United States Presidential Election, 2012

The Presidential Election 2012 was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. By relying on extensive early voting driven by the Democrat political machine—which totaled more than 40% of the vote -- Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney despite losing nearly 10 million votes from 2008, carrying fewer states and a smaller proportion of both the electoral vote and the popular vote than he had before. Thus, Obama's "victory" was smaller in magnitude by four different measures than in 2008.

Obama was leading in the polls by a substantial margin until the first presidential debate, which Romney won by the widest margin ever recorded by Gallup polling. Afterward Romney surpassed Obama and was leading by 49-48% in both the Rasmussen and Gallup polls on Election Day.

As Conservapedia anticipated, this election was similar to the election of 1948, when the RINO Thomas Dewey was unable to attract grassroots voters despite the unpopularity of Harry Truman and the deteriorating economy. A handful of swing states selected the winner in both instances.

Issue or Factor	Mitt Romney	Barack Obama	Comment
Social issues	Romney has downplayed social issues, but supports defunding Planned Parenthood and would likely nominate more conservative judges.	Obama is vocally pro-abortion, pro-same-sex marriage, and pro-homosexual agenda.	As with Tom Dewey's loss in 1948, Romney's running away from social issues could cost him the election.
Economic issues	Romney favors free enterprise, low taxes, and personal responsibility.	Obama says he inherited the crisis from Republicans.	The advantage here is Romney's.
Leadership	Romney was head of Bain Capital, was Governor of Massachusetts and led the 2002 Olympics.	Obama took advantage of Hurricane Sandy to create an impression that he was a competent leader, but, a week after the storm, its effects are still being felt.	Both candidates have proven leadership skills, but Obama's response to Hurricane Sandy is being celebrated by the liberal press.
Likability	Romney's likability rating stands at only 31%, and has been lower.	Obama's likability rating is at 48%.	Advantage to Obama.
Debates	Romney is a good debater.	Obama struggles without a teleprompter, but will benefit from liberal moderators.	Advantage to Romney.
VPs	Paul Ryan has youth, energy, and likability, but is part of the Big Government Republican leadership in Congress, which has an ultra-low approval rating; Romney has been criticized for not using Ryan more effectively in the campaign.[1]	Joe Biden is a gaffe-prone goofball, but is protected by the liberal media.	Toss-up here, or maybe a slight edge to Ryan.
Fundraising	Mitt did not turn out to be as strong a fundraiser as expected, nor were the Super PACs effective on his side; some of their comments to the press, like Karl Rove criticizing Todd Akin, were actually hurtful.	Limousine liberals have donated millions to Obama's reelection, and once again the Dems outspend the Republicans.	Advantage to Obama.
Gaffes/staying on message	47% of American don't pay income tax and won't vote for me[2][3]/London Olympics not ready comment[4]	"You didn't build that"	Obama has a media covering up his gaffes any way they can, but Romney has better control of his message. Advantage to Romney.

Following the 2012 Republican Primaries the Republican National Convention nominated the RINO Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, and their strategy appears to be to duck and avoid social issues as much as possible. The selection and Paul Ryan as VP and polling during the first half of the convention showed only a slight bounce in voter support for Romney.

History[edit]

No incumbent has won reelection in the past 70 years with unemployment above 7.2%; reported unemployment is at 7.9% (and real unemployment much higher).^[5]

Campaign strategy[edit]

Both campaigns have focused on key battleground states: Florida, Ohio, Virginia.^[6] A CNN summary of poll of likely voters taken just before the first debate had Obama leading Romney in Florida, 47% to 46%, in Virginia 48% to 46% and in Ohio 52% to 43%.^[6]

Romney made a last-minute effort in Pennsylvania, including both ads and personal appearances, but Obama ultimately won Pennsylvania's electoral votes. The October 25 Rasmussen poll in Pennsylania had the state 51% for Obama and 46% for Romney, but the last minute effort did not move enough voters to change the outcome.^[7]

Fundraising[edit]

The Associated Press reports that the following people are the top donors to Mitt Romney's campaign and his "Restore Our Future" SuperPAC:^[8]

Donor	Amount
Sheldon Adelson, 79, owner of the Las Vegas Sands casino empire.	$34.2 million
Harold Simmons, 81, owner of Contran Corp.	$16 million
Bob J. Perry, 80, a Houston real estate investor	$15.3 million
Robert Rowling, 58, head of Dallas-based TRT Holdings	$4.1 million
William Koch, 72, an industrialist whose family owns an energy and mining conglomerate	$3 million

Debates[edit]

The Commission on Presidential Debates is sponsoring four debates.^[9] Although many candidates will appear on the ballot in some states, the Commission is limiting participation in the debates to just candidates that appear on enough states to be mathematically eligible to win the presidency. Candidates also must gain at least 15% support in five national polls as of the date of determination, to be some time after Labor Day 2012.^[10] The debates are:

• Wednesday October 3: The first presidential debate took place at the University of Denver in Denver, Colorado,^[11] moderated by Jim Lehrer^[12]
• Thursday October 11: The vice-presidential debate took place at Centre College in Danville, Kentucky,^[11] moderated by Martha Raddatz of ABC News^[12]
• Tuesday October 16: The second presidential debate (with a town-hall meeting format) took place at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York.^[11] moderated by Candy Crowley of CNN.^[12][13]
• Monday October 22: The third and final presidential debate on foreign policy took place at Lynn University in Boca Raton, Florida,^[11] moderated by Bob Schieffer of CBS News.^[12]

An independent presidential debate, sponsored by the Free and Equal Elections Foundation and moderated by former CNN host Larry King, took place on October 23, 2012, at the Hilton Hotel in Chicago, Illinois. President Obama and Governor Romney declined invitations, while Johnson, Goode, Stein and Anderson participated.^[14] A second independent debate took place on October 30 in Washington, D.C.^[15]

Minor parties[edit]

With record-low support for either major party candidate, this could be a year when minor parties do unusually well.

Party	Candidate	Comments
Constitution Party[16]	Virgil Goode[17]	Popular ex-Congressman from Virginia who had previously won election as a Democrat, Independent, and Republican. Joined the Constitution Party in 2010. Opposes illegal immigration and calls for a reduction in legal immigration as well. Won the Constitution Party nomination for president in April on the first ballot.
Green Party[18]	Jill Stein[19]	Defeated Roseanne Barr for the Green Party nomination. Criticizes Obama for allegedly perpetuating the policies of the Bush administration. Supports the Occupy Wall Street protests. Was previously the Green Party candidate in a series of elections in Massachusetts including a Gubernatorial Election against Mitt Romney (among others).
Justice Party[20]	Rocky Anderson[21]	Former mayor of Salt Lake City, Utah (2000–08)
Libertarian Party[22]	Gary Johnson[23]	The former Republican two-term governor of New Mexico, Johnson favors the fair tax, ending American military actions overseas, legalizing marijuana, expanding legal immigration and allowing same-sex marriage. Given Ron Paul's libertarian campaign for the Republican nomination and the exclusion of Johnson from most of the debates, there was little room for Johnson as a Republican this election cycle. He won the Libertarian Party nomination on May 5, 2012.
Peace and Freedom Party[24]	Roseanne Barr[25]	Comedienne and former TV actress
Party for Socialism and Liberation[26]	Peta Lindsay	Student and anti-war activist (not even constitutionally qualified to serve as president - less than 35 years of age)
America's Party[27]	Tom Hoefling[28]
Objectivist Party[29]	Tom Stevens
Socialist Workers Party[30]	James Harris
Socialist Party USA[31]	Stewart Alexander[32]
American Third Position Party[33]	Merlin Miller[34]	White Nationalist Party
Grass Roots Party[35]	Jim Carlson
Freedom Socialist Party[36]	Stephen Durham
Prohibition Party[36]	Jack Fellure
Socialist Equality Party[37]	Jerry White

References[edit]

See also[edit]

• Endorsements 2012
• Swing States 2012
• Presidential Election 2012 (disambiguation), for other presidential elections
• Senate Elections 2012
• Republican governors
• Gingrich's campaign mistakes 2012
• Frank White, Jr.