United States Senate Elections, 2022

Failing to attain a majority of the U.S. Senate in the elections of 2020 despite having an enormous monetary advantage, Democrats place their hopes on trying to attain a net gain of at least 2 seats in the 2022 United States Senate elections.

The vulnerable Republican Senate seats up for election in 2022 are in the states of:

• North Carolina: incumbent Deep stater RINO Richard Burr is retiring; anti-establishment Republican representative Mark Walker and liberal Democrat state senator Erica D. Smith are running
• Pennsylvania: incumbent Pat Toomey announced on Oct. 5, 2020, that he would not run for reelection, after serving three terms in the House and then two terms in the Senate; he was narrowly re-elected in 2016 on the coattails of Trump, won won more votes.^[1]
• Wisconsin: incumbent Ron Johnson may term-limit himself to the two full terms he will have served, although his popularity and effectiveness suggest that he may run again with Trump's strong support.

In addition, Republican incumbents are retiring in Alabama, Missouri, and Ohio. Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa seems poised to run for reelection, but has not declared yet.

The vulnerable Democrat-held Senate seats up for election in 2022 are in the states of:

• New Hampshire; incumbent Maggie Hassan may face a tough re-election fight, as she only won in 2016 over Kelly Ayotte by 0.1% of the votes cast^[2]
• Nevada; the state may become a tossup in future election cycles; incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto won in 2016 in part because RINO Joe Heck flip-flopped on Trump, voicing opposition to him that likely cost some support from conservatives^[3]
• Arizona, where the Democrat Mark Kelly won a special election in 2020 but will face a more difficult political climate in 2022
• Georgia, where the Democrat Raphael Warnock won a special election in 2021 and, as in Arizona, the Democrats will face an uphill climb in 2022

In addition to the above, other states that considered in play are Ohio (the Republican incumbent Rob Portman is retiring) and Missouri (the Republican incumbent Roy Blunt is retiring), although both seats are likely to remain in Republican hands.^[4]

Alabama[edit]

Incumbent Richard Shelby is retiring. Katie Britt upset the highly-favored Mo Brooks to win the Republican primary. In this solidly Republican state, Britt's primary win (barring fraud or a disastrous campaign) is essentially "tantamount to election".

Republican candidate primary[edit]

• Mo Brooks
• Katie Britt, former Chief of Staff to Richard Shelby.
• Michael Durant, U.S. Army pilot veteran.

Democrat candidates[edit]

• Brandaun Dean, mayor of Brighton (2016–2017)

Independents[edit]

• Adam Bowers, forestry professor.
• Jarmal Jabber Sanders, reverend.

Alaska[edit]

Incumbent moderate liberal Republican Lisa Murkowski is running for re-election to another Senate term.^[5] A noted RINO, she has made numerous votes against her party throughout her tenure, including in the Trump era where she only voted with the president 59% of the time in the 116th Congress.^[6] Despite having voted to confirm some of Trump's more pro-life judicial nominees^[7] including Amy Coney Barrett,^[8] she has opposed key pro-life legislation that would ban late-term abortions.^[9][10]

AK Republican primary[edit]

Former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin, a noted movement conservative who was John McCain's running mate in the 2008 United States Presidential Election, has hinted at a primary challenge against Sen. Murkowski.^[11][12] While President Trump has called for the state's senior senator to be defeated in the primary, Senate RINO Backers including establishmentarian John Thune defended Murkowski despite her RINO voting record.^[13] However, Palin instead chose to run in the open seat for Alaska's sole House seat, and was one of four top candidates to face each other in the general election.

• Kelly Tshibaka, an America First Candidate is currently the most likely candidate to win the primary.
• Sam Little, Truck driver, National Guard veteran and candidate for governor in 2010.
• Karl Speights, retired USAF officer

Arizona[edit]

Democrat Incumbent Mark Kelly is running for re-election. America First Republican Andy Biggs is currently the favorite potential Republican Candidate but as of May 2021, Bigg has not announced whether he would run or not. If Biggs runs it is highly likely that the seat will flip.

Republican candidates[edit]

• Mark Brnovich, current attorney general of Arizona.
• Jim Lamon, solar power businessman.
• Blake Masters, businessman and CEO of Thiel Foundation.
• Michael McGuire, Major General.
• Justin Olson, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission.
• Robert Paveza, software engineer

Arkansas[edit]

Establishment Republican incumbent, John Boozman is running for re-election.^[14] Arkansas is a solidly Republican state and therefore Boozman will likely win.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• John Boozman
• Jan Morgan, gun range owner.
• Jake Bequette

California[edit]

Kamala Harris resigned to become Vice President. Gavin Newsom appointed Alex Padilla. Padilla will almost certainly have a slam dunk win for re-election.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• James P. Bradley, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for California's 33rd congressional district in 2020.
• Mark Meuser, candidate for California Secretary of State in 2018.
• Robert Lucero, political organizer.
• Cordie Williams, marine veteran and doctor.
• Lily Zhou, independent candidate for San Diego City Council in 2020.

Democrat primary candidates[edit]

• Alex Padilla
• Jerome Horton, accountant and politician

Colorado[edit]

Democrat incumbent Michael Bennet will run for re-election. This seat will be competitive but it will likely be held by him.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Eli Bremmer, former Olympic athlete, U.S. Air Force major.
• Ron Hanks, member of the Colorado House of Representatives for the 60th district.
• Deborah Flora, former radio host
• Gino Campana, Former Fort Collins, Colorado Council member, city developer
• Joe O'Dea, business owner

Connecticut[edit]

Democrat incumbent Richard Blumenthal is running for re-election and is almost guaranteed to win.

Florida[edit]

Establishment Republican Marco Rubio is running for re-election. Though Florida is a swing state in Presidential elections, it has trended Republican in recent years. Rubio has a fair popularity level, and is therefore likely to win.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Marco Rubio
• Kevin DePuy, former Marine Corps sergeant
• Howard Knepper, businessman
• Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman
• Luis Miguel, conservative writer and activist
• Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate
• Earl Yearicks IV, maritime captain

Democrat primary candidates[edit]

• Val Demings
• Alan Grayson
• Edward Abud, businessman
• Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 and 2020
• Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation
• Dana Harshman, pharmacist
• Josue Larose, perennial candidate
• Allek Pastrana, engineer
• Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner
• William Sanchez, immigration lawyer and former special counsel for the U.S. Department of Justice
• Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor
• Joshua Weil, teacher

Georgia[edit]

Democrat Incumbent Raphael Warnock is running for re-election to serve a full term. Former athlete Herschel Walker won the Republican primary. This race will be close given that Walker has a habit of making unwise comments.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Herschel Walker, former NFL player
• Gary Black, current Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–present)
• Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman
• Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management
• Latham Saddler, former Director of Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council under President Trump and former Navy SEAL officer.

Hawaii[edit]

Democrat incumbent Brian Schatz is running for re-election. He will likely win.

Idaho[edit]

Establishment Republican Mike Crapo is running for re-election.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Mike Crapo
• Natalie Fleming, independent candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2020.
• Mike Little, Iraq War veteran.
• Scott Trotter, business owner.

Democrat candidates[edit]

• James Vandermaas, former law enforcement officer.

Other candidates[edit]

• Ray Writz, janitorial contractor from Constitution Party
• Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur as Independent.

Illinois[edit]

Incumbent Democrat Tammy Duckworth who is notorious for her bigoted attitude of declining Biden nominees if they are not POC or LGBT, is likely going to win re-election. It is possible for her to lose, but not extremely likely.

Republican candidates[edit]

• Tim Arview, insurance agent
• Allison Salinas, activist
• Peggy Hubbard, former police officer, U.S. Navy veteran, and candidate for US Senate in 2020
• Bobby Piton, activist

Indiana[edit]

Establishment Republican Todd Young is running for re-election.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Todd Young, incumbent senator
• Danny Niederberger, operations analyst and candidate for Indiana's 5th congressional district in 2020
• John Piper, business owner and withdrawn candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018

Democrat primary candidates[edit]

• Thomas McDermott Jr, mayor of Hammond.
• Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University
• Valerie McCray, psychologist

Iowa[edit]

This state is likely safe republican. Incumbent Chuck Grassley has filed paperwork.^[15]. However, Grassley is 87, and will be around 93 by the time his term ends so if he runs is not known yet.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Chuck Grassley
• Jim Carlin, state senator

Democrat primary candidates[edit]

• Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district (2019–2021)
• Michael T. Franken, retired U.S. Navy Admiral, former aide to former U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020.
• Glenn Hurst, member of the Minden city council.
• Bob Krause, president of the Veterans National Recovery Center, former state representative for the 7th district (1973–1979) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Kansas[edit]

Incumbent globalist Republican Jerry Moran is up for re-election in 2022, and has not yet announced whether he would run for another Senate term. The state has notably changed politically during the Trump era, with the rural areas becoming more solidly Republican while Riley County, Shawnee County, and Johnson County have trended towards the Democrats despite previously being strongholds for the Republican Party.^[16][17] For the first time since a century, a majority of voters in mostly urban/suburban Johnson County voted Democrat in the 2020 U.S. presidential election.^[18]

The state generally favors establishment Republicans; Moran outperformed Trump in 2016 by ten percentage points, particularly in Johnson County.^[16] The third congressional district, which contains the latter as well as Wyandotte County and part of Miami County, has significantly trended towards the Democrats, with then-incumbent Koch puppet Kevin Yoder losing re-election in the 2018 Midterms by a wide margin despite previously being heavily favored there.^[19] In the same election cycle, anti-establishment conservative Republican Kris Kobach lost the gubernatorial race by a narrow margin after being opposed by the GOP establishment, failing to ground enough support in much of the state. However, Roger Marshall did reveal himself to be on the side of the America First Agenda.

Kentucky[edit]

Rand Paul is running for re-election. He will likely win.

Democrat candidates[edit]

• Charles Booker, former state representative (2019–2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020
• Ruth Gao, educator and activist
• Joshua Blanton Sr., army veteran
• John Merrill, chemist and navy veteran

Louisiana[edit]

Incumbent John Neely Kennedy has not announced that he will run again but will likely run again. He was among those who objected to the results.

Democrat Candidates[edit]

Gary Chambers Jr. Luke Mixon, member of the U.S. Navy Reserve and former member of the U.S. Navy

Maryland[edit]

Democrat incumbent Chris Van Hollen is running for re-election and will likely win.

Missouri[edit]

Incumbent Roy Blunt is retiring. Eric Greitens has been the favored successor by Conservatives. Missouri is a swing state (the areas around St. Louis and Kansas City are heavily Democrat, Columbia and Jefferson City trend Democrat, but the remainder of the state is solidly Republican) so this one is a toss-up; Greitens also has personal baggage from a nasty divorce which Democrats have used against him.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Eric Greitens
• Eric Schmitt, current attorney general
• Billy Long, , auctioneer and U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–present).
• Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative.
• John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant
• Jeremy Gundel, farmer
• Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker.
• Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate
• Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone

Democrat candidates primary[edit]

• Jewel Kelly, U.S. Air Force veteran and small business owner.
• Lucas Kunce, national security director of the American Economic Liberties Project and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer
• Gena Ross, college professor and nominee for Missouri's 6th congressional district in 2020[39][40]
• Tim Shepard, LGBT agenda activist[
• Scott Sifton, state senator (2013–2021) and former state representative.
• Spencer Toder, small business owner, entrepreneur and real estate broker

Nevada[edit]

Democrat Incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto is running for re-election. This will be one of the most competitive races.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Adam Laxalt, Former Attorney General.
• Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran
• Bill Hockstedler, healthcare executive and USAF veteran
• Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen

New Hampshire[edit]

Democrat Incumbent Maggie Hassan is running for re-Election. Republican's favored Candidate is Chris Sununu. While a little iffy on some social issues, it is impossible to get a better conservative in New Hampshire and if he does run, Hassan will likely lose.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Donald C. Bolduc, former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020.
• Gerard Beloin, roofing contractor and perennial candidate.
• Chuck Morse, President of the New Hampshire Senate (2013-2018, 2020-present) and former Acting Governor of New Hampshire.
• Tejasinha Sivalingam, landlord and candidate for state representative in 2018 and 2020.
• Kevin Smith, Town Manager of Londonderry and former candidate for New Hampshire governor in 2012

New York[edit]

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is running for re-election. It is not likely for him to lose.

Republican candidates[edit]

• Aleksander Mici, lawyer and candidate for New York City's 13th City Council district in 2021.
• Joe Pinion, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly District 90 in 2018.

North Carolina[edit]

Never Trumper, Richard Burr is retiring. Mark Walker who is endorsed by Madison Cawthorn and Paul Ryan is running. Anti Establishment, America First, Ted Budd is also running.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Ted Budd, US Representative
• Mark Walker, former US Representative
• Pat McCrory, Former Governor
• Jen Banwart
• Marjorie Eastman, Author and veteran.
• Kenneth Harper, business owner

Candidates	Votes	%
Ted Budd	445,343	58.6
Pat McCrory	186,760	24.6
Mark Walker	70,131	9.2
Marjorie K. Eastman	22,302	2.9
David Flaherty	7,186	1
Kenneth Harper	7,076	0.9
Jen Banwart	3,051	0.4
Charles Kenneth Moss	2,900	0.4
Leonard Bryant	2,876	0.4
Benjamin Griffiths	2,830	0.4
Debora Tshiovo	2,709	0.4
Lee Brian	2,206	0.3
Lichia Sibhatu	2,173	0.3
Drew Bulecza	2,007	0.3
Total votes	759,550	100

Democrat primary candidates[edit]

• Cheri Beasley, Judge
• Constance Lov Johnson
• Tobias LaGrone, business owner
• Everette Newton, mayor of Beaufort (2017-2021)

Candidate	Votes	%
Cheri Beasley	497,408	81.1
James L. Carr Jr.	21,668	21,668
Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond	20,710	3.4
Marcus W. Williams	17,314	2.8
Total	613,170	100

Other candidates[edit]

• Shannon Bray, Navy veteran from Libertarian Party
• Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran from Green Party
• Kimrey Rhinehardt, faculty member at the University of North Carolina Wilmington, former lobbyist for the University of North Carolina system, and former staffer for incumbent U.S. Senator Richard Burr
• Brenda Rodriguez

North Dakota[edit]

Establishment Republican, John Hoeven is running for re-election.

Democrat candidates[edit]

• Michael Steele, small business owner

Ohio[edit]

Establishment Republican, Rob Portman is retiring.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• J.D. Vance, author of Hillbilly Elegy, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and venture capitalist
• Matt Dolan, state senator.
• Josh Mandel, former Ohio state treasurer.
• Jane Timken, former chair of the Ohio Republican Party.^[20]
• Bernie Moreno, businessman
• Mike Gibbons, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018, leading in the polls as of March 17, 2022.
• Mark Pukita, IT executive
• Neil Patel, businessman

Candidate	Votes	%
J. D. Vance (winner)	340,991	32.2%
Josh Mandel	253,051	23.9%
Matt Dolan	247,042	23.3%
Mike Gibbons	123,417	11.7%
Jane Timken	62,237	5.9%
Mark Pukita	22,478	2.1%
Neil Patel	9,897	0.9%
Bernie Moreno (withdrew)

Democrat candidates[edit]

• Tim Ryan, U.S. representative for Ohio’s 13th congressional district.
• Morgan Harper, former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
• Demar Sheffey, treasurer of the Cuyahoga Soil and Water Conservation District
• Rick Taylor
• LaShondra Tinsley

Candidate	Votes	%
Tim Ryan (winner)	355,764	69.7%
Morgan Harper	90,485	17.7%
Traci Johnson	64,113	12.6%
Demar Sheffey (disqualified)
Rick Taylor (disqualified)
LaShondra Tinsley (disqualified)

Oklahoma[edit]

In a rarity, both Senate seats are up for election. The seat held by James Lankford was due to be contested; he has announced his re-election candidacy. However, the seat held by [Jim Inhofe]] is also being contested after he announced that he will resign effective January 3, 2023.

Republican primary candidates (Lankford seat)[edit]

• Joan Farr, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020.
• Jessica Jean Garrison, author, dietician and daughter of former State Senator Earl Garrison.
• Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church, former Oklahoma State Coordinator for Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, and former Crusade Director for Christ for All Nations.
• James Lankford, incumbent U.S. Senator.

Democrat primary elections (Lankford seat)[edit]

• Jason Bollinger, attorney and former State Department employee.
• Jo Glenn, attorney.
• Madison Horn, cybersecurity professional.
• Bevon Rogers, businessman and 2020 candidate for Oklahoma State Senate.

Republican primary candidates (Inhofe seat)[edit]

• Nathan Dahm, state senator for the 33rd district.
• Alex Gray, former United States National Security Council chief of staff.
• Luke Holland, former chief of staff for U.S. Senator Jim Inhofe.
• Markwayne Mullin, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district.
• T. W. Shannon, former speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives (2013–2014), former state representative for the 62nd district (2007–2015), and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014.

Oregon[edit]

Democrat Incumbent Ron Wyden is running for re-election.

Republicans candidates[edit]

• Jason Beebe, mayor of Prineville
• Jo Rae Perkins, former chair of the Linn County Republican Party and perennial candidate
• Ibra A. Taher, philosopher, peace activist and Green Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020.

Pennsylvania[edit]

Never Trumper, Pat Toomey will be retiring. This race will be by far the most competitive. The most prominent Republican candidate is Dr Mehmet Oz. The most prominent Democrat candidate is current Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman.

Republican primary candidates[edit]

• Mehmet Oz, Celebrity, surgeon, professor
• Carla Sands, former ambassador
• David McCormick, former U.S. Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs (2007–2009)
• Jeff Bartos, Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2018
• George Bochetto, Pennsylvania State Boxing Commissioner (1995–2002)
• Kathy Barnette, Republican nominee for Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district in 2020
• Everett Stern, CEO of Tactical Rabbit, Inc

Democrat primary candidates[edit]

• John Fetterman, current Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–present), former mayor of Braddock (2005–2019) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016.
• Conor Lamb, US Representative
• Val Arkoosh, chair of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and physician
• Kevin Baumlin, chief of Emergency and Urgent Care Services at Pennsylvania Hospital
• John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–present), former mayor of Braddock (2005–2019) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016
• Malcolm Kenyatta, state representative for the 181st district (2019–present)
• Alexandria Khalil, member of the Jenkintown Borough Council (2019–present)

Other Candidates[edit]

• Erik Gerhardt, carpenter and candidate for president in 2020 from Libertarian Party

South Carolina[edit]

Tim Scott is running for re-election. South Carolina is a heavily Republican state, thus, Scott is likely to win.

South Dakota[edit]

Establishment Republican John Thune will run for re-election. Trump has vowed to campaign against Thune.

Utah[edit]

Incumbent Mike Lee is running for re-election.

Vermont[edit]

Democrat Incumbent Patrick Leahy has filed paperwork to run for another term. Being at a similar age to Chuck Grassley, he might decide to not run again. Even if he doesn't, this seat is a safe Democrat hold.

Wisconsin[edit]

Mostly conservative Republican senator Ron Johnson, who was elected in the 2010 Midterm Elections and re-elected in 2016 in an upset, may retire as he previously pledged.^[21] However, Trump has endorsed him and wants him to run for another term.

Republican candidates[edit]

• Ron Johnson
• John Berman, electronic hardware design, test engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate (Minnesota and Kansas) in 2020
• Brad Beyer, U.S. Army veteran

WI Democrat primary[edit]

Democrat Tom Nelson, the executive of Outagamie County, announced in late October 2020 his run for the Senate seat.^[22]

Total list[edit]

20 Republicans, 12 Democrats:

Republicans[edit]

Roy Blunt MO, John Boozman AR, Richard Burr NC, Michael Crapo ID, Charles Grassley, IA, John Hoeven ND, Ron Johnson WI, John Kennedy LA, James Lankford OK, Mike Lee UT, Jerry Moran KS, Lisa Murkowski AK, Rand Paul KY, Rob Portman OH (retiring, seat will be open), Marco Rubio FL, Tim Scott SC, Richard Shelby AL (elderly). John Thune SD, Patrick Toomey PA (prematurely retiring at merely age 59), and Todd Young IN.

Democrats[edit]

Michael Bennet CO, Richard Blumenthal CT, Catherine Cortez Masto NV, Tammy Duckworth IL, Padilla appointed replacement in CA, Maggie Hassan NH, Patrick Leahy VT, Patty Murray WA, Brian Schatz HI, Chuck Schumer NY, Chris Van Hollen MD, and Ron Wyden OR.

See also[edit]

• 2022 America First Candidates against RINOs and Democrats
• 2022 gubernatorial elections

References[edit]