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Opinion polling for the 2024 Croatian parliamentary election

From Wikipedia - Reading time: 14 min

In the run-up to the 2024 Croatian parliamentary election, various organisations have been carrying out monthly opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Croatia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 July 2020, to the present day.

Graphical summary

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The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and three other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 Croatian Parliamentary Election.

Party standings

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Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television or newspapers. The media that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.

Media Presentation of the results Polling firm Poll size Conducted polls Time of publication of polls
HRT Dnevnik 2 at 19:00 (CET) Promocija plus 1,000-1,400 19 20th of the month (except in April 2022)
RTL RTL Danas at 19:00 (CET) 1,300 43 Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday
Nova TV Dnevnik Nove TV at 19:00 (CET) Ipsos 976–996 45 Between 23rd and 26th of the month[a]
N1 N1 Newsroom at 16:00 (CET) Masmi 1,300 1 One year after last general elections
Večernji list Internet publication 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 11 Between 24th and 30th of the month

Poll results published by major media are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.

Publication date Polling firm Votes HDZ SDP DP Most Možemo RF Centar Fokus KH HNS IDS HSS HSU HS SD Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 elections 2,180,985 34.3 25.4 9.6 8.0 9.1 0.8 [b] 2.3 [c] [d] 2.2 [e] [f] [g] [h] 8.3 - 8.9
25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,000 29.8 19.4 7.9 7.6 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - 16.1 12.2 10.4
22 Mar 2024 SDP, Centre, GLAS, NS R, HSS and SSIP presented Rivers of Justice coalition. [1]
20 Mar 2024 Promocija plus 1,000 27.7 21.6 7.7 7.1 9.0 1.0 1.2 1.1 - 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 - - 6.1[i] 13.0 6.1
17 Mar 2024 Ipsos 604 27.3 22.6 7.9 8.7 8.7 - - - - - - - - - - 14.9 10.1 4.7
15 Mar 2024 Croatian president Zoran Milanović entered the race as SDP candidate for Prime Minister[2]
10 Mar 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 26.5 17.9 7.7 7.9 7.8 1.0 1.9 1.0 - 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 - - 7.3[j] 16.1 8.6
23 Feb 2024 Ipsos 989 28.7 13.9 6.9 7.0 7.6 - - - - - - - - - - 17.2 18.1 14.8
20 Feb 2024 Promocija plus 1,000 25.2 17.3 8.5 8.7 8.1 - 1.2 1.0 - 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.1 - - 7.5 17.7 7.9
4 Feb 2024 Promocija Plus 1,300 25.6 16.0 8.4 9.1 8.9 1.0 1.5 1.0 - - 1.3 1.1 - - - 7.3[k] 18.8 9.6
27 Jan 2024 Promocija Plus 1,000 25.6 15.8 7.9 8.1 8.3 1.1 1.9 1.6 - 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.0 - 1.1 4.4 18.2 9.8
25 Jan 2024 Ipsos 995 29.1 13.5 7.6 6.6 6.7 - - - - - - - - - - 17.9 18.6 15.6
10 Jan 2024 Promocija Plus 1,300 25.9 15.8 7.8 8.4 8.7 1.0 1.4 1.5 - 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 4.2 18.5 10.1
2024
22 Dec 2023 Ipsos 987 28.2 12.9 8.4 7.5 6.8 - - - - 1.3 - 2.2 2.8 - 1.3 8.9[l] 19.7 15.3
16 Dec 2023 DHSS and DP presented coalition.[3]
10 Dec 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.0 15.5 7.9 7.7 9.2 1.7 1.9 1.4 - 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 4.2 18.8 9.5
9 Dec 2023 Fokus, IDS, NS R and PGS presented coalition.[4]
24 Nov 2023 Ipsos 990 29.5 12.6 7.9 8.1 7.9 - - - - 1.5 - 1.1 1.6 - - 11.8[m] 18.0 16.9
20 Nov 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 25.2 15.4 8.3 7.0 9.9 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 - 1.1 - 5.7[n] 17.7 9.8
12 Nov 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.3 15.2 8.4 7.4 11.0 1.7 1.8 1.4 - 1.2 1.0 1.3 - 1.0 1.1 5.5 16.7 10.1
25 Oct 2023 Ipsos 993 29.8 13.4 7.7 9.2 8.2 - - - - 1.3 - 1.7 2.3 - - 9.8[o] 16.6 16.4
20 Oct 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 25.7 15.8 7.3 7.9 10.9 1.9 2.0 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.4 - - - 6.2 16.4 9.9
17 Oct 2023 HL, HSS and SD presented coalition.[5]
8 Oct 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.6 15.6 7.5 8.2 11.4 1.8 1.7 1.0 - 1.1 - 1.4 - - 1.2 7.0 16.5 10.0
25 Sep 2023 Ipsos 988 29.9 12.4 6.5 8.9 9.0 - - - - 1.6 2.0 1.2 1.4 - - 10.2[p] 16.9 17.5
20 Sep 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 25.6 15.5 7.4 8.3 11.2 1.1 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.4 - - - 6.6[q] 16.5 10.1
10 Sep 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.4 15.5 7.8 8.6 11.0 1.2 2.3 1.1 - 1.1 1.0 1.3 - 1.0 - 5.8[r] 16.9 9.9
25 Aug 2023 Ipsos 989 27.9 11.5 6.5 8.7 10.4 - - - - 1.1 2.8 1.7 2.1 - 1.6 8.8[s] 16.9 16.3
6 Aug 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.2 14.7 7.7 8.8 11.2 1.4 2.5 1.0 - - 1.0 1.4 - - 1.2 7.3[t] 16.6 10.5
25 Jul 2023 Ipsos 977 29.4 10.7 7.1 8.0 10.6 - - - - 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.6 1.4 - 9.1 15.4 18.7
9 Jul 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.5 16.7 7.5 8.5 9.7 1.4 2.8 1.2 - - 1.1 1.5 - 1.3 - 6.1[u] 16.7 8.8
8 Jul 2023 HS and Most presented the coalition.[6]
4 Jul 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 25.0 15.5 7.5 8.1 8.8 1.1 2.1 1.4 - - 1.8 1.6 3.1 2.1 1.5 3.4 17.0 9.5
25 Jun 2023 Ipsos 992 28.6 11.7 7.2 8.9 10.0 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.3 2.1 - 1.8 - - 8.1[v] 18.3 17.0
4 Jun 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 26.2 16.7 7.1 8.2 9.4 2.0 3.0 1.2 - - 1.1 1.7 - 1.3 - 5.9[w] 16.2 9.5
27 May 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.6 15.3 7.5 8.5 9.5 - - - - - - - 3.2 2.2 2.1 - 27.1 9.3
25 May 2023 Ipsos 992 30.3 12.6 6.9 7.3 9.0 - 1.4 - - 1.4 - 1.6 2.3 1.2 1.3 7.4[x] 17.3 17.7
20 May 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 26.8 16.7 6.2 8.6 9.7 1.2 3.4 1.2 1.3 - 1.3 1.4 - 1.1 - 4.4 15.8 10.1
7 May 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.9 16.2 6.6 8.8 9.2 1.6 3.2 1.5 1.2 - 1.1 1.3 - 1.4 - 5.1 16.9 9.7
28 Apr 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.5 15.2 7.4 9.4 10.0 1.7 1.9 1.4 - - 1.7 1.5 3.1 2.4 2.3 2.4 16.1 8.3
25 Apr 2023 Ipsos 982 30.9 13.6 6.0 8.7 8.8 - 1.8 - - 1.2 1.9 - 1.2 - - 8.9[y] 17.0 17.3
20 Apr 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 26.1 16.0 6.1 9.0 9.7 1.8 3.4 1.3 - - 1.0 1.8 - 1.1 1.0 5.9 15.8 10.1
9 Apr 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.8 15.6 6.7 8.3 9.4 1.8 3.4 1.5 - - 1.1 1.6 - 1.4 - 6.7 16.7 10.2
1 Apr 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.6 14.8 7.7 9.2 9.8 2.0 1.8 1.2 - - 1.6 - 3.3 2.2 2.3 3.6 16.9 8.8
24 Mar 2023 Ipsos 991 30.4 12.4 6.4 8.4 7.2 - 2.2 - - - 1.8 1.2 2.0 - - 8.8 19.2 18.0
20 Mar 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 26.1 15.8 6.8 9.3 9.8 1.6 3.4 1.2 1.0 1.0 - 1.2 - - 1.1 6.3 15.4 10.3
5 Mar 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.7 15.4 6.8 9.3 9.8 1.3 3.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.2 - 1.0 1.1 4.2 16.5 10.3
25 Feb 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.1 14.7 7.5 9.5 9.6 1.5 2.1 - - - 1.7 1.3 3.2 2.3 3.0 2.2 16.8 9.4
24 Feb 2023 Ipsos 991 29.3 12.2 5.7 9.0 8.6 - 2.8 1.5 - 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 - - 9.4[z] 15.1 17.1
5 Feb 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.5 15.0 6.3 9.1 9.7 1.4 3.0 1.4 - 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.6 5.1 16.4 10.5
1 Feb 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 25.4 15.3 7.2 9.3 9.9 1.5 2.0 - - - 1.3 1.2 3.0 2.1 3.1 2.6 16.1 10.1
25 Jan 2023 Ipsos 996 30.0 11.6 6.3 8.7 8.0 - 1.1 - - 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.3 1.5 7.1[aa] 16.5 18.4
8 Jan 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 26.4 14.8 6.1 9.1 10.1 1.3 3.0 1.4 1.2 - 1.0 1.2 - 1.0 1.7 5.4 16.3 11.6
2023
30 Dec 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.7 14.7 7.0 9.1 10.0 1.4 2.1 - - - 1.3 - 3.1 2.1 2.2 4.8 17.5 10.0
23 Dec 2022 Ipsos 990 30.7 12.3 6.8 8.0 7.5 1.6 - - - 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.1 - 7.5 17.7 18.4
4 Dec 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 26.9 15.4 5.9 9.0 10.2 1.9 2.9 1.3 1.1 - 1.1 1.2 - - 1.5 6.2 15.4 11.5
26 Nov 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.5 14.9 7.0 9.4 10.3 1.4 2.0 - - - 1.3 - 3.1 2.0 2.5 4.9 17.7 8.6
25 Nov 2022 Ipsos 990 29.9 11.7 5.8 8.3 8.6 - 1.0 1.5 - 1.9 3.0 - 1.6 1.6 - 7.6 17.5 18.2
20 Nov 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.7 15.7 5.5 8.5 10.8 1.2 3.0 1.2 - - 1.0 1.3 - - 1.5 6.5 18.1 10.0
6 Nov 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 24.7 16.5 6.1 9.5 10.0 1.2 2.2 1.4 - - - 1.3 - 1.1 1.3 7.4 17.3 8.2
29 Oct 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.1 15.2 7.1 9.5 10.4 1.2 2.1 - - - 1.2 - 3.1 1.9 2.6 4.7 17.9 7.9
25 Oct 2022 Ipsos 987 28.4 12.7 6.2 8.9 7.9 - - 1.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 1.7 3.6 - - 9.9 12.3 15.7
20 Oct 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 24.6 16.2 5.4 9.3 11.2 1.2 2.7 1.3 1.0 - 1.1 1.5 - - 1.6 5.0 17.9 8.4
9 Oct 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 24.4 16.7 6.0 9.2 10.6 - 2.3 1.4 - - - 1.4 - - 1.4 8.8 17.8 7.7
26 Sep 2022 Ipsos 986 28.1 13.2 5.7 8.6 8.4 1.8 - 2.0 - - 3.2 - 3.3 - - 12.5 13.2 14.9
24 Sep 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.9 15.0 7.2 9.7 9.7 1.0 2.0 - - - 1.2 - 3.1 2.1 3.3 4.2 17.6 8.9
20 Sep 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.2 16.7 5.7 8.7 10.9 1.2 2.3 1.4 1.2 - 1.0 1.5 - 1.0 1.3 4.0 17.9 8.5
4 Sep 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 24.2 16.6 5.5 9.4 10.6 - 2.2 1.6 1.6 - - 1.8 - - 1.3 7.1 18.1 7.6
30 Aug 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 25.9 14.8 6.9 9.2 9.9 - 1.7 - - - 1.4 - 2.2 1.9 3.0 5.7 17.4 11.1
25 Aug 2022 Ipsos 981 30.1 13.2 4.0 9.2 9.0 - - 2.5 1.5 - 2.9 1.5 2.5 - - 7.2 16.4 16.9
7 Aug 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 27.1 16.1 5.8 8.4 10.6 1.1 1.9 1.3 - - - 1.3 - - 1.0 7.6 17.8 11.0
2 Aug 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 26.2 15.5 6.7 9.1 10.7 - 1.8 - - - 1.4 - 1.7 2.2 3.7 1.9 19.1 10.7
25 Jul 2022 Ipsos 984 29.1 13.9 5.1 8.2 9.9 - 1.6 1.5 - - 1.8 1.9 2.1 1.1 - 7.0[ab] 16.8 15.2
10 Jul 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 27.3 17.5 5.5 8.4 11.6 - 2.6 - - - 1.0 1.1 - - - 6.6 18.4 9.8
24 Jun 2022 Ipsos 990 29.3 12.8 6.3 9.1 8.9 1.0 2.2 - - 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.1 1.1 - 4.3[ac] 16.8 16.5
5 Jun 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 26.7 16.6 5.1 9.2 12.3 - 2.0 1.1 1.0 - 1.0 1.7 - - - 5.6 17.7 10.1
27 May 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.9 16.7 5.1 9.9 14.3 - 1.1 - - - 1.4 - - 1.3 - 7.4 17.9 8.2
25 May 2022 Ipsos 976 30.0 14.1 5.6 10.2 10.2 - 1.2 - 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.6 3.1 - - 6.3[ad] 12.6 15.9
20 May 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 26.4 17.7 4.6 9.1 12.0 - 2.0 1.1 - 1.0 1.1 1.6 - - - 6.3 17.1 8.7
8 May 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 26.1 17.5 4.8 9.2 12.6 - 1.9 1.2 - 1.1 1.0 1.6 - - - 5.9 17.1 8.6
25 Apr 2022 Ipsos 987 28.6 15.9 4.8 9.0 9.1 - 2.3 - 1.1 1.9 1.9 - 2.0 - - 7.0[ae] 16.4 12.7
24 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.2 17.0 5.7 9.7 12.3 - 2.0 1.3 - 1.0 1.1 1.8 - - - 5.8 17.1 8.2
10 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 25.4 17.1 4.7 10.3 12.8 - 1.6 1.2 - - 1.0 1.7 - - - 6.9 17.3 8.3
25 Mar 2022 Ipsos 990 28.1 14.0 5.6 10.1 10.7 1.0 2.6 1.2 1.7 1.3 - 1.3 1.1 1.4 - 4.0 16.0 14.1
20 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.0 16.1 6.5 10.2 12.2 - 1.6 1.3 - 1.1 1.2 1.7 - - - 6.2 16.9 8.9
6 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 25.2 17.0 6.3 10.6 12.5 - 1.4 1.3 - - 1.0 1.6 - - - 6.7 16.4 8.2
25 Feb 2022 Ipsos 600[af] 26.9 13.7 6.4 12.4 12.9 - 1.6 - 2.8 - 1.4 1.1 2.6 - - 5.2[ag] 13.0 13.2
6 Feb 2022 Promocija Plus 1,300 26.2 17.9 4.3 11.1 12.9 - 1.3 1.5 - - 1.0 1.2 - - - 7.4 15.8 8.3
25 Jan 2022 Ipsos 991 30.4 13.5 6.0 8.8 9.4 1.2 2.3 1.6 - 1.0 1.8 - 1.2 - - 6.0 16.8 16.9
9 Jan 2022 Promocija Plus 1,300 26.1 16.9 3.7 12.4 13.3 1.0 1.4 1.4 - - 1.1 1.2 - 1.3 - 6.3 15.2 9.2
2022
24 Dec 2021 Ipsos 987 29.7 13.1 5.3 10.6 8.8 - 1.3 1.3 2.4 1.2 1.7 1.6 - - - 5.5 17.2 16.6
5 Dec 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.1 16.1 4.9 8.5 14.2 - 1.2 1.6 - - 1.0 1.1 - 1.5 - 6.1 16.7 11.0
25 Nov 2021 Ipsos 990 29.5 13.2 4.8 9.4 10.3 - 2.6 - 2.3 1.5 - - 1.2 1.2 - 6.3 17.6 16.3
20 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.5 15.7 4.5 8.0 15.4 - 1.5 1.5 1.2 - 1.2 1.6 - 1.4 - 4.5 16.0 11.8
7 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.4 16.0 5.0 8.0 15.9 - 1.2 1.3 1.1 - 1.0 1.3 - 1.2 - 5.1 15.5 11.4
25 Oct 2021 Ipsos 981 30.9 12.2 4.5 8.2 11.2 - 2.0 - 1.9 2.0 1.6 2.0 - 1.7 - 7.2[ah] 14.6 18.7
20 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.3 15.9 4.1 6.8 16.1 - 1.3 1.5 1.2 - 1.0 1.5 - 1.3 - 5.4 16.6 11.2
10 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.6 16.1 3.7 6.7 17.1 - 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.3 - 1.0 - 4.2 16.2 10.5
23 Sep 2021 Ipsos 990 30.8 13.4 5.2 8.3 13.6 - - 1.1 1.8 - 1.7 - 1.5 1.4 - 6.2[ai] 15.0 17.2
20 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.1 17.1 3.9 8.5 16.1 - 1.5 1.7 - - 1.4 1.5 - 1.4 - 5.3 14.5 10.0
5 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.3 17.9 3.8 7.7 17.2 - 1.8 1.9 - - 1.0 1.5 - - - 6.2 13.7 9.4
25 Aug 2021 Ipsos 987 30.0 12.7 5.0 8.9 15.6 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.2 - - - 2.7 - - 5.8 14.2 14.4
26 Jul 2021 Ipsos 984 29.8 14.3 7.7 7.6 14.9 - 1.6 1.6 2.0 - - 1.6 2.8 - - 8.1[aj] 8.0 14.9
11 Jul 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.4 18.7 6.4 4.8 16.9 - 1.2 1.3 - 1.1 1.2 1.5 - - - 5.7 13.7 8.7
7 Jul 2021 Masmi 1,300 30.9 15.2 8.4 7.4 13.5 1.4 1.1 1.7 - - - - - - - 6.0[ak] 12.1 15.7
25 Jun 2021 Ipsos 991 30.7 13.4 6.4 6.8 12.6 - - 1.1 2.4 - - 2.6 1.5 - - 7.5 15.0 17.3
6 Jun 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.8 18.9 8.2 5.4 13.4 - 1.5 1.4 - 1.4 - 1.7 - - - 7.4[al] 13.9 7.9
30 May 2021 2021 Croatian local elections - second round
25 May 2021 Ipsos 986 30.5 15.2 7.3 6.7 9.4 - 2.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 2.8 1.5 1.3 - - 5.5 13.7 15.3
16 May 2021 2021 Croatian local elections - first round
9 May 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.7 19.6 8.2 7.1 9.1 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.2 1.3 1.6 - - - 8.6[am] 14.6 7.1
23 Apr 2021 Ipsos 986 29.3 15.1 6.6 7.7 8.7 1.7 1.2 - 3.4 - 1.1 1.0 1.0 - - 6.4 16.8 14.2
20 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.1 18.7 7.7 7.0 9.0 - 2.2 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.4 - - - 6.5[an] 15.7 8.4
4 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.8 19.3 7.9 7.6 8.2 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.0 - - 6.1[ao] 14.3 7.5
25 Mar 2021 Ipsos 993 29.1 16.0 6.2 7.3 9.4 1.0 1.6 - 2.1 1.1 - 1.3 2.3 - - 5.9[ap] 16.6 13.1
20 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.3 18.8 8.1 7.5 8.7 - 1.8 1.2 1.1 - 1.2 1.2 - - - 7.0[aq] 16.1 8.5
7 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.0 19.5 7.5 7.2 8.3 - 1.4 1.5 1.2 - 1.1 1.1 - - - 8.4[ar] 15.8 7.5
25 Feb 2021 Ipsos 990 30.9 17.2 6.8 8.0 9.3 1.3 2.1 - 1.2 - 1.4 1.4 - - - 7.1 13.3 13.7
7 Feb 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.7 19.9 7.2 7.3 8.3 - 2.1 - 1.0 - 1.6 1.5 - - - 7.8[as] 15.6 7.8
25 Jan 2021 Ipsos 987 31.1 16.6 7.3 7.8 9.6 1.3 3.0 1.5 2.0 - 1.6 - 2.1 - - 7.8 8.3 14.5
10 Jan 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 28.0 19.6 6.3 7.4 8.4 - 2.9 - - - 1.6 1.3 - - - 9.0[at] 15.5 8.4
2021
24 Dec 2020 Ipsos 991 30.8 16.2 9.4 8.3 8.6 1.1 4.3 1.8 1.4 - 1.2 - 2.3 1.2 - 8.3[au] 5.1 14.6
6 Dec 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 29.2 20.5 7.9 8.7 6.4 - 2.2 - 1.7 - 1.7 1.6 - - - 6.7[av] 13.4 8.7
25 Nov 2020 Ipsos 983 31.5 17.6 7.5 7.4 6.5 1.1 3.6 - - 1.4 1.2 2.1 1.6 1.7 - - 6.3 10.5 13.9
8 Nov 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 29.1 19.8 7.3 8.6 7.6 - 1.5 2.3 - 1.4 - 1.4 2.1 - - - 6.1[aw] 12.8 9.3
26 Oct 2020 Ipsos 983 32.5 18.7 8.4 7.3 6.7 - 3.8 1.4 - 2.1 - 1.4 1.6 1.5 - - 4.7 9.9 12.8
8 Oct 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 30.4 18.2 8.2 8.4 9.0 - 1.0 2.8 - 1.0 - 1.2 1.4 - - - 6.0[ax] 12.4 12.2
25 Sep 2020 Ipsos 989 33.7 17.1 7.9 6.2 8.2 - 2.7 1.8 - 1.1 - 1.5 1.3 1.0 - - 5.7 11.8 16.6
6 Sep 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 32.8 18.4 7.8 7.6 8.9 - 2.1 2.0 - - - 1.3 1.4 - - - 6.5 11.2 14.4
25 Aug 2020 Ipsos 981 33.1 16.4 6.1 7.0 8.6 - 3.4 2.0 - 1.7 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 - - 5.8 9.9 16.7
6 Aug 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 32.9 18.1 8.6 8.3 11.0 - 1.3 2.6 - - - 1.2 1.3 - - - - - 14.8
25 Jul 2020 Ipsos 989 30.2 18.4 6.9 8.2 8.7 1.9 1.9 - 2.0 - 1.9 1.3 1.2 - - 8.6[ay] 8.8 11.8
5 Jul 2020 2020 elections 1,705,686 37.3 24.9 10.9 7.4 7.0 4.0 2.3 1.3 -[az] -[az] -[az] -[ba] -[bb] 4.9[bc] - 12.4

Coalition standings

[edit]

Poll results published by major national televisions are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading coalition's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two coalitions with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a coalition, the coalition's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
  Exit poll

Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 Final Result 34.4 25.4 9.6 8.0 9.1 13.5 - 9.0
25 Mar 2024 IPSOS 28.6 22.6 8.9 7.4 7.4 - - 6.0
20 Mar 2024 Promocija Plus 29.1 25.2 7.1 7.1 7.7 - - 3.9
13 Mar 2024 Promocija Plus 26.8 21.6 8.2 8.4 8.8 - - 5.2

Seat projections (without Diaspora)

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS F NPS Lead
17 Apr 2024 Final Result 58 42 14 11 10 2 1 2 16
17 Apr 2024 IPSOS 19:00 UTC+2 59 43 13 11 10 2 1 1 16
11−14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 60 44 13 9 8 3 1 2 16
11−14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 60 41 15 9 11 2 1 1 19
22 Mar−11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 58 49 9 11 8 2 2 1 9
6−10 Apr 2024 Promocija Plus 60 44 14 9 9 2 1 1 16

Per electoral district

[edit]

1st Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 27.7 24.4 9.3 7.4 19.9 3.4 7.9 - 3.3
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 28.5 21.5 6.5 5.2 14.8 - - - 7.0
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 26.2 21.2 6.4 5.4 18.6 3.6 - 10.7 5.0
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 26.8 22.3 6.7 5.2 13.5 2.9 - - 4.5
22 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 27.0 29.5 6.8 7.8 10.0 3.0 - 12.0 2.5
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 5 4 1 1 3 0 1
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5 4 1 1 3 0 1
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 5 4 1 1 3 0 1
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5 4 1 1 3 0 1
22 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 5 5 1 1 2 0 Tie

2nd Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 35.3 24.8 11.1 9.1 8.6 2.8 8.3 - 10.5
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 32.6 21.5 8.3 7.0 7.3 3.8 - - 11.1
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 30.2 19.8 12.5 10.7 8.4 3.0 - 10.6 10.4
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 31.4 20.6 9.0 7.4 7.5 2.6 - - 10.8
7 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 35.5 25.0 5.8 9.0 6.5 5.8 3.6 8.8 10.5
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 6 4 2 1 1 0 2
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 4 1 1 1 0 3
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 6 3 2 2 1 0 2
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6 4 2 1 1 0 2
7 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 6 4 1 1 1 1 2

3rd Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F NPS Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 27.6 36.8 5.1 3.8 6.2 0.9 12.2 7.4 - 9.2
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 28.8 34.9 4.7 4.6 6.7 - 7.3 2.5 7.3 6.1
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 25.0 35.9 5.0 - 4.4 - 10.0 - - 10.9
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 25.2 35.2 5.6 4.2 4.5 - 9.3 3.5 12.7 10.0
28 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 26.0 40.0 2.8 5.3 5.5 1.5 6.0 3.5 10.0 14.0
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F NPS Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 5 6 0 0 1 0 2 1
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 5 7 0 0 1 0 1 2
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 4 7 1 0 0 0 2 3
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5 7 1 0 0 0 1 2
28 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 4 7 0 1 1 0 1 3

4th Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 41.8 25.2 13.1 6.0 5.5 8.4 - 16.6
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.9 21.9 12.2 5.0 5.2 - - 16.0
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 37.3 22.0 13.0 6.7 5.2 2.5 10.5 15.3
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.1 22.6 12.2 5.0 5.1 - 2.0 13.5
2 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 36.5 26.8 12.3 8.3 3.0 3.3 9.3 9.7
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 7 4 2 1 0 3
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 4 2 0 1 3
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 7 4 2 1 0 3
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 4 2 0 1 3
2 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 6 5 2 1 0 1

5th Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! UZ Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 42.8 19.6 17.4 8.5 3.6 2.1 6.0 - 23.2
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.3 19.5 15.0 5.4 3.5 3.9 - - 17.8
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 39.3 16.9 19.2 5.7 4.2 - 2.5 8.7 22.4
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.4 20.1 15.9 5.8 2.3 3.8 7.3 12.2 16.3
4 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 44.3 16.5 16.0 9.3 2.8 - 4.1 7.0 27.8
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 7 3 3 1 0 4
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 3 3 1 0 4
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 7 3 3 1 0 4
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 3 3 1 0 4
4 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 7 3 3 1 0 4

6th Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 24.8 23.8 8.7 9.5 18.1 7.8 7.3 - 1.0
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 27.1 21.0 8.0 4.9 14.2 4.8 - - 6.1
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 22.8 21.5 6.4 7.5 18.9 6.8 - 11.8 1.3
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 26.8 22.2 4.4 8.7 12.0 4.5 - - 4.6
25 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 27.3 25.3 4.8 7.0 14.8 5.3 - 11.8 2.0
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 4 4 1 1 3 1 Tie
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5 4 1 1 2 1 1
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 4 4 1 1 3 1 Tie
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5 4 1 1 2 1 1
25 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 5 5 0 1 2 1 Tie

7th Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 41.3 25.4 8.6 6.6 6.9 1.6 9.6 - 15.9
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 33.4 21.6 8.7 4.9 5.2 - - - 11.8
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 32.7 21.2 11.2 5.0 4.7 - 13.1 12.1 11.5
10 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 38.8 23.8 6.0 5.3 5.0 - - 7.3 15.0
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 32.6 22.0 9.4 4.9 5.4 2.6 - 14.0 10.5
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 7 4 1 1 1 0 3
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6 4 2 1 1 0 2
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 7 4 2 1 0 0 3
10 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 7 4 1 1 1 0 3
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6 4 2 1 1 0 2

8th Electoral district

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Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS RF UZ Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 21.3 33.4 4.0 5.7 10.2 15.9 2.8 2.0 4.7 - 12.1
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 18.9 29.8 4.1 5.7 4.4 13.1 4.4 - - - 10.9
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 17.6 26.1 5.3 4.5 9.4 13.0 3.1 - 6.9 14.1 8.5
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 19.5 31.0 4.8 6.5 7.0 13.0 4.5 1.5 - 10.5 11.5
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 18.2 30.8 3.5 5.0 5.2 12.1 4.1 3.8 3.5 13.8 11.9
Seat projections
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Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 4 6 0 1 1 2 2
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 4 6 0 1 0 3 2
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 4 5 1 0 2 2 1
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 4 6 0 1 1 2 2
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 4 6 0 1 1 2 2

9th Electoral district

[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 39.7 19.4 10.6 12.1 4.4 13.8 - 20.3
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.2 19.5 7.6 7.4 4.0 - - 17.3
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 37.5 15.9 10.3 8.3 3.1 - - 21.6
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 36.8 23.0 4.8 10.3 3.5 - 9.0 13.8
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.8 18.1 6.1 8.0 4.0 12.0 14.0 19.7
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 7 3 2 2 0 4
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 8 4 1 1 0 4
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 8 3 2 1 0 5
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 7 5 0 2 0 2
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 8 4 1 1 0 4

10th Electoral district

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Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 37.0 25.5 10.8 11.5 5.3 0.5 9.4 - 11.5
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 33.7 21.7 9.1 10.4 4.4 - - - 12.0
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 32.7 23.2 8.2 8.9 5.5 - - 10.0 9.5
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 34.0 19.5 9.0 10.9 4.0 - - 13.2 14.5
5 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 38.8 27.8 5.5 9.8 3.3 2.5 - 9.0 11.0
Seat projections
[edit]
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 6 4 2 2 0 0 2
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 4 1 2 0 0 3
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 7 4 1 1 1 0 3
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7 4 1 2 0 0 3
5 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 7 5 1 1 0 0 2

Polling for prime minister

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On 24 December 2023, Dnevnik.hr of Nova TV, started publishing polling about voters preference on the next prime minister.

Publication date Polling firm Votes Plenković Milanović Grbin Penava Grmoja Raspudić Benčić Vanđelić Nobody No response Others Undecided Lead
25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,000 31.7 23.5 - - 8.3 - 9.9 - - - 14.9 9.0 8.2
17 Mar 2024 Ipsos 604 30.0 32.0 - - 8.0 - 12.0 3.0 15.0 2.0
15 Mar 2024 Croatian president Zoran Milanović entered the race as SDP candidate for Prime Minister[2]
24 Feb 2024 Ipsos 679 27.0 - 6.3 7.4 - - 10.1 0.8 3.4 24.5 20.5 16.9
26 Jan 2024 Ipsos 995 20.4 - 6.0 6.7 - - 8.2 - - 19.6 32.6 12.2
2024
24 Dec 2023 Ipsos 674 26.5 - 7.0 11.2 - 4.9 9.9 0.3 4.4 15.1 20.7 15.3

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Ipsos polls are published on 25th of month when it is a weekday which is not a (non-working) public holiday and on a nearby working day otherwise. One exception was the first poll after the election, which was published on 25th of July 2020, which was a Saturday.
  2. ^ part of Rivers of justice coalition
  3. ^ part of DP-led coalition
  4. ^ part of HDZ-led coalition
  5. ^ part of Rivers of justice coalition
  6. ^ part of HDZ-led coalition
  7. ^ part of Most-led coalition
  8. ^ part of Our Croatia coalition
  9. ^ incl. 1.3% for OiP
  10. ^ incl. 1.2% for OiP
  11. ^ incl. 1.1% for OiP
  12. ^ incl. 2.4% for OiP and 1.0% HSP
  13. ^ incl. 2.4% for OiP and 1.8% BUZ
  14. ^ incl. 1.0% for OiP
  15. ^ incl. 1.2% for HSLS and 1.2% for OiP
  16. ^ incl. 2.1% for OiP
  17. ^ incl. 1.0% for OiP
  18. ^ incl. 1.0% for OiP
  19. ^ incl. 1.6% for OiP
  20. ^ incl. 1.1% for OiP and 1.1% for AP
  21. ^ incl. 1.1% for AP
  22. ^ incl. 1.1% for OiP and 1.1% for UZ
  23. ^ incl. 1.1% for AP
  24. ^ incl. 1.2% for OiP and 1.1% for HSP
  25. ^ incl. 1.3% for BUZ
  26. ^ incl. 1.6% for SU
  27. ^ incl. 1.2% for HSLS and 1.1% for SU
  28. ^ incl. 1.2% for HDS
  29. ^ incl. 1.0% for Blok
  30. ^ incl. 1.6% for SDSS
  31. ^ incl. 1.0% for HSLS
  32. ^ Given certain events at the beginning of the month, Ipsos conducted a second survey on a smaller sample than usual
  33. ^ incl. 1.0% for NS R
  34. ^ incl. 1.2% for HDS
  35. ^ incl. 1.0% for GLAS
  36. ^ incl. 1.2% for NS R
  37. ^ incl. 1.3% for NL Matija Posavec, 1.2% for BM 365 and 1.1% for NS R
  38. ^ incl. 1.2% for BM365
  39. ^ incl. 1.6% for BM365
  40. ^ incl. 1.4% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R
  41. ^ incl. 1.2% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R
  42. ^ incl. 1.0% for SIP
  43. ^ incl. 1.5% for BM365
  44. ^ incl. 2.1% for BM365 and 1.2% for NS R
  45. ^ incl. 1.3% for BM365
  46. ^ incl. 1.2% for BM365
  47. ^ incl. 1.3% for SIP
  48. ^ incl. 1.0% for BM365
  49. ^ incl. 1.0% for BM365
  50. ^ incl. 1.0% for BM365
  51. ^ incl. 1.4% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R
  52. ^ a b c with SDP
  53. ^ with DP
  54. ^ part of SDP until split in the party
  55. ^ incl. 1.0% for NS R and 0.6% for BM365

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Filipović, Luka (22 March 2024). "Predstavljena koalicija 'Rijeke pravde': Borimo se za Hrvatsku bez korupcije" [The 'River of Justice' coalition presented: We are fighting for a corruption-free Croatia]. tportal.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 22 March 2024.
  2. ^ a b "Milanović ide na izbore sa SDP-om: Bit će kandidat za premijera" [Milanović is going to the elections with SDP: He will be a candidate for prime minister]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  3. ^ "Penava: Bez obnove hrvatskog sela nema demografske obnove i nema hrvatske budućnosti" [Penava: Without the restoration of the Croatian villagr, there is no demographic restoration and no Croatian future]. Narod.hr (in Croatian). 16 December 2023. Retrieved 18 December 2023.
  4. ^ "Sklopljena predizborna koalicija: "Manjinska bi vlada bila jako zdrava za Hrvatsku jer je previše bahatluka"" [The pre-election coalition was concluded: "A minority government would be very healthy for Croatia because there is too much arrogance"]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 9 December 2023. Retrieved 9 December 2023.
  5. ^ "Laburisti se pridružili savezu "Naša Hrvatska": "Ovo je samo nastavak suradnje i povjerenja"" [Labor joined the "Our Croatia" alliance: "This is just a continuation of cooperation and trust"]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 17 October 2023. Retrieved 7 January 2024.
  6. ^ "Tko će s kim na izbore? Most i Suverenisti si pružili ruke i poručili: "Mi smo druga najjača opcija u državi"" [Who will go to the elections with whom? The Bridge and Sovereigns held out their hands and said: "We are the second strongest option in the country."]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 8 July 2023. Retrieved 10 July 2023.
Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 | Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Croatian_parliamentary_election
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