United States Senate Election In Montana (June 5, 2018 Green Party Primary)

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U.S. Senate, Montana
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
Green primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 12, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
Pre-election incumbent:
Jon Tester (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Montana
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
U.S. Senate, Montana
U.S. Senate • At-large
Montana elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Green Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018, in Montana to determine which Green Party candidate earned the right to run in the state's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Green Party primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • This seat was rated Toss-up by The Cook Political Report, Tilt Democratic by Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Lean Democratic by Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  • In 2012, incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D) did not face a Democratic primary challenger and defeated his Republican opponent by 4 percent. This race was one of nine top-ballot 2012 races that contained Libertarian candidates who received more total votes than the vote difference between the Democratic winner and the Republican runner-up.[3]
  • President Donald Trump (R) won the state in 2016 by 20 points. CNN listed this race as one of the 10 U.S. Senate seats most likely to flip in 2018.[4]
    • Montana voter? Here's what you need to know.
    Primary ElectionJune 5, 2018
    Primary TypeOpen
    Candidate Filing DeadlineMarch 12, 2018
    Registration DeadlineMay 7, 2018 (regular registration), June 5, 2018 (late registration)[5]
    Absentee Application DeadlineJune 4, 2018 (12pm MT)[5]
    General ElectionNovember 6, 2018
    Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day.

    Candidates and election results[edit]

    See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

    Steve Kelly defeated Timothy Adams in the Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 5, 2018.

    Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    ✔

    Image of tmp/YDxcMROTF0zK/data/media/images/cr_w_1076_h_538_fixed.jpeg

    		Steve Kelly
     
    61.2
     
    		971

    Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

    		Timothy Adams
     
    38.8
     
    		615

    There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

    		Total votes: 1,586
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

    • Thomas Breck (G)


    Election updates[edit]

    Lawsuit[edit]

    • April 2, 2018: The Montana Democratic Party filed a lawsuit in Lewis and Clark County District Court claiming that the state Green Party did not collect enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot. The lawsuit argues that Secretary of State Corey Stapleton (R) incorrectly certified 180 signature petitions. The lawsuit is asking for an injunction to remove the party from the June 5 primary. Six Green Party candidates have qualified for the ballot in Montana. Two candidates filed for the U.S. Senate, one for the U.S. House, and three candidates in the state legislature.[6]

    Who is going to win?[edit]

    Race ratings[edit]

    See also: Race rating definitions and methods
    Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Montana, 2018
    Race tracker Race ratings
    October 30, 2018 October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
    The Cook Political Report Toss-up Toss-upToss-upToss-up
    Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales Tilt Democratic Tilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt Democratic
    Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean Democratic Lean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
    Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

    State overview[edit]

    Partisan control[edit]

    This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Montana heading into the 2018 elections.

    Congressional delegation[edit]

    • Following the 2016 elections, Republicans and Democrats each held one U.S. Senate seat.
    • Republicans held Montana's At-Large Congressional District.

    State executives[edit]

    • As of September 2018, Republicans held six of 11 state executive positions, Democrats held two, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
    • The governor of Montana was Democrat Steve Bullock. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 3, 2020.

    State legislature[edit]

    • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Montana State Legislature. They had a 59-41 majority in the state House and a 32-18 majority in the state Senate.

    Trifecta status[edit]

    • Montana was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Steve Bullock (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.

    2018 elections[edit]

    See also: Montana elections, 2018

    Montana held elections for the following positions in 2018:

    • One U.S. Senate seat
    • One U.S. House seats
    • One state executive position
    • 25 of 50 state Senate seats
    • 100 state House seats

    Demographics[edit]

    Demographic data for Montana
     MontanaU.S.
    Total population:1,032,073316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):145,5463,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:89.2%73.6%
    Black/African American:0.5%12.6%
    Asian:0.7%5.1%
    Native American:6.5%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
    Two or more:2.5%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:3.3%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:92.8%86.7%
    College graduation rate:29.5%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$47,169$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:17%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Montana.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    As of July 2016, Montana's three largest cities were Billings (pop. est. 109,642), Missoula (pop. est. 73,340), and Great Falls (pop. est. 58,876).[7][8]

    State election history[edit]

    This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Montana from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Montana Secretary of State.

    Historical elections[edit]

    Presidential elections, 2000-2016[edit]

    This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Montana every year from 2000 to 2016.

    Election results (President of the United States), Montana 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 55.6% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 35.4% 20.2%
    2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 55.3% Democratic Party Barack Obama 41.7% 13.6%
    2008 Republican Party John McCain 49.5% Democratic Party Barack Obama 47.2% 2.3%
    2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 59.1% Democratic Party John Kerry 38.6% 20.5%
    2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 58.4% Democratic Party Al Gore 33.4% 25.0%

    U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016[edit]

    This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Montana from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

    Election results (U.S. Senator), Montana 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2014 Republican Party Steve Daines 57.9% Democratic Party Amanda Curtis 40.0% 17.9%
    2012 Democratic Party Jon Tester 48.6% Republican Party Denny Rehberg 44.6% 4.0%
    2008 Democratic Party Max Baucus 72.9% Republican Party Bob Kelleher 27.1% 45.8%
    2006 Democratic Party Jon Tester 49.2% Republican Party Conrad Burns 48.3% 0.9%
    2002 Democratic Party Max Baucus 62.7% Republican Party Mike Taylor 31.7% 31.0%
    2000 Republican Party Conrad Burns 50.6% Democratic Party Brian Schweitzer 47.2% 3.4%

    Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016[edit]

    This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Montana.

    Election results (Governor), Montana 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2016 Democratic Party Steve Bullock 50.2% Republican Party Greg Gianforte 46.4% 3.8%
    2012 Democratic Party Steve Bullock 48.9% Republican Party Jon Sonju 47.3% 1.6%
    2008 Democratic Party Brian Schweitzer 65.5% Republican Party Roy Brown 32.5% 33.0%
    2004 Democratic Party Brian Schweitzer 50.4% Republican Party Bob Brown 46.0% 4.4%
    2000 Republican Party Judy Martz 51.0% Democratic Party Mark O'Keefe 47.1% 3.9%

    Congressional delegation, 2000-2016[edit]

    This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Montana in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

    Congressional delegation, Montana 2000-2016
    Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
    2016 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2014 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2012 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2010 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2008 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2006 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2004 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2002 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1
    2000 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+1

    Trifectas, 1992-2017[edit]

    A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

    Montana Party Control: 1992-2022
    No Democratic trifectas  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
    Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R
    Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House D R R R R R R R R R R R R S S R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R


    See also[edit]

    • United States Senate election in Montana (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
    • United States Senate election in Montana (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
    • United States Senate election in Montana, 2018
    • United States Senate elections, 2018
    • United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, 2018
    • United States House of Representatives elections, 2018

    Footnotes[edit]

    1. ↑ If one missed the Oct. 9 deadline, he or she could have still voted in the election by registering in person at the county election office. Late registration was available until the close of polls on Election Day.
    2. ↑ If one missed the Oct. 9 deadline, he or she could have still voted in the election by registering in person at the county election office. Late registration was available until the close of polls on Election Day.
    3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Libertarians provided the margin for Democrats and at least nine elections," November 15, 2012
    4. ↑ CNN, "The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2018," January 9, 2018
    5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 Montana Secretary of State, "2018 election calendar," accessed February 1, 2018
    6. ↑ Independent Record, "Montana Democrats want Green Party off ballot, saying they didn't get enough valid signatures," April 2, 2018
    7. ↑ Montana Demographics, "Montana Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
    8. ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Montana," accessed September 4, 2018


    [show]
    Montana's current delegation to the United States Congress
    Senators
    Steve Daines (R)
    Jon Tester (D)
    Representatives
    Matt Rosendale (R)
    Republican Party (2)
    Democratic Party (1)


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    Categories: [Montana elections, 2018] [Green primary elections, U.S. Senate, 2018] [June 5, 2018, elections]

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