Wind power in Sweden

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Wind power in Scania, Sweden
Lillgrund Wind Farm in Sweden

Sweden has a total of 16.4 GW of wind power capacity at the end of 2023, the 5th highest in Europe and most per capita.[1] Wind power produced 20.9% of national electricity generation in 2023, up from 0.3% in 2000.[2]

In July 2024, the Swedish Wind Energy Association (SWEA) projected that cumulative wind power capacity in the country will rise to 19.5 GW by the end of 2026.[3]

Longer-term projections from other market analysts estimate 30 GW of wind power capacity by 2030.[4]

Statistics

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Wind power in Sweden[5][6][7]
Year Capacity
(MW)
Generation
(GWh)
Electricity
Generation %
2000 241 447 0.3%
2001 295 482 0.3%
2002 345 608 0.4%
2003 404 679 0.5%
2004 452 850 0.6%
2005 493 949 0.6%
2006 583 988 0.7%
2007 832 1,432 1.0%
2008 1,085 1,996 1.3%
2009 1,444 2,485 1.8%
2010 2,004 3,502 2.4%
2011 2,769 6,101 4.1%
2012 3,582 7,165 4.3%
2013 4,469 9,842 6.4%
2014 5,519 11,234 7.3%
2015 6,025 16,268 10.1%
2016 6,519 15,479 9.9%
2017 6,691 17,609 10.7%
2018 7,407 16,623 10.2%
2019 8,985 19,847 11.8%
2020 9,992 27,526 16.8%
2021 12,116 27,108 15.9%
2022 14,278 33,087 19.4%

Future developments

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The International Energy Agency's (IEA) Wind Technology Collaboration Programme 2021 report outlines Sweden's progress in wind energy. By 2021, Sweden had achieved a total wind power capacity of 12.116 MW from 4,679 turbines. This aligns with Sweden's environmental goals of reducing greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) by 40% by 2030 and aiming for net-zero emissions by 2045. Additionally, Sweden targets 100% renewable electricity production by 2040. Wind power generation in Sweden is expected to reach about 47 TWh by 2024, supported by growth in both onshore and offshore wind farm developments.[8]

In 2021, the Swedish government ordered new transmission to be planned for offshore wind connections.[9]

Sweden's wind power generation is set for a substantial increase, expected to rise by about 70% from 27.4 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2021 to 46.9 TWh by 2024, according to forecasts by the Swedish Energy Agency. This growth is supported by the addition of 2.1 gigawatts (GW) of wind power capacity in 2021, marking a significant increase to the country's renewable energy capabilities. This initiative is part of Sweden's plan to enhance its total net electricity production, which is expected to grow from 165.7 terawatt hours (TWh) to 183.5 TWh in the same period.[10]

In 2022, Sweden's offshore wind sector had 15 gigawatts (GW) of projects in the permit application stage, expected to commence operations before 2030. The total project pipeline comprises 90 GW, with the majority not projected to be operational until after 2032. Notably, Vattenfall's Swedish Kriegers Flak offshore wind farm, with a capacity of 640 MW, has obtained a permit and awaits the final investment decision.[11]

Controversy

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The Association for Swedish Landscape Protection is in opposition to wind power.[12] Their chairman says:

It is beginning to get through, I think, that with the existing nuclear and hydro power available in Sweden, the role for intermittent wind power is marginal and primarily as an exercise in the following of ”fashion”. It has little to contribute to either generation capacity or transmission security. And it is expensive.

— Elisabeth von Brömsen, Public radio SR, March 2011

At the time of making the statement in 2011, wind power accounted for 4.3% of the electricity in Sweden as listed above. As of 2017 it accounted for 12.4%. Comparing the levelized cost of energy, as of November 2019 wind power was estimated at 28 to 54 USD per MWh, compared to 118 to 192 USD per MWh for nuclear power.[13] Whereas according to the 2020 edition of Projected Costs of Generating Electricity, [14] the levelized cost of energy of nuclear energy in Sweden is 28 to 32 USD per MWh.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Wind energy in Europe: 2023 Statistics and the outlook for 2024-2030" (PDF). JPWA. 2024-02-28. Retrieved 2024-04-10.
  2. ^ Our World in Data (2024-06-20). "Share of electricity production from wind: Sweden". Retrieved 2024-07-06.
  3. ^ Svensk Vindenergi (2024-07-04). "Statistics and Forecast - Q2 2024" (PDF). p. 4/19. Retrieved 2024-07-06.
  4. ^ Rystad Energy (2022-11-15). "Finland, Denmark and Sweden leading on the green revolution". Retrieved 2023-04-23.
  5. ^ Swedish Energy Agency (2023-03-29). "Number of Wind Turbines, Installed Capacity and Wind Power Production, Whole Country, 1982-". Retrieved 2023-03-29.
  6. ^ Swedish Energy Agency (2023-03-29). "Electricity production (net production) by type of power from 1970, TWh". Retrieved 2023-03-29.
  7. ^ Our World in Data (2023). "Share of electricity production from wind: Sweden". Retrieved 2024-04-08.
  8. ^ "IEA Wind Technology Collaboration Programme Sweden 2021" (PDF). International Energy Agency.
  9. ^ "Swedish Government to Instruct State-Owned TSO to Build Offshore Grid Infrastructure". Offshore Wind. 15 October 2021. Archived from the original on 15 October 2021.
  10. ^ "Swedish wind power generation to rise 70% by 2024 - agency". Reuters. 2022-03-14.
  11. ^ Tang, Andreas (2022-08-12). "Sweden: Making up lost ground on offshore wind". WindEurope. Retrieved 2024-04-12.
  12. ^ "Motståndet mot vindkraft växer". Archived from the original on 2013-03-10. Retrieved 2012-05-01.
  13. ^ "Lazard's Levelized Cost of Energy" (PDF). p. 2. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 21, 2022. Retrieved November 29, 2019.
  14. ^ "Projected Costs of Generating Electricity 2020". Projected Costs of Generating Electricity. 2020-12-09. doi:10.1787/a6002f3b-en. ISSN 2079-8393.
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