The Strategy for the Western Balkans (also known as "A credible enlargement perspective for and enhanced EU engagement with the Western Balkans") is a policy pursued by the EU with its partners and accession candidates in the western region of the Balkan Peninsula. Announced by European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker in his 2017 State of the Union address, this policy brings together the objectives of the global strategy for CSDP and the enlargement policy specific to the states in this region.[1]
In 1999, the European Union launched the Stabilization and Association Process (SAP) to strengthen its role in the region and provide long-term support for the reconstruction and development of countries in the wake of the wars in the former Yugoslavia. At international level, this approach was accompanied by the Stability Pact for South-Eastern Europe, supported by the EU, NATO, the OSCE, the IMF, the World Bank and other major international players.[2] Since then, an annual EU-Balkans summit has been organized; the first was held in Zagreb in November 2000, and in 2003 the Thessaloniki European Council reaffirmed that all SAP countries were potential candidates for membership.[3]
In 2018, this regional sub-group comprised five of the six candidate states (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia) and Kosovo, which only has the status of a potential candidate. Each of these states has signed a Stabilization and Association Agreement with the EU to facilitate their approximation to EU standards (Copenhagen criteria and eventual acquis communautaire).[4]
To support and reinvigorate the candidate countries' efforts to meet the accession criteria, the European Commission, through its President, adopted a strategy at the end of 2017 focusing on priorities and areas for enhanced joint cooperation.[5] The strategy detailed by Jean-Claude Juncker in his State of the Union address in September 2017 and prepared in advance by the Commission and EEAS includes an action plan focusing on six initiatives relating to the EU's strategy in the Balkans with an increased budget allocated to pre-accession instruments and regional initiatives.[6]
According to the President of the European Commission: "If we want more stability in our neighborhood, we must offer credible prospects to the countries of the Western Balkans"; he also added that "there will be no further accessions during the term of office of this Commission" (2014-2019).[7] Beyond this regional policy, the EU is also committed to working alongside its member states and partners to resolve local issues such as the debate over the name of Macedonia,[8] or the dispute over the delineation of the border between Kosovo and Serbia.[9]
With the redefinition of borders and forced population movements that followed the inter-ethnic conflicts of the 1990s in the former Yugoslavia, the Western Balkans were sharply divided, and deep-rooted tensions remained. The Dayton Accords put an end to the war in Bosnia (1995) by separating the country into two distinct regions and creating a federal government managed by a collective tripartite presidency and supervised by an international High Representative. The agreements also provided for the intervention of a NATO intervention force (IFOR), which was replaced by the European Union's Althea force in 2004. Kosovo became independent in 2008, at the cost of a mass exodus of Albanian and Serbian populations. Here too, a NATO force was set up (KFOR), supported by an administration mission that was replaced by the European Union's civilian mission EULEX Kosovo.[10]
Since the fall of Yugoslavia and the end of the Communist regime, economic development in the Balkans has lagged significantly behind that of other regions in Eastern Europe; for example, in 1990, Macedonia's GDP was three times lower than Slovenia's; in 2003, it was fifty times lower.[3] This lack of development has led to an expansion of black market and illegal activities in the region.[11]
Demographic trends in the Balkans are also specific: the number of inhabitants is declining for two main reasons: the fertility rate is below 1 child per woman[3] (compared with 1.4 on average in Europe - well below the generational renewal rate of 2.1), and with significant income and development gaps compared with the rest of Europe, a massive exodus (particularly of young people) is taking place; Macedonia is said to have lost almost a quarter of its population in twenty-five years; Serbia lost 160,000 people between 2002 and 2011, and the Serbian National Statistics Office estimates that the country could have fewer than 6 million inhabitants in 2030,[12] compared with 7.7 in 2016. Bosnia-Herzegovina has also been hard hit by the phenomenon, with an estimated 170,000 departures over the past five years.[13]
For High Representative Federica Mogherini: "The Western Balkans are part of Europe: we share the same history, the same geography, the same cultural heritage, as well as the same opportunities and challenges today and in the future [...] This strategy shows the path we must follow: for all our six partners, overcoming the past once and for all, and for all of us, making the process of bringing the Western Balkans closer to the European Union an irreversible one, and continuing to reunite the continent".[5]
Through six main initiatives, this strategy aims to support the transformation of the Western Balkans so that the countries concerned meet the values of the European Union and, in the longer term, are able to achieve the convergence criteria:[6]
The strategy also sets out the steps to be taken by Montenegro and Serbia to complete their accession processes, with the aim of meeting the Copenhagen criteria by 2025.[1]
The European Parliament is responsible for managing the budget allocated to this policy; for 2018 alone, funding for pre-accession instruments has risen to 1.07 billion euros for the Western Balkans region, and is set to increase until 2020; over the period 2007-2017, it was around 9 billion euros.[1] The main program is IPA II, which forms the financial basis of the new strategy; for the 2014-2020 period, a budget of 11.7 billion euros has been voted for this pre-accession instrument alone, which is managed in line with the objectives of the European institutions and the monitoring reports drawn up by the European Commission.[15]
Monitoring of the use of aid is carried out by the European Parliament Committee on Foreign Affairs, which appoints permanent rapporteurs for all candidate and potential candidate countries; the Parliament expresses its positions in annual reports on each country.[16]
The European Commission also points out that the Union is the leading investor and trading partner in the region, with a total annual volume of trade amounting to 43 billion euros (2016).[17]
The Brdo-Brijuni Process is a diplomatic initiative launched by Croatia and Slovenia in 2013 with the aim of working together to stabilize the region and accelerate the EU accession processes of the countries in the Western Balkans region.
The Berlin Process was launched by Germany in 2014, along with a number of other EU countries and all the Western Balkan states; although it is not directly overseen by European bodies, some of the objectives are similar (mainly regional cooperation and development of the region's infrastructure and economy), and funding is provided by European and external bodies (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and European Investment Bank (EIB)).[18]
Applicant | Submitted | Accession / failure rationale |
---|---|---|
Albania | 28 April 2009 | [19]Negotiating |
Austria | 17 July 1989 | 1 January 1995 |
Belgium | Founder | 23 July 1952 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 15 February 2016 | [20]Candidate |
Bulgaria | 14 December 1995 | 1 January 2007 |
Croatia | 21 February 2003 | 1 July 2013 |
Cyprus | 3 July 1990 | 1 May 2004 |
Czech Republic | 17 January 1996 | 1 May 2004 |
Denmark | 10 August 1961 | [b]Withdrawn |
11 May 1967 | 1 January 1973 | |
Estonia | 24 November 1995 | 1 May 2004 |
Finland | 18 March 1992 | 1 January 1995 |
France | Founder | 23 July 1952 |
Georgia | 3 March 2022 | [21]Applicant |
West Germany[c] | Founder | 23 July 1952 |
Greece | 12 June 1975 | 1 January 1981 |
Hungary | 31 March 1994 | 1 May 2004 |
Iceland | 17 July 2009 | [d][22][23][24] Frozen |
Ireland | 31 July 1961 | [e]Withdrawn |
11 May 1967 | 1 January 1973 | |
Italy | Founder | 23 July 1952 |
Kosovo[25] | 14 December 2022 | [20]Applicant |
Latvia | 13 September 1995 | 1 May 2004 |
Lithuania | 8 December 1995 | 1 May 2004 |
Luxembourg | Founder | 23 July 1952 |
Malta | 16 July 1990 | [f][26] Frozen |
1 May 2004 | ||
Moldova | 3 March 2022 | [27]Candidate |
Montenegro | 15 December 2008 | [20]Negotiating |
Morocco | 20 July 1987 | [g][28] Rejected |
Netherlands | Founder | 23 July 1952 |
North Macedonia[h] | 22 March 2004 | [19]Negotiating |
Norway | 30 April 1962 | [i]Withdrawn |
21 July 1967 | [j][29] Withdrawn | |
25 November 1992 | [k][30] Withdrawn | |
Poland | 5 April 1994 | 1 May 2004 |
Portugal | 28 March 1977 | 1 January 1986 |
Romania | 22 June 1995 | 1 January 2007 |
Serbia | 22 December 2009 | [20]Negotiating |
Slovakia | 27 June 1995 | 1 May 2004 |
Slovenia | 10 June 1996 | 1 May 2004 |
Spain | 9 February 1962 | [l][31] Rejected |
28 June 1977 | 1 January 1986 | |
Sweden | 1 July 1991 | 1 January 1995 |
Switzerland | 25 May 1992 | [m][32][33][34][35] Withdrawn |
Turkey | 14 April 1987 | [36][37][38][20]Frozen negotiations |
Ukraine | 28 February 2022 | [27]Candidate |
United Kingdom | 10 August 1961 | [n]Vetoed |
10 May 1967 | 1 January 1973 |