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Opinion polling for the 2024 Polish local elections

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In the run up to the 2024 Polish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Polish parliamentary election, held on 15 October, to the day of the next local election.

Voivodeship Sejmiks

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Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2024

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For events during the year, see 2024 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Nonpartisan Local Government Activists Confederation Others Don't know Lead
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
IPSOS 7 Apr 33.7 31.9 13.5 6.8 2.7 7.5 3.9 1.8
ewybory.eu 15 Mar – 4 Apr 9,606 29.1 31.1 16.6 8.3 4.1 7.5 3.3 2.0
IBSP / Stan Polityki 3–5 Apr 1000 29.75 30.98 14.91 5.14 6.65 8.82 3.75 1.23
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 3–4 Apr 1,000 26.3 26.2 9.9 9.3 4.4 8.4 4.7 10.8 0.1
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 2–4 Apr 1,000 29 25 11 7 7 10 2 9 4
Opinia24 / TVN 2-3 Apr 1,001 28 29 11 7 4 8 9 4 1
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–23 Mar 1,000 29.4 27.4 10.5 8.4 4.5 7.5 2.8 9.5 2.0
CBOS 18–22 Mar 1,000 19 22 9 6 8 11 3 22 3
United Surveys / WP.pl 18 Mar 1,000 29.8 28.1 7.9 7.8 3.7 8.5 3.2 11.0 1.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Mar 1,000 29.0 28.0 13.5 7.6 8.6 4.9 8.4 1.0
IBRiS / "RZ" 23–25 Feb 1,000 30.2 30.6 17.2 8.5 7.6 1.7 4.2 0.4
Local elections[1] 21 Oct 2018 16,534,085[2][a] 34.13 28.12[b] 12.07 – 8.19[c] 5.28 2.85[d] 9.36 11.64

Gmina Councils

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Kraków

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See also: Kraków City Council
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Civic Kraków Together for Kraków United Right Kraków for Citizens Confederation Others Don't know Lead
Majchrowski's Committee Civic Coalition Poland 2050 Polish Coalition New Left
IBR & IBRiS 16 June 2023[e] 660 5 22 6 7 – 23 23 3 1.5 8 Tie
IBRiS / Alpaka Innovations 21 Oct 2022[e] 664 10 21 11 1 8 – 19 17 6 2.1 6 2
Dobra Opinia / LoveKraków.pl 7-10 Sep 2022 500 15.6 11.0 8.8 – – 3.2 22.8 34.4 2.6 1.6 – 11.6
Local elections[3] 21 Oct 2018 329,661[3][f] 43.65 3.11 29.82 12.73 3.04 7.66 – 9.82

Wrocław

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Civic Coalition Law and Justice The Left Third Way Confederation Nonpartisan Local Government Activists Others Don't know Lead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023 500 31 21 15 9 8 4 – 2 10
Local elections[4] 21 Oct 2018 255,133[4][g] 37.62[b] 26.55 – – – – 42.13 – 7.43

Mayors

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Kraków

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First round

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Andrzej Kulig [pl]
Friendly Kraków 		Łukasz Kmita [pl]
PiS 		Małgorzata Wassermann
PiS 		Łukasz Gibała [pl]
Kraków for Citizens 		Konrad Berkowicz
Confederation 		Aleksander Miszalski [pl]
KO 		Rafał Komarewicz [pl]
PL2050 		Stanisław Mazur [pl]
Better Kraków 		Others Don't know Lead
ewybory.eu 23 Mar - 3 Apr 2024 800 9.1 21.3 30.0 5.4 27.9 5.4 1.0 2.1
Opinia24 11–15 Jan 2024 520 7 – 17 33 5 26 – 4 1 7 7
Opinia24 8–12 Jan 2024 1,000 5 – 18 35 6 19 8 5 2 2 16
Local elections[5] 21 Oct 2018 337,781[5][h] 45.84 31.88 17.14 2.50 – – – 2.63 – 13.96

Second round

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Łukasz Gibała [pl]
Kraków for Citizens 		Aleksander Miszalski [pl]
KO 		Don't know Lead
Opinia24 8–12 Jan 2024 1,000 58 37 5 21

Poznań

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First round

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Jaśkowiak
KO 		Bartłomiej Wróblewski
PiS 		Beata Urbańska
Lewica 		Dorota Bonk-Hammermeister
Common Poznań 		Ewa Schädler [pl]
PL2050 		Piotr Tuczyński
Confederation 		Others Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Rz" 29 Nov–1 Dec 2023 1,000 43.1 15.0 8.6 7.2 9.5 2.2 – 14.3 28.1
Local elections[6] 21 Oct 2018 227,036[6][i] 55.99 21.31 7.66 3.51 – – 11.53 – 36.68

Second round

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Jaśkowiak
KO 		Bartłomiej Wróblewski
PiS 		Wouldn't vote Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Rz" 29 Nov–1 Dec 2023 1,000 70.4 20.6 3.6 5.4 49.8

Wrocław

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See also: List of city mayors of Wrocław

First round

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Sutryk
Independent 		Mirosława Stachowiak-Różecka
PiS 		Robert Suligowski
The Greens 		Michał Jaros
KO 		Krzysztof Maj [pl]
BS 		Robert Grzechnik [pl]
Confederation 		Others/don't know Refused to answer Lead
SW Research 28 Dec 2023–4 Jan 2024 1,000 34 16 2 15 4 1 18 10 18
Opinia24 / "Rz" 27 Nov–1 Dec 2023 1,010 39 20 – 16 4 1 21 – 19
Local elections[7] 21 Oct 2018 258,297[7][j] 50.20 27.50 1.35 – – – 20.95 – 22.70
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Sutryk
Independent 		Paweł Hreniak
PiS 		Michał Jaros
KO 		Krzysztof Śmiszek
Lewica 		Izabela Bodnar
PL2050 		Krzysztof Tuduj
Confederation 		Krzysztof Maj [pl]
BS 		Others Don't know Lead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023 500 26 17 18 14 7 7 4 – 8 8
Local elections[7] 21 Oct 2018 258,297[7][k] 50.20 27.50 – – – – – 22.30 – 22.70

Second round

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Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Sutryk
Independent 		Michał Jaros
KO 		Don't know Lead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023 500 49 44 7 5
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Sutryk
Independent 		Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk
Lewica 		Don't know Lead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023 500 54 37 9 17
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Jacek Sutryk
Independent 		Michał Kobosko
PL2050 		Don't know Lead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023 500 57 35 8 22

Notes

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  1. ^ Turnout: 54.90%
  2. ^ a b Combined results of Platform.Modern Civic Coalition and The Greens
  3. ^ Combined results of SLD Left Together and Together
  4. ^ Combined results of Liberty in Local Governments and National Movement
  5. ^ a b Publication date
  6. ^ Turnout: 56.79%
  7. ^ Turnout: 52.83%
  8. ^ Turnout: 58.19%
  9. ^ Turnout: 56.63%
  10. ^ Turnout: 53.48%
  11. ^ Turnout: 53.48%

References

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  1. ^ "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Voting results & statistics". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 29 November 2023.
  2. ^ "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Attendance". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 29 November 2023.
  3. ^ a b "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Kraków – Wyniki wyborów do rady miasta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 29 November 2023.
  4. ^ a b "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Wrocław – Wyniki wyborów do rady miasta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 28 December 2023.
  5. ^ a b "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Kraków – Wyniki wyborów na prezydenta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 11 February 2024.
  6. ^ a b "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Poznań – Wyniki wyborów na prezydenta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 16 December 2023.
  7. ^ a b c d "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Wrocław – Wyniki wyborów na prezydenta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 16 December 2023.
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Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 | Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Polish_local_elections
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