Sefton Central | |
---|---|
County constituency for the House of Commons | |
County | Merseyside |
Electorate | 74,746 (2023)[1] |
Major settlements | Crosby and Formby |
Current constituency | |
Created | 2010 |
Member of Parliament | Bill Esterson (Labour) |
Seats | One |
Created from | Crosby Knowsley North & Sefton East |
Sefton Central is a constituency represented since its creation in 2010 by Bill Esterson of the Labour Party.[n 1][n 2]
The constituency was created for the 2010 general election, replacing much of Crosby along with part of Knowsley North and Sefton East.The constituency comprised the following electoral wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Sefton:[2]
Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency is composed of the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Sefton (as they existed on 1 December 2020):
The Ainsdale ward was transferred from Southport, offset by the loss of the Aintree district in the Molyneux ward to Liverpool Walton.
The constituency covers Merseyside northern residential suburban areas of Crosby, Blundellsands, Brighton-Le-Sands, Little Crosby, Thornton, and Hightown, Formby, Ainsdale, Maghull and the villages and localities of Carr Houses, Freshfield, Ince Blundell, Kennessee Green, Lady Green, Little Altcar, Lunt, Lydiate, Melling, Sefton, and Waddicar, in the Metropolitan Borough of Sefton.
This seat was fought for the first time at the 2010 general election.[4]
At the time, eleven of the constituency's twenty-one councillors were Conservatives followed by the Liberal Democrats who had ten,[n 3] whereas analysis by Rallings and Thrasher indicated that had the Sefton Central constituency existed in 2005, the result would have been: Labour 45.6%, Conservative 33.6%, LibDem 19.2%, giving a Labour majority of 4,950. The Labour Party candidate's majority was 3,862 suggesting a moderate two-party swing.[4]
The area covered by this seat and its immediate predecessor Crosby was historically a strong area for the Conservatives. However, since Labour gained that seat in the 1997 election, they have held it with fairly comfortable margins for 20 years. In 2015, an 8.1% swing to Labour saw them take the area with their biggest ever majority of 11,846 votes (24.2%),[4] in accordance with the significant swing to Labour in Merseyside compared to 2010; this margin was surpassed in 2017, as Labour won more than 60% of the vote in the seat and a majority of over 30% for the first time. This suggests that since 2010, Sefton Central has changed from a key marginal between the major parties to a Labour safe seat.
The constituency has a working population whose income is close to the national average, and close to average reliance on social housing.[5] At the end of 2012, the unemployment rate in the constituency stood as 2.4% of the population claiming Jobseeker's Allowance, compared to the regional average of 4.2%.[6] The borough contributing to the seat has a medium 28.5% of its population without a car, 25.1% of the population without any qualifications and a 24.1% with Level 4 qualifications or above. In terms of tenure, 70.5% of homes are owned outright or on a mortgage as at the 2011 UK Census across the district.[7]
Election | Member[8] | Party | |
---|---|---|---|
2010 | Bill Esterson | Labour |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Bill Esterson | 26,772 | 56.4 | +3.8 | |
Conservative | Marcus Bleasdale | 8,490 | 17.9 | −16.4 | |
Reform UK | Nagender Chindam | 5,767 | 12.2 | +8.6 | |
Green | Kieran Dams | 3,294 | 6.9 | +4.8 | |
Liberal Democrats | Gareth Lloyd-Johnson | 2,630 | 5.5 | −1.1 | |
Independent | Ralph James | 496 | 1.0 | N/A | |
Majority | 18,282 | 38.5 | +20.3 | ||
Turnout | 47,449 | 63.9 | −12.5 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | +10.1 |
Changes are from the notional 2019 results on the 2024 boundaries.[11]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Bill Esterson | 29,254 | 57.5 | –5.5 | |
Conservative | Wazz Mughal | 14,132 | 27.8 | –5.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Keith Cawdron | 3,386 | 6.7 | +4.0 | |
Brexit Party | Paul Lomas | 2,425 | 4.8 | New | |
Green | Alison Gibbon | 1,261 | 2.5 | +1.2 | |
Liberal | Angela Preston | 285 | 0.6 | New | |
Renew | Carla Burns | 137 | 0.3 | New | |
Majority | 15,122 | 29.7 | –0.3 | ||
Turnout | 50,880 | 72.9 | –2.6 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | –0.1 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Bill Esterson | 32,830 | 63.0 | +9.2 | |
Conservative | Jade Marsden | 17,212 | 33.0 | +3.4 | |
Liberal Democrats | Daniel Lewis | 1,381 | 2.7 | –1.6 | |
Green | Mike Carter | 656 | 1.3 | –1.1 | |
Majority | 15,618 | 30.0 | +5.8 | ||
Turnout | 52,079 | 75.5 | +3.1 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | +2.9 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Bill Esterson | 26,359 | 53.8 | +11.9 | |
Conservative | Valerie Allen | 14,513 | 29.6 | –4.3 | |
UKIP | Tim Power | 4,879 | 10.0 | +5.8 | |
Liberal Democrats | Paula Keaveney | 2,086 | 4.3 | –15.6 | |
Green | Lindsay Melia | 1,184 | 2.4 | New | |
Majority | 11,846 | 24.2 | +16.2 | ||
Turnout | 49,021 | 72.4 | +0.6 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | +8.1 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Bill Esterson | 20,307 | 41.9 | –3.7 | |
Conservative | Debi Jones | 16,445 | 33.9 | +0.4 | |
Liberal Democrats | Richard Clein | 9,656 | 19.9 | +0.7 | |
UKIP | Peter Harper | 2,055 | 4.2 | +3.5 | |
Majority | 3,862 | 8.0 | −4.1 | ||
Turnout | 48,463 | 71.8 | +11.0 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | +2.0 |