In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote.
Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
13–15 September 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[1] | Online | 1,057 | 42% | 30% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 48% | 52% |
9–15 September 2024 | Roy Morgan[2] | Online | 1,634 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 14% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
2–8 September 2024 | Roy Morgan[3] | Online | 1,703 | 36.5% | 30% | 14.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
3–7 September 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,132 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 48% |
3–7 September 2024 | Resolve Strategic[5] | Online | 1,614 | 37% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
26 August – 1 September 2024 | Roy Morgan[6] | Online | 1,697 | 36% | 30.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
26–30 August 2024 | Newspoll[7] | Online | 1,263 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
6–29 August 2024 | Wolf & Smith[8][9][10] | Online | 10,239 | 36% | 29% | 13% | 6% | — | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
23–28 August 2024 | YouGov[11] | Online | 1,543 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13][14] | Online | 5,976 | 38% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 18% | — | 50% | 50% |
19–25 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[15] | Online | 1,701 | 39.5% | 29.5% | 13% | 4% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
20–24 August 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,129 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
16–18 August 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[16] | Online | 1,061 | 41% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 15% | — | 49% | 51% |
12–18 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[17] | Online | 1,698 | 38.5% | 30.5% | 13.5% | 4% | — | 13.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
8–11 August 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,132 | 34% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 47% |
7–11 August 2024 | Resolve Strategic[18] | Online | 1,607 | 37% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
5–11 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[19] | Online | 1,671 | 38% | 29.5% | 14% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
5–9 August 2024 | Newspoll[20] | Online | 1,266 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
29 July – 4 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[21] | Online | 1,655 | 37% | 30.5% | 12% | 5.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
24–28 July 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,137 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 46% |
22–28 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[22] | Online | 1,652 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 13% | 6.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
19–21 July 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[23] | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
15–21 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[24] | Online | 1,752 | 39.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
15–19 July 2024 | Newspoll[25] | Online | 1,258 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
10–19 July 2024 | RedBridge Group[26] | Online | 1,505 | 41% | 32% | 11% | — | — | 16% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
12–17 July 2024 | YouGov[27] | Online | 1,528 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
10–14 July 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,122 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 46% | 48% |
8–14 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[28] | Online | 1,758 | 37.5% | 31% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–13 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[29] | Online | 1,603 | 38% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–7 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[30] | Online | 1,723 | 39.5% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
26–30 June 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,141 | 33% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
24–30 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[31] | Online | 1,708 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
24–28 June 2024 | Newspoll[32] | Online | 1,260 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 51% | 49% |
17–23 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[33] | Online | 1,696 | 37% | 31.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
14–16 June 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[34] | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 32% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
12–16 June 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,181 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
10–16 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[35] | Online | 1,724 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–15 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[36] | Online | 1,607 | 36% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
3–9 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[37] | Online | 1,687 | 35% | 30.5% | 15.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
3–7 June 2024 | Newspoll[38] | Online | 1,232 | 39% | 33% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
31 May – 4 June 2024 | YouGov[39] | Online | 1,500 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
29 May – 2 June 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,160 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 48% | 48% |
27 May – 2 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[40] | Online | 1,579 | 36% | 31% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
20–26 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[41] | Online | 1,488 | 37% | 28.5% | 15% | 6% | — | 13.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[42] | Online | 1,056 | 40% | 32% | 14% | — | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
16–19 May 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 31% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 46% | 47% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[43] | Online | 1,602 | 36% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
13–19 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[44] | Online | 1,674 | 37% | 30.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll[45] | Online | 1,280 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 7% | — | 9% | — | 52% | 48% |
10–14 May 2024 | YouGov[46] | Online | 1,506 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
6–12 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[47] | Online | 1,654 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
1–5 May 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
29 April – 5 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[48] | Online | 1,666 | 37% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 52% | 48% |
22–28 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[49] | Online | 1,719 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 14% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
19–23 April 2024 | YouGov[50] | Online | 1,514 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
17–21 April 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 49% |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[51] | Online | 1,610 | 36% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
15–21 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[52] | Online | 1,617 | 35.5% | 30.5% | 16% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
12–21 April 2024 | RedBridge Group[53] | Online | 1,529 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
15–18 April 2024 | Newspoll[54] | Online | 1,236 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
12–14 April 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[55] | Online | 1,055 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
8–14 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[56] | Online | 1,706 | 38.5% | 30% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 49% | 51% |
13 April 2024 | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | |||||||||||
3–7 April 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,165 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
1–7 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[57] | Online | 1,731 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
25–31 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[58] | Online | 1,677 | 37.5% | 30% | 15.5% | 3.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
22–27 March 2024 | YouGov[59] | Online | 1,513 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[60] | Online | 1,610 | 35% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
20–24 March 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,150 | 36% | 29% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 44% | 50% |
18–24 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[61] | Online | 1,633 | 38% | 31.5% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
18–22 March 2024 | Newspoll[62] | Online | 1,223 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
11–17 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[63] | Online | 1,710 | 37% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
8–10 March 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[64] | Online | 1,051 | 39% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 51% | 49% |
4–10 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[65] | Online | 1,714 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 4% | — | 13% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
5–9 March 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,126 | 35% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 47% |
24 February – 5 March 2024 | YouGov[66] | Online | 1,539 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
26 February – 3 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[67] | Online | 1,679 | 36.5% | 34% | 13.5% | 3.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
2 March 2024 | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | |||||||||||
21–25 February 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 47% | 48% |
19–25 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[68] | Online | 1,682 | 38% | 31.5% | 12% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[69] | Online | 1,603 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
19–23 February 2024 | Newspoll[70] | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
16–18 February 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[71] | Online | 1,049 | 38% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
12–18 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[72] | Online | 1,706 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 4% | — | 12% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
7–11 February 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,148 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 50% | 46% |
5–11 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[73] | Online | 1,699 | 37% | 34.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
2–7 February 2024 | YouGov[74] | Online | 1,502 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
30 January – 7 February 2024 | RedBridge Group[75] | Online | 2,040 | 38% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 51.2% | 48.8% |
29 January – 4 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[76] | Online | 1,709 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
31 January – 3 February 2024 | Newspoll[77] | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
24–28 January 2024 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,201 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 48% | 46% |
22–28 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[78] | Online | 1,688 | 37.5% | 31% | 13% | 5.5% | — | 13% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
15–21 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[79] | Online | 1,675 | 36% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
12–17 January 2024 | YouGov[80] | Online | 1,532 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
8–14 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[81] | Online | 1,727 | 37% | 31.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
10–11 January 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[82][83][84] | Online | 1,007 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
2–7 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[85] | Online | 1,716 | 39% | 29% | 13% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49% | 51% |
Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
15–17 December 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[86] | Online | 1,109 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–17 December 2023 | Roy Morgan[87] | Online | 1,109 | 38% | 32% | 11.5% | 4.5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–15 December 2023 | Newspoll[88] | Online | 1,219 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
6–11 December 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,102 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 49% | 46% |
6–11 December 2023 | RedBridge Group[89] | Online | 2,010 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 52.8% | 47.2% |
1–5 December 2023 | YouGov[90][91] | Online | 1,555 | 36% | 29% | 15% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[92][93] | Online | 1,605 | 34% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 12% | — | 55% | 45% |
27 November – 3 December 2023 | Roy Morgan[94] | — | 1,730 | 37.5% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
22–26 November 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,151 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 47% |
20–26 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[95] | — | 1,379 | 35% | 32% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
20–24 November 2023 | Newspoll[96] | Online | 1,216 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
13–19 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[97] | — | 1,401 | 37.5% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–14 November 2023 | YouGov[98] | Online | 1,582 | 36% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
8–12 November 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 49% | 47% |
6–12 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[99] | — | 1,397 | 36.5% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[100] | Online | 1,602 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 13% | — | 57% | 43% |
30 October – 3 November 2023 | Newspoll[101] | Online | 1,220 | 37% | 35% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
27 October – 2 November 2023 | RedBridge Group[102] | Online | 1,205 | 35% | 34% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
25–29 October 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 32% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
23–29 October 2023 | Roy Morgan[103] | — | 1,375 | 35% | 32.5% | 15% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
16–22 October 2023 | Roy Morgan[104] | — | 1,383 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
14 October 2023 | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | |||||||||||
4–12 October 2023 | Newspoll[105] | Online | 2,638 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
6–10 October 2023 | YouGov[106] | Online | 1,519 | 36% | 33% | 14% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 53% | 47% |
3–6 October 2023 | Newspoll[107][108] | Online | 1,225 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[109][110] | Online | 4,728 | 31% | 37% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 11% | — | 57% | 43% |
27 September – 1 October 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,125 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 50% | 45% |
25–29 September 2023 | YouGov[111][112] | Online | 1,563 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 53% | 47% |
22–24 September 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[113] | Online | 1,003 | 37% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
18–22 September 2023 | Newspoll[114][115] | Online | 1,239 | 36% | 36% | 11% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
13–17 September 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,135 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 49% | 45% |
4–10 September 2023 | Roy Morgan[116] | — | 1,382 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[117][118] | Online | 1,604 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
30 August – 4 September 2023 | RedBridge Group[119] | Online | 1,001 | 36% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 14% | — | 54.1% | 45.9% |
30 August – 3 September 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,151 | 32% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
28 August – 3 September 2023 | Roy Morgan[120] | — | 1,404 | 37.5% | 33.5% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 53% | 47% |
28 August – 1 September 2023 | Newspoll[121] | Online | 1,200 | 37% | 35% | 13% | 7% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
16–20 August 2023 | Essential[4][122] | Online | 1,151 | 33% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
10–14 August 2023 | RedBridge Group[123] | Online | 1,010 | 32% | 38% | 10% | — | — | 21% | — | 55.6% | 44.4% |
9–13 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[124][125] | Online | 1,603 | 33% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 12% | — | 56% | 44% |
2–6 August 2023 | Essential[4][126] | Online | 1,150 | 30% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
19–23 July 2023 | Essential[4][127] | Online | 1,150 | 32% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 50% | 45% |
15 July 2023 | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | |||||||||||
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128][129] | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 59% | 41% |
12–15 July 2023 | Newspoll[130][131] | Online | 1,570 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
5–9 July 2023 | Essential[4][132] | Online | 2,248 | 32% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
21–25 June 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,148 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
16–24 June 2023 | Newspoll[133][134] | Online | 2,303 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
7–11 June 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,123 | 32% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 42% |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[135][136] | Online | 1,606 | 30% | 40% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 60% | 40% |
31 May – 3 June 2023 | Newspoll[137][138] | Online | 1,549 | 34% | 38% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
24–28 May 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,138 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[139][140] | Online | 1,005 | 37% | 34% | 12% | — | — | 17% | — | 52% | 48% |
10–14 May 2023 | Essential[4][141] | Online | 1,080 | 31% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll[142][143] | Online | 1,516 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[144][145] | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 61% | 39% |
26–30 April 2023 | Essential[4][146] | Online | 1,130 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 41% |
19–22 April 2023 | Newspoll[147][148] | Online | 1,514 | 33% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 56% | 44% |
12–16 April 2023 | Essential[4][149] | Online | 1,136 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 52% | 43% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[150][151] | Online | 1,609 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 61.5% | 38.5% |
29 March – 2 April 2023 | Essential[4][152] | Online | 1,133 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
29 March – 1 April 2023 | Newspoll[153] | Online | 1,500 | 33% | 38% | 10% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
1 April 2023 | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | |||||||||||
15–20 March 2023 | Essential[4][154] | Online | 1,124 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[155][154] | Online | 1,600 | 30% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
1–5 March 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,141 | 32% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 44% |
27 February – 5 March 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 38% | 11.5% | — | — | 17% | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
1–4 March 2023 | Newspoll[156] | Online | 1,530 | 35% | 37% | 10% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
20–26 February 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 34.5% | 37% | 13.5% | — | — | 15% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
15–19 February 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,044 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 51% | 42% |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[157][158] | Online | 1,604 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
13–19 February 2023 | Roy Morgan | Online/Telephone | — | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
1–6 February 2023 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,000 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 5% | 55% | 40% |
1–4 February 2023 | Newspoll[159][160] | Online | 1,512 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
23–29 January 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 37.5% | 11.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 57% | 43% |
18–22 January 2023 | Essential[4][161] | Online | 1,050 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[162][161] | Online | 1,606 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
23 December 2022 | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | |||||||||||
16–18 December 2022 | Freshwater Strategy[163][164][165] | Online | 1,209 | 37% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 9% | — | 54% | 46% |
7–11 December 2022 | Essential[4] | Online | 1,042 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[166][167] | Online | 1,611 | 30% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 8% | — | 60% | 40% |
30 November – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[168] | Online | 1,508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
23–27 November 2022 | Essential[168][169] | Online | 1,042 | 31% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
27–30 October 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[170] | Online | 1,500 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[171][170] | Online | 1,611 | 32% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172][173] | Online | 1,604 | 30% | 39% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 11% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[174][175] | Online | 1,607 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
31 August – 3 September 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[176][177] | Online | 1,505 | 31% | 37% | 13.5% | 7% | 2% | 10% | — | 57% | 43% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[178][179] | Online | 2,011 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 61% | 39% |
27–30 July 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[180][181] | Online | 1,508 | 33% | 37% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
14–17 June 2022 | Dynata[182] | Online | 1,001 | 31% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 52.2% | 47.8% |
13–19 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | Online/telephone | 1,401 | 37% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 0.5% | 11.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
29 May 2022 | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party[184] | |||||||||||
21 May 2022 | Election[185][186] | 35.7% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 10.4% | — | 52.1% | 47.9% |
The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.
Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
13–15 September 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[1] | Online | 1,057 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 34% | 49% | 17% | −15% | 34% | 38% | 28% | −4% |
3–7 September 2024 | Resolve Strategic[5] | Online | 1,614 | 35% | 34% | 31% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
26–30 August 2024 | Newspoll[7] | Online | 1,263 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 41% | 54% | 5% | −13% | 39% | 52% | 9% | −13% |
23–28 August 2024 | YouGov[11] | Online | 1,543 | 43% | 38% | 19% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 42% | 47% | 11% | −5% |
20–24 August 2024 | Essential[187] | Online | 1,129 | — | — | — | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% | 42% | 41% | 16% | +1% |
16–18 August 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[16] | Online | 1,061 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% | 37% | 40% | 23% | −3% |
7–11 August 2024 | Resolve Strategic[18] | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 34% | 51% | 15% | −17% | 41% | 38% | 21% | +3% |
5–9 August 2024 | Newspoll[20] | Online | 1,266 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% |
24–28 July 2024 | Essential[188] | Online | 1,137 | — | — | — | 43% | 46% | 11% | −3% | 42% | 41% | 17% | +1% |
19–21 July 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[189] | Online | 1,060 | 45% | 39% | 16%[a] | 34% | 48% | 18% | −14% | 36% | 39% | 25% | −3% |
15–19 July 2024 | Newspoll[189] | Online | 1,258 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 41% | 49% | 10% | −8% |
12–17 July 2024 | YouGov[27] | Online | 1,528 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 42% | 46% | 12% | −4% |
10–13 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[29] | Online | 1,603 | 34% | 35% | 31% | 32% | 54% | 14% | −22% | 39% | 40% | 21% | −1% |
26–30 June 2024 | Essential[190] | Online | 1,141 | — | — | — | 40% | 49% | 11% | −9% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
24–28 June 2024 | Newspoll[32] | Online | 1,260 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 42% | 53% | 5% | −11% | 38% | 54% | 8% | −16% |
14–16 June 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[34] | Online | 1,060 | 43% | 41% | 16%[b] | 34% | 46% | 20% | −12% | 35% | 40% | 25% | −5% |
11–15 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[36] | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% | 42% | 40% | 19% | +2% |
3–7 June 2024 | Newspoll[38] | Online | 1,232 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
31 May – 4 June 2024 | YouGov[39] | Online | 1,500 | 47% | 36% | 17% | 41% | 53% | 6% | -12% | 38% | 51% | 11% | −13% |
29 May – 2 June 2024 | Essential[191] | Online | 1,160 | — | — | — | 43% | 47% | 11% | −4% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[42] | Online | 1,056 | 46% | 37% | 16%[c] | 37% | 46% | 18% | −9% | 31% | 40% | 29% | −9% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[43] | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 32% | 28% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll[45] | Online | 1,280 | 52% | 33% | 15% | 47% | 47% | 6% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
10–14 May 2024 | YouGov[46] | Online | 1,506 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 41% | 53% | 6% | −12% | 42% | 48% | 10% | −6% |
17–21 April 2024 | Essential[192] | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | 43% | 48% | 9% | −5% | 44% | 41% | 15% | +3% |
17–21 April 2024 | YouGov[d][193] | Online | 1,092 | 37% | 45% | 18% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[51] | Online | 1,610 | 41% | 32% | 27% | 43% | 45% | 12% | −2% | 40% | 42% | 17% | −2% |
15–18 April 2024 | Newspoll[54] | Online | 1,236 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
12–14 April 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[55] | Online | 1,055 | 45% | 39% | 16%[e] | 38% | 45% | 17% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 27% | −9% |
22–27 March 2024 | YouGov[59] | Online | 1,513 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[60] | Online | 1,610 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
18–22 March 2024 | Newspoll[62] | Online | 1,223 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 37% | 52% | 11% | −15% |
8–10 March 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[64] | Online | 1,051 | 47% | 38% | 15%[f] | 37% | 45% | 18% | −8% | 30% | 43% | 27% | −13% |
24 February – 5 March 2024 | YouGov[66] | Online | 1,539 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
21–25 February 2024 | Essential[194] | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 10% | −5% | 40% | 44% | 16% | −4% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[69] | Online | 1,603 | 39% | 32% | 29% | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% |
19–23 February 2024 | Newspoll[70] | Online | 1,245 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 37% | 51% | 12% | −14% |
16–18 February 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[195] | Online | 1,049 | 42% | 38% | 19%[g] | 38% | 45% | 18% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 28% | −9% |
2–7 February 2024 | YouGov[74] | Online | 1,502 | 45% | 38% | 17% | — | — | — | −16% | — | — | — | −8% |
31 January – 3 February 2024 | Newspoll[77][196] | Online | 1,245 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 51% | 7% | −9% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
24–28 January 2024 | Essential[197] | Online | 1,201 | — | — | — | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
12–17 January 2024 | YouGov[80] | Online | 1,532 | 45% | 35% | 20% | — | — | — | −13% | — | — | — | −11% |
10–11 January 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[82][83][84] | Online | 1,007 | 47% | 38% | 15%[h] | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% | 31% | 40% | 30% | −9% |
Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
15–17 December 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[86] | Online | 1,109 | 43% | 39% | 18%[i] | 37% | 42% | 20% | −5% | 34% | 36% | 30% | −2% |
11–15 December 2023 | Newspoll[88] | Online | 1,219 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 50% | 8% | −8% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
1–5 December 2023 | YouGov[90][91] | Online | 1,555 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 39% | 55% | 6% | −16% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[92] | Online | 1,605 | 42% | 28% | 30% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% | 34% | 42% | 24% | −8% |
22–26 November 2023 | Essential[198] | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 12% | −5% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
20–24 November 2023 | Newspoll[96] | Online | 1,216 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 40% | 53% | 7% | −13% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
10–14 November 2023 | YouGov[98][199] | Online | 1,582 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[100] | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 27% | 33% | 39% | 46% | 15% | −7% | 36% | 40% | 25% | −4% |
30 October – 3 November 2023 | Newspoll[101] | Online | 1,220 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
11–14 October 2023 | Essential[200] | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 11% | +3% | 36% | 43% | 21% | −7% |
4–12 October 2023 | Newspoll[105] | Online | 2,638 | 51% | 31% | 18% | 46% | 46% | 8% | 0% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% |
6–10 October 2023 | YouGov[106][199] | Online | 1,519 | 50% | 34% | 16% | 45% | 48% | 7% | −3% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
3–6 October 2023 | Newspoll[107][108] | Online | 1,225 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 45% | 46% | 9% | −1% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[109][110] | Online | 1,604 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 30% | 45% | 25% | −15% |
25–29 September 2023 | YouGov[111][199] | Online | 1,563 | 50% | 33% | 17% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
22–24 September 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[113] | Online | 1,003 | 46% | 37% | 17%[j] | 38% | 41% | 21% | −3% | 30% | 40% | 30% | −10% |
18–22 September 2023 | Newspoll[114][115] | Online | 1,239 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 47% | 44% | 9% | +3% | 32% | 52% | 16% | −20% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[117][118] | Online | 1,604 | 43% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% | 35% | 43% | 22% | −8% |
30 August – 3 September 2023 | Essential[201] | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 10% | +3% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
28 August – 1 September 2023 | Newspoll[121] | Online | 1,200 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 46% | 47% | 7% | −1% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
9–13 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[124][125] | Online | 1,603 | 46% | 25% | 29% | 44% | 42% | 14% | +2% | 31% | 44% | 24% | −13% |
19–23 July 2023 | Essential[127][202] | Online | 1,150 | — | — | — | 48% | 41% | 11% | +7% | 37% | 43% | 20% | −6% |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128][129] | Online | 1,610 | 51% | 21% | 28% | 51% | 34% | 15% | +17% | 31% | 47% | 23% | −16% |
12–15 July 2023 | Newspoll[130] | Online | 1,570 | 54% | 29% | 17% | 52% | 41% | 7% | +11% | 36% | 49% | 15% | −13% |
16–24 June 2023 | Newspoll[133] | Online | 2,303 | 52% | 32% | 16% | 52% | 42% | 6% | +10% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
29 May – 12 June 2023 | CT Group[203] | Online | 3,000 | — | — | — | 42% | 36% | 22% | +6% | — | — | — | — |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[135][136] | Online | 1,606 | 53% | 22% | 25% | 53% | 35% | 13% | +18% | 28% | 48% | 24% | −20% |
31 May – 3 June 2023 | Newspoll[137] | Online | 1,549 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 55% | 37% | 8% | +18% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% |
15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[139][140] | Online | 1,005 | 51% | 33% | 16%[k] | 42% | 37% | 21% | +5% | 30% | 42% | 28% | −12% |
10–14 May 2023 | Essential[204] | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 54% | 35% | 11% | +19% | 36% | 45% | 19% | −9% |
11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll[142][143] | Online | 1,516 | 56% | 29% | 15% | 57% | 38% | 5% | +19% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[144][145] | Online | 1,610 | 53% | 20% | 27% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 28% | 49% | 23% | −21% |
19–22 April 2023 | Newspoll[147][148] | Online | 1,514 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 53% | 37% | 10% | +16% | 33% | 52% | 15% | −19% |
12–16 April 2023 | Essential[205] | Online | 1,136 | — | — | — | 51% | 36% | 12% | +15% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[150][151] | Online | 1,609 | 55% | 21% | 24% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 26% | 54% | 19% | −28% |
29 March – 2 April 2023 | Essential[206] | Online | 1,133 | — | — | — | 52% | 35% | 13% | +17% | — | — | — | — |
29 March – 1 April 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,500 | 58% | 26% | 16% | 56% | 35% | 9% | +21% | 35% | 48% | 21% | −13% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[155][154] | Online | 1,600 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | 32% | 44% | 25% | −12% |
1–4 March 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,530 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 38% | 7% | +17% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% |
15–21 February 2023 | Morning Consult | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 31% | 12% | +26% | — | — | — | — |
15–19 February 2023 | Essential[207] | Online | 1,044 | — | — | — | 53% | 34% | 13% | +19% | — | — | — | — |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[157][158] | Online | 1,604 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 56% | 30% | 13% | +26% | 29% | 45% | 26% | −16% |
1–4 February 2023 | Newspoll[159][160] | Online | 1,512 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 33% | 10% | +24% | 36% | 46% | 18% | −10% |
18–22 January 2023 | Essential[208] | Online | 1,050 | — | — | — | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | — | — | — | — |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[162][161] | Online | 1,606 | 55% | 20% | 25% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 28% | 46% | 26% | −18% |
Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
16–18 December 2022 | Freshwater Strategy[163][164][165] | Online | 1,209 | 55% | 29% | 16%[l] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
7–11 December 2022 | Essential[209] | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[166][167] | Online | 1,611 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 43% | 29% | –15% |
30 November – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[168] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 62% | 29% | 9% | +33% | 36% | 45% | 19% | –9% |
16–22 November 2022 | Morning Consult[210] | Online | — | – | – | – | 56% | 31% | 25% | +25% | – | – | – | – |
9–14 November 2022 | Essential[211] | Online | 1,035 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
27–30 October 2022 | Newspoll[170] | Online | 1,500 | 54% | 27% | 19% | 59% | 33% | 8% | +26% | 39% | 46% | 15% | –7% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[171][170][212] | Online | 1,611 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 57% | 28% | 16% | +29% | 29% | 41% | 30% | –12% |
13–16 October 2022 | Freshwater Strategic[m][213] | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 50% | 26% | 24% | +24% | 33% | 34% | 33% | –1% |
11–16 October 2022 | Essential[214] | Online | 1,122 | – | – | – | 58% | 26% | 15% | +32% | – | – | – | – |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172][173] | Online | 1,604 | 53% | 18% | 29% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 30% | 41% | 28% | –11% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[174][175] | Online | 1,607 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 40% | 32% | –12% |
31 August – 4 September 2022 | Essential[215] | Online | 1,070 | — | — | — | 59% | 25% | 15% | +34% | — | — | — | — |
31 August – 3 September 2022 | Newspoll[176] | Online | 1,505 | 61% | 22% | 17% | 61% | 29% | 10% | +32% | 35% | 43% | 22% | –8% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[178][179] | Online | 2,011 | 55% | 17% | 28% | 61% | 22% | 17% | +39% | 30% | 37% | 32% | –7% |
3–7 August 2022 | Essential[216] | Online | 1,075 | — | — | — | 55% | 28% | 18% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
27–30 July 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[180] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 25% | 16% | 61% | 26% | 13% | +35% | 37% | 41% | 22% | –4% |
7–11 July 2022 | Essential[217] | Online | 1,097 | — | — | — | 56% | 24% | 20% | +32% | — | — | — | — |
8–12 June 2022 | Essential[218] | Online | 1,087 | — | — | — | 59% | 18% | 23% | +41% | — | — | — | — |
23–31 May 2022 | Morning Consult[219] | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | 51% | 24% | 25% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
This section needs to be updated.(October 2023) |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ||||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 509 | 39% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 1,567 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 510 | 37% | 29% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 50% | 50% | |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 511 | 35% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 51% | 49% | |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 511 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 51.5% | 48.5% | |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 511 | 35% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 1,152 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 509 | 37% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 52% | 48% | |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 1,139 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 51% | 49% | |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 510 | 35% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% | |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 509 | 31% | 37% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 58% | 42% | |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 1,565 | 34% | 38% | 13% | 5% | — | — | 10% | 56% | 44% | |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[109] | 1,502 | 32% | 34% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 55% | 45% | |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[117] | 509 | 36% | 39% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 54% | 46% | |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[124] | 509 | 34% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 58% | 42% | |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128] | 511 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[135] | 510 | 33% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[144] | 511 | 30% | 46% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 61% | 39% | |
21 April 2023 | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | |||||||||||
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 511 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 1,414 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 7% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% | |
25 March 2023 | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | |||||||||||
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 55.5% | 44.5% | |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 509 | 31% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 512 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 57.5% | 42.5% | |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 512 | 33% | 38% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[220] | 1,817 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% | |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[171] | 512 | 32% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 57.9% | 42.1% | |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172] | 509 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 57% | 43% | |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[174] | 510 | 29% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[178] | 639 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
21 May 2022 | Election | 36.5% | 33.4% | 10% | 4.8% | 4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 51.4% | 48.6% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | UAP | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ||||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 404 | 36% | 30% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 393 | 36% | 33% | 15% | — | 6% | — | 10% | 54% | 46% | |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 405 | 32% | 29% | 15% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 54% | 46% | |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 406 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 406 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 406 | 35% | 35% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% | |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 926 | 34% | 33% | 16% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 55% | 45% | |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 404 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 54% | 46% | |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 917 | 34% | 34% | 15% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 55% | 45% | |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 405 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 55.5% | 44.5% | |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 404 | 25% | 37% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 887 | 35% | 36% | 13% | — | 4% | — | 12% | 54% | 46% | |
Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan | ||||||||||||
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[109] | 1,192 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 42% | |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[117] | 404 | 32% | 40% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[124] | 404 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128] | 406 | 26% | 42% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 42% | |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[135] | 405 | 25% | 40% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 62.5% | 37.5% | |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[144] | 406 | 25% | 48% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 66% | 34% | |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 406 | 32% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 57.5% | 42.5% | |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 1,193 | 33% | 41% | 11% | — | 4% | — | 11% | 58% | 42% | |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 403 | 29% | 43% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 60% | 40% | |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 404 | 27% | 40% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 62% | 38% | |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 406 | 31% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 406 | 27% | 46% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 63.5% | 36.5% | |
26 November 2022 | Labor wins a third term at the state election | |||||||||||
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[220] | 1,448 | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 57% | 43% | |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[171] | 406 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 58% | 42% | |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172] | 404 | 30% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 42% | |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[174] | 405 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[178] | 507 | 24% | 42% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 63% | 37% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
21 May 2022 | Election | 33.1% | 32.9% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 54.8% | 45.2% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | |||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 326 | 44% | 23% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 57.5% | 42.5% |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 328 | 40% | 27% | 13% | 10% | — | — | 10% | 54% | 46% |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 327 | 40% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 327 | 43% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 327 | 40% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 54% | 46% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 327 | 36% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 49% | 51% |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 772 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 53% | 47% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 326 | 44% | 32% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles | |||||||||||
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 764 | 41% | 27% | 12% | 8% | — | — | 12% | 54% | 46% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 326 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 326 | 36% | 31% | 12% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 50% | 50% |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 887 | 39% | 30% | 11% | 9% | — | — | 11% | 52% | 48% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[109] | 961 | 34% | 33% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 48% | 52% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[117] | 326 | 35% | 29% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 49% | 51% |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[124] | 326 | 40% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 54% | 46% |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128] | 327 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 48% | 52% |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[135] | 327 | 31% | 38% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 45% | 55% |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[144] | 327 | 39% | 27% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 327 | 29% | 37% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 995 | 39% | 33% | 10% | 8% | — | — | 10% | 50% | 50% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 325 | 24% | 39% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 14% | 2% | 38.5% | 61.5% |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 326 | 35% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 46% | 54% |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 328 | 30% | 38% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 43.5% | 56.5% |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[220] | 328 | 34% | 43% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 44% | 56% |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[220] | 1,207 | 40% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | — | 9% | 51% | 49% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[171] | 328 | 32% | 36% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 43% | 57% |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172] | 326 | 38% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 50% | 50% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[174] | 327 | 31% | 42% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 44% | 56% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[178] | 409 | 31% | 37% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50% | 50% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 39.6% | 27.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 54% | 46% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | |||
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 156 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 368 | 34% | 39% | 8% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49% | 51% |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 364 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
6–13 December 2023 | RedBridge[221] | 1,203 | 39% | 37% | 12% | 5% | — | 7% | — | 55.2% | 44.8% |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 620 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 6% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
Mark McGowan stands down as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook | |||||||||||
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 474 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 57% | 43% |
Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader | |||||||||||
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[220] | 575 | 39% | 34% | 9% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 36.8% | 34.8% | 12.5% | 4% | 2.3% | 9.6% | — | 55% | 45% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | |||
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 368 | 34% | 34% | 11% | 12% | — | 9% | — | 53% | 47% |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[220] | 278 | 33% | 35% | 11% | 10% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 277 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 362 | 30% | 40% | 10% | 11% | — | 9% | — | 57% | 43% |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 362 | 35% | 38% | 12% | 5% | — | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[220] | 449 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 6% | — | 7% | — | 57% | 43% |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 35.54% | 34.46% | 12.77% | 4.83% | 3.89% | 8.51% | — | 53.97% | 46.03% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | JLN | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
23 March 2024 | State Election | 36.7% | 29% | 13.9% | 6.7% | — | 8% | 5.7% | |||
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[220] | 366 | 25% | 30% | 13% | — | — | 27% | 57% | 43% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[183] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63% | 37% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 32.9% | 27.3% | 12% | - | 11.2% | 10.8% | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CLP | ALP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | CLP | |||
16–18 November 2023 | Redbridge Group[223] | 601 | 40.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 43.9% | 56.1% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 29.4% | 38.2% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 12.7% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | LIB | ALP | GRN | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 57% | 25% | 6% | — | 12% | 64% | 36% | — |
13 April 2024 | By-election | 62.7% | — | 16.4% | 5.7% | 15.2% | 71.3% | — | 28.7% | ||
28 March 2024 | uComms[b] | 914 | ± 3.6% | 53% | — | 17% | 12% | 10% | 65% | — | 35% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 55.3% | 25.0% | 9.9% | — | 9.8% | 62.4% | 37.6% | — |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | ALP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 44% | 29% | 9% | — | — | 18% | 44% | 56% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 42.0% | 36.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 43% | — | 11% | 7% | 39% | — | 53% | 47% |
5 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 602 | ±3.85% | 35.3% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 54.0% | 46.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 41.4% | 38.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LIB | GRN | ONP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 32% | 42% | 9% | — | 17% | 46% | 54% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 40.7% | 36.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 40% | — | 17% | 9% | 33% | — | 55% | 45% |
5 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 643 | ±3.85% | 35.5% | 32.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 57.0% | 43.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 40.5% | 35.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | — | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | LIB | ALP | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 47% | 30% | 11% | — | 11% | 56% | 44% |
1 April 2023 | By-election | 39.1% | 40.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 46.4% | 53.6% | ||
21 May 2022 | Election | 43.1% | 32.6% | 12.1% | — | 12.3% | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LIB | GRN | LP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 38% | 36% | 9% | — | 18% | 53% | 47% |
2 March 2024 | By-election | 41.1% | 39.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 10.8% | 52.7% | 47.3% | ||
15–22 February 2024 | YouGov[224] | 394 | ± 6.1% | 33% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 15% | 49% | 51% |
5–6 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 626 | ± 3.9% | 40.1% | 39.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 10.8% | 52.0% | 48.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 40.2% | 32.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 16.9% | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | IND | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 49% | — | 17% | 6% | 29% | 47% | 53% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 40.4% | 34.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 52.9% | 47.1% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 35% | 40% | 16% | — | 9% | 41% | 59% | |
Feb 2024 - May 2024 | RedBridge Group | — | — | 33% | 39% | 18% | — | 10% | 39% | 61% | |
21 May 2022 | 2022 Federal Election | 29.2% | 40.9% | 16.7% | 3.1% | 10.1% | 37.6% | 62.4% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 43% | — | 12% | 4% | 41% | — | 53% | 47% |
5 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 647 | ±3.9% | 36.8% | 32.5% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 56.0% | 44.0% |
24–25 July 2023 | uComms[b] | 821 | ±3.4% | 40.3% | 31.6% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 42.7% | 40.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | — | 52.9% | 47.1% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | IND | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 46% | — | 23% | 8% | 22% | 47% | 53% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 41.3% | 29.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 51.3% | 48.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | ALP | GRN | JLN | ONP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 41% | 25% | 9% | — | — | 24% | 46% | 54% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 37.2% | 29.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 50.9% | 49.1% |
Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | CLP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | CLP | ||||
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[12][13] | — | — | 30% | 36% | 12% | — | — | 22% | 47% | 53% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 36.6% | 34.7% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 9.4% | 51.0% | 49.0% |