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Thunder Bay—Rainy River

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Thunder Bay—Rainy River
Ontario electoral district
Thunder Bay—Rainy River in relation to the other area ridings
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Marcus Powlowski
Liberal
District created2003
First contested2004
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]82,984
Electors (2015)62,207
Area (km²)[1]39,545
Pop. density (per km²)2.1
Census division(s)Thunder Bay District, Rainy River District
Census subdivision(s)Thunder Bay, Fort Frances, Oliver Paipoonge, Atikokan, Neebing

Thunder Bay—Rainy River is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004. It first elected a member in the 2004 federal election.

History

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It was created in 2003 from parts of Kenora—Rainy River and Thunder Bay—Atikokan ridings.

This riding gained a fraction of territory from Thunder Bay—Superior North during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Geography

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It consists of the Territorial District of Rainy River, and the part of the Territorial District of Thunder Bay lying south and west of a line drawn from the western limit of the territorial district east along the 6th Base Line, south along longitude 90o00 W, Dog River and the western shoreline of Dog Lake, west along the northern boundary of the Township of Fowler, south along its western boundary, and east along its southern boundary, south along the Kaministiquia River, east along the northern limit of the Township of Oliver Paipoonge, south along its eastern limit and along Pole Line Road, north along Thunder Bay Expressway (Highways 11 and 17), east along Harbour Expressway and Main Street to 110th Avenue, and due east to the eastern limit of the City of Thunder Bay, along that limit to the northeast corner of the Township of Neebing, and southeast to the US border.

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[2]

Ethnic groups: 76.4% White, 18.8% Indigenous, 1.5% South Asian

Languages: 89.4% English, 1.6% French, 1.1% Italian

Religions: 54.1% Christian (26.2% Catholic, 5.9% United Church, 4.7% Anglican, 3.2% Lutheran, 1.6% Baptist, 1.5% Presbyterian, 11.0% other), 1.8% Indigenous spirituality, 42.0% none

Median income: $42,800 (2020)

Average income: $50,520 (2020)

Member of Parliament

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This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Thunder Bay—Rainy River
Riding created from Kenora—Rainy River and Thunder Bay—Atikokan
38th  2004–2006     Ken Boshcoff Liberal
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011     John Rafferty New Democratic
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     Don Rusnak Liberal
43rd  2019–2021 Marcus Powlowski
44th  2021–present

Election results

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Graph of election results in Thunder Bay—Rainy River (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Marcus Powlowski 13,655 34.3 -1.0 $85,082.79
Conservative Adelina Pecchia 11,671 29.3 0.0 $27,004.63
New Democratic Yuk-Sem Won 11,342 28.5 -0.6 $82,351.30
People's Alan Aubut 2,621 6.6 +4.8 $0.00
Green Tracey MacKinnon 571 1.4 -3.1 $287.74
Total valid votes 39,860
Total rejected ballots 308
Turnout 40,168 61.69
Eligible voters 65,109
Source: Elections Canada[3]


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Marcus Powlowski 14,498 35.32 -8.70 $55,609.36
Conservative Linda Rydholm 12,039 29.33 +8.24 $50,919.61
New Democratic Yuk-Sem Won 11,944 29.10 -0.57 none listed
Green Amanda Moddejonge 1,829 4.46 -0.77 none listed
People's Andrew Hartnell 741 1.81 – none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,051 99.20
Total rejected ballots 333 0.80 +0.39
Turnout 41,384 62.41 -3.92
Eligible voters 66,306
Liberal hold Swing -8.47
Source: Elections Canada[4][5]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Don Rusnak 18,523 44.02 +22.31 $69,724.11
New Democratic John Rafferty 12,483 29.66 -18.99 $106,616.41
Conservative Moe Comuzzi 8,876 21.09 -6.12 $64,890.91
Green Christy Radbourne 2,201 5.23 +2.79 $3,586.52
Total valid votes/expense limit 42,083 99.58   $233,739.33
Total rejected ballots 176 0.42 –
Turnout 42,259 66.33
Eligible voters 63,708
Liberal gain from New Democratic Swing +20.65
Source: Elections Canada[6][7]
2011 federal election redistributed results[8]
Party Vote %
  New Democratic 18,126 48.65
  Conservative 10,138 27.21
  Liberal 8,085 21.70
  Green 911 2.44
  Others 1 0.00
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic John Rafferty 18,085 48.7 +8.4 –
Conservative Maureen Comuzzi-Stehmann 10,097 27.2 +3.6 –
Liberal Ken Boshcoff 8,067 21.7 -10.6 –
Green Ed Shields 909 2.4 -1.4 –
Total valid votes/expense limit 37,158 100.0
Total rejected ballots 130 0.3 –
Turnout 37,288 60.1 –
Eligible voters 62,018 – –
New Democratic hold Swing +2.4
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic John Rafferty 14,478 40.3 +6.9 $80,937
Liberal Ken Boshcoff 11,589 32.3 -2.8 $63,482
Conservative Richard Neumann 8,466 23.6 -3.6 $44,136
Green Russ Aegard 1,377 3.8 +0.7 $1,292
Total valid votes/expense limit 35,910 100.0   $93,852
Total rejected ballots 105
Turnout 36,015 57.05
Eligible voters 63,128
New Democratic gain from Liberal Swing +4.85
Source: Elections Canada [9]
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ken Boshcoff 13,520 35.1 -4.3
New Democratic John Rafferty 12,862 33.4 +3.7
Conservative David Leskowski 10,485 27.2 +0.9
Green Russ Aegard 1,193 3.1 +0.7
Marijuana Doug MacKay 424 1.1 -0.4
Total valid votes 38,484 100.0
Total rejected ballots 134
Turnout 36,618 57.96
Eligible voters 63,180
Liberal hold Swing -4.00
Source: Elections Canada [10]
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Ken Boshcoff 14,290 39.4
New Democratic John Rafferty 10,781 29.7
Conservative David Leskowski 9,559 26.3
Green Russ Aegard 856 2.4
Marijuana Doug Thompson 547 1.5
Christian Heritage Johannes Scheibler 267 0.7
Total valid votes 36,300 100.0
Total rejected ballots 162
Turnout 36,462 57.22
Eligible voters 63,718
Source: Elections Canada [11]

See also

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References

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  • "Thunder Bay—Rainy River (Code 35090) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Thunder Bay--Rainy River [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 5, 2023.
  3. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 2, 2021.
  4. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  5. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  6. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Thunder Bay—Rainy River, 30 September 2015
  7. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  8. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  9. ^ "Official Voting Results - Fortieth General Election 2008". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  10. ^ "Official Voting Results - Thirty-Ninth General Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  11. ^ "Official Voting Results - Thirty-Eighth General Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
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49°50′0″N 91°50′0″W / 49.83333°N 91.83333°W / 49.83333; -91.83333

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