1 1.0 7.8 2.7 1.4 2.4 3.7 19.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 43.4 12.1 11.4 6.1 11.0 – – 8.0 – 3.6 3.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 31.3
24–30 Sep Yöneylem Gazete Duvar 2,400 47.8 – – 36.3 15.9 – – – – – – – – – 11.5
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 45.6 8.1 15.8 10.1 9.1 – – 9.4 – 0.5 0.3 0.1 – 1.2 29.8
10–22 Sep Sosyo Politik 2,000 48.2 7.6 5.8 19.0 8.4 – – 6.8 – – 2.1 1.4 0.7 – 29.2
20–27 Aug Yöneylem Gazete Duvar 3,040 45.9 – – 38.2 15.9 – – – – – – – – – 7.7
Aug Optimar Para Analiz N/A 46.3 8.2 18.5 7.3 6.3 – – 5.3 0.1 3.2 1.6 0.1 0.9 2.1 27.8
10–13 Jul Optimar Hür Haber 1,726 45.1 8.9 15.9 8.3 5.9 – – 6.4 0.5 4.1 0.9 0.3 0.4 3.3 29.2
21–28 Jun Sosyo Politik 1,008 37.5 14.2 7.6 18.3 9.8 – – 8.4 – – 3.1 – 1.1 – 19.2
22–24 May Optimar Hürriyet 1,836 36.7 7.7 13.8 6.5 8.2 – – 8.0 – – – – – – 22.9
22–30 Apr Optimar Hürriyet 2,027 38.6 9.6 15.7 4.1 – – – 6.0 – – – – – – 22.9
Mar SAROS 3,042 38.6 14.6 2.9 3.9 13.2 – – 9.7 – 11.3 1.9 1.8 1.4 0.7 24.0
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar Milliyet 2,207 32.5 6.2 8.0 1.6 – – – 5.2 – – – – 4.2 – 24.5
10 Jan – 4 Feb SONAR 3,200 45.9 14.6 9.8 2.3 5.2 – – 8.8 – 7.1 – – – 6.3 31.3
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 48.2 – – 12.6 7.4 – – 13.7 1.0 – 4.0 2.4 3.3 7.3 34.5
Jan SAROS 3,034 37.6 9.6 3.8 7.3 17.1 – – 9.3 0.9 10.0 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.2 20.5

2020

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İmamoğlu
CHP 		Yavaş
CHP 		Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP 		Demirtaş
HDP 		Beştaş
HDP 		Akşener
İYİ 		Karamollaoğlu
SAADET 		Bahçeli
MHP 		Babacan
DEVA 		Davutoğlu
GP 		İnce
MP
Dec TEAM 9,281 43.2 16.2 6.2 2.8 9.6 – 8.3 – 4.8 1.6 1.0 3.9 2.4 27.0
Dec Sandık Analiz 3,809 44.0 31.2 – – – 7.5 10.6 0.6 – 4.1 1.1 – 0.9 12.8
3–9 Dec Optimar 2,253 33.8 4.7 6.6 4.5 – – 5.1 – – – – – – 27.2
11 Nov – 4 Dec Kadir Has University 1,000 47.8 9.6 6.1 10.8 11.1 – 10.3 – – – – – 4.3 36.7
Nov SAROS 3,092 34.1 13.1 4.1 7.0 12.2 – 7.5 – 10.3 9.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 21.0
26–30 Oct Optimar 2,147 36.4 8.3 8.6 – – – – – – – – – – 27.8
Aug SONAR 2,850 50.5 11.1 7.7 – 7.8 – 8.8 – – – – 8.3 5.8 39.4
3–5 Aug ADA 1,750 43.2 13.8 14.3 1.2 5.7 – 6.8 0.9 4.2 3.4 1.7 3.7 1.1 28.9
10–14 Jul Optimar 2,047 38.4 7.0 4.0 – 4.7 – 5.6 – – – – – – 31.4
Jun SAROS 3,017 41.4 15.0 4.7 9.9 9.2 – 8.8 0.2 8.1 0.7 1.4 – 0.6 26.4
May AR–G 1,258 42.1 19.6 12.8 1.0 5.6 – 6.1 0.9 3.2 4.1 1.8 2.2 0.6 22.5
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 48.2 13.5 7.3 – 8.5 – – – – – – – – 34.7
9 Mar - 2 Apr Konsensus 1,500 49.9 17.7 5.6 – 6.8 – 5.5 – – – – – – 32.2
2–6 Mar ADA 1,366 44.3 25.5 2.9 1.3 6.6 – 6.2 1.3 4.9 3.2 1.3 1.4 1.1 18.8
24 Feb Polimetre[nb 2] N/A 38.5 35.1 9.3 – 8.1 – – – – – 9.0 3.4
2–9 Jan Artibir 1,500 49.5 37.7 – – 9.4 – – – – – – – 3.4 11.8

2018–2019

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İmamoğlu
CHP 		Yavaş
CHP 		Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP 		Demirtaş
HDP 		Akşener
İYİ 		Karamollaoğlu
SAADET 		Bahçeli
MHP 		Babacan
DEVA 		Davutoğlu
GP 		İnce
MP
13–15 Dec Public Status 4,150 53.0 27.7 – – 8.5 6.8 1.1 – 0.9 0.2 1.2 1.0 25.3
21−28 Oct ADA 1,700 45.1 26.6 – 1.1 4.2 6.1 1.4 5.3 3.8 2.1 1.6 2.8 18.1
19–30 Aug ADA Archived 2019-09-22 at the Wayback Machine 1,721 39.1 28.6 – 0.5 8.0 6.8 – 6.5 4.2 2.3 2.0 2.0 10.5
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 45.0 19.2 – – 15.3 12.8 – – 0.7 – 4.9 2.1 25.8
2019
Jul ORC N/A 56.7[nb 3] 27.7[nb 4] 8.4 6.5 0.5 – — 0.2 29.0
24 Jun 2018 2018 presidential election 51,188,524 52.6[nb 3] 30.6[nb 4] 8.4 7.3 0.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.2 20.0

Second round

[edit]

Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu

[edit]

Polling aggregations

[edit]
  Light red denotes reports that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Aggregator/
Pollsters 		Fieldwork dates Last updated Erdoğan
PEOPLE 		Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION 		Others/
Undecided 		Lead
POLITICO May 28 May 51% 49% – 2%
Anketler ve Raporlar April 28 May 52.4% 47.5% 0.1% 4.9%
Türkiye Raporu April 2 May 47.97% 52.03% – 4.06%

Official campaign polling

[edit]

The table below contains polls conducted after the official start of the campaign period on 15 May.

  Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Fieldwork date[nb 1] Polling firm Sample size Lead
Erdoğan
PEOPLE 		Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
25–26 May İEA – 51.9 48.1 3.8
25–26 May BETİMAR 6,601 52.2 47.8 4.4
25–26 May Özdemir 3,250 53.94 46.06 7.88
25–26 May ALF 2,500 49.7 50.3 0.6
25–26 May SER-AR 2,200 48.7 51.3 2.6
24–25 May ORC 3,950 49.2 50.8 1.6
24–25 May Area 2,026 49.4 50.6 1.2
18–22 May Özdemir 5,916 54.1 45.9 8.2
20–21 May KONDA 3,607 52.7 47.3 5.4
20–21 May Areda 10,491 52.4 47.6 4.8
13–15 May TAG 2,350 51.6 48.4 3.2

Pre-campaign polling

[edit]

2023

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
PEOPLE 		Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
9-10 May MetroPOLL 2,038 48.7 51.3 – 3.1
8-9 May Area 3,000 48.0 52.0 – 4.0
4-8 May İVEM 4.020 52.1 47.9 – 4.2
2-8 May BULGU 2,400 45.7 54.3 – 8.6
3-7 May SAROS 8,164 46.1 53.9 – 7.8
2-6 May TAG 3,150 45.2 54.8 – 9.6
4 May 2023 Opinion polling ban comes into effect 10 days before the first round.[9]
1–3 May AtlasIntel 2,006 48.5 45.1 6.4 3.5
27 Apr-3 May AR-G 2,231 49.2 50.8 – 1.6
27 Apr-2 May SONAR 2,523 52.1 47.9 – 4.2
27 Apr-2 May ASAL 2,523 50.8 49.2 – 1.6
25-30 Apr SAROS 7,284 48.8 51.2 – 2.4
26-29 Apr ADA 3,278 51.1 48.9 – 2.2
26-28 Apr Aksoy 1,537 45.8 54.2 – 8.4
25-28 Apr Optimar 3,005 51.4 48.6 – 2.8
25-27 Apr AREDA[pc 1] 14,193 53.3 46.7 – 6.6
24-26 Apr Gezici 3,991 47.2 52.8 – 5.6
23-26 Apr TEAM 3,054 47.5 52.5 – 5.0
17-25 Apr TÜSİAR 972 51.1 48.9 – 2.2
18-24 Apr Al-Monitor/Premise 972 45.2 44.9 9.9 0.3
10-25 Apr BULGU 2,400 44.3 55.7 – 11.4
13-24 Apr Artıbir 1,500 46.4 53.6 – 7.2
12-20 Apr Area 10,277 49.3 50.7 – 1.4
15-21 Apr TAG 1,850 44.8 51.6 3.6 6.8
15-20 Apr Areda[pc 1] 17,400 53.5 46.5 – 7.0
Apr Genar – 51.7 48.3 – 3.4
10-16 Apr SONAR 4,541 52.1 47.9 – 4.2
10-16 Apr Aksoy 1,067 42.6 57.4 – 14.8
5-15 Apr HBS 5,100 49.3 50.7 – 1.4
1-7 Apr Optimar 4,745 51.1 48.9 – 2.2
Apr Saros 10,729 49.7 50.3 – 0.6
1-2 Apr Gezici 2,864 44.8 55.2 – 10.4
25 Mar-2 Apr ASAL 2,147 51.4 48.6 – 2.8
28 Mar-1 Apr Areda Survey[pc 1] 18,478 52.8 47.2 – 5.6
27-29 Mar Yöneylem 2,655 44.9 55.1 – 10.2
22-27 Mar Aksoy 1,537 43.2 56.8 – 13.6
12-17 Mar Avrasya[pc 2] 2,560 43.0 57.0 – 14.0
11-15 Mar Bulgu Araştırma 1,800 38.6 42.4 19.0 3.8
11-14 Mar MetroPOLL 1,999 42.0 44.6 13.4 2.6
8-15 Mar MAK 5,750 42.4 46.5 11.1 4.1
7-10 Mar ADA 3,121 53.7 46.3 – 7.4
6-9 Mar İEA 2,000 39.6 47.0 13.4 7.4
8 Mar Aksoy 1,537 44.4 55.6 – 11.2
6-7 Mar ALF 1,770 44.9 55.1 – 10.2
6 March 2023 Kılıçdaroğlu is declared the Nation Alliance candidate for president.
4-6 Mar ORC 1,850 43.2 56.8 – 13.6
March Aksoy 1,537 43.2 56.8 – 13.6
March SAROS 10,826 46.3 53.7 – 7.4
March GENAR 3,000 46.3 42.1 11.6 4.2
March Piar 1,460 42.9 57.1 – 14.2
27 Jan–2 Feb Avrasya[pc 2] 2,460 40.3 48.2 11.5 7.9
February MetroPOLL 2,117 42.7 41.4 15.7 1.3
14-24 Jan ASAL 2,520 46.9 39.3 13.8 7.6
13-18 Jan MetroPOLL 2,022 45.9 43.0 11.1 2.9
3-8 Jan Avrasya[pc 2] 2,612 38.3 48.5 13.2 10.2
2-5 Jan ORC 3,780 42.5 41.8 15.7 0.7
23 Dec–2 Jan Sosyo Politik 1,582 35.8 36.8 27.4 1.0
January Yöneylem 2,400 41.0 46.2 12.7 5.2

2022

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
People's 		Kılıçdaroğlu
Nation
22-27 Dec Yöneylem 2,400 42.5 45.2 12.3 2.7
20-25 Dec Area 2,004 37.6 38.6 23.8 1.0
14-24 Dec Artıbir 1,500 39.4 43.6 17.0 4.2
13-18 Dec MetroPOLL 2,077 40.1 44.9 15.0 4.8
3 Nov–12 Dec Global & Akademetre 1,000 44.0 34.3 21.7 9.7
29 Nov–3 Dec Avrasya[pc 2] 2,612 37.5 48.2 14.3 10.7
December SAROS 11,106 49.7 50.3 – 0.6
21-30 Nov Artıbir 1,500 38.2 43.8 18.0 5.6
23-27 Nov Yöneylem 2,400 42.8 43.3 13.9 0.5
15-20 Nov MetroPOLL 2,122 44.5 39.4 16.0 5.1
29 Oct–6 Nov Avrasya[pc 2] 2,560 38.4 47.9 13.7 9.5
November SAROS 11,028 40.2 41.0 18.8 0.8
24-28 Oct Yöneylem 2,400 40.7 43.6 15,7 2.9
15-18 Oct MetroPOLL 2,145 45.4 41.3 13.2 4.1
10-18 Oct Artıbir 1,500 38.5 43.4 18.1 4.9
5-14 Oct ASAL 2,312 42.8 38.8 18.4 4.0
26-30 Sep Yöneylem 2,400 40.6 46.8 12.6 6.2
17-20 Sep MetroPOLL 2,119 44.9 43.9 11.2 1.0
15-20 Sep Area 3,123 31.8 36.5 31.6 4.7
5-14 Sep Artıbir 1,500 38.2 48.1 13,7 9.9
September KONDA – 35.0 37.0 28.0 2.0
September SAROS 2,025 41.3 39.0 19.7 2.3
September Aksoy 1,067 46.4 53.6 – 7.2
25 Aug–1 Sept Yöneylem 2,403 38.0 48.7 13.3 10.7
22-28 Aug Avrasya[pc 2] 2,000 38.0 44.7 18.3 6.7
13-17 Aug MetroPOLL 1,717 41.4 47.7 10.9 6.3
30 Jul–8 Aug Avrasya[pc 2] 2,410 35.8 56.5 7.7 20.7
1-4 Aug Areda Survey[pc 1] 3,872 47.9 42.4 9.7 5.5
August HBS – 56.0 44.0 – 12.0
11-16 Jul MetroPOLL 2,091 42.7 45.4 11.9 2.7
2-3 Jul Gezici 2,680 46.8 53.2 – 6.4
Jul SAROS 1,672 37.6 36.5 25.9 1.1
25 Jun–1 Jul Avrasya[pc 2] 1,460 37,9 54.1 8.0 16.2
20-30 Jun BUPAR 2,986 31.2 43.4 25.4 12.2
24-28 Jun Yöneylem 2,704 37.5 46.6 15.9 9.1
10-21 Jun Objektif 9,960 38.9 51.7 9.4 12.8
11-15 Jun MetroPOLL 2,123 39.8 46.1 14.1 6.3
7-14 Jun ASAL 3,000 36.8 35.1 28.1 1.7
June KONDA – 34.0 31.0 35.0 1.0
June Artıbir 1,500 38.4 47.6 14 9.2
26 May–1 Jun Avrasya[pc 2] 1,500 39.1 51.5 9.4 12.4
16-23 May Artıbir 1,500 39.7 48.2 12.1 8.5
12-15 May Yöneylem 2,400 36.5 44.9 18.7 8.4
5-8 May ASAL 2,400 43.1 32.4 24.5 10.7
27 Apr–3 May Avrasya[pc 2] 2,460 40.2 51.3 8.5 11.1
May MetroPOLL – 40.5 42.7 16.8 2.2
May SAROS 2,987 48.8 51.2 – 2.4
14-20 Apr MetroPOLL 2,164 42.5 43.3 13.5 0.8
8-10 Apr ASAL 2,100 42.3 33.0 24.7 9.3
1-4 Apr Sosyo Politik 2,010 38.1 40.5 21.4 2.4
24-29 Mar Avrasya[pc 2] 2,490 41.9 46.8 11.3 4.9
3–6 Mar Yöneylem 2,488 38.6 40.1 21.3 1.5
Feb GEZİCİ – 47.4 52.6 – 5.2
24–31 Jan AKAM 1,860 40 60 – 20
9–14 Jan AKAM 1,260 42.0 53.9 4.1 11.9

2019–2021

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
People's 		Kılıçdaroğlu
Nation
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 40.5 53.9 – 13.4
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 32.1 50.6 17.3 18.5
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 35.4 33.9 30.6 1.5
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 34.1 47.9 18.0 13.8
27 Oct – 3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 46.5 53.5 – 7.0
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 47.1 52.9 – 5.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 47.9 37.9 14.1 10.0
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 41.2 34.7 24.1 6.5
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 45.8 54.2 – 8.4
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 38.6 42.9 18.6 4.3
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 46.1 53.9 – 7.8
Aug Optimar N/A 47.4 31.8 20.9 15.6
July Bupar – 31.2 43.4 25.4 12.2
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 40.6 41.0 18.4 0.4
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 49.2 30.8 20.0 18.4
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 43.4 38.7 17.9 4.7
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.1 44.0 16.9 4.9
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 35.2 41.8 23.0 6.6
May Gezici 2,280 43.1 44.8 12.1 1.7
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 44.8 40.4 14.9 4.4
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 46.7 35.5 17.8 11.2
12-15 May Yöneylem 2.400 36.5 44.9 18.7 8.4
6–9 May İEA 1,506 44.2 39.4 16.4 4.8
27 Apr-3 May AKAM 2.460 40.2 51.3 8.5 11,1
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 45.5 32.4 22.3 13.1
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 37.2 32.5 30.3 4.7
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 42.5 39.7 17.8 2.8
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 42.5 43.3 13.5 0.8
1–4 Apr Sosyo Politik 2.010 38.1 40.5 21.4 2.4
Mar Aksoy N/A 39.6 29.9 30.5 9.7
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.1 39.9 15.0 5.2
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 47.3 31.9 20.9 15.4
24–29 Mar AKAM 2.490 41.9 46.8 11.3 4.9
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 44.7 27.0 28.3 17.7
Feb Aksoy 2,400 38.9 31.4 29.7 7.5
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.2 23.7 34.1 18.5
Jan Aksoy 2,400 40.0 29.2 30.7 10.8
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 41.0 29.0 29.6 12.0
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 52.8 27.8 19.4 25.0
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 45.8 27.2 27.0 18.6
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.4 35.9 26.7 1.5
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 39.0 29.7 31.3 9.3
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 45.2 27.8 27.0 17.4
3–9 Dec Optimar 2,253 47.8 42.2 10.0 5.6
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.5 32.0 25.4 10.5
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.0 38.9 20.1 2.1
Oct Aksoy 2,400 40.6 31.3 28.1 9.3
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 41.2 38.5 20.3 2.7
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.5 38.1 23.4 0.4
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 41.4 40.6 18.0 0.8
May ORC 2,316 54.1 36.4 9.5 17.7
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 53.7 31.7 14.6 22.0
2019

Eliminated candidates

[edit]

Erdoğan vs. İnce

[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İnce
MP
15–17 March TAG 1850 47.4 36.1 16.5 11.3
2023
Feb AR-G – 52.0 11.0 37.0 15
2022
Oct SAROS 1,854 49.8 27.0 23.2 22.8
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 43.1 30.4 26.4 12.7
Aug Optimar N/A 49.9 29.4 20.7 20.5
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 49.4 26.4 24.2 23.0
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 41.0 34.2 24.8 6.8
17 May 2021 İnce founded the Homeland Party.
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Erdoğan
AKP 		İnce
CHP 		Undecided Lead
Mar Aksoy N/A 41.8 20.9 37.3 20.9
Mar SAROS 3,042 44.7 21.9 33.4 22.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 44.2 26.4 29.4 17.8
Feb Yöneylem N/A 45.1 25.2 29.7 19.9
Feb Aksoy 2,400 39.6 22.2 38.2 17.4
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.0 6.0 51.9 36.0
Jan Aksoy 2,400 39.6 23.4 36.9 16.2
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 50.5 28.1 21.4 22.4
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 45.0 28.6 26.4 16.4
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.9 30.6 31.5 7.3
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 40.2 24.6 35.2 15.6
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 43.1 23.4 33.5 19.7
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.3 10.3 47.4 32.0
Oct Aksoy 2,400 41.4 29.2 29.4 12.2
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 41.9 35.9 22.2 6.0
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.7 35.1 26.2 3.6
Aug MetroPoll N/A 48.5 32.2 19.3 16.3
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 42.7 35.9 21.4 6.8
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 44.5 33.5 22.0 11.0
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 43.1 32.6 24.3 10.5
2020
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 40.6 26.7 32.7 13.9
2019

Hypothetical candidates

[edit]

Erdoğan vs. İmamoğlu

[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		İmamoğlu
CHP
Jul Bupar – 30.5 43.9 25.6 13.4
12-15 May Yöneylem 2.400 36.0 46.5 17.7 10.5
27 Apr-3 May AKAM 2.460 38.8 53.7 7.5 14.9
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 40.0 49.7 9.8 9.7
1–4 APR Sosyo Politik 2.010 36.7 42.5 20.8 5.8
24–29 Mar AKAM 2.490 42.2 52.1 5.7 9.9
3–6 Mar Yöneylem 2.488 37.6 49.6 12.8 12
24–31 Jan AKAM 1.860 38 62 – 24
9–14 Jan AKAM 1.260 38.1 59.1 2.1 21
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 39.1 58.4 – 19.3
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 31 54.7 14.3 23.7
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 41.3 34.2 24.5 7.1
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 33.6 49.5 16.9 15.9
27 Oct – 3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 42.0 58.0 – 16.0
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 42.3 57.7 – 15.4
Oct SAROS 1,854 47.3 41.3 11.3 6.0
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 42.6 38.0 19.5 4.6
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 40.5 59.5 – 19.0
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 37.8 48.5 13.6 10.7
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 41.1 58.9 – 17.8
Aug Optimar N/A 46.3 36.4 17.3 9.9
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 39.2 48.5 12.3 9.3
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 48.1 37.8 14.1 10.3
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 40.6 46.1 13.3 5.5
21−29 Jun Artıbir 1,500 44.2 46.1 9.7 1.9
23−28 Jun AKAM 2,460 37.8 50.2 12.0 14.4
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 34.7 49.6 15.7 14.9
5–30 May Sandık Analiz 4,477 43.1 56.9 – 13.8
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 40.4 48.5 11.1 8.1
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 44.9 41.8 13.3 3.1
6–9 May İEA 1,506 39.9 51.4 8.7 11.5
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 40.3 42.9 16.8 2.6
Apr AKAM N/A 32.1 48.0 19.9 15.9
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 36.0 45.5 18.6 9.5
9–30 Apr Sandık Analiz 2,427 44.2 55.8 – 11.6
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 38.8 49.7 11.5 10.9
11–14 Apr AKAM 1,460 30.5 48.6 20.9 18.1
Mar Aksoy N/A 37.0 45.1 17.9 8.1
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.2 44.2 10.6 1.0
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 42.8 42.6 14.5 0.2
26–31 Mar AKAM 2,460 33.6 47.6 18.8 14.0
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz N/A 44.4 55.6 – 11.2
7–12 Mar AKAM 1,480 35.2 47.0 17.8 11.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 42.5 34.6 22.9 7.9
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,804 45.7 54.3 – 8.6
Feb Yöneylem N/A 41.9 40.8 17.3 1.1
Feb Aksoy 2,400 37.3 45.3 17.4 8.0
18–25 Feb AKAM 2,184 34.3 46.2 19.5 11.9
19–22 Feb Metropoll 1,604 44.3 43.7 12.1 0.6
Jan Sandık Analiz 9,738 44.3 55.7 – 11.4
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.9 37.8 19.3 5.1
Jan Aksoy 2,400 37.7 44.1 18.2 6.4
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 38.8 40.1 20.7 1.3
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.9 35.2 20.8 8.7
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.2 42.1 20.7 4.9
4–9 Jan Artıbir 1,500 43.2 41.2 15.6 2.0
2021
Dec Sandık Analiz 3,809 47.7 52.3 – 4.6
Dec Aksoy 2,400 37.0 43.3 19.7 6.3
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 41.5 41.2 17.3 0.3
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 53.7 46.3 – 7.4
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.5 36.2 21.3 6.3
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.5 43.1 15.4 1.6
Oct Aksoy 2,400 40.6 44.0 15.4 3.4
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 41.1 42.3 16.6 1.2
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.7 41.9 19.4 3.2
Aug MetroPoll N/A 46.5 43.5 10.0 3.0
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 40.8 43.7 15.5 2.9
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 45.1 36.8 18.1 8.3
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 37.1 38.7 24.2 1.6
18–26 Jul Artıbir 1,500 39.0 33.1 27.9 5.9
20–23 May AKAM 2,460 40.4 45.5 14.1 5.1
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 44.7 34.7 20.6 10.0
20–29 Apr Yöneylem 2,409 40.8 37.0 22.2 3.8
18–25 Mar Yöneylem 2,605 42.1 44.9 13.0 2.8
20 Feb – 2 Mar Artıbir 1,500 42.9 39.6 17.5 3.3
28 Jan – 4 Feb Artıbir 1,500 43.2 38.3 18.5 4.9
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 39.1 41.4 19.6 2.3
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 50.9 34.2 14.9 16.7
19–24 Nov PIAR 2,416 39.7 44.5 15.8 4.8
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 40.7 36.9 22.4 3.8
2019

Erdoğan vs. Yavaş

[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		Yavaş
CHP
Jul Bupar – 30.0 47.4 22.6 17.4
27 Apr-3 May AKAM 2.460 38.4 52.0 9.6 13.6
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 36.5 53.9 9.0 17.4
1–4 Apr Sosyo Politik 2.010 32.5 34.0 33.4 0.6
24–29 Mar AKAM 2.490 39.7 55.5 4.8 15.8
Feb AR-G – 42.0 56.0 2.0 14
24–31 Jan AKAM 1.860 36 64 – 28
9–14 Jan AKAM 1.260 35.4 61.5 3.1 26.1
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 35.2 61.5 – 26.3
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 30.1 54.2 15.7 24.1
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 41.3 39.3 19.4 2
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 32.8 49.2 18.0 16.4
27 Oct – 3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 38.0 62.0 – 24.0
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 43.1 56.9 – 13.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 47.9 38.8 13.3 9.1
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 42.3 39.3 18.5 3.0
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 41.9 58.1 – 16.2
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 34.8 53.8 11.3 19.0
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 42.6 57.4 – 14.8
Aug Optimar N/A 46.5 41.8 11.5 4.7
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 36.6 52.8 10.6 16.2
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 46.8 39.3 13.9 7.5
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 38.4 49.3 12.4 10.9
21–29 Jun Artıbir 1,500 42.7 45.8 11.5 3.1
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 37.0 49.4 13.6 12.4
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 32.0 48.2 19.8 16.2
5–30 May Sandık Analiz 4,477 39.2 60.8 – 21.6
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 38.8 50.7 10.5 11.9
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 44.1 42.0 13.9 2.1
6–9 May İEA 1,506 38.1 52.5 9.4 14.4
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 38.9 46.5 14.5 7.6
Apr AKAM N/A 30.9 47.5 21.6 16.6
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 35.7 47.9 16.4 12.2
9–30 Apr Sandık Analiz 2,427 38.9 61.1 – 22.2
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 37.5 49.4 13.1 11.9
11–14 Apr AKAM 1,460 30.5 48.0 21.5 17.5
Mar Aksoy N/A 37.0 47.8 15.2 10.8
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.2 41.0 13.8 4.2
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 41.3 45.5 13.2 4.2
26–31 Mar AKAM 2,460 33.8 47.7 18.5 13.9
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz N/A 42.9 57.1 – 14.2
7–12 Mar AKAM 1,480 34.3 47.1 18.6 12.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 41.2 36.7 22.1 4.5
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,804 44.5 55.5 – 11.0
Feb Yöneylem N/A 40.1 43.0 16.9 2.9
Feb Aksoy 2,400 37.0 47.5 15.5 10.5
18–25 Feb AKAM 2,184 34.7 48.6 16.7 13.9
19–22 Feb Metropoll 1,604 44.6 44.4 11.1 0.2
Jan Sandık Analiz 9,746 43.6 56.4 – 12.8
Jan SAROS 3,034 41.9 30.9 27.1 11.0
Jan Aksoy 2,400 37.7 48.5 13.8 10.8
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 38.4 38.4 22.9 0.0
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.1 31.8 25.0 11.9
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 36.9 42.7 20.4 5.8
2021
Dec Sandık Analiz 3,809 46.7 53.3 – 6.6
Dec Aksoy 2,400 35.4 48.7 15.8 13.3
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 40.7 43.9 15.4 3.2
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 55.2 44.8 – 10.4
Nov Sandık Analiz N/A 48.9 51.1 – 1.2
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.8 31.9 25.2 10.9
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.1 42.2 16.7 1.1
2–12 Nov Artıbir 1,500 43.6 38.9 17.5 4.7
Oct Aksoy 2,400 39.5 49.0 11.5 9.5
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 39.8 40.4 19.8 0.6
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.0 37.6 24.4 0.4
Aug MetroPoll N/A 45.5 43.0 11.6 2.5
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 40.4 41.1 18.5 0.7
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 44.5 36.7 18.8 7.8
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 39.2 40.4 20.4 1.2
18–26 Jul Artıbir 1,500 49.7 30.5 19.8 19.2
20–23 May AKAM 2,460 39.9 39.7 20.4 0.2
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 43.0 36.1 20.9 6.9
20–29 Apr Yöneylem 2,409 39.9 36.9 23.3 3.0
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 39.5 32.6 27.8 6.9
2020

Erdoğan vs. Akşener

[edit]
2022
[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		Akşener
İYİ
July Bupar – 30.1 37.3 32.6 7.2
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 41.9 43.8 13,7 1.9
1–4 Apr Sosyo Politik 2.010 34.5 28.7 36.8 2.3
2021
[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		Akşener
İYİ
Oct SAROS 1,854 48.0 37.1 14.8 10.9
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 46.0 54.0 – 8.0
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 37.2 45.6 17.2 8.4
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 46.8 53.2 – 6.4
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 40.1 44.2 15.7 4.1
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 41.2 41.6 17.2 0.4
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.8 42.3 17.9 2.5
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 34.1 38.9 27.0 4.8
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 42.2 43.0 14.8 0.8
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 43.8 30.0 26.2 13.8
6–9 May İEA 1,506 39.1 45.4 15.5 6.3
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 42.6 38.1 19.3 4.5
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 37.4 37.5 25.1 0.1
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 38.5 42.5 19.0 4.0
Mar Aksoy N/A 39.5 38.0 22.5 1.5
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.1 34.0 20.8 11.1
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 44.4 36.4 19.2 8.0
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz 4,039 49.1 50.9 – 1.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 43.6 27.0 29.5 16.6
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,804 50.3 49.7 – 0.6
Feb Yöneylem N/A 43.9 34.2 21.9 9.7
Feb Aksoy 2,400 40.2 35.8 24.0 4.4
Jan Sandık Analiz 9,733 49.5 50.5 – 1.0
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.0 27.0 30.9 15.0
Jan Aksoy 2,400 40.6 38.1 21.3 2.5
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 40.1 32.1 27.4 8.0
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 48.3 37.6 14.1 10.7
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.8 30.0 26.2 13.8
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.1 36.4 26.5 0.7
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 38.1 37.1 24.8 1.0
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 42.9 30.2 26.9 12.7
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 63.8 37.2 – 26.6
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.6 19.7 37.7 22.9
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.5 40.3 18.2 1.2
Oct Aksoy 2,400 41.4 35.9 22.7 5.5
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 40.6 38.1 21.3 2.5
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 37.9 36.8 25.3 1.1
Aug MetroPoll N/A 46.8 38.3 14.9 8.5
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 42.0 40.1 17.9 1.9
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 40.4 32.2 27.3 8.2
May ORC 2,316 51.9 37.5 10.6 14.4
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 40.8 30.1 29.1 10.7
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 50.2 38.0 11.8 12.2
2019

Erdoğan vs. Babacan

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		Babacan
DEVA
1–4 April Sosyo Politik 2.010 36.6 21.0 42.3 5.7
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 44.3 48.5 – 4.2
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 32.8 46.5 21.5 13.7
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 33.5 42.9 23.6 9.4
23–28 Oct AKAM 2,460 34.6 42.0 23.4 7.4
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 48.1 51.9 – 3.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 48.9 18.7 32.5 30.2
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.0 36.1 24.9 2.9
6–9 May İEA 1,506 43.5 36.9 19.6 6.6
Mar Aksoy N/A 40.6 20.7 38.7 19.9
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.2 19.6 35.1 25.6
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 43.2 17.4 39.4 25.8
Feb Aksoy 2,400 40.1 20.4 39.5 19.7
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.2 3.4 54.4 38.8
Jan Aksoy 2,400 41.0 21.8 37.2 19.2
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 40.3 21.9 37.5 18.4
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 51.9 25.9 22.2 26.0
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 45.1 20.9 34.5 24.2
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.2 34.3 28.5 2.9
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 40.4 25.4 34.2 15.0
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 43.6 21.4 35.0 22.2
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.8 15.0 42.2 27.8
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 40.1 37.9 22.0 2.2
Oct Aksoy 2,400 42.1 25.2 32.7 16.9
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 39.9 36.7 23.4 3.2
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 41.9 35.2 22.9 6.7
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 39.9 14.6 45.5 25.3
18–25 Mar Yöneylem 2,605 46.6 24.7 28.7 21.9
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 37.0 26.1 36.9 10.9
2020
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 38.7 6.1 55.2 32.6
2019

Erdoğan vs. Gül

[edit]
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP 		Gül
IND
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 54.7 38.0 – 16.7
Oct SAROS 1,854 49.4 11.8 38.7 37.6
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.9 34.5 25.6 5.4
Mar Aksoy N/A 39.5 16.3 44.2 23.2
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.3 18.5 36.2 26.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 44.2 16.7 39.1 27.5
Feb Aksoy 2,400 38.4 18.1 43.5 20.3
Jan SAROS 3,034 41.9 4.0 54.1 37.9
Jan Aksoy 2,400 40.1 17.2 42.6 22.9
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.5 20.3 36.1 23.2
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 38.5 16.9 44.6 21.6
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 76.3 23.7 – 52.6
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.6 10.5 46.9 32.1
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 43.2 37.1 19.7 6.1
Oct Aksoy 2,400 41.0 18.7 40.3 22.3
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 40.7 34.5 24.8 6.2
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 41.0 33.4 25.6 7.6
Aug MetroPoll N/A 49.6 22.5 27.9 27.1
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 42.1 33.2 24.7 8.9
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 44.3 21.3 34.4 23.0
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 40.2 15.4 44.4 24.8
May ORC 2,316 57.4 25.1 17.5 32.3
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 46.7 20.4 32.9 26.3
10–18 Mar Optimar 2,007 41.8 16.0 42.2 25.8
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 37.0 25.2 37.8 11.8
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 52.1 32.8 15.1 19.3
2019

Notes

[edit]

General

  1. ^ a b Publishment date if not possible.
  2. ^ Poll didn't present candidate names for AKP, CHP, HDP, İYİ; but presented parties.
  3. ^ a b With MHP.
  4. ^ a b With Muharrem İnce as the candidate.

Political connections

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Owner is affiliated with and has worked for AKP.[4]
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Owner applied for an MP candidacy for CHP.[5]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Sabah, Daily (2023-03-06). "Türkiye's presidential polls process to start March 10: Erdoğan". Daily Sabah. Retrieved 2023-03-08.
  2. ^ Ibrahim, Arwa (15 May 2023). "Turkey election results updates: Erdogan-Kilicdaroglu in run-off". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  3. ^ "Muharrem İnce: Adaylıktan çekiliyorum". www.sozcu.com.tr (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-05-11.
  4. ^ "AKP'li Yusuf Akın İstanbul'a açıldı". Cumhuriyet (in Turkish). 2019-11-10. Retrieved 2023-04-19.
  5. ^ "Kemal Özkiraz kimdir? CHP'den milletvekili aday adayı olan Kemal Özkiraz nereli, kaç yaşında?". Cumhuriyet (in Turkish). 2023-03-27. Retrieved 2023-04-18.
  6. ^ "Son dakika haberi Cumhurbaşkanı kesin aday listesi Resmi Gazete'de". Habertürk. 31 March 2023. Archived from the original on 30 March 2023.
  7. ^ "Yeniden Refah Partisi, Cumhur İttifakı'na katıldı". Sözcü (in Turkish). 2023-03-24. Retrieved 2023-03-24.
  8. ^ "EvÖİ aday çıkarmayacak" (in Turkish). Sözcü. 22 March 2023. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  9. ^ "Seçim yasakları bugün başlıyor". BBC. 4 May 2023.
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